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Obama Stimulus and January Effect, this Week’s Top Stories

Contrarian Profits (January 5th, 2009) Writes:

President-elect Barack Obama’s transition team is reportedly putting the finishing touches on an economic recovery plan that could run from $675 billion to $1 trillion, though many experts believe the program will most like range between $700 billion and $800 billion.

Briefings for top congressional Democrats were to start either over the weekend or today (Monday), a senior transition-team official told The Associated Press late last week. President-elect Obama is slated to meet today with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., in a Democratic strategy session that is likely to focus on the economic recovery package.

It’s time to look forward, not back. The 111th Congress meets tomorrow (Tuesday), and a comprehensive economic stimulus package is at the top of its agenda.  Hopefully, the lawmakers can put partisan bickering aside (fat chance) and have a bill in place for President-elect Barack

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Alcoa Inc, Amazon.com Inc., Bank, Barack Obama, Bernard Madoff;, California, Citigroup Inc, Congress, contrarian profits, DA Davidson, Dow 30, Dow Jones, energy markets, Energy Prices, fed-funds, Federal Reserve System, Federated Investors;, Fred Dickson, General Motors Corp, GMAC LLC;, Gross Domestic Product, Group AG;, Harry Reid, Institute For Supply Management, International Council of Shopping Centers;, J.C. Penney Co. Inc., Japan, JP Morgan Chase, Kohl's Corp.;, Market Commentary, MasterCard Inc., Middle East, Nancy Pelosi, Nasdaq 100, Nasdaq Composite, Nevada, New Year's Day, Nikkei 225, Obama administration, Oil Prices, Phil Orlando;, retail, retail-land;, Russell 2000, Russia, S&P, Sp 500, Target Corp, The Associated Press, The Boeing Co., the Post, the Washington Post, Trade Group, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, U.S. Treasury Department, Ukraine, United States, Us Federal Reserve, USD, Wal Mart Stores Inc

U.S. Economy in 2009, Pain Will Precede the Promise

Shah Gilani (December 29th, 2008) Writes:

If there’s a proverb that captures the outlook for the U.S. economy in the New Year, it’s the one that says: “It’s always darkest before the dawn.”

Regardless of any formal announcement of whether or not the United States drops into an actual recession, the ongoing credit crisis guarantees a contraction of the American economy by virtually every measure we know. That period of darkness will be marked by a dramatic slowdown in economic activity, as well as by rising unemployment, additional declines in U.S. stock prices, and constant volatility. It could last as long as 12-18 months.

But when the dawn does come, it will be one to remember. If U.S. President-elect Barack Obama gets it right - and I have every reason to believe that he will - then investors will be presented with the greatest investment opportunity of our generation. At that point, shares of American companies will be

...
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American International Group Inc., Anthony Karydakis;, Bank Failures, bank loans, bank of america corp, bank of england, Barack Obama, Brands Inc., Central Banks, contrarian profits, Covered JP Morgan Chase & Co.;, Deutsche Bank Ag, direct-to-bank capital injections;, European Central Bank, Fannie Mae, Fdic, fed-funds, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Federal Reserve System, finance, Fortune, Freddie Mac, Gdp, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Hilton Hotels Corp;, J.C. Penny Co. Inc.;, JP Morgan Chase, JPMorgan Asset Management;, Kohl's Corp.;, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc, London, mark-to-market accounting, Market Commentary, Merrill Lynch, Moody's Investors Service, Morgan Stanley, National Bureau of Economic Research, New Year's Day, new york fed, New York University's Stern School of Business, Nordstrom Group;, Oil, political solution;, Real Estate, real estate collapse;, real estate cycle, Real Estate Prices, real estate realm;, Retail Sales, Retail Sector, Starwood Hotels, Stern School;, Target Corp, The Bear Stearns Cos., The Blackstone Group LP, The Gap Inc., The Neiman Marcus Group Inc;, The Wall Street Journal, Timothy Geithner;, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics;, U.S. Bureau;, U.S. Treasury Department, United States, US Commerce Department, Us Federal Reserve, Us Treasury, USD, Wal Mart Stores Inc

Retail Sales to Suffer in 2009 as U.S. Consumers Curtail Spending

Contrarian Profits (November 28th, 2008) Writes:

Retail experts are predicting one of the most dismal holiday shopping seasons in decades this year – a crucial stretch that will set the stage for poor retail sales throughout 2009.

As the U.S. economy decelerates, pummeled by the aftershocks of the worldwide financial crisis, consumers have been hit from every direction: Unemployment has spiked, and will continue to rise, economy unwinds and continues to work through the aftershocks of the global credit crisis, consumers have been beset on all sides. Unemployment is up, home prices are down, and credit is hard to come by.

