If seeing is believing, natural resources and infrastructure opportunities abound in Brazil. The above photo was snapped by our global strategist Jack Dzierwa at Satilde;o Paulorsquo;s Guarulhos International Airport as he spent hours trying to board a domestic flight to Rio de Janeiro. Not surprisingly, he didnrsquo;t make the flight. Jack has traveled extensively around the world, and he says hersquo;s never seen anything like the hectic scene at Guarulhos, which just canrsquo;t service the rapidly growing number of Brazilians who can now afford to travel by air. Scenes like this are important for investment managers to experience in order to grasp the significance of whatrsquo;s taking place in emerging countries like Brazil. You just canrsquo;t get the full flavor of the chaos at Guarulhos from an economic data spreadsheet or a research report. Jack traveled to Brazil to collect some insight on the countryrsquo;s infrastructure development and the best prospects for investment. His ...

This analysis is from Evan Smith and Brian Hicks, co-managers of the Global Resources Fund (PSPFX). Oil prices have bounced more than 150 percent off of December 2008 lows but inventory levels remain at historically high levels despite a healing global economy. However, Goldman Sachs says robust 2010 oil demand growth will deplete these inventories over the next 12-to-18 months and diminishing production rates in key areas around the world will create a supply/demand imbalance. The above chart shows the decline in production from the worldrsquo;s top 230 projects. After peaking in 2009, production from these projects is set to fall for the next several years. Excluding OPEC countries (right chart), the decline rates quadruple from 2007 to 2012 (est). Over that time period, non-OPEC production is expected to fall by 2.5 million barrels per day. Only Brazil, Canada and the former countries of the Soviet Union are expected to see production growth. One of ...

Brian Hicks, co-manager of our Global Resources Fund (PSPFX), is in London this week for the London Metal Exchangersquo;s 2009 Metals Seminar, which kicked off the annual LME Week gathering of leading commodities analysts from around the world. Here are Brianrsquo;s notes from the seminar: Danny Quah, professor at the London School of Economics, gave a compelling presentation that centered on China and the global recovery.nbsp; His main theme focused on the global economys shifting center of gravity, which has been steadily moving eastward to China over the past decade.nbsp;nbsp; He also mentioned that China isnt dependent upon U.S. consumption to create growth ndash; that notion is an old paradigm from the 1970s. Exports to the U.S. only make up approximately 15 percent of total exports, versus the 40 percent of total exports going to Southeast Asia.nbsp; Michael Jansen, director of commodities at JP Morgan, is one of a few who see ...

Evan Smith, co-manager of the Global Resources Fund (PSPFX), appeared on Bloomberg News today to discuss his outlook for natural gas with host Mark Crumpton. Evan explained what concerns are giving him pause. The commercial and industrial component of natural gas demand is still trending down roughly 12 percent year-on-year. Thatrsquo;s at a time when wersquo;ve had a pretty big response over the past year in reducing natural gas production. That being said wersquo;re 23 percent above where we were a year ago for storage levels. A lot of gas is in storage but wersquo;re coming up on the end of the storage season. I think very near term wersquo;re going to see some volatility, maybe lower gas prices but if you look past the next several weeks or maybe even month or so, Irsquo;m actually quite constructive on natural gas once we get beyond this weak period and things ...