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	<title>Stock Market News &#38; Stocks to Watch from StraightStocks &#187; declan fallon</title>
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		<title>Zignals Trading Strategies That Work; March 19th</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-trading-strategies-that-work-march-19th/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Mar 2010 11:03:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[While the a href="http://bit.ly/dqoILc"Nasdaq 100/a was able to close at the upper range of Wednesday's bearish shooting star (not yet negating it but shorts will be sweating; if its high is taken out it will bring with it short covering buying) it's the semiconductor index which perhaps is the index to watch today. In a recovery environment the semiconductor index typically leads the Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 higher, but in the current market it's lagging both indices. It's push to $28 is perhaps the peak for the Feb-Mar advance with the CCI rebounding off 165 resistance; look for some easing back to $26-27 over the next few days. From there it will depend on whether the Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 can hold their respective breakouts and help pull the semiconductor index "over the wall" of $28.50 resistance. br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNzk2?end"img width="100%" src="http://www.zignals.com/UsersImages/400428c7-7f43-475b-908e-ffdb5056dcf1.jpg" alt="Zignals Chart Image"  title="Click to open in Zignals Chart Analyzer" //abr /br /span class="fullpost"However, the bullish environment has kept the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Zignals Trading Strategies/a in Long Buy / Short Cover mode, although there are a number of Profit Target hits which is great news for subscribers to these strategies - a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"come find your strategy today/a.br /br /bASX Oak/bbr /br /Short Exit at Trailing Stop for DJS (Sydney) at AU$5.20br /Short Exit at Trailing Stop for ERA (Sydney) at AU$20.27br /br /bASX Price x 20-day MA /bbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for WAN (Sydney) at AU$8.02 (EoD): Target AU$8.89, Stop AU$7.68br /New Long Target and Stop for ERA (Sydney) at AU$19.95 (EoD): Target AU$22.26, Stop AU$19.23br /br /bBSE Zignals /bbr /br /Long Entry for UNBK (Mumbai) at INR266.3 br /Long Exit at Profit Target for JLVY (Mumbai) at INR1200.0br /Long Exit at Stop for ONGC (Mumbai) at INR1056.6 br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for ACC (Mumbai) at INR913.5 br /br /bBSE Zignals 1 mil Rupee/bbr /br /Long Exit at Stop for MAZD (Mumbai) at INR87.30 br /br /bFrankfurt High Winners/bbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for SAZ (Frankfurt) at €29.84 (EoD): Target €31.58, Stop €28.57br /Long Entry for IDS (Frankfurt) at €16.79 br /New Long Target and Stop for MEOF (Frankfurt) at €43.51 (EoD): Target €48.18, Stop €41.61 br /New Long Target and Stop for TKA (Frankfurt) at €25.79 (EoD): Target €28.40, Stop €24.53br /Long Confirmation Entry for VOSF (Frankfurt) at €73.62 br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for DEZ (Frankfurt) at €3.97 br /br /bIndia Oak/bbr /br /Short Entry for MCDL (Mumbai) at INR1380.8 br /Short Confirmation Entry for KOTAK (Mumbai) at INR764.0 br /br /bIndian Golden Brown/bbr /br /Long Confirmation Entry for BAJAU (Mumbai) at INR1811.4 br /Long Exit at Stop for ONGC (Mumbai) at INR1059.3 br /br /bIndian High Winners/bbr /br /Long Entry for BAJAU (Mumbai) at INR1811.4 br /Long Entry for VSNL (Mumbai) at INR284.7 br /Long Confirmation Entry for RNRL (Mumbai) at INR63.53 br /Long Exit at Stop for ONGC (Mumbai) at INR1059.3 br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for ACC (Mumbai) at INR923.0 br /br /bIndian Strength/b br /br /Long Entry for BAJAU (Mumbai) at INR1811.4 br /New Long Target and Stop for HALC (Mumbai) at INR177.5 (EoD): Target INR195.4, Stop INR163.4br /Long Confirmation Entry for GLXO (Mumbai) at INR1703.4 br /Long Entry for ACC (Mumbai) at INR967.4 br /br /bMA Crossover /bbr /br /Long Entry for MSFT (Nasdaq) at $29.69br /br /bUK High Winners/bbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for 888 (London) at 114p (EoD): Target 127p, Stop br /br /bUS High Winners/bbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for F (NYSE) at $14.34 (EoD): Target $15.27, Stop $13.81br /br /bUS Uber Win/bbr /br /Long Exit at Profit Target for F (NYSE) at $14.20 br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /How to a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/personal_finance/financial_tools.aspx"Get Started with Zignals/abr /br /Build a trading strategy in Zignals and potentially earn money too; download our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/download/Building_a_Trading_Strategy.pdf"Build a Trading Strategy PDF/a and get selling (and trading) today!br /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/marketportal/marketportal.aspx"Zignals MarketPortal/a or the Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategy MarketPlace/a. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a. br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/register.aspx"JOIN US TODAY - IT'S FREE!/a /spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-3732449871865128712?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Trading Strategies That Work; March 18th</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Mar 2010 11:03:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-719015671567393244</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It was another good day for bulls with the Nasdaq 100 perhaps the only index to flash a warning sign - namely the bearish "shooting star" doji. The significance of this doji is reduced by its occurrence inside the upper Bollinger Band and the lack of a "sell" trigger from a momentum oscillator like the Ultimate Oscillator. br /br /To put this in plain English, rally intact but shift stops to a break of Wednesday's lows with an anticipted drop back to the 20-day moving average. Short sellers will likely swing trade the doji, setting their stops above Wednesday's highs. The risk for both bulls and bears is the likely gap to accompany the break. Gaps are becoming more frequent and this is typical in the end-phase of a trend. br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNzg1?end"img width="100%" src="http://www.zignals.com/UsersImages/c662c63b-64a5-4600-a647-9ff0bbdde637.jpg" alt="Zignals Chart Image"  title="Click to open in Zignals Chart Analyzer" //abr /br /span class="fullpost"However, yesterday was a busy day for our 79 a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a. Would you like to create the 80th trading strategy? Use our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system builder/a to build a strategy to suit your needs. br /br /bASX Oak/bbr / br /Short Exit at Stop for CPU (Sydney) at AU$12.74br /br /bASX Price x 20-day MA /bbr /br /Long Confirmation Entry for ORG (Sydney) at AU$16.52br /Long Confirmation Entry for ALL (Sydney) at AU$4.34 br /New Long Target and Stop for WOW (Sydney) at AU$28.75 (EoD): Target AU$31.66, Stop AU$27.34br /New Long Target and Stop for OSH (Sydney) at AU$5.77 (EoD): Target AU$6.47, Stop AU$5.59br /Long Confirmation Entry for JBH (Sydney) at AU$19.80 (EoD)br /br /bDeveloping a Strategy/bbr / br /New Long Target and Stop for SBUX (Nasdaq) at $25.65 (EoD): Target $28.23, Stop $23.09br /New Long Target and Stop for IP (NYSE) at $26.24 (EoD): Target $30.02, Stop $24.56br /Long Exit at Profit Target for F (NYSE) at $13.56br /br /bETF Kauto Star/bbr / br /Long Exit at Stop for SDS (NYSE) at $31.42br / br /bETFs Oak/bbr / br /Short Exit at Stop for DDM (NYSE) at $46.82 br /br /bFrankfurt High Winners /bbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for SIE (Frankfurt) at €70.10 (EoD): Target €79.67, Stop €68.81 br /Long Confirmation Entry for WIN (Frankfurt) at €51.10 br /Long Confirmation Entry for SDF (Frankfurt) at €45.89 (EoD) br /br /bIndian Golden Brown/bbr / br /New Long Target and Stop for WRWDT (Mumbai) at INR1608.1 (EoD): Target INR1782.0, Stop INR1458.0 br /br /bIndian High Winners/bbr / br /New Long Target and Stop for WRWDT (Mumbai) at INR1608.1 (EoD): Target INR1782.0, Stop INR1539.0 br /Long Confirmation Entry for BSES (Mumbai) at INR1001.7 (EoD)br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for PFC (Mumbai) at INR254.5 (EoD)br /br /bIndian Strength /bbr /br /Long Unacted Entry for NTML (Mumbai) at INR333.7 (EoD): Entry signal given, but exited position on same stock too recently (9) days agobr /Long Confirmation Entry for PGRID (Mumbai) at INR105.8br /Long Confirmation Entry for KOTAK (Mumbai) at INR766.5br /br /bIrish Oak /bbr /br /Short Exit at Stop for CRG (ISEQ) at €18.69br /br /bMA Crossover/bbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for IP (NYSE) at $26.78 (EoD): Target $30.02, Stop $25.11br /br /bShort Trender/bbr / br /Short Exit at Trailing Stop for JPM (NYSE) at $43.63br /Short Exit at Trailing Stop for IP (NYSE) at $26.45br /br /bUK Golden Brown /bbr /br /Long Entry for CARL (London) at 90pbr /br /bUK High Winners /bbr /br /Long Entry for CARL (London) at 90pbr /br /bUS High Winners/b br /br /New Long Target and Stop for IP (NYSE) at $26.24 (EoD): Target $30.02, Stop $25.93br /br /bUS Strength /bbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for IP (NYSE) at $25.79 (EoD): Target $30.02, Stop $25.11br /br /bUS Uber Win/bbr / br /New Long Target and Stop for INTC (Nasdaq) at $22.26 (EoD): Target $24.59, Stop $21.23br /New Long Target and Stop for F (NYSE) at $13.95 (EoD): Target $14.86, Stop $13.44br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Find your trading strategy here/abr /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /How to a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/personal_finance/financial_tools.aspx"Get Started with Zignals/abr /br /Build a trading strategy in Zignals and potentially earn money too; download our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/download/Building_a_Trading_Strategy.pdf"Build a Trading Strategy PDF/a and get selling (and trading) today!br /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/marketportal/marketportal.aspx"Zignals MarketPortal/a or the Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategy MarketPlace/a. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a. br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/register.aspx"JOIN US TODAY - IT'S FREE!/a /spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-719015671567393244?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Trading Strategies That Work; March 16th</title>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Mar 2010 11:46:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Fed-weighs-how-and-when-to-apf-1838037244.html?x=0"Fed decision day/a will likely keep markets quiet until the afternoon, but with the market sliding a little in favour of bears - although still a couple days worth of losses away from the first of many potential support levels - it's unlikely the annoucement will cause any significant shift away from the dominant bull trend. Indeed the SPY breakout is holding with a natural support level created by Monday's 'tail' at $114.50 which sits just below breakout support of $115.09; look for bears to become more aggressive if $114.50 breaks with any shorts joining the fray likely to cover on break of $116. A push above $116 could see a quick jump higher triggered by short covering, maybe offering another 1% in gains.br /br /Beyond potential short covering it will become increasingly difficult for bulls to maintain the momentum of the 1-year+ rally. The SPY has a P/E value of 42.7 which is well above the median value for the SP of a href="http://www.articlesbase.com/investing-articles/sp-500-pe-ratio-forecast-2010-2011-1589369.html"15.7/a. Assuming a return to median then either [a] the SPY has to fall in value or [b] SPY component earnings have to rise to lower the P/E ratio. With real unemployment running in the double digits its hard to see where [b] will come from. So it will be necessary for the SPY to devalue to bring it back to 'fair' value - with a little help from improving earnings.   br /br /span class="fullpost"a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNzc3?end"img width="100%" src="http://www.zignals.com/UsersImages/d7c3d45e-9f21-4bf6-b99f-dd2271404e1e.jpg" alt="Zignals Chart Image"  title="Click to open in Zignals Chart Analyzer" //abr /br /Our sample set of a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategies/a available in the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a had a busy Monday after a non-event Friday.br /br /bBSE Zignals 1 mil Rupee/bbr /br /Long Confirmation Entry for HTECH (Mumbai) at INR362.7br /br /bForex Elm /bbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for CADUSD (FX) at 0.9840 (EoD): Target 1.0830, Stop 0.8860br /br /bForex High Winners /bbr /br /Long Entry for GBPUSD (FX) at 1.5090 br /br /bFrankfurt High Winners/bbr /br /Long Entry for MLP (Frankfurt) at €6.92 br /br /bIndian High Winners/bbr /br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for KOTAK (Mumbai) at INR772.7 br /br /bIndian High Winners /bbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for PFC (Mumbai) at INR267.8 (EoD): Target INR295.2, Stop INR255.0br /br /bIndian Strength /bbr /br /Long Confirmation Entry for ASOK (Mumbai) at INR50.90 br /Long Unacted Entry for MCDL (Mumbai) at INR1427.5 (EoD): Entry signal given, but exited position on same stock too recently (14) days ago. br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for ESRO (Mumbai) at INR137.5 br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for HDIL (Mumbai) at INR299.0 br /br /bMA Crossover/b br /br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for C (NYSE) at $3.84br /Long Entry for IBM (NYSE) at $127.7 br /br /bMy First Subscribed Strategy/bbr /br /Long Confirmation Entry for KO (NYSE) at $53.84 br /br /bShort Trender/bbr /br /Short Exit at Stop for WMT (NYSE) at $55.63 br /br /bUK Golden Brown/bbr /br /Long Entry for CCT (London) at 87p  br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for IMD (London) at 52p br /br /bUK High Winners/b br /br /Long Entry for SSP (London) at 38p br /Long Entry for CCT (London) at 87p br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for IMD (London) at 52p br /br /bUS High Winners/b br /br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for C (NYSE) at $3.86 br /br /bUS Strength/bbr /br /Long Confirmation Entry for KO (NYSE) at $53.84 br /br /You can subscribe to any of the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a you see here in our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Marketplace/a. Alternatively, you can build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and market it in a 50:50 revenue share with Zignals in our a href=""Trading Strategy MarketPlace/a.br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /How to a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/personal_finance/financial_tools.aspx"Get Started with Zignals/abr /br /Build a trading strategy in Zignals and potentially earn money too; download our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/download/Building_a_Trading_Strategy.pdf"Build a Trading Strategy PDF/a and get selling (and trading) today!br /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a or the Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategy MarketPlace/a. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a. br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/register.aspx"JOIN US TODAY - IT'S FREE!/a /spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-4603675544034987608?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Trading Strategies; No Confirmed Trades For Friday&#8217;s Close</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-trading-strategies-no-confirmed-trades-for-fridays-close/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Mar 2010 14:21:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-6895319424134640567</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While markets inch ever higher there is one market measure which looks to have put in a top. The number of Nasdaq stocks making new highs peaked on March 8th at a level which marked previous top on October 14th and above the previous reaction high on January 10th. br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNzY5?end"img alt="Zignals Chart Image" src="http://www.zignals.com/UsersImages/90878f01-5c65-42bf-b132-37309388523e.jpg" title="Click to open in Zignals Chart Analyzer" width="100%" //abr /br /span class="fullpost"For the aforementioned October and January top the Nasdaq fell approximately 10%, so if one was to apply an 8-10% drop from the current high then the Nasdaq would cleanly cut through its 20-day and 50-day MAs and wouldn't see some semblance of support until it got to its ascending 200-day MA.br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNzcx?end"img alt="Zignals Chart Image" src="http://www.zignals.com/UsersImages/e2850851-67f0-48d5-a43e-ccb942c21f92.jpg" title="Click to open in Zignals Chart Analyzer" width="100%" //abr /br /It will be interesting to see how the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"79 trading strategies/a covering UK, US, Canada, India, Ireland, Frankfurt, Australia and Forex markets react to this correction. I suspect many long strategies will see a succession of stop-hits at the trail or fixed stop price. br /br /If you haven't already, now is a great time to find a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a or create your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell it in our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a. br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /How to a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/personal_finance/financial_tools.aspx"Get Started with Zignals/abr /br /Build a trading strategy in Zignals and potentially earn money too; download our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/download/Building_a_Trading_Strategy.pdf"Build a Trading Strategy PDF/a and get selling (and trading) today!br /br /span style="color: #999999;"script src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksamp;icon=mamp;count=5amp;sort=dateamp;tagsamp;extendedamp;nameamp;showadd" type="text/javascript"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size: 80%;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com/"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignalsnbsp;MarketPortal/a or the Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategy MarketPlace/a. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a. br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/register.aspx"JOIN US TODAY - IT'S FREE!/a /spanbr /div align="center"a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg" //a/div/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-6895319424134640567?