And although inflation is beginning to moderate somewhat – slowing to a pace of 3.7% year-over-year in October – it’s still well above the U.S. Federal Reserve’s desired target rate of 2.0%.

With rampant inflation no longer artificially propping up consumer spending figures, retail sales have really started to lose their

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Amazon.com Inc., America, Arkansas, Bentonville;, Best Buy Co Inc, bleak retail environment;, bloomberg, C. Britt Beemer;, Circuit City Stores Inc, Connecticut, contrarian profits, Crm, CRM Magazine;, Davidowitz & Associates;, Energy Prices, Federal Reserve System, Fitch Ratings Inc., Greenwich, Gross Domestic Product, Gus Faucher;, H. Lee Scott Jr .;, Howard Davidowitz;, Jeff Klinefelter;, Jeffrey Matthews;, Kohl's Corp.;, Market Commentary, Moody's, National Federation of Independent Business;, New Year's Day, online and on television;, Online Retailer, Online Retailers, online shoe retailer;, Piper Jaffray Cos.;, poor retail sales;, QVC Inc.;, Ram Partners LP;, recent retail outlook report;, research group, Retail experts;, Retail Sales, Retail Sector, retail sectors, retail titan;, Reuters, Sam Walton;, Sharper Image Corp.;, Small Business Administration;, Sp 500, Target Corp, United States, Us Federal Reserve, Wal Mart Stores Inc, wall street, Web sales;, Zappos.com Inc.;

U.S. Economic Outlook for 2009

Shah Gilani (November 24th, 2008) Writes:

If there’s a proverb that captures the outlook for the U.S. economy in the New Year, it’s the one that says: “It’s always darkest before the dawn.”

Regardless of any formal announcement of whether or not the United States drops into an actual recession, the ongoing credit crisis guarantees a contraction of the American economy by virtually every measure we know. That period of darkness will be marked by a dramatic slowdown in economic activity, as well as by rising unemployment, additional declines in U.S. stock prices, and constant volatility. And it could last as long as 12-18 months.

But when the dawn does come, it will be one to remember. If U.S. President-elect Barack Obama gets it right - and I have every reason to believe that he will - then investors will be presented with the greatest investment opportunity of our generation. At that point, shares of American

...
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A band, American International Group Inc., Anthony Karydakis;, Bank Failures, bank of america corp, bank of england, Barack Obama, Brands Inc., Central Banks, contrarian profits, Covered JP Morgan Chase & Co.;, Deposit Insurance Corp.;, Deutsche Bank Ag, direct-to-bank capital injections;, European Central Bank, Fannie Mae, Fdic, fed-funds, Federal Reserve System, finance, Fortune, Freddie Mac, Gdp, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Hilton Hotels Corp;, J.C. Penny Co. Inc.;, JP Morgan Chase, JPMorgan Asset Management;, Kohl's Corp.;, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc, mark-to-market accounting, Market Commentary, Moody's Investors Service, Morgan Stanley Merrill Lynch & Co., National Bureau of Economic Research, New Year's Day, new york fed, New York University's Stern School of Business, Oil, political solution;, Real Estate, real estate collapse;, real estate cycle, Real Estate Prices, real estate realm;, Retail Sales, Retail Sector, Starwood Hotels, Stern School;, Target Corp, The Bear Stearns Cos., The Blackstone Group LP, The Gap Inc., The Neiman Marcus Group Inc;, The Nordstrom Group;, The Wall Street Journal, Timothy Geithner;, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics;, U.S. Bureau;, U.S. Treasury Department, United States, US Commerce Department, Us Federal Reserve, Us Treasury, USD, Wal Mart Stores Inc

Earnings results and economic reports - Week 46.

Vlada Kynsky (November 10th, 2008) Writes:
Monday:Economic: NoneEarnings: American International Group (AIG), Carmike Cinemas (CKEC), Cinemark Holdings (CNK), Dish Network (DISH), Fuel Tech Inc (FTEK), Globalstar (GSAT), Nortel Networks (NT), Plug Power (PLUG), Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI), Starbucks (SBUX), Tyson Foods (TSN), Virgin Mobile (VM)Tuesday:Economic: None (Veteran’s Day)Earnings: Brooks Automation (BRKS), Energy Solutions (ES), Fossil (FOSL), Liz Clairborne (LIZ), Microsoft (MSFT), Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR), TJX Companies (TJX), Tyco International (TYC), Vodophone Group (VOD)Wednesday:Economic: MBA Purchase Applications, ICSC-Goldman Store Sales, RedbookEarnings: Applied Materials (AMAT), Charlotte Russe Holding (CHIC), Computer Sciences Corp (CSC), Crocs Inc (CROX), ING Group (ING), JA Solar Holdings (JASO), Macy’s Inc (M), NetApp (NTAP), NetEase.com (NTES), The Progressive Corp (PGR)Thursday:Economic: International Trade ($-57.0B), Jobless Claims (482K), Treasury Budget ($-92.0B)Earnings: Biofuel Energy (BIOF), Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE), Compugen (CGEN), Dr Pepper Snapple Group (DPS), Image Entertainment (DISK), Keynote Systems ...

