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Kimberly Clark Corp. Offers a Strong Defensive Position and a Generous Dividend Yield

Contrarian Profits (September 21st, 2009) Writes:

In the last few months we have seen a very strong stock market rally. The market has recovered from highly distressed levels and posted exorbitant gains.  In addition the “wall of money” from the U.S. Federal Reserve has pushed risk-prone investors back into the market, pushing its general level up. 

You see, the massive fiscal stimuli and ultra-easy money from the Fed does indeed have real effects on the economy.  Whether you want to call them artificial or real, the stimuli have moved and will continue to move profits, until it is withdrawn.  And the timing of the deployment of the fiscal and monetary stimuli, the timing of its positive effects and the timing of its eventual removal are uncertain.

In addition, we have many short-term uncertainties. The upcoming Group of 20 (G20) meeting has potentially important ramifications for the global financial system and for global currencies. We also will get more

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Intel Corp. (Nasdaq: INTC) Is Poised to Top Estimates Over the Next Two Quarters

Contrarian Profits (September 8th, 2009) Writes:

Intel Corp. (Nasdaq: INTC) is a cyclical company.  That is, its stock does extremely well when the economy is ready to accelerate, and does poorly when the economy decelerates.  So it’s no wonder that last year the stock fell more than 50% from the record-high of $27.78 a share it reached December 2007. However, the company has rallied more than 50% from its Feb. 23 low of $12.08 a share. It closed Friday at $19.64. So, what’s next?

For starters, Intel beat second-quarter earnings estimates by 10 cents a share, as its revenue climbed 12% year-over-year to $8 billion.  Beating earnings estimates is important, but beating on the top line and showing sales growth is even more important in a recession. The reason: It shows that you can do well in spite of a weak economy.

Like most chip stocks, Intel is an economic leading indicator of sorts –

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Buy, Sell or Hold: Why NRG Energy Inc. (NYSE: NRG) is the Energy Sector’s “Triple-Threat” Profit Play

Horatio Marquez (August 31st, 2009) Writes:

China is Investing Billions in Renewable Energy One firm has already built China’s largest wind turbine manufacturing factory. And it’s working with the Chinese Science Academy to develop new wind, solar, and geothermal technologies… for which it will own 70% of the rights. But this company’s business reaches far beyond the Chinese border, with operations in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa and Eastern Europe. It’s first quarter net income increased by 294% over a year ago. Click here for the full report.

If NRG Energy Inc. (NYSE: NRG) were an athletic prospect, scouts would rate it as a “triple threat.” That’s because the Princeton-based wholesale power generator is involved in all three of the key energy sources of the future: Solar, wind and nuclear.

And that’s only part of the reason I like this stock.

Growing profit margins and earnings momentum add to the energy company’s appeal – …

With One of the Hottest Economies on the Planet Brazil is Finally Living Up to Its Promise

Jason Simpkins (August 12th, 2009) Writes:

“First Ounce Bounce” Set to Pay 1,100% Government filing NI 43-101 is mandatory in Canada. It shows the proven reserves of any company intending to mine gold. The latest filing from a small renegade company we’ve just uncovered lists their reserves at an astounding 10.1 million ounces. It’s the biggest gold strike in Canadian history – and one of the biggest in the world. Yet few investors have seen or heard of NI 43-101 yet. Getting in before the “first ounce bounce” – when the first ounce comes out of the ground – is likely to yield an initial return of 1,100%. Go here for the full report.

Brazilians used to joke that their country was the country of the future – and always would be because a new crisis seemed to crop up every time the economy came close to fulfilling its potential.

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Buy, Sell or Hold: Will PepsiCo Inc.’s (NYSE: PEP) Recent Acquisitions Pay Off?

Contrarian Profits (August 10th, 2009) Writes:

Since I recommended PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE: PEP) on Oct. 20, the stock has greatly outperformed the market, up about 10%. 

However, the stock has underperformed since the market began its rebound on March 10. And since the end of March, Pepsi’s shares have lagged those of arch rival, The Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE: KO), since the end of March, as well.  I recommended Coca Cola last week after the company reported stellar growth in the emerging markets.

While Pepsi’s less-than-stellar performance is not yet a major concern, the trend is discomforting.  In addition, there has been a major divergence in the strategies of these two companies.

While both Coke and Pepsi divested of their bottling operations many years ago, Pepsi just agreed to buy back two of them: Pepsi Bottling Group Inc. (NYSE: PBG) and

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Buy, Sell or Hold: Will PepsiCo Inc.’s (NYSE: PEP) Recent Acquisitions Pay Off?

