South Africa ends recession
Prieur du Plessis (November 25th, 2009) Writes:
By Cees Bruggemans, Chief Economist FNB
After three quarters of negative growth, the South African economy grew by 0.9% annualized during 3Q2009, better than the consensus expectation of +0.5%.
Some 55% of economic sectors (by GDP weight) drove the growth, led by manufacturing +7.6%, electricity +4%, construction +6%, government +5%, personal services +1.5% and communication +1% (quarterly annualized).
The remaining 45% of sectors (by weight) kept growth down with their ongoing declines, led by agriculture -9.8%, mining -5.8%, retail, wholesale and motor -1% and finance -1.5% (quarterly annualized).
Due to rebasing of surveys (using 2005 rather than 2000) and new estimates, some of the historic data changed, though not shockingly.
The recession turned out to have been deeper, with GDP falling 7.4% annualized in 1Q2009. Then again the preceding boom turned out to have been better than ever imagined, with 2005-2008 on average adding 0.4% to their annual growth
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