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Trading Strategies That Work; March 12th</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-trading-strategies-that-work-march-12th/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Mar 2010 10:08:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[With the SPY able to nick a breakout (although the parent index failed to crack above 1,150 interestingly enough) the SPX ETF was able to follow the lead of its siblings, IWM (Small Caps) and QQQQ (Tech). The end result was another good day for long a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a signals. We will see today which of the SPY breakout or SPX resistance is telling the truth.br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNzQz?end"img width="100%" src="http://www.zignals.com/UsersImages/bb0ff5fc-88cd-4b57-ac1f-5989fa0587d6.jpg" alt="Zignals Chart Image"  title="Click to open in Zignals Chart Analyzer" //abr /br /span class="fullpost"bASX Oak /bbr /Short Exit at Stop for CSL (Sydney) at AU$36.22br /Short Exit at Trailing Stop for OSH (Sydney) at AU$5.70br /br /bASX Price x 20-day MA/b br /Long Confirmation Entry for ALL (Sydney) at AU$4.49br /Long Unacted Entry for TLS (Sydney) at AU$3.03: Entry signal given, but exited position on same stock too recently (7) days ago.br /br /bDeveloping a Strategy/bbr /Long Confirmation Entry for WMT (NYSE) at $53.75br /Long Confirmation Entry for IBM (NYSE) at $126.0br /br /bETFs Oak/bbr /Short Exit at Stop for QLD (NYSE) at $63.13br /br /bForex High Winners/bbr /Long Confirmation Entry for EURUSD (FX) at 1.3630br /br /bFrankfurt High Winners/bbr /New Long Target and Stop for MTX (Frankfurt) at €41.09: Target €45.41, Stop €39.22br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for PRAF (Frankfurt) at €6.40br /br /bIndia Oak/bbr /Short Confirmation Entry for RNRL (Mumbai) at INR64.13br /Short Entry for PGRID (Mumbai) at INR109.6br /br /bIndian High Winners /bbr /Long Confirmation Entry for CAIRN (Mumbai) at INR264.5br /br /bIndian Strength/b br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for MCDL (Mumbai) at INR1380.0br /br /bMA Crossover/b br /New Long Target and Stop for C (NYSE) at $4.17: Target $4.60, Stop $3.85br /br /bMy First Subscribed Strategy /bbr /Long Confirmation Entry for WMT (NYSE) at $53.75br /br /bUK High Winners/b br /Long Entry for AIP (London) at 392pbr /Long Entry for LCG (London) at 123pbr /New Long Target and Stop for SPT (London) at 123p: Target 133p, Stop 120pbr /br /bUS High Winners/bbr /Long Confirmation Entry for WMT (NYSE) at $53.75br /Long Confirmation Entry for IBM (NYSE) at $126.0br /br /bUS Strength/bbr /New Long Target and Stop for GOOG (Nasdaq) at $581.3: Target $644.8, Stop $539.3br /Long Confirmation Entry for WMT (NYSE) at $53.75br /br /If you are interested in any of these a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a they can be found in the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy MarketPlace/a. You can also build your own trading strategy using our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder.br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /How to a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/personal_finance/financial_tools.aspx"Get Started with Zignals/abr /br /Build a trading strategy in Zignals and potentially earn money too; download our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/download/Building_a_Trading_Strategy.pdf"Build a Trading Strategy PDF/a and get selling (and trading) today!br /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a or the Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategy MarketPlace/a. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a. br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/register.aspx"JOIN US TODAY - IT'S FREE!/a /spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-6769902685240799574?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Trading Strategies That Work; March 11th.</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Mar 2010 10:25:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Another good day for the markets kept trading strategy targets and stops rolling higher. If you are interested in any of these a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a they can be found in the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy MarketPlace/a. You can also build your own trading strategy using our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder.br /br /bBSE Zignals/b br /br /New Long Target and Stop for GACM (Mumbai) at INR115.9 (EoD): Target INR129.6, Stop INR106.0 on 10 Mar 10br /New Long Target and Stop for ACC (Mumbai) at INR1010.8 (EoD): Target INR1118.7, Stop INR915.3 on 10 Mar 10br /br /bDeveloping a Strategy /bbr /br /Long Exit at Profit Target for C (NYSE) at $3.96 (EoD) on 10 Mar 10br /br /bFrankfurt High Winners /bbr /br /Long Confirmation Entry for WIN (Frankfurt) at €49.80 (EoD) on 10 Mar 10br /New Long Target and Stop for DEZ (Frankfurt) at €4.19 (EoD): Target €4.51, Stop €4.08 on 10 Mar 10br /New Long Target and Stop for RHM (Frankfurt) at €51.25 (EoD): Target €56.65, Stop €48.93 on 10 Mar 10br /New Long Target and Stop for PRAF (Frankfurt) at €6.61 (EoD): Target €7.43, Stop €6.41 on 10 Mar 10br /br /span class="fullpost"bIndia Oak/b br /br /Short Confirmation Entry for CAIRN (Mumbai) at INR269.1 (EoD) on 10 Mar 10br /br /bIndian High Winners /bbr /br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for ZEE (Mumbai) at INR267.4 (EoD) on 10 Mar 10br /br /bIndian Strength/b br /br /Long Unacted Entry for NTML (Mumbai) at INR367.7 (EoD): Entry signal given, but exited position on same stock too recently (14) days ago. on 10 Mar 10br /Long Entry for HALC (Mumbai) at INR161.3 (EoD) on 10 Mar 10br /br /bMA Crossover/b br /br /Long Entry for C (NYSE) at $3.97 (EoD) on 10 Mar 10br /br /bMumbai Elm /bbr /br /Long Entry for GLXO (Mumbai) at INR1745.5 (EoD) on 10 Mar 10br /br /bMy First Subscribed Strategy /bbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for C (NYSE) at $4.02 (EoD): Target $4.48, Stop $3.46 on 10 Mar 10br /br /bShort Trender /bbr /br /Short Exit at Trailing Stop for GOOG (Nasdaq) at $578.8 (EoD) on 10 Mar 10br /br /bSolid Moves, Low Risk/bbr /br /Long Confirmation Entry for TXN (NYSE) at $24.24 (EoD) on 10 Mar 10br /br /bUK Golden Brown /bbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for TIK (London) at 142p (EoD): Target 163p, Stop 133p on 10 Mar 10br /New Long Target and Stop for SPT (London) at 120p (EoD): Target 132p, Stop 108p on 10 Mar 10br /Long Unacted Entry for CCAP (London) at 17p (EoD): Entry signal given, but exited position on same stock too recently (3) days ago. on 10 Mar 10br /br /bUK High Winners /bbr /br /Long Confirmation Entry for TFW (London) at 601p (EoD) on 10 Mar 10br /New Long Target and Stop for TIK (London) at 142p (EoD): Target 163p, Stop 141p on 10 Mar 10br /Long Confirmation Entry for IMD (London) at 50p (EoD) on 10 Mar 10br /Long Entry for 888 (London) at 104p (EoD) on 10 Mar 10br /Long Unacted Entry for CCAP (London) at 17p (EoD): Entry signal given, but exited position on same stock too recently (3) days ago. on 10 Mar 10br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for PVCS (London) at 53p (EoD) on 10 Mar 10br /br /bUS High Winners/bbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for C (NYSE) at $3.94 (EoD): Target $4.48, Stop $3.87 on 10 Mar 10br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /How to a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/personal_finance/financial_tools.aspx"Get Started with Zignals/abr /br /Build a trading strategy in Zignals and potentially earn money too; download our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/download/Building_a_Trading_Strategy.pdf"Build a Trading Strategy PDF/a and get selling (and trading) today!br /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a or the Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategy MarketPlace/a. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a. br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/register.aspx"JOIN US TODAY - IT'S FREE!/a /spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-2282598807682394456?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Trading Strategies That Work; March 10th</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-trading-strategies-that-work-march-10th/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-trading-strategies-that-work-march-10th/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Mar 2010 10:21:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entry signal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jpm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nyse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SBUX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[span class]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[target]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trading strategies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trailing stop]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-8359838969001511686</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If you are interested in any of these a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a they can be found in the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy MarketPlace/a. You can also build your own trading strategy using our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder.br /br /strongDeveloping a Strategy /strongbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for C (NYSE) at $3.71 (EoD): Target $4.25, Stop $3.47 on 09 Mar 10br /br /strongFTSE Elm /strongbr /br /Long Entry for JD. (London) at 565p (EoD) on 09 Mar 10br /br /strongIndia Oak /strongbr /br /Short Unacted Entry for HDIL (Mumbai) at INR318.6 (EoD): Entry signal given, but exited position on same stock too recently (15) days ago. on 09 Mar 10br /Short Exit at Stop for WRWDT (Mumbai) at INR1594.0 (EoD) on 09 Mar 10br /br /span class="fullpost"strongIndian High Winners/strongbr / br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for ASOK (Mumbai) at INR53.52 (EoD) on 09 Mar 10br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for TELCO (Mumbai) at INR765.0 (EoD) on 09 Mar 10br /br /strongMA Crossover /strongbr /br /Long Entry for JPM (NYSE) at $42.48 (EoD) on 09 Mar 10br /br /strongShort Trender/strongbr / br /Short Exit at Trailing Stop for SBUX (Nasdaq) at $23.66 (EoD) on 09 Mar 10br /Short Confirmation Entry for IBM (NYSE) at $126.5 (EoD) on 09 Mar 10br /br /strongUK Golden Brown/strongbr / br /New Long Target and Stop for ACHL (London) at 56p (EoD): Target 62p, Stop 51p on 09 Mar 10br /Long Entry for BJU (London) at 146p (EoD) on 09 Mar 10br /br /strongUK High Winners /strongbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for ACHL (London) at 56p (EoD): Target 62p, Stop 54p on 09 Mar 10br /New Long Target and Stop for PVCS (London) at 55p (EoD): Target 62p, Stop 54p on 09 Mar 10br /Long Entry for BJU (London) at 146p (EoD) on 09 Mar 10br /br /strongUS Oak/strongbr / br /Short Entry for IBM (NYSE) at $126.5 (EoD) on 09 Mar 10br /Short Exit at Stop for AAPL (Nasdaq) at $224.2 (EoD) on 09 Mar 10br /br /strongUS Strength/strongbr / br /New Long Target and Stop for AAPL (Nasdaq) at $223.3 (EoD): Target $247.5, Stop $207.0 on 09 Mar 10br /New Long Target and Stop for C (NYSE) at $3.68 (EoD): Target $4.25, Stop $3.55 on 09 Mar 10br /br /strongUS Uber Win/strongbr / br /New Long Target and Stop for AAPL (Nasdaq) at $223.7 (EoD): Target $247.5, Stop $213.8 on 09 Mar 10br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /How to a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/personal_finance/financial_tools.aspx"Get Started with Zignals/abr /br /Build a trading strategy in Zignals and potentially earn money too; download our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/download/Building_a_Trading_Strategy.pdf"Build a Trading Strategy PDF/a and get selling (and trading) today!br /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a or the Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategy MarketPlace/a. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a. br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/register.aspx"JOIN US TODAY - IT'S FREE!/a /spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-8359838969001511686?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Build a Business on Zignals</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/build-a-business-on-zignals/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/build-a-business-on-zignals/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Mar 2010 12:58:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dr. Declan Fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial gurus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Frankfurt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[href]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[independent advisors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ireland]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[newsletter publishers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[personal-finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Read]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Strategy;]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[UK]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[would like further information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[x shockwave flash]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[We will soon be launching dynamic HTML landing pages which will allow individual users, bloggers, financial gurus, financial newsletter publishers, traders and anyone with an interest in stocks or financial markets to market their trading ideas and trading strategies created on Zignals. br /br /If you are looking at how a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals/a can work for you, then here is a presentation for youbr /br /div style="width:425px" id="__ss_3374261"strong style="display:block;margin:12px 0 4px"a href="http://www.slideshare.net/fallond/benefits-to-independent-advisors-and-market-commentators-3374261" title="Benefits To Independent Advisors And Market Commentators"Benefits To Independent Advisors And Market Commentators/a/strongobject width="425" height="355"param name="movie" value="http://static.slidesharecdn.com/swf/ssplayer2.swf?doc=benefitstoindependentadvisorsandmarketcommentators-100309063450-phpapp01stripped_title=benefits-to-independent-advisors-and-market-commentators-3374261" /param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"/param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always"/embed src="http://static.slidesharecdn.com/swf/ssplayer2.swf?doc=benefitstoindependentadvisorsandmarketcommentators-100309063450-phpapp01stripped_title=benefits-to-independent-advisors-and-market-commentators-3374261" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="355"/embed/objectdiv style="padding:5px 0 12px"View more a href="http://www.slideshare.net/"presentations/a from a href="http://www.slideshare.net/fallond"fallond/a./div/divbr /span class="fullpost"Feel free to contact me at declan-at-zignals.com it you have questions or would like further information on how we can work for you. br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /How to a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/personal_finance/financial_tools.aspx"Get Started with Zignals/abr /br /Build a trading strategy in Zignals and potentially earn money too; download our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/download/Building_a_Trading_Strategy.pdf"Build a Trading Strategy PDF/a and get selling (and trading) today!br /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a or the Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategy MarketPlace/a. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a. br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/register.aspx"JOIN US TODAY - IT'S FREE!/a /spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-3016962378606012472?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Trading Strategies That Work; March 8th</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-trading-strategies-that-work-march-8th/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-trading-strategies-that-work-march-8th/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 15:38:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entry signal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EoD]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[target]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trailing stop]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[strongASX Price x 20-day MA/strongbr / br /Long Confirmation Entry for AMP (Sydney) at AU$6.03 (EoD) on 08Mar 10br /Long Confirmation Entry for ORG (Sydney) at AU$16.87 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /Long Confirmation Entry for OSH (Sydney) at AU$5.38 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /Long Entry for ERA (Sydney) at AU$18.14 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /br /strongBSE Zignals/strong br /br /New Long Target and Stop for HROH (Mumbai) at INR1871.3 (EoD): Target INR2113.1, Stop INR1728.9 on 08 Mar 10br /br /strongBSE Zignals 1 mil Rupee /strongbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for HROH (Mumbai) at INR1871.3 (EoD): Target INR2113.1, Stop INR1728.9 on 08 Mar 10br /br /span class="fullpost"strongDeveloping a Strategy/strongbr /br /Long Confirmation Entry for T (NYSE) at $25.10 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /br /strongForex Bull Trender/strong br /br /Long Confirmation Entry for NZDUSD (FX) at 0.6870 (EoD) on 05 Mar 10br /br /strongForex High Winners /strongbr /br /Long Confirmation Entry for EURUSD (FX) at 1.3610 (EoD) on 05 Mar 10br /br /strongFrankfurt High Winners /strongbr /br /Long Confirmation Entry for PFV (Frankfurt) at €57.80 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /New Long Target and Stop for DEZ (Frankfurt) at €3.96 (EoD): Target €4.19, Stop €3.79 on 08 Mar 10br /New Long Target and Stop for DB1 (Frankfurt) at €53.35 (EoD): Target €58.91, Stop €50.87 on 08 Mar 10br /Long Entry for KRN (Frankfurt) at €38.08 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /Long Unacted Entry for RWE (Frankfurt) at €63.73 (EoD): Entry signal given, but exited position on same stock too recently (9) days ago. on 08 Mar 10br /br /strongIndia Oak/strong br /br /Short Unacted Entry for CRGR (Mumbai) at INR260.5 (EoD): Entry signal given, but exited position on same stock too recently (14) days ago. on 08 Mar 10br /Short Exit at Stop for GACM (Mumbai) at INR111.6 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /Short Exit at Trailing Stop for HDIL (Mumbai) at INR327.9 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /br /strongIndian Golden Brown /strongbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for GACM (Mumbai) at INR114.5 (EoD): Target INR127.3, Stop INR104.2 on 08 Mar 10br /Long Exit at Stop for CRGR (Mumbai) at INR260.0 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /br /strongIndian High Winners /strongbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for GACM (Mumbai) at INR114.5 (EoD): Target INR127.3, Stop INR110.0 on 08 Mar 10br /New Long Target and Stop for KOTAK (Mumbai) at INR810.0 (EoD): Target INR896.5, Stop INR774.3 on 08 Mar 10br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for CRGR (Mumbai) at INR260.0 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /br /strongIndian Strength/strong br /br /New Long Target and Stop for GACM (Mumbai) at INR112.4 (EoD): Target INR127.3, Stop INR106.5 on 08 Mar 10br /New Long Target and Stop for ESRO (Mumbai) at INR141.9 (EoD): Target INR164.8, Stop INR137.8 on 08 Mar 10br /Long Exit at Stop for NTML (Mumbai) at INR396.5 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /Long Exit at Trailing Stop for CRGR (Mumbai) at INR260.0 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /br /strongMA Crossover /strongbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for CSCO (Nasdaq) at $25.30 (EoD): Target $29.00, Stop $24.25 on 08 Mar 10br /br /strongMumbai Elm /strongbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for ESRO (Mumbai) at INR149.8 (EoD): Target INR164.8, Stop INR134.8 on 08 Mar 10br /br /strongShort Trender/strongbr / br /Short Exit at Stop for CSCO (Nasdaq) at $25.51 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /br /strongUK High Winners/strong br /br /New Long Target and Stop for MAI (London) at 149p (EoD): Target 171p, Stop 147p on 08 Mar 10br /New Long Target and Stop for STHR (London) at 323p (EoD): Target 359p, Stop 310p on 08 Mar 10br /Long Entry for TBK (London) at 476p (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /br /strongUS High Winners /strongbr /br /Long Confirmation Entry for T (NYSE) at $25.10 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /br /strongUS Oak /strongbr /br /Exit at Stop for CSCO (Nasdaq) at $25.34 (EoD) on 08 Mar 10br /br /strongUS Strength /strongbr /br /New Long Target and Stop for CSCO (Nasdaq) at $25.67 (EoD): Target $29.00, Stop $24.25 on 08 Mar 10br /br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /How to a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/personal_finance/financial_tools.aspx"Get Started with Zignals/abr /br /Build a trading strategy in Zignals and potentially earn money too; download our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/download/Building_a_Trading_Strategy.pdf"Build a Trading Strategy PDF/a and get selling (and trading) today!br /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a or the Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategy MarketPlace/a. