Old Normal Allocation Becomes New Normal?
Richard Shaw (November 17th, 2009) Writes:
The old normal allocation between the three most basic classes (Cash, Bonds and Stocks) is currently the new normal.
While the old normal return expectations for U.S. securities, and the allocation between U.S. securities and global securities (particularly emerging market securities) is not likely to be resemble the past; the old normal weighting between cash, bonds and stocks from whatever country is more likely to be used than not.
The last decade was abnormal in the preponderance of equity risk assumed in the aggregate across all households in the United States. The old normal is more balanced, which is something the typical investor advanced in age or wealth accumulation is seeking these days.
Based on Federal Reserve data from 1945, the average allocation between cash, bonds and stocks was approximately 10%, 40% and 50% respectively. The average over the past decade was about
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