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Zacks Earnings Trends Highlights: Caterpillar, Eaton and Illinois Tool Works – Press Releases

Dirk Van Dijk (November 17th, 2009) Writes:

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – November 17, 2009 - Zacks Research Equity Strategist, Dirk Van Dijk says that S&P 500 earnings are continuing to show red ink. He tracks companies on the Zacks.com web site, naming names, while forecasting trends for the months ahead.

Great Earnings Season Coming to an End

It’s almost time to close the books on a fantastic earnings season. With over 90% of reports in, there have been 353 which have exceeded expectations while only 66 have fallen short, a ratio of 5.35. While it is true that most companies will normally try to under-promise and over-deliver, this quarter the beats are beating the misses by about twice the normal margin of 3:1.

Nor have all the surprises only been by a penny or two, but there have been lots of companies that simply crushed the earnings estimates. The median surprise is a very

...

Zacks Earnings Trends Highlights: Caterpillar, Eaton and Illinois Tool Works – Press Releases

Dirk Van Dijk (November 11th, 2009) Writes:

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – November 11, 2009 - Zacks Research Equity Strategist, Dirk Van Dijk says that S&P 500 earnings are continuing to show red ink. He tracks companies on the Zacks.com web site, naming names, while forecasting trends for the months ahead.

Earnings Season in Home Stretch

For a large sector, the revisions ratio of 9.07 for the Industrials is extremely impressive, and would seem to support the idea that the economy is gaining some real traction. More than five times as many firms in the sector saw their mean estimate for 2010 rise over the last month than suffered a decline in their expectations.

Some of the firms in the sector that have seen double-digit increases in both their mean estimate and double-digit numbers of estimate increases and have had no cuts over the last month include Caterpillar (CAT), Eaton (

...

Earnings Season in Home Stretch – Earnings Trends

Dirk Van Dijk (November 10th, 2009) Writes:
Key Points: •    Earnings Surprise Ratio (#beat/#miss) at 5.47, almost double normal •    Median Earnings Surprise  7.11%, very strong •    Year over year Earnings Growth Ratio (# Pos Growth/# Neg Growth) at 0.77 •    Sales Surprise Ratio at 1.37 •    Sales Growth Ratio at just 0.40 •    Total Net Income for S&P 500 reported so far is 11.6% below what those same 444 firms reported a year ago, 11.8% above what they earned in the 2Q09 •    Total S&P 500 Revenues reported so far down 13.4% year over year, up 2.0% from 2Q09 •    2009 Earnings Revisions ratio for full S&P 500 up to 3.05, up from 2.48 last week •    2010 ratio at 2.14, down slightly from 2.17 last week •    S&P500 expected to earn $570.6 billion in 2008, $706.8 billion in 2010 •    Bottom Up estimates:  $61.62 for 2009, $76.70 for 2010 •    Top Down estimates: $54.38 ...

Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Stanley Works, Black & Decker Corporation, Joy Global, Paccar and Illinois Tool Works – Press Releases

Zacks Market Commentaries (November 4th, 2009) Writes:

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – November 4, 2009 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: Stanley Works (SWK), Black & Decker Corporation (BDK), Joy Global (JOYG), Paccar (PCAR) and Illinois Tool Works (ITW).

Get the most recent insight from Zacks Equity Research with the free Profit from the Pros newsletter: http://at.zacks.com/?id=5513

Here are highlights from Tuesday’s AnalystBlog:

Stanley Works Acquires B&D

Stanley Works (SWK) and Black & Decker Corporation (BDK) have entered into a definitive merger agreement to create Stanley Black & Decker, an $8.4 billion global tool maker. The Board of Directors of both companies approved an all-stock transaction valued

...

The Shape of GDP – Analyst Blog

Dirk Van Dijk (November 3rd, 2009) Writes:
While last week GDP growth came in better than expected at 3.5%, which was a very welcome development, there was very little change in the coverall shape of GDP. This is a troubling development for the long term. GDP is the sum of spending by the Consumer, Private Investment, Government Spending and Net Exports. The Graph below shows the percentage each of them has contributed to overall GDP since 1947. The Consumer is still by far the dominate force in the economy, and it is becoming more so. In the 3Q, PCE, meaning the consumer, rose to 70.98% of GDP, up from 70.66% in the second quarter. That is an all-time record high. At the same time, private investment was virtually unchanged near an all-time low as a share of GDP at 11.04%, up from 11.03% in the 2Q. Government spending as a share of GDP ...