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a. br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/register.aspx"JOIN US TODAY - IT'S FREE!/a /spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-6473510690253373566?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Build a FREE Trading Strategy with Indian Stocks (BSE and NSE)</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/build-a-free-trading-strategy-with-indian-stocks-bse-and-nse/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/build-a-free-trading-strategy-with-indian-stocks-bse-and-nse/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Mar 2010 11:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-8034563790186350239</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With the launch of our newly added a href="http://www.zignals.com"NSE data/a now is a great time to take advantage and build a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading strategy/a using Indian stocks. br /br /The first step with using any of our Indian data is to ensure you have access to the data. To do this, ensure the [India] and [Stock] boxes are checked in the stock filter options. You can find the stock filter options by clicking the funnel icon inside any of the stock search bars available in our applications or on the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Dashboard/a. br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S4z7F4LlXsI/AAAAAAAABO4/wjGAGO8ZGL4/s1600-h/Chart+settings.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 198px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S4z7F4LlXsI/AAAAAAAABO4/wjGAGO8ZGL4/s320/Chart+settings.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5444002127982976706" //abr /span class="fullpost"Next is to create a stocklist. There are two ways to do this: The first is to build a hand-picked stocklist inside the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"Trading System/a builder. The second is to use the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_screener/stock_screener.aspx"Stock Screener/a to build your stocklist.br /br /The easiest way is to use the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_screener/stock_screener.aspx"stock screener/a. So for this filters were set for emReturn on Equity /em greater than 17% and a em% Change in Revenue; Annual vs Annual/em of 25% or more, but we have a huge range of options to filter by (and exchanges too). For the purposes of the backtest it is best to use BSE stocks as we have a larger archive of data for testing, but trading strategies can be built using either NSE or BSE stocks. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S45oard1KbI/AAAAAAAABPw/StG2-R9EjJ0/s1600-h/StockScreenIndia.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 172px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S45oard1KbI/AAAAAAAABPw/StG2-R9EjJ0/s320/StockScreenIndia.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5444403807091239346" //abr /The aforementioned scan reduced the list of stocks to 12. Check all of your results, created a new stocklist ("strongBSE List/strong"), then added the stocks to the stock list. br /br /With a core set of stocks to work with, next is to build a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading strategy/a around them.br /br /When you open the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system builder/a you will be greeted with a splash page which will help you get started - go to Create a New Trading Strategy.br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S45DyQJjJLI/AAAAAAAABPQ/mremFDp2Q-4/s1600-h/getstarted1.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 276px; height: 262px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S45DyQJjJLI/AAAAAAAABPQ/mremFDp2Q-4/s320/getstarted1.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5444363530145047730" //a br /The first step defines the risk management, the size of the starting portfolio, the delay between trades, slippage and the amount of capital allocated across positions. Default settings auto-calculate the amount per trade (based on the number of stocks in the stocklist), use a 15-day delay between trades and build in a 0.2% slippage on entry and exits for a 100,000 Rupee account. br /br /In the strategy detailed here I have increased the starting captial to 1,000,000 Rupee, the maximum investment to 100,000 per trade (it's necessary to first uncheck the autocalculate option to change the value then recheck the autocalculate when done), reduced the delay between trades to 5 days and increased the Trailing stop percentage to 10% and the Profit Target to 50%. You can read more about risk managment settings in this earlier a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/11/trading-strategy-risk-management.html"article/a. Finally, don't forget to give your trading strategy a name!br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S45qzgxJOeI/AAAAAAAABQA/uVCkQnbZEkI/s1600-h/Indiansetup.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 211px; height: 320px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S45qzgxJOeI/AAAAAAAABQA/uVCkQnbZEkI/s320/Indiansetup.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5444406432739441122" //abr /The next step ("Step 2: Choose Stocks") is to bring in the stocklist. This strategy will use the stocklist created by the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_screener/stock_screener.aspx"Stock Screener/a, but this is also the opportunity to create a new stocklist or even edit an existing stocklist. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S45qUpqeVMI/AAAAAAAABP4/ryaspbGV61Q/s1600-h/Stocklistsetup.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 163px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S45qUpqeVMI/AAAAAAAABP4/ryaspbGV61Q/s320/Stocklistsetup.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5444405902551438530" //abr /The third step is to introduce some rules ("Step 3: Rules"). The easiest set of rules to use are moving averages. Here we will create a rule set which trades two exponential moving average crossovers when price is above both 200-day and 50-day moving averages (i.e. when prices are in a strong uptrend). br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S45rgb0CrTI/AAAAAAAABQI/_hv4r3U7YKM/s1600-h/Rulesetindia.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 188px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S45rgb0CrTI/AAAAAAAABQI/_hv4r3U7YKM/s320/Rulesetindia.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5444407204503530802" //abr /The final construction phase is to backtest the strategy. Because we have just removed the wrapping off our NSE data we only have a few months of historic data to work with, so it's difficult to run a comprehensive backtest until additional data is collected. However, we have extensive historic data for BSE which allows us to run a comprehensive backtest ("Step 4: Back Test"). br /br /If you want to do a quick backtest, simply 'Run' the strategy; this will run the strategy over the past 2 years from today. Alternatively, you can select the timeframe for the backtest from the "Step 4: Back Test" menu. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S45uQ-3oPsI/AAAAAAAABQQ/N-bVcCeRLcE/s1600-h/backtest.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 66px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S45uQ-3oPsI/AAAAAAAABQQ/N-bVcCeRLcE/s320/backtest.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5444410237570793154" //abr /When a strategy is run there is an option to create a Portfolio (created inside the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/portfolio_manager.aspx"Portfolio Manager/a application). A Portfolio will give you a detailed analysis of the strategy performance over the past 2 years. It will also show the current holdings of the portfolio.br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S450CpT9hTI/AAAAAAAABQY/QMPCSk0V8Aw/s1600-h/IndiaPortfolio.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 266px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S450CpT9hTI/AAAAAAAABQY/QMPCSk0V8Aw/s320/IndiaPortfolio.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5444416588335646002" //abr /The final step ("Step 5: Publish") activates the trading strategy and starts the process of delivering trading signals to you (via email). It's also the point at which the trading strategy becomes available in the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a for other users to subscribe to it. Once we are out of Beta it will be possible to earn real cash selling your published trading strategies in our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a.br /br /When Publishing a strategy, give it a brief description outlining its purpose. The rules for the strategy are kept hidden from the subscriber, but your description can indicate whether it's a strategy based on following a trend or built around a given sector (for example) etc. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S452A23M2kI/AAAAAAAABQg/BkfYjIXYIlQ/s1600-h/Publishindia.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 282px; height: 320px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S452A23M2kI/AAAAAAAABQg/BkfYjIXYIlQ/s320/Publishindia.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5444418756636629570" //abr /You can finally view your strategy in the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a when published. Build as many as strategies as you like in as many markets you want to explore; the choice is yours.br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S453ExFWa4I/AAAAAAAABQo/fBqgbkF8JcU/s1600-h/MarketPlaceIndia.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 228px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S453ExFWa4I/AAAAAAAABQo/fBqgbkF8JcU/s320/MarketPlaceIndia.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5444419923316468610" //abr /Happy Publishing!br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /How to a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/personal_finance/financial_tools.aspx"Get Started with Zignals/abr /br /Build a trading strategy in Zignals and potentially earn money too; download our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/download/Building_a_Trading_Strategy.pdf"Build a Trading Strategy PDF/a and get selling (and trading) today!br /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a or the Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategy MarketPlace/a. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a. br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/register.aspx"JOIN US TODAY - IT'S FREE!/a /spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-8034563790186350239?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>The SP Review for February 2010</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/the-sp-review-for-february-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/the-sp-review-for-february-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Feb 2010 10:30:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-4271748450744555777</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While we work to restore a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a following a DDoS attack I took another look at the relative position of the SP to its key moving averages (20-day, 50-day and 200-day). In a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2010/01/s-review.html"January/a I summarised:br /br /blockquoteIf you are a bull and are looking at buying this dip it may be prudent to run a tight stop of 1-2%. Stay out altogether if the SP loses more than 6% off its 50-day MA.br /br /If you are an unsure as to what to do, it's best to take what profits you have and adopt a wait-and-see approach, or at least keep your market exposure to a comfortable minimum.br /br /If you are a bear, then any rally which emerges should stall out at the 20-day MA; only when a sequence of lower highs and lower lows emerges will the trend be in your favour/blockquotespan class="fullpost"In the weeks that followed the SP lost a maximum of 4.9% to the 50-day MA and was able to break above its 20-day MA - favouring bulls.  It is currently pegged by its 50-day MA and today is in a battle at the 20-day MA so bears are having more influence. However, the market still has to put in a lower low so the long standing bull trend from March 2009 is intact. br /br /One of the concerns from January was the pre-crash match to 1987; but this match no longer features. Of the time periods in play we have gone from a very narrow pitch to a very loose collection:br /br /strongMarch 2004: 2 matches/strongbr /strongDecember 1997: 1 match/strongbr /strongApril 1997: 1 match /strongbr /strongJanuary 1996: 1 match /strongbr /strongJanuary 1986: 1 match/strongbr /strongApril 1985: 2 matches/strongbr /strongAugust 1983: 1 match/strongbr /strongSeptember 1978: 1 match/strongbr /strongJune 1976: 2 matches/strongbr /strongApril 1972: 1 match/strongbr /strongJuly 1967: 2 match/strongbr /strongApril 1967: 1 match/strongbr /strongMay 1964: 1 match/strongbr /strongJuly 1963: 1 match/strongbr /strongOctober 1955: 1 match/strongbr /br /The one that stood out was the 2004 match as Babak of a href="http://www.tradersnarrative.com/market-momentum-suggests-pause-ahead-3661.html"Trader's Narrative/a has continuously mentioned the similarities of the current market to the market back then. From the perspective of the chart what tends to follow is a trading range. In the case of 2004 there is a mild bearish bias - but no meltdown. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S4apBcUHjqI/AAAAAAAABOI/NGVb1TMgiz4/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-NAS2004.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 229px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S4apBcUHjqI/AAAAAAAABOI/NGVb1TMgiz4/s320/Stock-Chart-NAS2004.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5442223041969360546" //abr /Taking a second look at the aforementioned matches they tented to group by yearsbr /br /strong1996-97: 3 matches/strong emBULLISH/embr /br /All these matches were pauses in the longstanding advance. April 1997 is typical of this pausebr /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S4arLRLQgTI/AAAAAAAABOQ/nmozQ9U49HM/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-SPX1996.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 230px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S4arLRLQgTI/AAAAAAAABOQ/nmozQ9U49HM/s320/Stock-Chart-SPX1996.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5442225409801355570" //abr /strong1983-86: 3 matches/strong emTRADING RANGE/embr /br /The chart for 1986 was very similar to '96/'97 with a pause in the advance. However, the other two matches lead to more scrappy affairs - not unlike 2004.br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S4asdbgJL6I/AAAAAAAABOY/bOv8H8sUrCM/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-SPX1983.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 198px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S4asdbgJL6I/AAAAAAAABOY/bOv8H8sUrCM/s320/Stock-Chart-SPX1983.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5442226821322583970" //abr /strong1976-78: 3 matches/strong emTRADING RANGE/embr /br /A trading range was also the result for the '76/'78 matches:br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S4atdQr4C6I/AAAAAAAABOg/QM22aVsy2og/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-SPX1976.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 233px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S4atdQr4C6I/AAAAAAAABOg/QM22aVsy2og/s320/Stock-Chart-SPX1976.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5442227917930630050" //abr /strong1963-67: 5 matches/strong emBULLISH/embr /br /1967 was a bit of a mixed bag with a scrappy rally, while matches for '63/'64 had more in common with '96/'97. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S4avE4wCrdI/AAAAAAAABOw/xWmoOEPL6Ik/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-SPX-Feb1967.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 230px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S4avE4wCrdI/AAAAAAAABOw/xWmoOEPL6Ik/s320/Stock-Chart-SPX-Feb1967.