Even the most conservative value funds have been whacked this year. But Keith Fitz-Gerald says following a value-investing discipline is the smartest thing to do right now. That’s where the big recovery gains will be. He gives five tips on how to seek out “real value” in the market.

This from Money Morning:

Value funds have long been viewed as conservative investments. So why are they down an average of 42% during the past 12 months, and what’s wrong with them?

No question, such numbers are scary, especially for large-cap value fund investors who have experienced that 42% drop. And the fact that some of the biggest names in value investing have taken such big beatings has to be especially disconcerting for investors who already have had their confidence badly shaken and their portfolios eviscerated.

Bill Miller’s once-vaunted Legg Mason Value Trust fund (LMVTX) has dropped 62%. Meanwhile,

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18 banks have gone under so far this year. But how do you know if yours will be next? Keith Fitz-Gerald says the IRA Bank Industry Stress Index can be used like a financial X-ray to see what’s really going on in the banking sector.

This from Money Morning:

When federal banking regulators last week seized the Houston-based Franklin Bank SSB (FBTX), it became the 18th bank failure this year amid the ongoing credit crisis. With total assets of $5.1 billion and total deposits of $3.7 billion, Franklin wasn’t the largest bank failure this year – that honor belongs to IndyMac Bancorp Inc. (OTC: IDMCQ), which had more than $30 billion in estimated assets when it was seized by U.S. banking regulators in July. At the time, IndyMac was also the third-largest bank failure in U.S. history, reaching all the way back to 1934, U.S.

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18 banks have gone under so far this year. But how do you know if yours will be next? Keith Fitz-Gerald says the IRA Bank Industry Stress Index can be used like a financial X-ray to see what’s really going on in the banking sector.

This from Money Morning:

When federal banking regulators last week seized the Houston-based Franklin Bank SSB (FBTX), it became the 18th bank failure this year amid the ongoing credit crisis. With total assets of $5.1 billion and total deposits of $3.7 billion, Franklin wasn’t the largest bank failure this year – that honor belongs to IndyMac Bancorp Inc. (OTC: IDMCQ), which had more than $30 billion in estimated assets when it was seized by U.S. banking regulators in July. At the time, IndyMac was also the third-largest bank failure in U.S. history, reaching all the way back to 1934, U.S.

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Throughout US history, the most dangerous time for stock markets has been when one party controls the White House and Congress, says Keith Fitz-Gerald. And when you account for inflation, it doesn’t really matter whether the Democrats or Republicans are in the driving seat.

This from Money Morning:

With the whipsaw trading we’ve seen of late, it appears that the U.S. financial markets are already chewing through the post-election honeymoon. I have to say that I, for one, am relieved that’s the case because it signals that the markets are already returning to normal.

I realize it may not feel that way, but there’s one very important thing to remember: We nearly always seem to receive the best news near, or at, market tops, and the worst news near, or at, market bottoms. Although that seems contradictory, it actually makes sense. And investors can take some solace in the fact that

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Throughout US history, the most dangerous time for stock markets has been when one party controls the White House and Congress, says Keith Fitz-Gerald. And when you account for inflation, it doesn’t really matter whether the Democrats or Republicans are in the driving seat.

This from Money Morning:

With the whipsaw trading we’ve seen of late, it appears that the U.S. financial markets are already chewing through the post-election honeymoon. I have to say that I, for one, am relieved that’s the case because it signals that the markets are already returning to normal.

I realize it may not feel that way, but there’s one very important thing to remember: We nearly always seem to receive the best news near, or at, market tops, and the worst news near, or at, market bottoms. Although that seems contradictory, it actually makes sense. And investors can take some solace in the fact that

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Keith Fitz-Gerald gives us a simple-yet-effective portfolio strategy for the current market environment. He says two essential components of any portfolio are dividind-paying stocks and specialized inverse etf funds.

More from Money Morning:

A properly structured and globally diversified portfolio using the 50-40-10 allocation model (50% “base-builder” foundation investments, 40% global growth and income plays and 10% “rocket rider” speculative investments that will perform well in a recovery) we recommend in The Money Map Report – our affiliated monthly investing newsletter – will prove to be an investor’s best friend. And the reasons for that are as simple as they are compelling:

First, a properly structured portfolio has built in safety brakes that keep us from making overly risky decisions. And second, while this allocation model was constructed to minimize our downside in markets ...

The half-trillion-dollar stimulus package that China unveiled on Sunday underscores that country’s growing importance to the global economy and shows Beijing’s willingness to assume a leadership role in the battle to blunt a widening worldwide financial crisis, a top expert on China said yesterday (Monday).

“China understands that it’s gaining importance in the world economy and that it’s going to participate in that process,” said Keith Fitz-Gerald, Money Morning’s investment director and a former professional trade advisor who’s spent more than two decades focusing on investment opportunities in China, Japan and the rest of the Asia region.

“Many experts will see this as just a ‘bailout’ that’s directed at Chinese infrastructure projects, Chinese technology companies and at holding the global financial crisis at bay” Fitz-Gerald said. “But the real message here is that Beijing is going to pull out all the stops to ensure that its economy does not

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Banking bailouts are nothing new. Starting with the “panic of 1792″, there have been many examples of government financial rescues. Keith Fitz-Gerald says the success of these past bailouts is mixed. And they nearly always cost far more than originally thought…

This from Money Morning:

Although the ongoing financial crisis has introduced a new word – bailout – into the lexicon of most investors, a quick tour of history shows us that these big-ticket financial rescue plans are actually nothing new.

And that raises the question: Do they work?

A look back at history shows us that – like most government initiatives – the answer is “it depends.” While some investors might find that reassuring, history also suggests that the final tab for a financial-crisis bailout will be well in excess of what it should cost to fix the problems the crisis actually caused.

A Look Back at Bailouts

Take for instance the very

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Banking bailouts are nothing new. Starting with the “panic of 1792″, there have been many examples of government financial rescues. Keith Fitz-Gerald says the success of these past bailouts is mixed. And they nearly always cost far more than originally thought…

This from Money Morning:

Although the ongoing financial crisis has introduced a new word – bailout – into the lexicon of most investors, a quick tour of history shows us that these big-ticket financial rescue plans are actually nothing new.

And that raises the question: Do they work?

A look back at history shows us that – like most government initiatives – the answer is “it depends.” While some investors might find that reassuring, history also suggests that the final tab for a financial-crisis bailout will be well in excess of what it should cost to fix the problems the crisis actually caused.

A Look Back at Bailouts

Take for instance the very

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HIDDEN VALUE

Dear Friend,

America votes today.

Early indicators suggest turnout will be huge. We reckon most people in those long lines will have plenty to think about.

“U.S. voters are heading to the polls with stock and bond markets mired in the worst slump in three decades,” reports Bloomberg.

“Pity the poor fellow who wins,” says my dad, Bill Bonner.

Yes, dear reader, it’s going to be a baptism of fire for the new president. By inauguration day, on January 20, the economy will surely be in an ‘official recession’ (two consecutive quarters of negative growth).

Out of interest, an ‘official’ depression requires five quarters in a row.

Of course, these technical definitions won’t matter much to businesses, workers or consumers. They already know this crisis is going to be painful.

“The real danger economically, socially or politically speaking in the 1930s was loads of young men without jobs,”

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