The post below is republished courtesy of Trader Mark, writer of the Fund My Mutual Fund blog (hat tip: Damien Hoffman of Wall St Cheat Sheet).

Societe Generale’s Albert Edwards is generally considered an uber bear, although there were times in the past year he has tactically increased exposure to equities to take advantage of oversold conditions. Now is not one of those times. In fact, Edwards chimes in with many similar thoughts we’ve posted on the fundamentals … but sticks his neck out calling for new lows in 2010.

While the belief from this blog writer is this will all end badly, knowing when and how will be the ultimate question. Without the massive intervention by central banks and governments we’d have a different landscape; and without knowing to what lengths these people will continue to go to, it’s much more difficult to predict the intermediate

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As the US strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) approaches capacity (721.5 million barrels filled out of a total possible 727 million, and will be filled by January 2010), the federal government will fade out of the oil-buying business. Some bearish traders believe that this factor can weigh in on prices, since most petroleum stocks in the United States are government-held rather than private. Bullish traders have also used the filling of the Chinese SPR as a reason that oil should go much higher.

The team at Casey’s Energy Opportunities believe that planned government buying or selling of crude oil for SPRs actually have very little impact in the overall market. However, an overall drawdown of worldwide inventory could put downward pressure on the price of oil. The various countries also have their particular reasons and influences in decisions to tap their reserves.

So which countries are executing preparedness plans to fill their strategic

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“I’m Brazilian. I have gold. And I’ve just arrived from Rio richer than anyone…” Thus sang one of the characters in an operetta by Jacques Offenbach. But that was in the mid-19 th century. But hey… what goes around…

Guess what happened last year? According to a study from Boston Consulting Group, the only area of the world that got richer last year was Latin America… led by Brazil!

The rest of the world got poorer. By 11%, according to BCG. Down in the rum and sun zone, on the other hand, they got 3% richer.

So maybe our investments in South and Central America will turn out all right after all.

Meanwhile, back in the developed world… what’s going on? There are two main schools of thought. Ours. And theirs.

Who’s right? You decide.

They say – the crisis is over. We can thank our lucky stars – and the feds.

Now, we’re getting back

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Recently, several incidents have been reported against exploding Apple Inc. (AAPL) iPhones and iPods. The incidents took place in certain European Union (EU) member states, prompting the European Commission to ask for clarification from manufacturer Apple. It appears that the overheated devices exploded before catching fire. In the recent past about three such iPhone explosion cases have been registered with the European Union, of which two occurred in France and one in United Kingdom. This iPhone explosion case has been preceded by a similar incident registered in Marseilles, France. Rapex, which is involved in the rapid exchange of information between the European commission and EU countries with respect to exchange of information on harmful consumer products, has not yet issued any report about the issue. Besides EU countries, the Japanese government has also told Apple to do an investigation regarding the iPod Nano’s catching fire....

Sellers back in control… China, FDIC, U.S. consumers trigger global sell-off… Chris Mayer examines a disturbing trend among American investors… Signs of the times: Bernanke frets over commercial real estate, Treasury to sell U.S. mortgages to China… Greg Guenthner with a Far East opportunity growing “at an astronomical rate”…

“Investing in this market is like trying to take cheese out of a set mousetrap,” Chris Mayer begins today. “It’s very tempting to make a grab, but you are also fairly certain about what will happen if you do. The market’s 50% rise from its March lows is stunning. It’s like the cheese in the trap. But we also know that no market moves up like that for long. The kill bar is never far from such rallies.”

Check out Asia early this morning… you can almost hear that bar whipping through the air:

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PennyOmega.com Stock Report!

PennyOmega.com Hot Stock News & Alerts!

 

Tuesday August 4, 2009

PennyOmega.com Stock Report!

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Vicor Corporation (NASDAQ: VICR) today reported its financial results for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2009. Revenues for the second quarter increased to $50,627,000, compared to $49,297,000 for the corresponding period a year ago and $50,448,000 for the first quarter of 2009. Gross margin increased to $22,598,000 for the second quarter of 2009, compared to $21,113,000 for the corresponding period a year ago and $21,831,000 for the first quarter of 2009. Gross margin, as a percentage of revenue, increased to 44.6% for the second quarter of 2009 compared to 42.8% for the second quarter of 2008, and

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Edward is already plugging this article by Daniel Gross over at Demography.Matters but I think it is important enough to deserve circulation here at Alpha.Sources too. Basically, Daniel gets to the heart of the matter in terms of Japan when he argues that one of the principal reasons that Japan is not rising is that it has failed to do the homework in the human capital department or as Gross phrases it; while Japan is still leading in engineering, this is not the case with respect to social engineering.

Japan still retains its lead in engineering. A showroom at Panasonic's headquarters displayed a heated, multifunction toilet seat that conserves energy. (Wouldn't leaving the seat cold conserve even more?) The sleek Shinkansen bullet trains roll up to their appointed spots on time. TKX, an 87-year-old Osaka-based company that makes abrasives, has adapted its expertise to cutting silicon ingots into wafers

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For two decades, the Japanese economy has been dead as a doornail – in spite of hefty Japanese consumer savings. Why?

Field Reporter: Are they slow-moving, chief?
Sheriff McClelland: Yeah, they’re dead. They’re all messed up.
– Night of the Living Dead (1968)

In B-grade horror movie lore, Tokyo has to fend off attacks from rampaging monsters like Mothra and Godzilla. If the cinema were more true-to-life, however, Japan would be less worried about overgrown fire-breathing lizards… and more terrified of zombies instead.

In response to a recent Taipan Daily asking what brought us out of the Great Depression, a number of you responded with a good question. “What about Japan?” Or rather, “What about Japan’s extraordinary rate of consumer savings – and why hasn’t it helped?”

After putting in a massive blowoff top to cap a truly insane 1980s bull market, Japanese stocks proceeded to head lower… for the next twenty years. The Nikkei is …

For two decades, the Japanese economy has been dead as a doornail – in spite of hefty Japanese consumer savings. Why?

Field Reporter: Are they slow-moving, chief? Sheriff McClelland: Yeah, they’re dead. They’re all messed up. – Night of the Living Dead (1968)

In B-grade horror movie lore, Tokyo has to fend off attacks from rampaging monsters like Mothra and Godzilla. If the cinema were more true-to-life, however, Japan would be less worried about overgrown fire-breathing lizards… and more terrified of zombies instead.

In response to a recent Taipan Daily asking what brought us out of the Great Depression, a number of you responded with a good question. “What about Japan?” Or rather, “What about Japan’s extraordinary rate of consumer savings – and why hasn’t it helped?”

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By Edward Hugh: Barcelonabr /br /blockquote"As long as excessive debt is not digested, both monetary and fiscal policies are inefficient. There is not much of an alternative. Either to let the economy collapse, in order to reduce debts, and then use fiscal policy to revive it, or inundate the insolvent economy with public credit, to avoid the collapse, and loose the ability of fiscal policy to pull it out of a prolonged lethargy. Either a horrible end or an endless horror."br /a href="http://blogs.ft.com/maverecon/2009/06/after-the-crisis-macro-imbalance-credibility-and-reserve-currency/"After the Crisis: Macro Imbalance, Credibility and Reserve-Currency/a: André Lara Resende/blockquotebr /Well, I think the title to this post makes my view on the high-profile shenanigans we are currently witnessing on the part of two widely respected contemporary intellectuals clear enough, even if Paul would probably respond that he is perfectly well able to take care of himself, thank you very much. Nonetheless, looking at the way the ...