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Democracy Lessons in Yaroslavl

Robert Amsterdam (September 15th, 2009) Writes:
medved091509.jpgFollowing the publishing of President Dmitry Medvedev's extended liberal thought piece, which at least one commentator said may as well have been penned by Mikhail Khodorkovsky, the Kremlin convened a conference yesterday in Yaroslavl entitled "The Modern State and Global Security."According to the Reuters report, attendees from the state-approved opposition (Zhirinovsky can come, but Nemtsov can forget about it) spent the time discussing the social compassion of Joseph Stalin, berating American democracy, while a visiting Chinese scholar denounced the evils of separatism (hard to know if this was a shot at Russia's conduct in Georgia).  Even with the Prime Minister of Spain in attendence, the sideshows attracted the most attention.  The salient message to take home ...

Pikalyovo and the Reverse Connection

Robert Amsterdam (September 7th, 2009) Writes:
Andrew Wilson of the European Council on Foreign Relations has a piece on Transitions Online which takes a look at some opinions of Gleb Pavlovsky and Yevgeny Gontmahker to debate what the Pikalyovo incident did and did not teach us about politics in Russia.Pikalyovo was also an attempt to address the inefficiencies in Putin's authoritarian project by creating what Russians call obratnaya sviaz ("reverse connection"). The system works, but only just. Russia still needs a modernization project, albeit not the "prosperity project," backed by good finances and sound macroeconomics, which the Putin-Medvedev tandem was originally supposed to implement. Not only will Russia have to proceed with fewer resources, it will have to tackle the flip side of a stronger state, what even Pavlovsky calls "severe monopolism in all social spheres," not just in government and the economy, but in the mass media and in society at ...

Respecting Russia vs. Loving Russia

Robert Amsterdam (May 22nd, 2009) Writes:
respecting052409.jpg

One of the oldest tricks in the authoritarian playbook is the subtle theft of the people's sovereignty, grafting the rights of citizens onto a regime of personal power. Cuba's Fidel Castro was and is the grandmaster of this tactic - firmly uniting himself, his name, his family, and his Revolution, and the country.  If you go against Fidel, this means you are going against the Revolution and against the national interests.  It's all inseparable, you see?  There's no shortage of contemporary examples, ranging from the rhetorical artistry of Hugo Chavez to the skillful disaggregation of African opposition by Robert Mugabe.

It's the same in Russia.  Whenever someone criticizes Vladimir Putin, the party, the siloviki, or government policy, this individual is instantly cast as a deranged "anti-Russian" whose hate

...

RA’s Daily Russian News Blast – May 19, 2009

Robert Amsterdam (May 19th, 2009) Writes:
5_2.jpgTODAY: Attempts to rescue Georgia security talks following Russia and South Ossetia walkout; compulsory income declarations extended; redefining US-Russia nuclear ties; Medvedev aide launches thinly-veiled attack on PutinRussia and South Ossetia have followed the lead of Abkhazia, and walked out of the security talks between Russia and Georgia, claiming that they await a crucial document.  Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Grigory Karasin reportedly said following Abkhazia's departure, 'to discuss serious questions about security without one of the parties would be a doomed exercise'.  Russia may return to talks if the crucial document is delivered.  The EU, UN, and OSCE have expressed regret at the walkout.  According to Ria-Novosti, the delayed draft report has now been submitted and is being examined by Russia.  The ...

Defense Policy and the Russian Stock Market

Robert Amsterdam (October 12th, 2008) Writes:
Someone from Renaissance believes that more Washington decides to play around in Georgia and the Ukraine, the worse the Russian stock market will perform. To us, that seems to be a clear demonstration of a transparency problem. Marina Akopian, a partner at London-based emerging markets boutique Hexam Capital (a joint venture with Resolution Asset Management) says: 'Prices bear little or no relation to results, with sellers getting rid indiscriminately of winners and losers.' She cites potash producer UralKali, whose share price is down some 70 per cent over three months despite first-half revenue growth of 114 per cent and net income up 261 per cent year on year. 'The plunge would not have been so steep had the government done some more explaining,' says Igor Yurgens, head of government relations at Renaissance Capital, Russia's largest privately owned investment bank. 'It needs to be more open about its medium and long-term ...

Russia’s Crisis Gathers Momentum

Edward Hugh (October 7th, 2008) Writes:
Russia's government plans to lend the country's biggest banks 950 billion rubles ($36 billion) for at least five years in an attempt to unfreeze credit markets, according to a new plan announced by President Dmitry Medvedev this morning. State-run OAO Sberbank and VTB Group, will get 500 billion rubles and 200 billion rubles respectively.Some 450 billion roubles ($17.19 billion) of the 950 billion rouble subordinate loans package for banks will come from one of the National Wealth Funds according to Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin said on Tuesday. Russia's two oil wealth funds totalled $189.7 billion as of Oct. 1.The Russian authorities, who are currently grappling with the worst financial crisis since the government's debt default in 1998, have already pledged more than $150 billion for banks and companies through loans and tax benefits (see details in this post here). Stocks rose ...

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