Though this paper bears a date of "June 2009," I have just now come across it.  Stanislav Secrieru of the excellent Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) has a piece which considers whether or not the economic crisis and lower oil prices will motivate Russia to scale back its more aggressive foreign policy ambitions.  Secrieru envisions two scenarios:  one in which a more compliant Kremlin seeks to bridge the gap with the West, or second, that things remain the same with Russia maintaining its normative independence in foreign policy making.Below is a quote, download the 10-page paper here:

Rationalists argue that power capabilities define the actors' foreign policy goals. Accordingly, they assume that a decline in state resources will compel Russia to scale down its international ambitions. There are expectations that, as the crisis strikes with full force, ...

A Turn Around Tuesday?  BRIC meeting doesn’t get covered by the media?  Are the Bearer Bonds real or fakes?  QTC’s get Gov. backing! And Now… Today’s Pfennig! Good day… And a Wonderful Wednesday to you! Remember last week, when I said that we had a “Turn Around Tuesday?” I came in this morning to find a story that Chris Gaffney had printed off the Bloomie for me… The writer refers to the price action yesterday as “Turn Around Tuesday!” OK… I for one, don’t even begin to believe that I was the originator of a saying like that for the currencies… I just find it interesting, that a week after I make a big deal out Turn Around Tuesday that it is used in a story with much wider distribution than my little old Pfennig!

Cool Beans, eh? OK… Well… If yesterday was Turn Around Tuesday as the writer said, I sure didn’t see it!

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We’ve been musing on the fate of US debt for some time now. It’s no secret that we’re bearish on the fate of US Treasurys and the buck. (It’s no accident, dear reader, that your editor lives outside the US of A. We see the threat of inflation on the horizon, a dark and foreboding cloud, and we don’t like it one bit.) And the mixed signals from China and Russia on their Treasury holdings doesn’t make us sleep any easier at night.

As currencies expert Alex Merk of Merk Mutual Funds wrote recently, “Russian President Medvedev suggests the dollar is on its way out; Russian Finance minister Kudrin says there is no substitute for the dollar. The Chinese see a need to diversify out of the dollar; the Japanese say their trust in the dollar is unshakable.” What’s a poor investor to think?

Merk says Russia’s and China’s – along with

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Currencies stop the dollar’s run…BRIC meeting could get ugly for the dollar…RBA meeting notes good for Aussie dollars…Depressing data / forecasts for housing…And Now… Today’s Pfennig!

Good day… And a Terrific Tuesday to you! Thundering storms moved through here this morning, as I was preparing to leave home and drive to the office. As slow as I am with getting around these days, I got pretty wet from my car to the office building. But, I didn’t melt, as most would have thought! HA! And, I’ll dry out soon enough… Well before anyone else comes in!

OK… Well… When I left you yesterday, the dollar was on a rampage, from the comments by the Russian Finance Minister, Kudrin… Was it an overreaction, I asked? A resounding YES was my answer… I think the proof is in the pudding on that this morning, as the dollar buying has hit a roadblock, and reversed

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Currencies stop the dollar’s run… BRIC meeting could get ugly for the dollar… RBA meeting notes good for Aussie dollars… Depressing data / forecasts for housing… And Now… Today’s Pfennig!

Good day… And a Terrific Tuesday to you! Thundering storms moved through here this morning, as I was preparing to leave home and drive to the office. As slow as I am with getting around these days, I got pretty wet from my car to the office building. But, I didn’t melt, as most would have thought! HA! And, I’ll dry out soon enough… Well before anyone else comes in!

OK… Well… When I left you yesterday, the dollar was on a rampage, from the comments by the Russian Finance Minister, Kudrin… Was it an overreaction, I asked? A resounding YES was my answer… I think the proof is in the pudding on that this morning, as the dollar

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Russia’s Fin Min talks up the dollar!  Currencies, commodities, stocks all lose ground…  Who’s car is uglier … Gold hit a 3-week low… And Now… Today’s Pfennig! Good day… And a Marvelous Monday to you! How about that weekend? I actually didn’t get a chance to experience much of it outside, but it sure looked great! We have new champions in basketball and hockey, so congrats to the Lakers and Penguins on their Championships! Now, the housecleaning is out of the way… It’s time to get to the meat… Where’s the beef? HA!

OK… Well, the Russian Finance Minister, Kudrin, threw a cat among the pigeons yesterday, when he stated that Russia has confidence in the U.S. currency. The markets have reacted violently to this statement, sending the dollar much higher, and the currencies led by the euro, much lower. An overreaction? I think so! But… These are the types of things you watch happen, and

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Financial News OnlineJason Corcorcan in Moscow17 September 2008 Russian brokerage KIT is holding talks with strategic investors after defaulting on its debt as analysts suggested a number of small to medium-sized bank are facing similar difficulties refinancing on the repo market.KIT, a second tier investment bank, was forced to look for a buyer after it defaulted on a repo deal. Investment banking sources said a buyer had been found and announcement would be made by close of play today.A KIT spokeswoman declined to comment and said a statement would be made at 5pm Moscow time.Analysts said KIT's problems were contagious and the state would have to intervene quickly to restore liquidity and confidence in the market.David Nangle, director of financial research at Renaissance Capita, said: "There are other banks and boutiques with exposure to repos whereby ...