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A Rare Second Chance at Making a Fortune

Jim Musselwhite (August 19th, 2009) Writes:

By guest author Jim Nelson (http://pennysleuth.com/a-rare-second-chance-at-making-a-fortune/)

Today you have a rare “second chance” at making a fortune.

Let me explain…

From 1990 to 2004 the number of internet users in the US absolutely exploded — going from less than 1% of the population back in 1990 all the way up to over 65% in 2004.

And, as you know by now, the rapid increase in Internet usage spawned enormous growth in computer and internet-related companies. Microsoft went up 9,750%. Yahoo jumped a whopping 7,763% in just three and a half years. And AOL, the grand daddy of them all, went up 73,050%from its 1992 IPO to its peak at the end of 1999.

The trick was to identify the growth early. And to get out before the bubble burst.

Well today we’ve got a rare second chance to “turn back time.”

As investors and traders, it’s rare that we get any second chances. But when you’re …

The Global Economic Crisis

Menzie Chinn (December 15th, 2008) Writes:

Here's the video from a panel convened by the University of Wisconsin's Center on World Affairs and the Global Economy (WAGE) on November 20, 2008. Presenting were Alison Alter, Associate Director of WAGE; Mark J. Ready, Professor of Finance, Investment and Banking; Darian M. Ibrahim, J.D., Assistant Professor of Law; Menzie D. Chinn, Professor of Public Affairs and Economics; and Mark S. Copelovitch, Assistant Professor of Political Science and Public Affairs, and Edward Friedman, Professor of Political Science.

My powerpoint presentation was posted here if one just wants the slides.

The Global Economic Crisis: Propagation to the Rest of the World

Menzie Chinn (November 22nd, 2008) Writes:

Last Thursday, I had the opportunity to participate in a panel on Global Economic Crisis: The Untold Stories, sponsored by the Center for World Affairs and the Global Economy (WAGE). I was tasked with surveying the impact on the economy outside the borders of the United States -- in 20 minutes.

Here's the link to my presentation, but I reproduce one of the key slides here:

exports1.gif Figure 1: Growth rates of real goods and services exports (y/y), by country group. Source: IMF, WEO Oct. 2008 database; Nov. 6 WEO update.

What's of greatest interest to me is how rapidly estimates of emerging market and LDC export growth were revised downward, going from the October to November projections. This only reinforces my view that the US slowdown will have a disproportionate impact on world trade given the drastic change in the role of the

...

Boeing Lands $10 Billion in Emerging Market Deals

Money Morning (July 17th, 2008) Writes:
By Jason Simpkins Associate Editor Air China announced yesterday (Wednesday) that it will buy 45 The Boeing Company (BA) jets to help cover increased domestic demand at a time when many Western airlines are struggling to overcome high fuel prices and declining traffic. Air China will buy 15 Boeing 777s and 30 Boeing 737s at a cost of $6.3 billion, the company said on its website. The purchase will increase Air China’s fleet by 35%, as the company competes with other Chinese carries for a dominant share of a market that is expected to grow 9% annually over the next several years, The Associated Press reported. Whereas commercial airlines in developed markets have been struggling, with some even collapsing under the weight of high fuel costs and sluggish demand, airplane manufacturers have been buoyed by strong demand in emerging markets ...

In Search of a Market Bottom: Position Yourself for Profits No Matter Which Way the Market Moves

Keith Fitz-Gerald (July 14th, 2008) Writes:
By Keith Fitz-Gerald In a Money Morning commentary back in April, I suggested that while we’d hit a new market bottom, we almost certainly hadn’t hit the market bottom. So have we now? That’s tough to say, although three seemingly unrelated bits of data suggest the ultimate market bottom may be lower still, meaning investors aren’t out of the woods, yet. Let’s take a look: Since 1990, there have been 13 declines of 10% or more in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. And while each drop of this magnitude tends to precede a rally of six months or more, an ultimate market bottom typically hasn’t been established until we’ve seen an average reading of 36.3 in the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index - usually referred to as the VIX Index. Generally regarded as a ...