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5442229698212048338" //abr /The odd matches were 1955 and 1972 with one count to the bulls (1955) and one for a trading range (1972). br /br /However, all trading ranges eventually gave way to rallies. So, is current market behaviour simply a pause in a longer advance? Has the counter rally done enough to instill belief the economy is recovering? The answer would appear to be 'Yes' - although those in Europe might not feel it.br /br /However, meandering around in a trading range for the next 12 months would not be surprising.  br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a; many are ranked in the top-20 for 3-month and YTD performance. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a; ranked top-20 software product out of 285 listed. Join today - it's free!/spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-4271748450744555777?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>DDoS Attack</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/ddos-attack/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/ddos-attack/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Feb 2010 12:57:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Zignals.com is currently down due to a DDoS attack. We are working to get the site back as soon as possible. br /br /span class="fullpost"Thank you for your patiencebr /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a; many are ranked in the top-20 for 3-month and YTD performance. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a; ranked top-20 software product out of 285 listed. Join today - it's free!/spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-1014390876744876119?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Trading Strategies That Work</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-trading-strategies-that-work-3/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-trading-strategies-that-work-3/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Feb 2010 13:49:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[With upswing and recent channel breaks in the markets there were a number of new trading strategy signals generated. A small sample of these signals is given below, but if you are looking to try a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a for yourself then head over to our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a and find your system today.br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S3VfnpMC9QI/AAAAAAAABMk/Oo4TmzNSsmA/s1600-h/StrategySignalsFeb12.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 277px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S3VfnpMC9QI/AAAAAAAABMk/Oo4TmzNSsmA/s320/StrategySignalsFeb12.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5437357259795657986" //abr /span class="fullpost"emIncomeKing/em saw a number of new long signals. The first of which was for Apple (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNTY4?end"AAPL/a). a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNTY4?end"AAPL/a has recovered well from its lows over the course recession, building a solid handle at 2008 highs. Because of this strength I have offered a trading idea for a measured move to $319 with a stop on a loss of $190, but it will be interesting to see how far this trade signal takes it for emIncomeKing/em.  br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S3VoDckOkcI/AAAAAAAABM0/OB_li3CwQ-E/s1600-h/AAPLFeb12.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 169px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S3VoDckOkcI/AAAAAAAABM0/OB_li3CwQ-E/s320/AAPLFeb12.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5437366533536780738" //abr /emUK Movers 1/em had a long entry for Vodafone (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNTcw?end"VOD/a). Not for the first time to see Vodafone on a buy signal. There is an existing call of mine from January 20th for a push to 144.35p, but this idea looks conservative with the bigger prize a measured move to 2008 highs around 195p an improving proposition. Since last October the stock has traded in the upper range of its consolidation - a bullish sign. Even if this was to fall it should see support at rising triangle support, currently at 125p.br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S3VthiRxFxI/AAAAAAAABM8/-utNozRhxnA/s1600-h/VODFeb12.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 169px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S3VthiRxFxI/AAAAAAAABM8/-utNozRhxnA/s320/VODFeb12.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5437372548024178450" //abr /emForex Bull Trender/em had a couple of unacted long entries for EURUSD and GBPUSD for February 9th with a confirmed entry for a href="http://www.zignals.com/ChartAnalyzerWeb/ChartAnalizerMainPage.aspx?param=VlczNTc0?end"NZDUSD/a. The a href="http://www.zignals.com/ChartAnalyzerWeb/ChartAnalizerMainPage.aspx?param=VlczNTc0?end"NZDUSD/a trade-signal is given the New Zealand Dollar hasn't the same level of uncertainty attached to it as the Euro, Dollar or even Sterling. The currency pair is working off a consolidation after a well maintained rally. It has the potential to rise to parity, but how far the trade signal takes this is another matter. With it trading near broadening wedge support, long-side positions are favoured. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S3VztzthPDI/AAAAAAAABNE/ihfz75az0tg/s1600-h/NZDUSDFeb12.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 147px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S3VztzthPDI/AAAAAAAABNE/ihfz75az0tg/s320/NZDUSDFeb12.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5437379355932179506" //abr /emUS High Winners/em had a number of long signal entries, most recent of which were for a href="http://www.zignals.com/ChartAnalyzerWeb/ChartAnalizerMainPage.aspx?param=VlczNTc2?end"BA/a and CAT.br /br /The case for a href="http://www.zignals.com/ChartAnalyzerWeb/ChartAnalizerMainPage.aspx?param=VlczNTc2?end"BA/a doesn't look good. While still holding above rising support from the March lows there is evidence for the development of a bearish wedge over the course of this rally, with a bear flag for the past week thrown into the mix. The most likely outcome here is a stop hit - but let the market decide.br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S3V4uZ_kJhI/AAAAAAAABNM/W6JohsG_jZo/s1600-h/BAFeb12.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 147px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S3V4uZ_kJhI/AAAAAAAABNM/W6JohsG_jZo/s320/BAFeb12.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5437384863766554130" //abr /The second long signal was for a href="http://www.zignals.com/ChartAnalyzerWeb/ChartAnalizerMainPage.aspx?param=VlczNTc3?end"CAT/a. Unlike Boeing, Caterpillar has a more sustainable long term trend to work from with a recent breakout from the 2010 nascent downtrend. The break of $60 in the early weeks of 2010 has the look of a more permanent top so a retest of the highs is perhaps the best bet, although it may struggle to get past $62.br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S3V6zSYzFEI/AAAAAAAABNU/_3vYVq8mOLc/s1600-h/CATFeb12.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 147px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S3V6zSYzFEI/AAAAAAAABNU/_3vYVq8mOLc/s320/CATFeb12.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5437387146647508034" //abr /Food for thought for Friday's trading day. Find your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a and pick your favoured trades; creating and subscribing-to trading strategies is free during beta. a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/register.aspx"Zignals is free to use and join/a.   br /  br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a; many are ranked in the top-20 for 3-month and YTD performance. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a; ranked top-20 software product out of 285 listed. Join today - it's free!/spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-2429931255646456940?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Commodities Crash or Opportunity?</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/commodities-crash-or-opportunity/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/commodities-crash-or-opportunity/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 10:18:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Today saw a couple of articles from a href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2010/02/commodities-kiss-of-death-is-reflation.html"Mish/a and a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/commodity-crash-and-sp-500-vix-correlations"Zero Hedge/a on upcoming doom and gloom in the commodity markets. While short term weakness has given to a more protracted intermediate down phase (potentially lasting up to 6 months), it doesn't mean this is the end for commodities.br /br /span class="fullpost"Unlike equities markets which enjoyed stellar secular growth from the early eighties, gold and commodities in general, had been languishing up until late 2002 / early 2003 when new secular bull trends kicked off. For gold markets the trend has been obvious:br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2wBx5KTQII/AAAAAAAABME/z1zYOsjnvOI/s1600-h/GoldSecular.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 188px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2wBx5KTQII/AAAAAAAABME/z1zYOsjnvOI/s320/GoldSecular.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5434720806998589570" //abr /Oil prices have had a more erratic start to their secular bull market, dropping to the bargain basement price of $30 in late 2008 after a parabolic price surge.br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2wCfTyCKmI/AAAAAAAABMM/B3Wd5AM6WSI/s1600-h/OilSecular.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 188px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2wCfTyCKmI/AAAAAAAABMM/B3Wd5AM6WSI/s320/OilSecular.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5434721587238677090" //abr /Even Soybean prices have managed to sustain a break of 800 following an earlier failed attempt in 2004. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2wGptqcqSI/AAAAAAAABMU/adDGUT915Ps/s1600-h/Soybeansecular.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 188px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2wGptqcqSI/AAAAAAAABMU/adDGUT915Ps/s320/Soybeansecular.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5434726164031383842" //abr /So while commodities are enjoying a secular bull run this doesn't mean they are immune to cyclical bear markets. Commodities peak in 2008 marked the start of new cyclical bear markets, which will keep sustainable commodity rallies curtailed until 2012-2013. It is clear the recent counter-rally hadn't the juice to challenge former highs so a lengthy trading range is likely to emerge as commodities find their 'fair price', but this shouldn't be viewed as a doom-and-gloom scenario.  br /br /Taking a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNTQ0?end"Gold/a as an example, we have seen the 15-month trend crack as it entered an intermediate down trend with the potential to last up to 6 months (assuming this is nothing more than an intermediate-term correction). On a simple count-back we are looking at a downtrend which started 2 months ago and has the legs to last longer. If the trend proves to be on the short-side in terms of time then defined support at $1,025 looks the best place for a reaction low. If the downtrend extends to 6-months (give or take) then a thick band of support, termed the "Value Buyer Zone", between $725 and $850 is a possible catch point. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2wXuFoKSeI/AAAAAAAABMc/Lg0D8TdmmmA/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-Gold.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 171px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2wXuFoKSeI/AAAAAAAABMc/Lg0D8TdmmmA/s320/Stock-Chart-Gold.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5434744930881391074" //abr /br /Irrespective of what happens over the coming 6 months, the prospects for commodity markets over the next next 10-20 years would appear to be brighter than they are for equities, stuck half-way as they are in a secular bear market. The only grey area will be the performance of commodity-based equities? Will they offer the best value of all?br /br /How can you avail of these opportunities? With both commodity and stock prices you can use Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/stock_alerts.aspx"Stock Alerts/a to trigger when certain price points are breached. For example - if you want an alert for when gold gets to $1.025 you can set an alert to trigger on a price cross below $1,026 (emGldUSD/em is the symbol for Gold prices in a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals/a). You can apply the same logic for gold prices dropping to $850/oz. br /br /Alternatively, you can create a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a to take advantage of bullish commodity prices and sell it in the Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategy/a MarketPlace (free during Beta).br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a; many are ranked in the top-20 for 3-month and YTD performance. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a; ranked top-20 software product out of 285 listed. Join today - it's free!/spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-110946745417096823?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Trading Strategies That Work</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-trading-strategies-that-work-2/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-trading-strategies-that-work-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jan 2010 14:40:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-7275803573885036664</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This week's sample a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a signals come from the strong108/strong a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading systems/a listed in the Advanced-Search Stragies of the Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"MarketPlace/a.br /br /emShort Trender [December] New Short Target and Stop for a href="http://www.zignals.com/ChartAnalyzerWeb/ChartAnalizerMainPage.aspx?param=VlczNTEw?end"CSCO/a (Nasdaq) at $22.67 (EoD): Target $19.24, Stop $24.45/em. Battle Royale in the $22.50-$22.85 support zone with bears winning today's battle (so far). Initial short trigger came on December 15th. A break of $22.55 sets up the possibility for a measured move down to $20. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2Gv12GaElI/AAAAAAAABLc/mO8pibVSqW4/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-CSCOJan28.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 219px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2Gv12GaElI/AAAAAAAABLc/mO8pibVSqW4/s320/Stock-Chart-CSCOJan28.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5431815965175845458" //abr /span class="fullpost"emUK High Winners New Long Target and Stop for a href="http://www.zignals.com/ChartAnalyzerWeb/ChartAnalizerMainPage.aspx?param=VlczNTEx?end"CCT/a (London) at 83p (EoD): Target 94p, Stop 81p/em. Three days of solid gains on rising volume have pushed this up to 88p from 75p. Recent a href="http://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/it-s-all-go-go-at-character-digilook-25b137547a98.html"positive earnings/a will have helped drive the rally. The strategy purchased the stock at 75p on January 25th.br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2G0lfueMOI/AAAAAAAABLk/4A8XpgX8rag/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-CCTJan28.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 228px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2G0lfueMOI/AAAAAAAABLk/4A8XpgX8rag/s320/Stock-Chart-CCTJan28.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5431821181850104034" //abr /emASX Oak New Short Target and Stop for a href="http://www.zignals.com/ChartAnalyzerWeb/ChartAnalizerMainPage.aspx?param=VlczNTEy?end"WPL/a (Sydney) at AU$43.01 (EoD): Target AU$38.50, Stop AU$47.06/em. This short trade was entered back in October 2009. The stock has seen recent troubles with a a href="http://au.biz.yahoo.com/100128/19/2ay0t.html"workers strike/a, but its the trend which is helping the trade most here.br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2G6hjKUgXI/AAAAAAAABLs/9KxPVwsDTGM/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-WPLJan28.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 218px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2G6hjKUgXI/AAAAAAAABLs/9KxPVwsDTGM/s320/Stock-Chart-WPLJan28.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5431827711122506098" //abr /emIndian Strength Long Exit at Trailing Stop for a href="http://www.zignals.com/ChartAnalyzerWeb/ChartAnalizerMainPage.aspx?param=VlczNTEz?end"TELCO/a (Mumbai) at INR724.3 (EoD)/em. With markets acclerating their loses there have been a large number of stop exits. However, some of these exits have come away with some reasonable returns. In this example, Telco - bought on November 30th and sold on Wednesday's close - returned 13%.br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2G-_8uxjgI/AAAAAAAABL0/rvTtNBt9nT0/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-TELCOJan28.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 218px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2G-_8uxjgI/AAAAAAAABL0/rvTtNBt9nT0/s320/Stock-Chart-TELCOJan28.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5431832631428877826" //abr /emISEQ Elm Long Exit at Trailing Stop for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNTE0?end"DCC/a (ISEQ) at €18.86 (EoD)/em. A successful long trade - although it was unfortunate there wan't other long signals to take advantage of the well defined channel. Trade was entered at the end of November and exited on January 26th for a modest 4.6% gain. Given weakness in other markets the stop hit is looking prudent. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2HIQt9o4FI/AAAAAAAABL8/_xll7bSpxRw/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-DCCJan28.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 265px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2HIQt9o4FI/AAAAAAAABL8/_xll7bSpxRw/s320/Stock-Chart-DCCJan28.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5431842815127117906" //a br /How have your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a performed? Find a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"yours/a today.   br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a; many are ranked in the top-20 for 3-month and YTD performance. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a; ranked top-20 software product out of 285 listed. Join today - it's free!/spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-7275803573885036664?