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Prieur’s readings (November 6, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 6th, 2009) Writes:

This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Mohamed El-Erian and Ramin Toloui (Financial Times): How to fill the gaps left by dollar decline, November 5, 2009. We should expect to see more discussion in the next few years on new types of reserve assets.

• James West (GoldSeek): Gold price is no bubble, November 4, 2009. The price performance of gold recently has all sorts of armchair economists waxing philosophical on the idea that this is the advent of a price “bubble”. While certainly everyone has and is entitled to their opinion, there are other features of humanity that we all possess, and much like many opinions, are best obscured from view. Declaring that gold is in a “bubble” demonstrates complete ignorance of or disregard for

...

Prieur’s readings (November 4, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 4th, 2009) Writes:

This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Michael Kahn (Barron’s): Setting free the bears, November 2, 2009. The stock market’s astounding run from its March lows has finally run into a real ceiling. After outpacing most, if not all, post bear-market rallies over the past century the inevitable is finally here. But is it part of another correction or something more? The urgency of the sell-off suggests the latter. That said, I don’t see the danger of the market testing its March lows any time soon.

• Charles Githler (MoneyShow.com): Former bears’ take on the market’s future, October 18, 2009. Are we headed for a major correction, or even worse: a resumption of the bear market?What “the best” (former bears) are telling us now …

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Global Manufacturing, France Outperforms, As Spain Continues To Flounder

Edward Hugh (November 3rd, 2009) Writes:
Well, it is not as if I relish rubbing salt into old wounds, but this quote from the a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/8bb0da5a-c7dc-11de-8ba8-00144feab49a.html"latest piece by Ben Hall in Paris and Ralph Atkins in today's Financial Times/a is just too good to resist.br /br /blockquoteFrench manufacturing output rose at its fastest rate for nine years, according to a survey on Monday, confirming that France has become the economic powerhouse of continental Europe. Purchasing managers’ indices for manufacturing showed France performing significantly better than the continent’s other main economies – thanks to robust domestic demand./blockquotebr /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_ngczZkrw340/SvASaIFOk2I/AAAAAAAAPjI/Xa0wjOVFc3A/s1600-h/france+manufacturing.png"img style="TEXT-ALIGN: center; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; WIDTH: 400px; DISPLAY: block; HEIGHT: 213px; CURSOR: hand" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5399836193272533858" border="0" alt="" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_ngczZkrw340/SvASaIFOk2I/AAAAAAAAPjI/Xa0wjOVFc3A/s400/france+manufacturing.png" //abr /br /Plenty of food for thought in this paragraph it seems to me. As a href="http://spaineconomy.blogspot.com/2009/10/french-rebound-continues-in-october.html"foreshadowed in this earlier post/a, it is the French economy - and not the German one - which is rebounding sharply, and this ...
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Prieur’s readings (November 3, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 3rd, 2009) Writes:

This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Vito Racanelli (Barron’s): The easy money has been made, November 2, 2009. The choppy action last week suggests the going gets much tougher from here. In a year in which the market has jumped far off its lows, the bull has so far talked the talk of earnings growth. It’s time to walk the walk.

• Edward Harrison (Credit Writedowns): Bullish data, recoveries, crashes and the psychology of forecasting redux, November 2, 2009. Is a double dip or crash a baseline scenario? No, not necessarily - but it is increasingly likely. So, as bullish as I believe the data are, I am more worried about a bad outcome, not less.

• Andy Kessler (The Wall Street Journal):

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Prieur’s readings (November 3, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 3rd, 2009) Writes:

This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Vito Racanelli (Barron’s): The easy money has been made, November 2, 2009. The choppy action last week suggests the going gets much tougher from here. In a year in which the market has jumped far off its lows, the bull has so far talked the talk of earnings growth. It’s time to walk the walk.

• Edward Harrison (Credit Writedowns): Bullish data, recoveries, crashes and the psychology of forecasting redux, November 2, 2009. Is a double dip or crash a baseline scenario? No, not necessarily - but it is increasingly likely. So, as bullish as I believe the data are, I am more worried about a bad outcome, not less.

• Andy Kessler (The Wall Street Journal):

...

Jim Rogers in the spotlight

Prieur du Plessis (November 3rd, 2009) Writes:

Lindsay Whipp of the Financial Times sits down with Jim Rogers in Tokyo for a four-part interview covering the US dollar, China, commodities and crisis-related issues.

Part 1: Rogers sees brief dollar rally He says he has increased his dollar holdings in anticipation of a rally in the US currency, but the dollar is still broadly set for a lasting decline.

Click here or on the image below to view the video clip.

roger1

Part 2: Rogers still a China bull He says he’s not buying Chinese stocks, but sees the renminbi rising despite its effective peg to the dollar.

Click here to view the video clip.

Part 3: Rogers backs commodities for the long run. He says he’s fully expecting another leg up in commodities, and that real assets represent

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Jim Rogers in the spotlight

Prieur du Plessis (November 3rd, 2009) Writes:

Lindsay Whipp of the Financial Times sits down with Jim Rogers in Tokyo for a four-part interview covering the US dollar, China, commodities and crisis-related issues.

Part 1: Rogers sees brief dollar rally He says he has increased his dollar holdings in anticipation of a rally in the US currency, but the dollar is still broadly set for a lasting decline.

Click here or on the image below to view the video clip.

roger1

Part 2: Rogers still a China bull He says he’s not buying Chinese stocks, but sees the renminbi rising despite its effective peg to the dollar.

Click here to view the video clip.

Part 3: Rogers backs commodities for the long run. He says he’s fully expecting another leg up in commodities, and that real assets represent

...

Prieur’s readings (October 31, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (October 31st, 2009) Writes:

This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Michael Mackenzie, Saskia Scholtes and Aline van Duyn (Financial Times): Trepidation as Fed prepares to end easing, October 29, 2009. As the Federal Reserve’s programme of buying mortgage debt edges towards $1,000 billion this week, investors are starting to worry about what happens once the central bank starts to slow down and exit from this key plank of its monetary easing policy.

• Quint Tatro (Minyanvile): Seven lessons from a legend, October 29, 2009. Jesse Livermore was wealthy and broke several times over during his tumultuous life, which ended in his suicide. His ability to make and lose millions garnered him many lessons which the trading community have enshrined over the decades since his death. Yet these lessons and

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The historian’s perspective – does capitalism have a future?

Prieur du Plessis (October 31st, 2009) Writes:

Niall Ferguson, Professor of History at Harvard University and author of the brilliant “The Ascent of Money“, is interviewed by Martin Wolf, the FT’s chief economics commentator, at the FT View from the Top conference on the future of capitalism.

Click here or on the image below to view the video clip.

ft

Source: Niall Ferguson, Financial Times, October 29, 2009.

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Prieur’s readings (October 30, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (October 30th, 2009) Writes:

This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Richard Ennis (CFA Institute): The uncorrelated return myth, November/December 2009.

• Peter Clarke (Financial Times): How to avoid a repeat of the Great Crash, October 28, 2009. The chain of events leading from a collapse in stock prices on Wall Street to a Great Depression has leapt from history with an entirely fresh verisimilitude. John Authers (Financial Times): GDP grows, but pain remains, October 29, 2009. US GDP numbers were a good enough reason to halt the return of risk aversion, but the key to whether risk appetite can return depends on US employment data.

• Economist.com: As joyless recovery, October 29, 2009. New figures suggest that America has at last moved out of recession.

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