How This Crisis Could Make You A Fortune

Shah Gilani (November 10th, 2008) Writes:

By all reasonable measures, we are already in a recession, says Shah Gilani. Deflation has become today’s number one threat. But massive government rescues mean another bout of inflation looms on the horizon. Shah says investors should look to short vulnerable stocks in 2009. But in 12-18 months, they should be prepared for a “generational opportunity” to make a fortune.

This from Money Morning:

If there’s a proverb that captures the outlook for the U.S. economy in the New Year, it’s the one that says: “It’s always darkest before the dawn.”

Regardless of any formal announcement of whether or not the United States drops into an actual recession, the ongoing credit crisis guarantees a contraction of the American economy by virtually every measure we know. That period of darkness will be marked by a dramatic slowdown in economic activity, as well as by rising unemployment, additional declines in U.S. stock prices,

...
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American International Group Inc., Anthony Karydakis;, Bank Failures, bank loans, bank of england, Barack Obama, Central Banks, contrarian profits, Covered JP Morgan Chase & Co.;, Department of the Treasury, European Central Bank, Fannie Mae, Fdic, fed-funds, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Federal Reserve System, finance, Fortune, Freddie Mac, Gdp, GPS, J.C. Penny Co. Inc.;, JPMorgan Asset Management;, Kohl's Corp.;, London, mark-to-market accounting, Market Commentary, Moody's Investors Service, National Bureau of Economic Research, New Year's Day, new york fed, New York University's Stern School of Business, Nordstrom Group;, Oil, Real Estate, Retail Sales, Retail Sector, Shah Gilani, Stern School;, Target Corp, The Gap Inc., The Neiman Marcus Group Inc;, Timothy Geithner;, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics;, U.S. Bureau;, United States, US Commerce Department, Us Federal Reserve, Us Treasury, USD, Wal Mart Stores Inc

For the U.S. Economy in the New Year, the Pain Will Precede the Promise

Shah Gilani (November 10th, 2008) Writes:
If there’s a proverb that captures the outlook for the U.S. economy in the New Year, it’s the one that says: “It’s always darkest before the dawn.” Regardless of any formal announcement of whether or not the United States drops into an actual recession, the ongoing credit crisis guarantees a contraction of the American economy by virtually every measure we know. That period of darkness will be marked by a dramatic slowdown in economic activity, as well as by rising unemployment, additional declines in U.S. stock prices, and constant volatility. It could last as long as 12-18 months. But when the dawn does come, it will be one to remember. If U.S. President-elect Barack Obama gets it right – and I have every reason to believe that he will – then investors will be presented with the greatest investment ...
Tags for this Post:
American International Group Inc., Anthony Karydakis;, Bank Failures, bank loans, bank of america corp, bank of england, Barack Obama, Brands Inc., Central Banks, Chicago, China, Cnbc, Covered JP Morgan Chase & Co.;, Deutsche Bank Ag, direct-to-bank capital injections;, European Central Bank, Fannie Mae, Fdic, fed-funds, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Federal Reserve System, finance, Fortune, Freddie Mac, Gdp, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Hilton Hotels Corp;, Internet outlets, J.C. Penny Co. Inc.;, JP Morgan Chase, JPMorgan Asset Management;, Kohl's Corp.;, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc, London, mark-to-market accounting, Market Commentary, Merrill Lynch, Moody's Investors Service, Morgan Stanley, National Bureau of Economic Research, New Year's Day, New York, new york fed, New York Times, New York University's Stern School of Business, Oil, Peter D. Schiff's New York Times, political solution;, R. Shah Gilani, Real Estate, real estate collapse;, real estate cycle, Real Estate Prices, real estate realm;, Retail Sales, Retail Sector, Starwood Hotels, Stern School;, Target Corp, The Bear Stearns Cos., The Blackstone Group LP, The Gap Inc., The Neiman Marcus Group Inc;, The Nordstrom Group;, The Wall Street Journal, Timothy Geithner;, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics;, U.S. Bureau;, U.S. Treasury Department, United States, US Commerce Department, Us Federal Reserve, Us Treasury, USD, Wal Mart Stores Inc, wall street

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