Inside Wall Street: The Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac Bailout is Necessary – But Don’t Expect a Happy Ending

Money Morning (July 14th, 2008) Writes:
By Shah Gilani It’s the end of the "American Dream." It’s the story of how the inevitable bailout of insolvent housing giants Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) - with the Federal Housing Administration soon to follow - will ultimately lead to such sorrowful sequels as "TheDeath of the Dollar," "The Downgrading of U.S. Government Debt" and, yes, "The Depression." Let’s be very clear on one point, however: There’s no question about it - Freddie and Fannie have to be supported. If the doctrine of "too big to fail" didn’t already exist, it would have to be invented - immediately. Although many are arguing against a "bailout," those "experts" never seem to address the fallout that would emanate from such a strategy. Nor do they ever discuss the sad series of events that brought us to ...

Two Big Reasons to Remain Bullish on Brazilian Stocks

Money Morning (July 11th, 2008) Writes:
By Jason Simpkins Associate Editor Brazilian stocks as measured by the country’s Bovespa benchmark stock index has fallen 20% from its May 20 record, but that doesn’t mean it’s time to give up on Latin America’s largest economy. Brazil still has plenty to offer, and with stock valuations low, it’s a good time to go bargain hunting. In fact, a big reason why Brazilian stocks have dropped is because the country’s central bank has been forced to raise rates to curb inflation. Policymakers have raised the benchmark rate twice since April, to 12.25%. Of course, inflation isn’t a problem unique to Brazil. Inflation in India has been at alarmingly high levels since the first week of June, when it jumped from 8.75% to 11%. And many analysts expect government data released today (Friday) will show wholesale prices soared to a 13-year high of ...

Buried Treasure at the Federal Reserve?

Keith Fitz-Gerald (July 10th, 2008) Writes:
By Keith Fitz-Gerald Investment Director Money Morning/The Money Map Report Every market cycle has its genius. Even a market cycle as wild and volatile as this one has been. And the latest genius might be just what the U.S. Federal Reserve needs to restore order around here: She might even be able to bring credibility back to the global financial markets. Elizabeth Duke goes by "Patsy." And while the nickname may be soft, the person behind the moniker isn’t soft. In fact, we believe that Patsy Duke - a career commercial banker - is the only Federal Reserve insider that understands how the global money markets actually work. As such, she might just be the next central bank chairman. We say that because, unlike current Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and the rest of the Beltway Boys - all of them academic theoreticians, data experts, or ...

Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae Rocked by Liquidity Concerns

Money Morning (July 10th, 2008) Writes:
By Jennifer Yousfi Managing Editor Investor worry over the solvency of U.S. mortgage-giants Freddie Mac (FRE) and Fannie Mae (FNM) have gutted the stocks over the last few days more than halving their market capitalizations. News of a possible government-sponsored bailout sent Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae shares plunging yesterday (Thursday) dangerously close to new 52-week lows. Freddie Mac shares sank $2.15 yesterday, a 20% decline to close at $8.11. Freddie Mac is down 76% year-to-date as of Thursday’s close. Fannie Mae stock had a similar fate, shedding $1.95, an almost 13% to decline to close at $13.36. Fannie Mae shares are down nearly 67% year-to-date. Sign up below… and we’ll send you a new investment report for free:...

Dow Makes $18.8 Billion Offer for Rohm and Haas

Money Morning (July 10th, 2008) Writes:
By Jennifer Yousfi Managing Editor The Dow Chemical Co. (DOW) yesterday (Thursday) announced its plans to buy rival Rohm and Haas Co. (ROH) in an $18.8 billion deal, $3 billion of which will come from Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.A, BRK.B). News of the Dow buyout sent Rohm and Haas shares soaring over 60% by midday in New York. “The transaction delivers on the promises we have made to our shareholders about transforming our earnings profile to one of high-growth and less cyclicality,” Dow Chief Executive Officer Andrew Liveris told a conference call regarding the Rohm and Haas offer, Reuters reported. Some analysts felt the $78 per share bid - a 74% premium to Wednesday’s closing price of $44.83 - for Rohm and Haas shares was too steep a price for Dow to pay....

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