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>The SP Review</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/the-sp-review-3/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/the-sp-review-3/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2010 11:37:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-3540103678209461422</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With markets suffering more than a 'speed wobble' I took another looks at the SP  with respect to its key moving averages and what we can look too as possible outcomes based on past behaviour. In a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/12/s-review.html"December/a I summarizedbr /br /blockquoteMy favoured outcome for 2010 is perhaps one along the lines of 1971. A market which has seen huge outsize gains in one year is likely to follow with another where very little happens at all. 2010 will likely be a difficult year to trade, but hopefully it will be viewed more in the context of a psychological recovery rather than a material one; it could set up 2011 to be a very good year for all.../blockquotebr /span class="fullpost"As of Janauary 26th 2010 the SP was strong8%/strong above its 200-day MA, strong-2%/strong below its 50-day MA and strong-3%/strong below its 20-day MA. In October 30th 2009 the SP was -3% down on its 20-day MA and -1.5% down from its 50-day MA (although 13% above its 200-day MA); but this was the day of the last significant reaction low and the launching point for the current leg of the rally.br /br /However, when we look for matches across all three moving averages (dating back to 1950) a number of time periods emerge - but not all relate to prior time period matches. If we look back from the very first review we have: br /br /In a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2008/06/s-moving-average-behavior.html"June 2008/a there was a number of possible outcomes; strongest associations were to 2001, 2002, 2003 with honorable mentions to 2008, 1982, 1981, 1969 and 1957.br /In a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2008/10/s-moving-average-behaviour-revisited.html"October 2008/a matches fell to 1962, 1970, 1974, 2001 and 2002br /For a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2008/11/so-do-we-have-obama-market-bottom.html"November 2008/a it was down to 1974 and 2002. br /In a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/09/nasdaq-sep-22nd-2008-2179-sep-22nd-2009.html"September 2009/a the matching action was 1955, 1975, 1980, 1982, 1983, 1986 and 1987.br /In a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/12/s-review.html"December 2009/a we had matches for 1971, 1975, 1983, 1986, 1987 and 1997. br /Now, in January 2010 we have a broad number of matches: 1999, 1998, 1987, 1986, 1971, 1967, 1963, 1961, 1959 and 1954.br /br /Since the March bottom in 2009 the SP has been matching the action of 1986 and 1987. However, for the current state of play the strongest matches were to March-June 1999 with May-June 1971 next and March 1963 after that.br /br /So how did the SP look during these periods?br /br /strong1999/strongbr /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2AwrgPF8pI/AAAAAAAABK0/2ghlxMaT32s/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-SPXJan26.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 166px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2AwrgPF8pI/AAAAAAAABK0/2ghlxMaT32s/s320/Stock-Chart-SPXJan26.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5431394674554565266" //abr /The year had a bullish bias, although in percentage terms 1999 was not a big winner for bulls. This scrappy behavior continued to its eventual peak in 2000 (@1,553). Whipsaw action made for difficult trading conditions with momemtum indicators (like stochastics) providing better trade entries than trend following indicators (like the MACD); will 2010 be another such year?br /br /strong1971/strongbr /br /In a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/12/s-review.html"December/a the relative position of the market looked like this with the bias bullish:br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEOSaesn5I/AAAAAAAABE8/eJXSEyyzLgw/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-1971.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 202px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEOSaesn5I/AAAAAAAABE8/eJXSEyyzLgw/s320/Stock-Chart-1971.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413623936584556434" //abr /Now the market mapping is after the 1971 peak and heading down with a bearish biasbr /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2A_7bLTd9I/AAAAAAAABK8/sjePESUxfVY/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-SPXJan26b.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 168px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2A_7bLTd9I/AAAAAAAABK8/sjePESUxfVY/s320/Stock-Chart-SPXJan26b.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5431411440748820434" //abr /In 1971 the SP stayed relatively close to its 50-day MA with a maximum distance of 6% away from the MA. While the market was ultimately bearish, it wasn't a market controlled by sharp selloffs; it was a market where cash-is-king.br /br /strong1963/strongbr /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2BDAxadrlI/AAAAAAAABLE/Pr8FyUnltCU/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-Jan26b.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 203px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2BDAxadrlI/AAAAAAAABLE/Pr8FyUnltCU/s320/Stock-Chart-Jan26b.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5431414831152213586" //abr /The 1963 match provides the most bullish scenario. Here the market followed with solid gains throughout the rest of the year; the most the SP lost to its 50-day MA was -4% in November. The match strengthens when you look back to 1962. In June 1962 the SP suffered a meltdown which left the SP -23% below its 200-day MA, -15% below its 50-day MA and -7% off its 20-day MA - while not the damage of March 2009 there is a precedent. A similar match occured in a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2008/10/s-moving-average-behaviour-revisited.html"October 2008/a - the difference came in the March 2009 low which was lower than the October 2008 low, whereas the October 1962 low was higher than its June low - but in each case a major market bottom was left in place. As for the ensuing rally, it wasn't until April 1966 that it eventually stalled, a rally which lasted the best part of 4 years.  br /br /strong1986/strongbr /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2BJVANVnCI/AAAAAAAABLM/oRL29UnkTKE/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-SPXJan26c.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 202px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2BJVANVnCI/AAAAAAAABLM/oRL29UnkTKE/s320/Stock-Chart-SPXJan26c.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5431421775790840866" //abr /On the continuity scale we still have 1986 in play. Here the market spent the best part of 1986 trading a tight range until a breakout into 1987. While not a great market to trade, it wasn't one which brought heavy losses - unlike in 1987.br /br /strong1987/strongbr /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2BQ78o2eGI/AAAAAAAABLU/cgi8cZBd0m8/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-Jan26c.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 219px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S2BQ78o2eGI/AAAAAAAABLU/cgi8cZBd0m8/s320/Stock-Chart-Jan26c.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5431430141428791394" //abr /While there was only one matching time period, we haven't been able to shake 1987 off as a possible outcome. A crash like in 1987 will require a catalyst and (unfortunately) the stakes required to trigger such crashes appear to be rising. The only thing about 1987 is it doesn't fit with a general theme for a lacklustre market as 1999, 1986, and 1971 suggest will happen.br /br /If one is to play cautious you could argue for a movement to cash, given sideways markets are best played from the sidelines and no point looking to scramble out if a 1987-style crash was to make an appearance. The good news is if 1962-63 is setting the tone there could be another couple of years left in this rally.br /br /strongWhat to do?/strongbr /br /If you are a bull and are looking at buying this dip it may be prudent to run a tight stop of 1-2%. Stay out altogether if the SP loses more than 6% off its 50-day MA.br /br /If you are an unsure as to what to do, it's best to take what profits you have and adopt a wait-and-see approach, or at least keep your market exposure to a comfortable minimum.br /br /If you are a bear, then any rally which emerges should stall out at the 20-day MA; only when a sequence of lower highs and lower lows emerges will the trend be in your favour. br /br /Track your stock stops with Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a or take the emotion out of your decision making by subscribing to one of 107 a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategies/a available on a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/abr /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a; many are ranked in the top-20 for 3-month and YTD performance. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a; ranked top-20 software product out of 285 listed. Join today - it's free!/spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-3540103678209461422?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Trading Strategies That Work.</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-trading-strategies-that-work/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Jan 2010 15:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-514371248002921700</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here I present some of the trade signals triggered after yesterday's close and today, intraday, from a small portion of the emstrong105/strong/em trading strategies available for subscribers from the emAdvanced Search - Strategies/em menu in the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace for Trading Strategies/a. br /br /emETF Heaven - Medium Long Confirmation Entry for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNDQw?end"QID/a (NYSE)/em. The inverse ETF of the QQQQs has yet to emerge from its $18.25-19.25 trading range, but once it does it will have room to run to $21s and possibly more. As a straight trading idea there is a 10%+ reward on a 4% risk.br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1h8O-V7OaI/AAAAAAAABKE/9_OJHGAmQ18/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-QID-+Jan21.jpg"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 194px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1h8O-V7OaI/AAAAAAAABKE/9_OJHGAmQ18/s320/Stock-Chart-QID-+Jan21.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5429225947490105762" //abr /span class="fullpost"embul-lock Long Entry for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNDQx?end"CREE/a (Nasdaq)/em. Whether this will play out as a whipsaw trade given the sharp move down to up, there is at least a powerful bull trend to back the signal.br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1h91F9liwI/AAAAAAAABKM/0b9nreLeU1Q/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-CREE-Jan21.jpg"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 193px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1h91F9liwI/AAAAAAAABKM/0b9nreLeU1Q/s320/Stock-Chart-CREE-Jan21.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5429227701882161922" //abr /emUK High Winners [December] New Long Target and Stop for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNDQy?end"NSR/a (London) at 46p (EoD): Target 52p, Stop 45p/em. This position was originally entered on January 4th at 42.08p and is up 12.9% as of today's price. The stock remains range bound by 37.50p support and 47.50p resistance. A break of 47.50p resistance would bring up a measured move target of 57.50p - but todays easing back of resistance won't help matters in the short term. br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1iAhUojaqI/AAAAAAAABKU/O-zEzTh7InA/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-NSR-Jan21.jpg"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 193px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1iAhUojaqI/AAAAAAAABKU/O-zEzTh7InA/s320/Stock-Chart-NSR-Jan21.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5429230660757973666" //abr /emUS Strength Target Notification Hit for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNDQz?end"SBUX/a (Nasdaq) at $24.19 (Intraday): Target $24.04 on 21Jan 14:30; Signal confirmation required at market close/em. The initial position was taken on 23rd November 2009 at $21.85 and today's pop triggered the intraday alert for the target price. However, since the open the stock has drifted below what was resistance at $23.81 and if this remains so into the close no confirmation trigger will be made. SBUX had announced a href="http://money.cnn.com/2010/01/20/news/companies/Starbucks_earnings/index.htm?postversion=2010012017"earnings results above expectations/a after the close on Wednesday. br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1iFi_thVeI/AAAAAAAABKc/hagFRODI3bY/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-SBUX-Jan21.jpg"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 180px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1iFi_thVeI/AAAAAAAABKc/hagFRODI3bY/s320/Stock-Chart-SBUX-Jan21.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5429236187059541474" //abr /emIndian Golden Brown Long Confirmation Entry for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczNDQ0?end"HALC/a (Mumbai)/em. A solid looking entry with prices approaching the apex of a bullish flag (wedge?), contained within a larger bull channel. A suggested trading idea places a stop just below flag/wedge support with a buy on a break of flag/wedge resistance. One for Indian Traders. br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1iIALUIdlI/AAAAAAAABKk/GK1L2kNa3W8/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-HALC-Jan21.jpg"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 208px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1iIALUIdlI/AAAAAAAABKk/GK1L2kNa3W8/s320/Stock-Chart-HALC-Jan21.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5429238887413741138" //abr /This wraps the five ideas for this week. br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a; many are ranked in the top-20 for 3-month and YTD performance. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a; ranked top-20 software product out of 285 listed. Join today - it's free!/spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-514371248002921700?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Latest Zignals Stock Charts</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/latest-zignals-stock-charts/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/latest-zignals-stock-charts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Jan 2010 10:09:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-8839919362967930841</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The number of a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/stock_charts.aspx"Stock Charts/a available in the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_gallery/stock_gallery.aspx"Stock Chart Gallery/a for this week is 55. Some of the more interesting movers include:br /br /Bank of America (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMzc5?end"BAC/a): The 10-week consolidation between $14.12 and $16.40 broke to the upside on January 7th.  January 12th saw the start of the backtest of new support at $16.40 which held the next day. There was an additional gain for Thursday leaving the reaction low at $16.15 a good place for a stop loss. a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjc1?end"emManish4uin/em/a published his BAC chart on Monday, just after the breakout and in time for the backtest.  br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1BCniiKvgI/AAAAAAAABJc/1gml8y4B4ig/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-BAC-Jan15.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 287px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1BCniiKvgI/AAAAAAAABJc/1gml8y4B4ig/s320/Stock-Chart-BAC-Jan15.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5426910798033894914" //abr /span class="fullpost"ema href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjc2?end"Skwa's/a/em Research in Motion (RIMM) chart is interesting because it shows a convergence of 20-, 40- and 150-day SMAs and 150-day EMA with price trading inside the range bounce MAs. There is also a coiling pattern forming after the sizable gap down in September. If the pattern breaks down then a measured move to $40 (March lows) is not outside the realm of possibility.br /br /In my own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMzgw?end"RIMM/a notes there is a chance the coil has already broken to the upside which could see a retest of September highs at $88; to be confident of this, stiff resistance at $71.60 would have to be dispatched with aplomb. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1BGwKZyNoI/AAAAAAAABJk/jeokoYKw18I/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-RIMM-Jan15.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 287px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1BGwKZyNoI/AAAAAAAABJk/jeokoYKw18I/s320/Stock-Chart-RIMM-Jan15.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5426915344221615746" //abr /ema href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjgw?end"Nidhi/a/em posted a number of charts, one of which grabbed the eye was Power Grid India (PGRID). While the break of the triangle consolidation has long since past, the angle of the uptrend, respectable buying volume and room to move to resistance, suggest there is a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMzgx?end"little more in the tank/a.br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1BIdBnPhVI/AAAAAAAABJs/51lLpOXnK_0/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-PGRID-Jan15.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 287px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1BIdBnPhVI/AAAAAAAABJs/51lLpOXnK_0/s320/Stock-Chart-PGRID-Jan15.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5426917214467884370" //abr /Another ema href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjk3?end"Nidhi/a/em find is NTPC DS. While it is still some way off its 2008 peak high of 291Rp, the stock has emerged from a lengthy base and appears to be firming support in the 225-230Rp range. a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMzgy?end"One to watch/a.br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1BKy5s7_bI/AAAAAAAABJ0/9IVDSrywf0Q/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-NTPC-Jan15.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 287px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1BKy5s7_bI/AAAAAAAABJ0/9IVDSrywf0Q/s320/Stock-Chart-NTPC-Jan15.