Article Source Some thoughts about the role played by the GSEs in the run-up in mortgage debt and house prices. Paul Krugman ably lays out the case for why it's conceivable that Fannie and Freddie could have made a contribution: Here's the background: Fannie Mae-- the Federal National Mortgage Association-- was created in the 1930s to facilitate homeownership by buying mortgages from banks, freeing up cash that could be used to make new loans. Fannie and Freddie Mac, which does pretty much the same thing, now finance most of the home loans being made in America. The case against Fannie and Freddie begins with their peculiar status: although they're private companies with stockholders and profits, they're "government-sponsored enterprises" established by federal law, which means that they receive special privileges. The most important of these privileges is implicit: it's the belief of investors that if Fannie and Freddie are threatened with failure, ...

Source This morning we were pleased to welcome Janet Yellen, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, to our UCSD Economics Roundtable. She focused on three main challenges: the housing slump, financial market turmoil, and commodity prices, which she likened to the three witches from Macbeth. Her complete speech is available from the FRB SFO Here are some excerpts. Janet Yellen (photo courtesy of FRB SFO). Housing. Unfortunately, it appears to me that there are at least three reasons for thinking that housing prices have further to fall. First, the ratio of house prices to rents-- a kind of price-dividend ratio for housing-- still remains quite high by historical standards.... Second, inventories of unsold homes remain at elevated levels.... Third, the futures market for house prices predicts further declines in a number of metropolitan areas this year.... Financial markets. ...

If our report of earlier in the week wasn’t bad enough about the British economy, more figures have come to light that suggest it’s almost in free fall, so rapid is the downturn. It’s a slump that is being repeated in more and more of Europe. The Irish economy is moving closer to recession, and now economists say that Denmark, Portugal, Italy and Spain are hovering on the brink as the European Central Bank prepares to lift rates tonight (our time) by 0.25% to 4.25%. That rate decision could very well change the dynamics of markets here, in Europe, the US and Asia. A rate of 4.25% from the ECB, compared to 2% from the US fed, has the potential to cause more damage to the US dollar, drive commodity prices even higher, especially oil, and further boost inflation. Commodity prices moved up sharply overnight with oil above $US144 a barrel, copper hitting a ...

The UK housing sector, already best by plunging demand and prices, has been hit with a potential body blow which could tip the economy into a deep recession. Taylor Wimpey, the country’s biggest home owner, has shocked the UK market and observers with the news that it has failed to agree a deal with potential new investors, forcing the stricken house builder to admit on Wednesday that it could breach banking covenants if the housing market does not recover. Coming with the news of poor sales figures for big retailer, Marks & Spencer, the Taylor Wimpey news will undermine investor confidence across the board. The company had been looking for around 500 million pounds ($A1 billion) in new capital from existing big and new shareholders, and had promised to write down the value of its land bank in Britain, Spain and other countries by around 660 million pounds (around $A1.4 billion). The write-down ...