Gimme fuel, gimme fire, gimme that which I desire,

Can’t fight the need for speed,

I’m loose, I’m clean, I’m burning lean and mean, and mean.

Ignite the open trail,

Excite, exhale, comin on, hot from hell, yeah hot from hell.

-Metallica “Fuel for Fire”

Where has all of the money gone? We know that the world should be running out of green ink any day now due to the Treasury printing money 24/7, but with all of this money coming into the economy we would have expected runaway inflation.  Up to now we have seen, for the first time in decades, steady deflation.  In fact as you can see in the chart below, since 3/1/09 YoY CPI has been negative. (click on chart to enlarge)

CPI 12-Month % Change

This year’s healing process will begin in the credit - not equity - markets, says Eric Roseman. Even if a big bear market rally emerges, uncertainty and volatility will still plague stock markets. Meanwhile, investors in high-grade corporate bonds can receive historically high dividend payments while they wait for prices to recover.

This from Sovereign Society:

In December, investment-grade corporate debt soared over 15% as credit spreads plummeted following a crash in September and October.

If you’re debating an investment in high quality bonds then it’s not too late. The Dow Jones Corporate Bond Index yields 7.04% or 460 basis points or 4.6% more than benchmark ten-year Treasury bonds. Twelve months ago that spread was barely 2%, or 200 basis points. Treasury bonds are expensive while corporate debt is cheap.

When comparing the relative risk-reward scenario of stocks versus bonds, I think high quality debt is the optimal asset allocation choice.

Given the implicit government guarantees, Eric Roseman says it is likely that investors will soon start to switch from low-yielding Treasury bonds to high-grade corporate debt. The Fed’s balance sheet is now polluted by the toxic debt it has taken on from banks. And demand for Treasuries will not keep pace with the deluge of supply in the coming year. Eric says this could make investment grade corporate debt the new safe haven in bonds in 2009.

This from Sovereign Society:

Several segments of the credit markets have come back to life in December after crushing losses recorded in September and October. Though it’s too early to celebrate a broad-based credit revival, the largest issuers of investment grade debt surged this month as yields plunged. Mortgage-backed bonds, or agency debt, have also rallied sharply in December on the heels of government guarantees and the Fed’s plan to spend $500

Weak auctions for government bonds strengthen the case to buy high-grade corporate paper, says Eric Roseman. Many of the world’s top companies have stronger balance sheets than governments. And the coming tidal wave of T-bonds means corporate bond yields may never be this high again.

More from the Sovereign Society:

Are investment-grade corporate bonds the new “safe-haven” for investors?

You certainly wouldn’t think so following their worst monthly drubbing since 1980 in October. September and October sliced and diced investment-grade debt to levels unseen in more than two decades, with effective yields now at 8% compared to 3.7% for ten-year U.S. T-bonds.

Short-term Treasury bonds have been a magnet since the onset of the credit crisis. They’ve been drawing safe-haven flows from nervous investors worldwide ahead of redemptions, fund closures and panic selling since mid-September when Lehman Brothers failed. At the same time, investment-grade debt has been smashed.

The spread, or difference, between