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5426919789324664242" //abr /Finally, ema href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMzY1?end"George305/a/em has picked out Yell Group (YELL). From his chart, stochastics are oversold and price is toying around 36.50p support. The trend has been sharply down from September 2008, but since the November spike low buying interest has emerged in the 35.50-36.50p range; one for UK traders to watch. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1BMwAT6g6I/AAAAAAAABJ8/B_TtqvdxbbA/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-Yell-Jan15.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 300px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S1BMwAT6g6I/AAAAAAAABJ8/B_TtqvdxbbA/s320/Stock-Chart-Yell-Jan15.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5426921938582406050" //abr /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a; many are ranked in the top-20 for 3-month and YTD performance. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a; ranked top-20 software product out of 285 listed. Join today - it's free!/spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-8839919362967930841?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Latest Trading Strategy Signals</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/latest-trading-strategy-signals/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/latest-trading-strategy-signals/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Jan 2010 16:22:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[December;]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-3272816437606403104</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We have over 100 a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a (in Advanced Search) available for free during beta, covering US, Indian, Canadian, UK stocks and ETFs - including some Forex strategies. a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategy/a signals are delivered by email to subscribers and are available to view on the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a. A widget with the Top 20 strategies as ranked by YTD, 3-month and MTD performance is also available in the Dashboard to view and subscribe to. Some of the more recent signals includebr /br /emstrongIndian Strength [December]/strong Target Notification Hit for PFC (Mumbai) at INR280.0 (Intraday): Target INR280.0 on 14Jan 09:25; Signal confirmation required at market close./em The position was entered at 254.51 on December 16th while the stock was in a consolidation. Today saw the end of the 6-week consolidation with a new breakout; Power Finance Corporation (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMzcy?end"PFC/a) has the potential for a measured move to 304 which may keep holders in this stock for a little longer. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S09NtteBJgI/AAAAAAAABIs/XSKrGx0bNvE/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-PFC-Jan14.jpg"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 208px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S09NtteBJgI/AAAAAAAABIs/XSKrGx0bNvE/s320/Stock-Chart-PFC-Jan14.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5426641523699688962" //a    br /span class="fullpost"emstrongForex Bull Trender [December]/strong Target Notification Hit for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMzcz?end"NZDUSD/a (FX) at 0.7436 (Intraday): Target 0.7430 on 14Jan 08:16; Signal confirmation required at market close./em The position was bought on December 9th at $0.708 and made a promising start before falling to the dominant bear trend; the decline wasn't enough to stop the position and in early January it was able to break this trend. The currency pair is hanging just below 0.7500 and an upside break would bring 0.7625 into range; 0.7360 looks to be a support level to watch. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S09Sz0FtJ1I/AAAAAAAABI0/iVRS3r7S8Ik/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-NZDUSD-Jan14.jpg"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 208px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S09Sz0FtJ1I/AAAAAAAABI0/iVRS3r7S8Ik/s320/Stock-Chart-NZDUSD-Jan14.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5426647126114117458" //abr /emstrongIrish Oak [December]/strong Short Entry for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMzc0?end"GL9/a (ISEQ) at €2.77 (EoD) on 14Jan 02:15/em. Perhaps this one has jumped the gun a little. Short entry in the middle of a 4-month consolidation; a consolidation between a psychological strong range of €2.50 and €3.00? All of our trading strategy signals are mechanical and have built in exit conditions which will limit your risk. Time will tell how this pans out.  br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S09VcBt2eTI/AAAAAAAABI8/3zteaT-KyvM/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-GL9-Jan14.jpg"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 208px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S09VcBt2eTI/AAAAAAAABI8/3zteaT-KyvM/s320/Stock-Chart-GL9-Jan14.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5426650015990184242" //abr /emstrongUS High Winners [December]/strong Long Confirmation Entry for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMzc2?end"SBUX/a (NYSE) at $22.92 (EoD) on 14Jan 02:15/em. Since the sizable gap break in July the stock has enjoyed a steady advance - enough to trigger a fresh long entry signal. Assuming no major price shocks it should ride the trailing stop and target prices relatively smoothly. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S09W_ScScHI/AAAAAAAABJE/KXX3WxsCBZM/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-SBUX-Jan14.jpg"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 207px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S09W_ScScHI/AAAAAAAABJE/KXX3WxsCBZM/s320/Stock-Chart-SBUX-Jan14.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5426651721286971506" //abr /emstrongETF Heaven - Medium/strong Long Confirmation Entry for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMzc2?end"UWM/a (NYSE) at $30.22 (EoD) on 13Jan 20:30/em. strongETF Heaven - Medium/strong is one of the best performing strategies on Zignals with an overall return of 50.7% and a 3-month return of 5.2% (strongIncomeKing/strong published by strongmoneyfriend/strong boasts a 196% overall return and a 3M return of 14.4% and is the best trading strategy available). This current pick follows the invalidation of a double top with a resistance breakout. A drop below $28.74 would set the cat amongst the pigeons but so far support holds.br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S09ZTjiMbOI/AAAAAAAABJM/K5YHddvb8ds/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-UWM-Jan14.jpg"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 207px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S09ZTjiMbOI/AAAAAAAABJM/K5YHddvb8ds/s320/Stock-Chart-UWM-Jan14.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5426654268495785186" //abr /If you are looking for more picks like these, come a href="http://www.zignals.com"join us/a and find your FREE a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading Strategy/a today.    br /  br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a; many are ranked in the top-20 for 3-month and YTD performance. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a; ranked top-20 software product out of 285 listed. Join today - it's free!/spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-3272816437606403104?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Irish Shares for 2010</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/irish-shares-for-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/irish-shares-for-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Jan 2010 10:24:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-1444852029098058373</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With the New Year well under way the emPaddy Power/em dart throwing 'Monkey' took a stab at picking some Irish stocks for 2010, as did a few emHomo Sapiens/em. Article featured in the emSunday Independent/em on December 27th.br /br /The Monkey picks for 2010 (chart comments were not those of the monkey!):br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjI4?end"Independent News and Media/abr /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0W7siGYeNI/AAAAAAAABHk/DYJGNum_Q3I/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-IPD-Jan6.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 163px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0W7siGYeNI/AAAAAAAABHk/DYJGNum_Q3I/s320/Stock-Chart-IPD-Jan6.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5423947699979843794" //abr /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjI5?end"Aer Lingus/abr /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0W8u_gu1kI/AAAAAAAABH0/nT4eoGKVZSw/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-AER-Jan7.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 163px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0W8u_gu1kI/AAAAAAAABH0/nT4eoGKVZSw/s320/Stock-Chart-AER-Jan7.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5423948841746355778" //abr /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjMw?end"Ryanair/abr /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0W93VrqX7I/AAAAAAAABH8/to9nQkiexGg/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-RYA-Jan7th.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 163px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0W93VrqX7I/AAAAAAAABH8/to9nQkiexGg/s320/Stock-Chart-RYA-Jan7th.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5423950084648361906" //abr /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjMx?end"Paddy Power/abr /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0XHCs1VpFI/AAAAAAAABIE/MVEiVxNA2DE/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-PLS-Jan7.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 179px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0XHCs1VpFI/AAAAAAAABIE/MVEiVxNA2DE/s320/Stock-Chart-PLS-Jan7.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5423960175446172754" //abr /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjMy?end"Smurfit Kappa/abr /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0XJzNyTNiI/AAAAAAAABIM/3R6cFPMxGHk/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-Smurfit-Jan7th.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 179px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0XJzNyTNiI/AAAAAAAABIM/3R6cFPMxGHk/s320/Stock-Chart-Smurfit-Jan7th.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5423963207948776994" //abr /span class="fullpost"The stock pickers of the human variety had plumped for the following (chart comments are independent of their picks):br /br /emAmanda Brunker/em (Author) is gunning for Petroceltic (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjMz?end"PCI/a), Kenmare (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjM0?end"KMR/a), and Paddy Power (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjMx?end"PLS/a). There were two non-Irish picks: Tesco (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjM1?end"TSCO/a) and Google (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjM2?end"GOOG/a). Expectation for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQ1?end"ISEQ/a at end of year: 3,300br /br /emFergus Murphy/em (ESB) is looking to CC (CCY), CRH (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjM5?end"CRG/a), CPL Resources (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQx?end"DQ5/a), FBD Holdings (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQz?end"EG7/a), Irish Continental (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQ0?end"IR5A/a), and Smurfit Kappa (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjMy?end"SK3/a). Expectation for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQ1?end"ISEQ/a at end of year: 3,500br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0Xec4JsGCI/AAAAAAAABIU/8fd1U-5ffgg/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-CRH-Jan7.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 186px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0Xec4JsGCI/AAAAAAAABIU/8fd1U-5ffgg/s320/Stock-Chart-CRH-Jan7.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5423985913928357922" //abr /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0XgXQpqLYI/AAAAAAAABIc/ZLYRjNL8wNg/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-FBD-Jan7.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 186px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0XgXQpqLYI/AAAAAAAABIc/ZLYRjNL8wNg/s320/Stock-Chart-FBD-Jan7.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5423988016448941442" //abr /emTom McGurk/em (4 FM) has the following on watch for 2010: Paddy Power (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjMx?end"PLS/a), Ryanair (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjMw?end"RYA/a), FBD (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQz?end"EG7/a), Smurfit Kappa (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjMy?end"SK3/a), Kerry Group (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQ5?end"KRZ/a) and Greencore (GCG). Expectation for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQ1?end"ISEQ/a at end of year: 2,985.br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0XnAv4dLNI/AAAAAAAABIk/LMLhpkX1h_c/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-KRZ-Jan7.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 186px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/S0XnAv4dLNI/AAAAAAAABIk/LMLhpkX1h_c/s320/Stock-Chart-KRZ-Jan7.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5423995326276906194" //abr /emBrenda Shanahan/em ('The Apprentice') has gone for Allied Irish Banks (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjUw?end"AIB/a), Paddy Power (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjMx?end"PLS/a), CC, Ryanair (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjMw?end"RYA/a), Aryzta (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjUy?end"YZA/a), and Kerry Group (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQ5?end"KRZ/a).br /br /Finally, emFeargal Quinn/em (Senator), has opted for CPL Resources (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQx?end"DQ5/a), Merrion Pharma (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjUz?end"3MP/a), Worldspreads (WSPR), Bank of Ireland (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjU1?end"BKIR/a), Irish Contentinal Group (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQ0?end"IR5A/a) and CC. Expectation for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQ1?end"ISEQ/a at end of year: 4,500.br /br /So, in summary, we have four picks out of six for Paddy Power (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjMx?end"PLS/a) - although how random the Paddy Power Monkey was in 'picking' this is up for debate! Three picks for Ryanair (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjMw?end"RYA/a), CC, and Smurfit Kappa (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjMy?end"SK3/a). With a couple of picks for Kerry Group (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQ5?end"KRZ/a), Irish Continental (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQ0?end"IR5A/a), and CPL Resources (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlczMjQx?end"DQ5/a).    br /br /How will all of this playout in 2010?br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/script/spanbr /span style="font-size:80%"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician for a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a, offers a range of stock a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategies/a for global markets under the user id: ‘Fallond’, ‘ETFTrader’ and ‘Z_Strategy’ available through the latest rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a; many are ranked in the top-20 for 3-month and YTD performance. br /br /Zignals offers a full suite of financial services including price and fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt, Euronext, UK, Ireland and Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a with fundamental trading strategy support and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. Forex, precious metal and energy commodities too. Build your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a and sell your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"trading strategy/a in our MarketPlace to earn real cash. Read what others are saying about Zignals on a href="http://www.investimonials.com/websites/reviews-zignals.aspx"Investimonials.com/a; ranked top-20 software product out of 285 listed. Join today - it's free!/spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-1444852029098058373?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Latest Zignals Stock Charts (Dec 18th 2009)</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/latest-zignals-stock-charts-dec-18th-2009/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/latest-zignals-stock-charts-dec-18th-2009/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Dec 2009 14:42:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[With one week to go until Christmas our members had another busy week. The following a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a are available in our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_gallery/stock_gallery.aspx"stock chart gallery/a. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyuV88Fk_OI/AAAAAAAABGk/4ArnYcOndZQ/s1600-h/PublicchartsDec18.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 107px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyuV88Fk_OI/AAAAAAAABGk/4ArnYcOndZQ/s320/PublicchartsDec18.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416587850997365986" //abr /span class="fullpost"Suzlon Energy DS (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTgz?end"SUZL/a), WIPRO DS (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTgy?end"WPRO/a), MGP Ingredients (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTgw?end"MGPI/a), Consumer Staples SPDR (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTc5?end"XLP/a), a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTc4?end"SPY/a, Ultra Real Estate (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTc3?end"URE/a), Novagold Resources (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTc2?end"NG/a), a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTc1?end"EURUSD/a, Barratt Developments PLC (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTcz?end"BDEV/a),  Walmert (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTcy?end"WMT/a):br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyuY6tJA9tI/AAAAAAAABGs/E3zxpa4lMeE/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-WMT-Dec18.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 251px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyuY6tJA9tI/AAAAAAAABGs/E3zxpa4lMeE/s320/Stock-Chart-WMT-Dec18.