Contrarian Profits (August 10th, 2009) Writes:

Since I recommended PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE: PEP) on Oct. 20, the stock has greatly outperformed the market, up about 10%. 

However, the stock has underperformed since the market began its rebound on March 10. And since the end of March, Pepsi’s shares have lagged those of arch rival, The Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE: KO), since the end of March, as well.  I recommended Coca Cola last week after the company reported stellar growth in the emerging markets.

While Pepsi’s less-than-stellar performance is not yet a major concern, the trend is discomforting.  In addition, there has been a major divergence in the strategies of these two companies.

While both Coke and Pepsi divested of their bottling operations many years ago, Pepsi just agreed to buy back two of them: Pepsi Bottling Group Inc. (NYSE: PBG) and

...

Buy, Sell or Hold: The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO) Continues to Deliver Knockout Profits

Contrarian Profits (August 3rd, 2009) Writes:

Back on Feb. 17, as the market was on sell-off mode, I recommended buying The Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE: KO). The stock is up some 16% from our entry point.  That’s because Coca-Cola recently reported a near-20% jump in profit, which soared to 67 cents a share, excluding restructuring charges.

Coca-Cola beat earnings, increased guidance, increased dividends and reinstated its stock buyback program.  The company plans to repurchase $1 billion in shares of stock in the second half of 2009.  What more do we need?  The answer is: Consistent performance.

As I tracked the developments in Coca Cola and their global markets, I ascertained that my original view remains unchanged and Coca Cola should keep growing profits consistently, which should keep propelling its stock up.

Remember, on March 9, a few of weeks after our Coca Cola recommendation, I called the U.S. market turn by recommending a pro-cyclical energy play with Diamond Offshore

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Buy, Sell or Hold: Capitalize on Resurgent Commodities Prices with the Market Vectors Steel (NYSE: SLX)

Contrarian Profits (July 20th, 2009) Writes:

With the market very near critical support levels, critical earnings reports on the docket, and inflation and employment data set for release, it was more prudent last week to keep the powder dry. But the market surprised to the upside, as key companies reported better than expectations.

Participation in fixed income issuance and trading, gave investment banks buoyancy.  But JP Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) actuallyconfirmed two of the three fears that I outlined last Monday:  A bleak commercial real estate outlook – which will have little consequence for the bank given its limited exposure in this area – and a spike in credit card delinquencies.

The third fear I had, the rise in residential foreclosures, was confirmed by a report from RealtyTrac that said foreclosure filings in the United States jumped to a record 1.9 million in the first half of 2009.

Of course, there

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The iShares Barclays TIPS Bond Fund is a Good Way to Brace for Imminent Inflation

Contrarian Profits (July 6th, 2009) Writes:

It is high time for our political leaders to make some key decisions.  And that translates into large uncertainties for investors that have held the market in a range and with low volume. We do not know whether “Cap and Trade” legislation will pass the Senate and we do not know whether and any healthcare bill will pass through Congress, or what that bill might entail.  And these two issues are paramount for the future of America.  

As we discussed earlier, cap and trade could cause incremental costs in energy for all of the United States, particularly in all carbon-based generation of electricity.  Increasing these costs will make carbon-based energy less competitive with alternative sources, like solar and nuclear.  The benefits of this legislation will be less carbon emissions, cleaner air, less dependence on imported oil and the creation of new jobs in the alternative

...

Buy, Sell or Hold: Time to Take Profits on Diamond Offshore Drilling (NYSE: DO)

Contrarian Profits (June 15th, 2009) Writes:

On Monday March 9, barely three months ago, I strongly recommended buying Diamond Offshore (NYSE: DO) as part of Money Morning’s “Buy, Sell, or Hold” feature.  Both the stock and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index had both hit 52-week lows the Friday before.  But oil had already bottomed three weeks prior, and the lax fiscal and monetary policies of governments around the world seemed almost certain to promote reflation.

Additionally, since the earlier oil bottom, Diamond Offshore stock had been outperforming the market.

Diamond not only had compelling fundamentals, it sported an incredibly high dividend yield, particularly if you combined both the regular and the special dividend payouts. That made the stock a compelling buy.

Not only has Diamond Offshore’s stock turned around since that early-March recommendation, the U.S. stock market as a whole turned around.

Making an investment at a market bottom is a rare opportunity. It

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