Article Source: Nonresidential investment has been increasing until 2008Q1, at which time it essentially stalled (-0.2 ppts. annualized in log terms). On the basis of past historical correlations, what's in store? Figure 1: Four quarter growth rate in nonresidential investment (blue) and residential investment (red) lagged one year, calculated as four quarter log difference. Source: BEA GDP release of 29 May 2008, NBER, and author's calculations.Figure 1 depicts the time series for year-on-year nonresidential investment growth, and residential investment growth lagged four quarters. There's an obvious correlation, but clearly it's not a particularly strong one. There are periods where business fixed investment levitates above residential growth, such as the latter part of the 1980s (due to the dollar's depreciation), and during the 1990s, as well as the most recent few quarters. The relationship ...

I received a good question from our support forum that I want to repeat here. It's a simple request about how to model a pattern that this customer wants to see in the market.Question: Stocks Taking a BreatherWhat filters or alerts can I use to finds stocks that are, "taking a breather"?I.e. it is in a daily uptrend, but volume slows and price drops; OR, it is in adaily downtrend, but volume slows and price rises slightly.Tip: Understand the Left and Right Side of the ChartHere's a modeling tip. When I start out modeling an idea or pattern I want all my stocks to exhibit, I start with the filters. The filters in Trade-Ideas are great for describing the left hand side of the chart - i.e., everything that's happened leading up to today or this minute (depending on what ...