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416591111160395474" //abr /Microsoft (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTcx?end"MSFT/a):br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyuZ2zCQZGI/AAAAAAAABG0/92ywbj16A10/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-MSFT-Dec17.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 241px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyuZ2zCQZGI/AAAAAAAABG0/92ywbj16A10/s320/Stock-Chart-MSFT-Dec17.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416592143534810210" //abr /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTcw?end"Silver Spot/abr /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyuaVg1q2pI/AAAAAAAABG8/o07jUVk60qA/s1600-h/Silver-Chart-Dec18.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 251px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyuaVg1q2pI/AAAAAAAABG8/o07jUVk60qA/s320/Silver-Chart-Dec18.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416592671226124946" //abr /Proshares Trust Ultra DJ AIG Crude Oil (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTY5?end"UCO/a), Globo PLC (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTY4?end"GBO/a), Nexmed (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTY1?end"NEXM/a), Tata Motors (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTYz?end"TATA/a):br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyucP7E9VOI/AAAAAAAABHE/QdnGucn2eDM/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-TATA-Dec17.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 250px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyucP7E9VOI/AAAAAAAABHE/QdnGucn2eDM/s320/Stock-Chart-TATA-Dec17.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416594774213612770" //a  br /Fannie Mae (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTYx?end"FNM/a), Reliance Industries Ltd (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTYw?end"RIGD/a), OfficeMaz (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTU5?end"OMX/a), Life Time Fitness (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTU3?end"LTM/a), Flir Systems (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTU1?end"FLIR/a), TNS Inc (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTUz?end"TNS/a), BT Group (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTUy?end"BT.A/a), Rolls-Royce Group (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTUx?end"RR/a), Google (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTUw?end"GOOG/a), a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTQ4?end"GBPUSD/a:br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyueKr9gt_I/AAAAAAAABHM/-tOQAhCJlog/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-GBPUSD.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 251px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyueKr9gt_I/AAAAAAAABHM/-tOQAhCJlog/s320/Stock-Chart-GBPUSD.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416596883279755250" //a     br /Lululemon Athletica (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTQ2?end"LULU/a), Joy Global (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTQ1?end"JOYG/a):br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyufECHkHOI/AAAAAAAABHU/aXKHPtF8PqQ/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-JOYG.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 251px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyufECHkHOI/AAAAAAAABHU/aXKHPtF8PqQ/s320/Stock-Chart-JOYG.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416597868480044258" //a  br /Taleo Corporation (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTQ0?end"TLEO/a), Netflix (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTQz?end"NFLX/a):br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyufxbV0P0I/AAAAAAAABHc/OeLFP-cgr9s/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-NFLX-Dec17.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 251px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyufxbV0P0I/AAAAAAAABHc/OeLFP-cgr9s/s320/Stock-Chart-NFLX-Dec17.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416598648344821570" //abr /Nu Skin Enter (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTM5?end"NUS/a), Loews Corp (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTMz?end"L/a) and HDFC Bank (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyOTMy?end"HDBK/a)  br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a. November 2009 has seen a significant upgrade to the site on the course to becoming the eBay of finance with our new Beta a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a  and a new rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a. Zignals now has new fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt and soon Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active fundamental system a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. New Forex and Index data./spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-8811880378525219002?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Strongest Performing Trading Strategies</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/strongest-performing-trading-strategies/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/strongest-performing-trading-strategies/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Dec 2009 13:23:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BETA;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bigred]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dr. Declan Fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Frankfurt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global stocks]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Strategy;]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trailing stops]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-4294287940977584656</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[At a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/index.aspx"Zignals/a you can subscribe to a number of trading strategies covering global stocks, forex and commodities. Our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Dashboard/a offers a leaderboard of the strongest trading strategies available. All a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading systems/a on offer are free to create and subscribe to during Beta. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyeREdRz7sI/AAAAAAAABF8/Jx2Na3MduYE/s1600-h/strategiesDec15.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 272px; height: 320px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyeREdRz7sI/AAAAAAAABF8/Jx2Na3MduYE/s320/strategiesDec15.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5415456582701149890" //abr /span class="fullpost"So what's on offer?br /br /All trading systems are built around mechanical entry triggers and use fixed or trailing stops and targets to exit. br /br /The leading trading strategy at the moment is published by BigRed and enjoys a YTD return of strong+40%/strong. br /br /BigRed's "emUndervalued, Ready to Rocket/em" trading strategy is built around a portfolio of US stocks. His current portfolio holds 9 stocks, only one of which is showing a loss. Of the strategy's December buy triggers, Chipotle Mexican Grill (strongCMG.B/strong) is up strong+7%/strong after its December 9th entry br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyeU6MMfpyI/AAAAAAAABGE/bOiWz2e3i2g/s1600-h/SignalDec10.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 112px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyeU6MMfpyI/AAAAAAAABGE/bOiWz2e3i2g/s320/SignalDec10.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5415460804363265826" //abr /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyeWRimjdSI/AAAAAAAABGM/AaHdu7nqfm4/s1600-h/CMGDec15.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 213px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyeWRimjdSI/AAAAAAAABGM/AaHdu7nqfm4/s320/CMGDec15.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5415462305026766114" //abr /My own strategy, "emUS High Winners/em" is also having a good year and is up strong+37%/strong. The best performing stock in the current portfolio is Hewlett Packard (strongHPQ/strong) which was purchased on May 18th. The position is currently up strong+44%/strong. In addition, eleven of the thirteen stocks held in the portfolio are in profit and six of them have gained 10% or more.    br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Syedb8Ly9XI/AAAAAAAABGU/Ox1VjrF9W8k/s1600-h/HPQDec15.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 186px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Syedb8Ly9XI/AAAAAAAABGU/Ox1VjrF9W8k/s320/HPQDec15.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5415470180273943922" //abr /The third strategy performing well is "emETF Heaven - Medium/em" published by Z_Strategy. Unlike the previous strategies this is a ETF based portfolio only. The strategy is up strong+33%/strong YTD and currently has 3 ETFs in its portfolio - all currently in profit. The position performing the strongest is strongQLD/strong purchased on Sep 28th. Earlier strategy trades for this ETF have performed very well too. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyejmgPMT6I/AAAAAAAABGc/MXdM3W9S5Uw/s1600-h/QLDDec15.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 189px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyejmgPMT6I/AAAAAAAABGc/MXdM3W9S5Uw/s320/QLDDec15.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5415476958820323234" //abr /There are currently 83 strategies available to subscribe too. If you would like an opportunity to earn money selling your a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a (once we are out of Beta) then there is no better time to start than now. Download my a href="http://www.scribd.com/doc/23881370/Building-a-Trading-Strategy"Building a Zignals Trading Strategy/a document to get your started.   br /br /Find your Trading Strategy in our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace under 'Advanced Search - Strategies/a'br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a. November 2009 has seen a significant upgrade to the site on the course to becoming the eBay of finance with our new Beta a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a  and a new rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a. Zignals now has new fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt and soon Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active fundamental system a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. New Forex and Index data./spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-4294287940977584656?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<item>
		<title>Find Your Favorite Trading Strategy</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/find-your-favorite-trading-strategy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/find-your-favorite-trading-strategy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 12:38:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BETA;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cursor pointer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dr. Declan Fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ebay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Frankfurt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[href]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Technician]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[performance number]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[s1600]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Screener]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scribd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[search]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[span class]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[span style]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[src]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[system]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trading]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-2817022521875114148</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The new 'Advanced Search - Strategies' in the MarketPlace for a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Trading Strategies/a is now online. It works just like a stock screener, allowing you to customize the variables you wish to search for in a trading system; search by performance, number of trades, win ratio, profit factor and much much more.   br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyY1A2YYyPI/AAAAAAAABF0/WRTtR0GIPl8/s1600-h/trading-system-2009.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 257px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyY1A2YYyPI/AAAAAAAABF0/WRTtR0GIPl8/s320/trading-system-2009.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5415073890673674482" //abr /br /span class="fullpost"There is no charge to a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"publish/a or subscribe to a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a during Beta, so come give us a try - a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"it's FREE/a. br /br /Looking to publish a trading strategy? Download the a href="http://www.scribd.com/doc/23881370/Building-a-Trading-Strategy"how-to-publish-a-trading-strategy/a PDF.  br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a. November 2009 has seen a significant upgrade to the site on the course to becoming the eBay of finance with our new Beta a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a  and a new rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a. Zignals now has new fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt and soon Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active fundamental system a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. New Forex and Index data./spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-2817022521875114148?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Zignals Stock Charts for the Week</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-for-the-week/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-for-the-week/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Dec 2009 11:22:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Center]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dr. Declan Fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DynCorp International Inc.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Frankfurt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Green Mountain;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[href]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[main stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reliance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silver Spot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silver Wheaton]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[src]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[State Bank of India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock gallery]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-3544549982969245610</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Our members had another busy week. This weeks a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_gallery/stock_gallery.aspx"Chart Gallery/a features the following stocks:br /br /a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyI377DbPZI/AAAAAAAABFs/bO5HT77qPgI/s1600-h/ChartGelleryDec11.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 114px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyI377DbPZI/AAAAAAAABFs/bO5HT77qPgI/s320/ChartGelleryDec11.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413951204656627090" //abr /span class="fullpost"Flir Systems (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODk4?end"FLIR/a), Hawkins Chemical (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODgz?end"HWKN/a), Eurodollar (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODgy?end"EURUSD/a), iShares FTSE 250 (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODgx?end"MIDD/a), Silver Spot (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODc2?end"SlvUSD/a), DLF (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODc1?end"DLFL/a), Reliance Commumication (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODc0?end"RCOM/a), ICICI Bank (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODcz?end"ICBK/a), Dyncorp International Inc (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODcy?end"DCP/a), a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODYw?end"GBPUSD/a, Bharat Heavy Ele (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODU5?end"BHEL/a), Silver Wheaton Corporation (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODU4?end"SLW/a), State Bank of India (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODU3?end"SBI/a), Indian Petrochemical (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODU1?end"RELI/a), United States Natural Gas Fund (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODUy?end"UNG/a), Green Mountain Coffee (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODUx?end"GMCR/a), Reliance Communication (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODQz?end"RCOM/a), Westpac Banking (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODI2?end"WBC/a), Reliance Cap (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODIz?end"RCAP/a), Spdr SP 500 (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODE4?end"SPY/a), a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODE1?end"EURGBP/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODE0?end"EURUSD/a, London Stock Exchange (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODEz?end"LSE/a), a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODEy?end"USDAUD/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODEw?end"USDCAD/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODA2?end"EURJPY/a, and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyODA0?end"GLD/a.           br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a. November 2009 has seen a significant upgrade to the site on the course to becoming the eBay of finance with our new Beta a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a  and a new rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a. Zignals now has new fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt and soon Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active fundamental system a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. New Forex and Index data./spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-3544549982969245610?