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Hess Beats, Volumes Up – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (October 29th, 2009) Writes:
Hess Corp. (HES) reported third-quarter earnings of 74 cents per diluted share, easily beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 54 cents. However, the result was much lower than the year-ago earnings of $2.37. Before adjusting for one-time items, the company posted earnings per share of $1.05.  The Exploration and Production (E&P) segment posted a $397 million profit in the quarter, compared to $699 million in the year-earlier quarter. Results were negatively impacted by significant declines in commodity prices and other incremental costs.  Quarterly crude oil and natural gas production, on an oil equivalent barrel basis, was 420,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBOE/d) - 74% liquids and 26% natural gas - up more than 16% year-over-year and more than 3% sequentially.  Worldwide crude oil realization per barrel during the quarter was $56.07 (including the impact of hedging), up 14% sequentially, but down approximately 40% ...

EIA: Fuel Supplies Fall Further – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (October 23rd, 2009) Writes:
Recently, the federal government’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) issued an overall bullish report, showing a smaller-than-expected build in crude stockpiles. Further, the data showed that gasoline inventories were down as predicted, while distillate stocks also declined, though fell short of expectations. In its release, the agency said that crude inventories rose by 1.3 million barrels for the week ending October 16, much lower than analysts' expectations. This is the second successive week in which the crude buildup has been lower than originally anticipated. A major contributing factor to the modest increase can be attributed to a fall in crude oil imports, which dropped to the lowest level in two months. Current crude oil stocks, at 339.1 million barrels, are 8.9% above the year-earlier level and remain above the upper limit of the average for this time of the year (depicted in the first EIA chart below). The ...

EIA: Big Drop in Fuel Stocks – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (October 16th, 2009) Writes:
Yesterday, the U.S. Energy Department's weekly inventory release showed a less-than-expected build in crude stockpiles. However, the headline news was centered on a sharp drop in gasoline stocks and refinery utilization that pushed oil prices to a fresh 2009 peak and lifted energy stocks. The federal government’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a 400,000 barrels rise in crude inventories for the week ending October 9, much less than analyst expectations. The modest increase can be attributed to scaled back operations by the refiners (prompted by weak profit margins) even as imports fell. This follows last week’s report, which showed an unexpected rise in oil supply figures, against consensus forecast of a buildup. Current crude oil stocks, at 337.8 million barrels, are 9.6% above the year-earlier level and remain above the upper limit of the average for this time of the year (depicted in the first EIA chart ...

U.S. Crude Supplies Dip Sharply – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (September 11th, 2009) Writes:
Yesterday, we got a bullish report from the federal government’s Energy Information Administration (EIA), showing a surprise decline in crude stockpiles. However, the data also showed a buildup in gasoline and distillate inventories, thereby somewhat neutralizing the positive impact. In its weekly release, the agency reported a much bigger-than-expected 5.9 million barrels drop in crude inventories for the week ending September 4, as imports fell and refiners raised demand. This follows last week’s release, which also reported crude drawdown but were below expectations. Current crude oil stocks, at 337.5 million barrels, are 13.3% above the year-earlier level and remain above the upper limit of the average for this time of the year (depicted in the first EIA chart below). The supply cover decreased from 23.6 days in the previous week to 22.9 days of supply, but it remains above the year-earlier level of 20.3 days.  ...

EIA Inventory Data Mixed – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (September 3rd, 2009) Writes:
Yesterday, the federal government’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported mixed inventory data. The crude drawdown was below expectations and distillate stocks were up more than anticipated. On the positive side, gasoline supplies dropped steeply and total U.S. oil demand over the last four-week period turned positive after a long time. In its weekly release, the agency reported a lower-than-expected 372,000 barrels drop in crude oil stockpiles for the week ending August 28, as a jump in imports offset a rise in petroleum demand. This follows last week’s report, which showed an unexpected rise in oil supply figures, missing estimates of a drop. Current crude oil stocks, at 343.4 million barrels, are 13.0% above the year-earlier level and remain above the upper limit of the average for this time of the year (depicted in the first EIA chart below). The supply cover decreased marginally from 23.8 days in ...

