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U.S. Dollar Vs. Euro: Expect A Turbulent Thursday

Raymond Teo (July 1st, 2008) Writes:
On Thursday, July 3, the European Central Bank is expected to raise interest rates by 0.25%. That same day, economists expect the U.S. jobs number (”nonfarm payrolls”) to show a 60,000 reduction. Question: How should the two events affect the U.S. dollar’s standing against other currencies? Well, in theory, when a central bank raises interest rates, it makes that country’s assets more attractive to foreign investors. And since the country’s assets are denominated in that country’s currency, it also becomes “more attractive” – i.e. it gains. A weak jobs report speaks for itself. So, come Thursday, the USD should get decimated. Will it? Possibly, but… If you’ve traded forex for a while, you’ve seen many instances when the market would react “illogically” to the news. What’s stopping Thursday from being one of those days? Forex markets often don’t behave as “fundamentals” suggest they should. That’s because what determines the trend ...

All Eyes Will be on the Fed as Investors Look for Signals on Both Inflation and Interest Rates

William Patalon (June 23rd, 2008) Writes:
By William Patalon III Executive Editor Money Morning/The Money Map Report The U.S. Federal Reserve will be in the spotlight again this week - and not because of those speaking engagements that seem to help whipsaw investor emotions. Tomorrow (Tuesday) and Wednesday, central bank Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will meet with his fellow policymakers on the interest-rate setting Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). After one of the most aggressive rate-cutting campaigns in its history - a stretch that’s seen the Fed pare its benchmark Federal Funds rate from 5.25% in mid-September all the way down to 2.0% today - most experts believe the central bank’s next move will be to take interest rates higher to blunt inflation. But few of these Fed-watchers are willing to predict that the increase will be made now, or even in August, although the interest-rate-futures market is ...

Treasuries Cracking! Rates Rising!

Mike Larson (May 30th, 2008) Writes:

Over the last several weeks, I’ve been steadily ratcheting up my warnings on the interest rate front. On April 25, I noted that the “Bond King” Bill Gross believed Treasuries were overvalued — and that he was aiming to profit from a decline in bond prices (and corresponding rise in yields). My message for you …
“Gross is betting on the same thing I’ve been warning you about for some time — that bond prices will fall and interest rates will rise. The market’s recent action suggests that’s just what we’re going to see.”
Then several days later, on May 9, I got even more explicit. I warned you right here that “The bond market is on the brink.” Specifically, I said …
“Bonds are right on the brink of a significant technical breakdown. An …

Do you have S$9k in your Medisave?

Wayne Koh (April 29th, 2008) Writes:

If you have, then you most probably have enough to last to pay for an “as-charged” private medical insurance plan (approved by Ministry of Health) til age 65. This is calculated on the following basis:-

a) that CPF interest rates for Medisave account remains about 4% p.a for the next few decades;
b) that premiums for the private medical insurance plans do not increase substantially as a result

All Eyes on the Fed this Week

Stockmasters Staff (April 28th, 2008) Writes:

Stockmasters, passing on this article about what to expect this week from the Fed, enjoy. Remember, whether the Fed cuts or not is somewhat meaningless at this point, it’s what they say that will turn the market up or down. If it looks like the economy is rebounding, then we’re off to the races.

Battling risky economic crosscurrents, the Federal Reserve is ready to bump down a key interest rate again to brace the wobbly economy. That rate cut could turn out to be the last one for a while as zooming energy and food prices heighten inflation concerns.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues are walking a tightrope. They are trying to shore up economic growth and at the same time they are mindful that they can’t let inflation get out of hand. It’s …


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