After being the largest hedge fund strategy in 1990 representing 71% of the overall hedge fund assets global macro has shrunk and now only represents about 15% of total assets.  While most people assume that this dropoff in assets was due to poor performance the numbers actually show a totally different story.  In fact according to the Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Indexes, global macro has been the number one investment strategy with a total return of 502% from 1994 through June 2009.  Compare that with a total return of 335% from long short equity or 321% from event driven funds.

Of course most investors also have a misguided perception that every trade is like the trade that “broke the Bank of England.”  That trade in 1992 made Soros and his Quantum Fund over $1 Billion in a few days and garnered a lot of publicity.  The funny thing is

by Peter Howard

There are many global macro investing strategies that make use of the yield curve. While primarily used to trade bonds, there are also several good uses for trading stocks and currencies as well. In fact as powerful as the yield curve is, there is likely a few yield curve strategies for every asset class out there.

The Treasury yield curve is the curve you get when you plot out the yields for different maturities. For instance if the 90-day T-Bill is at .2 percent and the 10-year T-Note is yielding 3.5 percent you have an up sloping yield curve as the long dated Treasuries are paying a higher yield then the short dated Treasuries. Usually you would also plot out the two year, five year, and thirty year along with the ninety day and ten year. This will give you a better …

by John Keynes

There are ten asset classes that are regularly traded by global macro investors. Real estate, venture capital, equities, currencies, commodities, cash, bonds, collectibles, statistical arbitrage, and private equity. While a few of these are tough for individual investors to get into, the majority are easily accessible.

Cash is the first asset on the list. While technically a currency we look at it as more of a place of last resort. You earn a bit of interest on it but basically you only use it when you can find another place to put your money to work for a higher return.

Stocks are next. Stocks represent ownership in a company. When we look at stocks we look at them across the globe. That means domestic, foreign, and even emerging market stocks are included. Obviously we look at them different depending upon where they are located but they are still …

by Anthony David

For the global macro trader there are essentially two different kinds of trades: relative value and directional. Relative value is essentially when you are looking at two different instruments that have reliable historical relationships and trading off that relationship. Directional trading, as the name implies, is when you place a bet saying that you think oil, gold, etc is going up or down.

There are multiple categories of directional traders. Some are technically oriented and deemed technicians and look at charts and other price action based studies. Other macro traders use fundamental analysis thinking that they can determine if an asset is under or over valued. Gut feel is a style as well. Most of the time gut traders lose their money but there are a few that can trade successfully solely of off their feelings. The next large category of traders are the CTA long term …

by Dagny Taggart

Macro trading and the art of tactical asset allocation can be lumped into the same category. This is because they both share so many similarities. They are both trying to find the best values on the globe and in several different asset classes. The difference is that most global macro traders are aiming for absolute returns whereas tactical asset allocation is typically only looking for market beating returns and less then market risk.

Tactical asset allocation is a dynamic asset allocation process that essentially tries to allocate capital to where the best potential future returns are. For instance if you have a 25% allocation to US stocks and they are at 12 year lows with the lowest PE ratio in over a decade you would likely believe that now is a good time to be putting more money to work there. A tactical asset allocator would then …

by Jesse Baruch

What is global macro? Before we look at how we trade its important to answer the question What is Global Macro? The best answer weve heard is that its simply looking for the best risk- to-reward opportunities in the world. That means that if the Singapore equities look cheap and we can see why they would go up significantly and they present us with a low risk entry, we buy them. If US Treasuries look grossly overvalued and present us with a low risk shorting opportunity, we short them. If US Investment Grade Bonds have the highest yield spread in 30 years and strong balance sheets, we look for a low risk entry and buy them. If the Euro/US Dollar looks relatively cheap and the interest rate differential is favorable, we look for a low risk entry to buy it. …