Crude Inventories Rise Again – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (August 27th, 2009) Writes:
Yesterday, we got a bearish report from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), with crude oil stockpiles showing an unexpected rise. In its weekly release, the agency said that crude inventories rose 128,000 barrels from the preceding week, far off estimates that hoped for another drawdown, following last week’s encouraging data. Major contributing factors to the inventory buildup were a rise in domestic production and crude oil imports. Current crude oil stocks, at 343.8 million barrels, are 12.4% above the year-earlier level and remain above the upper limit of the average for this time of the year (depicted in the first EIA chart below). The supply cover increased marginally from 23.7 days in the previous week to 23.8 days of supply and remains significantly above the year-earlier level of 20.5 days. Gasoline stocks were down 1.7 million week over week, better than expectations ...

Biggest S&P Est Increases – Analyst Blog

Dirk Van Dijk (August 11th, 2009) Writes:
When you invest in a stock, one of the best things you can see is analysts raising their expectations about what the company is going to earn for the current fiscal year. There are several ways of measuring this, but the following is a list of the companies with the biggest increases in their consensus earnings expectations for this year over the last month.

To make the list, a company had to have a current mean (average) estimate of over 50 cents, be a member of the S&P 500 and have at least three estimates for this year. The 50-cent restriction was put in to prevent small dollar changes that are huge percentage moves from dominating the list (going from a penny expected to a nickel). Having 3 or more estimates also helps insure it was not a fluke. The S&P 500 restriction was put in to make sure we

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Oil Stocks Under Pressure…How to Play the Move

Contrarian Profits (August 3rd, 2009) Writes:

Since the stock market bottomed out in March, the Nasdaq 100 index has led the way forward, with a 55% rally, with the Dow and S&P 500 not far behind.

As the standout index (based on a percentage retracement off the March lows), the Nasdaq 100 is the most important one to focus on here. The weekly chart below reveals that it’s clawed back around 50% of its losses since late 2007.

Correction Coming

The late 2007 sell-off and subsequent rally looks like a classic 5-wave Elliott Wave Theory move, with the current rally perhaps being the fourth wave of a 5-wave downside move.

If that’s the case, the Nasdaq 100 shouldn’t close much above the trendline before the fifth wave to the downside begins. At this point, with all

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Hess Corp. (NYSE:HES): Upgraded to Overweight with a $75 target – Barclays

Notable Calls (July 7th, 2009) Writes:
div style="text-align: justify;"Barclays is out with an interesting call on span style="font-weight: bold;"Hess Corp. (NYSE:HES)/span upgrading the shares to Overweight from Equal weight and maintaining their $75 price target.br /br /According to the analyst the upgrade comes following recent sharp underperformance. As one of the most oil-levered producers within their research universe, they believe Hess is well positioned to benefit from a rising oil price environment while offering a significant exploration potential upside with no sizable upfront premium.br /br /Firm notes that although they have long been intrigued by the company’s vast long-term resource potential in Brazil, Ghana, Libya, and Australia, they were uncomfortable about the shares’ valuation. They believed the market had prematurely awarded too much premium for its exploration potential and ignored the unavoidable underlying risks associated with such a concentrated high-interest/high-impact drilling program span style="font-weight: bold;"(dry hole is the norm, not the exception, in the Eamp;P business. ...

Is Brazil the New Saudi Arabia?

Contrarian Profits (March 18th, 2009) Writes:

With Exxon Mobil Corp.’s (XOM) new oil discovery off the coast of Brazil - the latest in a series of such offshore finds and potentially the largest Western Hemisphere discovery in three - the South American nation has taken another giant step in its quest to become a global energy superpower.

Exxon’s Azulao-1 well tapped a reservoir that reportedly contains as much as 8 billion barrels of recoverable oil, says Luiz Lemos, a partner at TozziniFreire Advogados, a Brazilian law firm that represents foreign energy companies.

“This is very huge,” Lemos told Bloomberg News.

So is the potential benefit for Brazil. If Lemos’ estimate is accurate, this new Azulao find will rival the nearby Tupi oil field as the largest discovery on this side of the planet since Mexico’s Cantarell field was discovered in 1976.

Lemos’ estimate is unconfirmed, but Exxon Mobil Chief Executive Officer Rex

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Tags for this Post:
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