Stock Market News for September 10, 2009 – Market News

Zacks Market Commentaries (September 10th, 2009) Writes:

U.S. stocks jumped to their highest level in almost a year after Federal Reserve’s Beige Book survey said the economy is showing signs of stabilization.  Although shares closed off their session highs, the report was enough to lift sentiments on the Street.  However, the report did indicate that labor markets are weak and retail sales are not picking up.  Industrial shares rallied after Goldman Sachs raised its view on the U.S. multi-industry group, noting the industrial activity is picking up.  Treasuries made a partial comeback after the government’s 10-year note auction witnessed a strong response.

The greenback remained near its year lows against a basket of currencies while gold prices eased a little to settle at $995.30.  Crude prices were slightly up ahead of the September OPEC meeting.

The Dow Jones industrial average, which rose as much as 80 points earlier in the session, pared some gains to close

...

Company News for September 9, 2009 – Corporate Summary

Zacks Market Commentaries (September 9th, 2009) Writes:

• A JP Morgan (NYSE:JPM) estimated the adverse impact of possible regulatory reform may lower investment banks' long-term profitability by almost one-third, resulting in further job eliminations and bonus cuts. Hardest hit will be Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) and Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), according to the report

• Talbots (NYSE:TLB) reported an adjusted fiscal second quarter loss of 33 cents a share, versus estimates of a 52 cents per share loss on revenues of $304.6 million, versus estimates of $309.34 million.  The firm said it sees third quarter losses of 24-30 cents a share, ex-items

• JP Morgan (NYSE:JPM) upgraded UPS (NYSE:UPS) to "overweight" from "neutral" and raised the price target on the firm to $70 from $57

• Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) downgraded DuPont (NYSE:DD) on valuation concerns with a price target of $32

• Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) upped Illinois Tool Works (NYSE:ITW) and added the firm to its Conviction Buy List with a $55 price

...

Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Illinois Tool Works, Honeywell, Ingersoll Rand, American International Group and Citigroup. – Press Releases

Zacks Market Commentaries (June 17th, 2009) Writes:
For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL - June 17, 2009 - Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: Illinois Tool Works (ITW), Honeywell (HON), Ingersoll Rand (IR), American International Group (AIG) and Citigroup (C).

Get the most recent insight from Zacks Equity Research with the free Profit from the Pros newsletter: http://at.zacks.com/?id=5513

Here are highlights from Tuesday's Analyst Blog:

Slack in the Industrials System

If one digs deeper and looks at Capacity Utilization (CU) by stage of production, it fell at all three levels. There is the least slack in the system at the Crude level at 77.7%, but it was down from 78.5% in

...

Slack in the Industrials System – Analyst Blog

Dirk Van Dijk (June 16th, 2009) Writes:
No Green Shoots in Industrial ProductionThe Fed's report on Industrial Production (IP) and Capacity Utilization (CU) was downright dismal. CU is a particularly important thing to look at since as the chart below shows (from http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/) it almost always turns up right at the point that the NBER eventually decides is the end of a recession. Furthermore, it does not tend to provide a lot of false signals.Total capacity utilization fell to yet another record low (records go back to 1967) of 68.3%. Before this downturn, the worst the country had ever seen was 70.9% in December 1982. This was down from 60.0% in April and 69.4% in March, so the rate of decline actually accelerated in May. Thus, one cannot even make a second derivative argument that things are getting better (or worse at a slower pace). The average utilization between 1972 and 2008 ...

Smart Money Betting on Heavy Machinery Stocks Gaining in 2009

Investment U (June 9th, 2009) Writes:

Smart Money Betting on Heavy Machinery Stocks Gaining in 2009

Joe Kunkle, The Investment U Research Team

One of the greatest assets you can have as a trader or investor is having the ability to spot trends, and use that information to draw conclusions about what will occur in the future.

I have long used the options market as a way of watching where the “smart money” is making bets. It has allowed me to foresee the collapse of financial stocks and the re-emergence of oil and commodity related stocks.

And from the signals I’m seeing, we may be on the verge of another big move.

Over the past few weeks, large volume bullish option trades have been indicating the expectation for a major recovery in heavy machinery stocks for the third quarter of 2009.

But we can’t really understand the significance of these

...

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