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>The SP Review</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/the-sp-review-2/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/the-sp-review-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Dec 2009 14:47:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-6232544264530659317</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It has been a few months my last a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/09/nasdaq-sep-22nd-2008-2179-sep-22nd-2009.html"review of the market/a - so what is the state of play? In September I summarized:br /br /blockquoteGiven the SP's sharp move off of lows it would appear momentum is set to continue in favour of bulls as sideline money steps in on weakness. But look for this rate of ascent to slow as markets work off overbought conditions and MAs 'catch up' with the index.br /br /The 50-day and 200-day MAs should provide support and buying opportunities for new long positions. Stops can be placed on a decisive break (1%) of the 200-day MA, protecting against any 1987 like outcome. But even here, the losses of 1987 did little to erase the bulk of the gains the SP had chalked up earlier during the decade.br /br /Although pre-1950 was excluded from the dataset it would appear unlikely a major downleg will follow. /blockquotebr /span class="fullpost"Once again I took a look at the SP and how it lay with respect to its key moving averages (20-day, 50-day and 200-day). As of last Friday the SP was strong17%/strong above it 200-day MA, strong3%/strong above its 50-day MA and strong1%/strong above its 20-day MA. Again, digging back through the archives to 1950 identified some (close-to) matching scenarios.br /br /In September, the markets were pacing the action of 1955, 1975, 1980, 1982, 1983, 1986, and 1987. As of last Friday, markets were pacing action from 1971, 1975, 1983, 1986, 1987 and 1997. In terms of overlap, scenarios from strong1975/strong, strong1983/strong, strong1986/strong and strong1987/strong are still in play. br /br /So what happened after matching conditions occurred? The arrows in the following charts represent the matching conditions to the SP from last Friday. br /br /strong1971/strongbr /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEOSaesn5I/AAAAAAAABE8/eJXSEyyzLgw/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-1971.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 202px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEOSaesn5I/AAAAAAAABE8/eJXSEyyzLgw/s320/Stock-Chart-1971.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413623936584556434" //abr /Although 1971 is a new candidate in the comparison stakes, the resulting downward (scrappy) action would fit with a mixed market psychology likely to permeate into 2010; too skeptical to believe the market can go higher - but too afraid to miss the next rally. Markets fall under their own weight from lack of participation rather than any aggressive selling on the part of traders. A 15% range from high/lows (or thereabouts) for 2010 would not be unreasonable after the gains of 2009. Market action fits for an economy which had emerged from a recession - mild though the 1969-70 recession was.br /br /strong1975/strongbr /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEOiR9YouI/AAAAAAAABFE/YaIh-A3bP4Y/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-1975.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 202px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEOiR9YouI/AAAAAAAABFE/YaIh-A3bP4Y/s320/Stock-Chart-1975.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413624209175257826" //abr /The first of the matching scenarios and very similar in action to 1971, but with a more bullish bias. Given we are entering into the third year of a cyclical bear market I think it's possible 2010 will see a new cyclical bull market confirmed. However, for a cyclical bull market scenario to emerge has the 2009 low come a year too early for it to be true?br /  br /strong1983/strongbr /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEOx6l7RjI/AAAAAAAABFM/gaTQJGb-tNY/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-1983.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 202px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEOx6l7RjI/AAAAAAAABFM/gaTQJGb-tNY/s320/Stock-Chart-1983.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413624477780756018" //abr /The second of the matching scenario is like a rinse and repeat of what's gone before. Can we expect 2010 to see a straight continuation of the rally? The backdrop here was the end of the Iranian oil crisis recession. Perhaps this says more about the year which has gone more than the year which is coming?br /br /strong1986/strongbr /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEPE8Md_TI/AAAAAAAABFU/xbNp3VWne08/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-1986.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 202px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEPE8Md_TI/AAAAAAAABFU/xbNp3VWne08/s320/Stock-Chart-1986.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413624804628364594" //abr /The third match is interesting because here markets enter a trading range, but a range where all of the prior gains are held. This range continued for a while before breaking upside in 1987 - but then there is the caveat... br /br /strong1987/strongbr /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEPT-D9CPI/AAAAAAAABFc/e0uHX-fWcp4/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-1987.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 221px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEPT-D9CPI/AAAAAAAABFc/e0uHX-fWcp4/s320/Stock-Chart-1987.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413625062827559154" //abr /The fourth match is still in play and is the worst case outcome of all matches. The trading range break from 1986 produced a brief rally before the events of 1987 emerged. Whether a double dip recession could trigger a similar crash is something which needs to be considered - but given other scenarios favour more neutral/neutral-bullish action this may not happen at all. Psychologically, a sharp crash like 1987 would be far preferably to a drip-drip deflationary spiral; a spiral which would cause the same net damage (or more) to the market, but over a much longer time frame.  br /br /strong1997/strongbr /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEPoppb7JI/AAAAAAAABFk/bNHUCtEqt5g/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-1997.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 215px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEPoppb7JI/AAAAAAAABFk/bNHUCtEqt5g/s320/Stock-Chart-1997.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413625418124881042" //abr /The last scenario is practically a cut-and-paste of 1986. The biggest difference been 1986 led the crash of 1987 while 1997 led to the biggest bull market in history! Bulls will love this - but it seems far fetched to believe the fundamental and economics events of the past couple of years will not produce some serious repurcussions down the road. However, it is a scenario on the table and so cannot be ignored. br /br /My favoured outcome for 2010 is perhaps one along the lines of 1971. A market which has seen huge outsize gains in one year is likely to follow with another where very little happens at all. 2010 will likely be a difficult year to trade, but hopefully it will be viewed more in the context of a psychological recovery rather than a material one; it could set up 2011 to be a very good year for all...br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a. November 2009 has seen a significant upgrade to the site on the course to becoming the eBay of finance with our new Beta a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a and a new rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a. Zignals now has new fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt and soon Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active fundamental system a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. New Forex and Index data./spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-6232544264530659317?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>The SP Review</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/the-sp-review/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/the-sp-review/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Dec 2009 14:47:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-6232544264530659317</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It has been a few months my last a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/09/nasdaq-sep-22nd-2008-2179-sep-22nd-2009.html"review of the market/a - so what is the state of play? In September I summarized:br /br /blockquoteGiven the SP's sharp move off of lows it would appear momentum is set to continue in favour of bulls as sideline money steps in on weakness. But look for this rate of ascent to slow as markets work off overbought conditions and MAs 'catch up' with the index.br /br /The 50-day and 200-day MAs should provide support and buying opportunities for new long positions. Stops can be placed on a decisive break (1%) of the 200-day MA, protecting against any 1987 like outcome. But even here, the losses of 1987 did little to erase the bulk of the gains the SP had chalked up earlier during the decade.br /br /Although pre-1950 was excluded from the dataset it would appear unlikely a major downleg will follow. /blockquotebr /span class="fullpost"Once again I took a look at the SP and how it lay with respect to its key moving averages (20-day, 50-day and 200-day). As of last Friday the SP was strong17%/strong above it 200-day MA, strong3%/strong above its 50-day MA and strong1%/strong above its 20-day MA. Again, digging back through the archives to 1950 identified some (close-to) matching scenarios.br /br /In September, the markets were pacing the action of 1955, 1975, 1980, 1982, 1983, 1986, and 1987. As of last Friday, markets were pacing action from 1971, 1975, 1983, 1986, 1987 and 1997. In terms of overlap, scenarios from strong1975/strong, strong1983/strong, strong1986/strong and strong1987/strong are still in play. br /br /So what happened after matching conditions occurred? The arrows in the following charts represent the matching conditions to the SP from last Friday. br /br /strong1971/strongbr /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEOSaesn5I/AAAAAAAABE8/eJXSEyyzLgw/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-1971.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 202px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEOSaesn5I/AAAAAAAABE8/eJXSEyyzLgw/s320/Stock-Chart-1971.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413623936584556434" //abr /Although 1971 is a new candidate in the comparison stakes, the resulting downward (scrappy) action would fit with a mixed market psychology likely to permeate into 2010; too skeptical to believe the market can go higher - but too afraid to miss the next rally. Markets fall under their own weight from lack of participation rather than any aggressive selling on the part of traders. A 15% range from high/lows (or thereabouts) for 2010 would not be unreasonable after the gains of 2009. Market action fits for an economy which had emerged from a recession - mild though the 1969-70 recession was.br /br /strong1975/strongbr /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEOiR9YouI/AAAAAAAABFE/YaIh-A3bP4Y/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-1975.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 202px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEOiR9YouI/AAAAAAAABFE/YaIh-A3bP4Y/s320/Stock-Chart-1975.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413624209175257826" //abr /The first of the matching scenarios and very similar in action to 1971, but with a more bullish bias. Given we are entering into the third year of a cyclical bear market I think it's possible 2010 will see a new cyclical bull market confirmed. However, for a cyclical bull market scenario to emerge has the 2009 low come a year too early for it to be true?br /  br /strong1983/strongbr /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEOx6l7RjI/AAAAAAAABFM/gaTQJGb-tNY/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-1983.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 202px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEOx6l7RjI/AAAAAAAABFM/gaTQJGb-tNY/s320/Stock-Chart-1983.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413624477780756018" //abr /The second of the matching scenario is like a rinse and repeat of what's gone before. Can we expect 2010 to see a straight continuation of the rally? The backdrop here was the end of the Iranian oil crisis recession. Perhaps this says more about the year which has gone more than the year which is coming?br /br /strong1986/strongbr /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEPE8Md_TI/AAAAAAAABFU/xbNp3VWne08/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-1986.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 202px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEPE8Md_TI/AAAAAAAABFU/xbNp3VWne08/s320/Stock-Chart-1986.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413624804628364594" //abr /The third match is interesting because here markets enter a trading range, but a range where all of the prior gains are held. This range continued for a while before breaking upside in 1987 - but then there is the caveat... br /br /strong1987/strongbr /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEPT-D9CPI/AAAAAAAABFc/e0uHX-fWcp4/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-1987.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 221px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEPT-D9CPI/AAAAAAAABFc/e0uHX-fWcp4/s320/Stock-Chart-1987.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413625062827559154" //abr /The fourth match is still in play and is the worst case outcome of all matches. The trading range break from 1986 produced a brief rally before the events of 1987 emerged. Whether a double dip recession could trigger a similar crash is something which needs to be considered - but given other scenarios favour more neutral/neutral-bullish action this may not happen at all. Psychologically, a sharp crash like 1987 would be far preferably to a drip-drip deflationary spiral; a spiral which would cause the same net damage (or more) to the market, but over a much longer time frame.  br /br /strong1997/strongbr /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEPoppb7JI/AAAAAAAABFk/bNHUCtEqt5g/s1600-h/Stock-Chart-1997.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 215px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SyEPoppb7JI/AAAAAAAABFk/bNHUCtEqt5g/s320/Stock-Chart-1997.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413625418124881042" //abr /The last scenario is practically a cut-and-paste of 1986. The biggest difference been 1986 led the crash of 1987 while 1997 led to the biggest bull market in history! Bulls will love this - but it seems far fetched to believe the fundamental and economics events of the past couple of years will not produce some serious repurcussions down the road. However, it is a scenario on the table and so cannot be ignored. br /br /My favoured outcome for 2010 is perhaps one along the lines of 1971. A market which has seen huge outsize gains in one year is likely to follow with another where very little happens at all. 2010 will likely be a difficult year to trade, but hopefully it will be viewed more in the context of a psychological recovery rather than a material one; it could set up 2011 to be a very good year for all...br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a. November 2009 has seen a significant upgrade to the site on the course to becoming the eBay of finance with our new Beta a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a and a new rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a. Zignals now has new fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt and soon Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active fundamental system a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. New Forex and Index data./spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-6232544264530659317?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Latest Zignals Stock Charts for the Week</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/latest-zignals-stock-charts-for-the-week/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/latest-zignals-stock-charts-for-the-week/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Dec 2009 14:34:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Some stock charts and FX charts posted by our community in our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_gallery/stock_gallery.aspx"chart gallery/a.br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SxfMreK6uEI/AAAAAAAABEw/3wK_fU_wqqA/s1600-h/LatestCharts.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 148px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SxfMreK6uEI/AAAAAAAABEw/3wK_fU_wqqA/s320/LatestCharts.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5411018524514236482" //abr /span class="fullpost"Our members have been charting the following stocks, forex and commodities: USEC (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzI4?end"USU/a), a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzI1?end"EURUSD/a, Netscount Systems (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzI0?end"NTCT/a), NRG Energy Inc (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzIy?end"NRG/a), a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzIx?end"USDJPY/a, Citigroup (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzIw?end"C/a), Life Time Fitness (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzE5?end"LTM/a), a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzE4?end"EURGBP/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzE2?end"GBPUSD/a, Cell Therapeutics (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzE1?end"CTIC/a), a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzEy?end"GBPEUR/a, Microsoft (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzEw?end"MSFT/a), Tata Communications (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzA5?end"TCL/a), Diamonds Trust (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzA3?end"DIA/a), Short Financials Proshare (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzA2?end"SEF/a),  Starbucks (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzA1?end"SBUX/a), JP Morgan Chase (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzA0?end"JPM/a), Smurfit Kappa Group (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzAz?end"SK3/a), Aviva (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzAy?end"AV./a), BT Group (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzAx?end"BT.A/a), IShares FTSE 100 (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzAw?end"ISF/a), IShares FTSE 250 (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNjk5?end"MIDD/a), Proshares Trust (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNjk4?end"TBT/a), Shrt SP500 Proshares (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNjk1?end"SH/a), Synaptics (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNjk0?end"SYNA/a), Walt Disney (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNjkz?end"DIS/a), ProShares Short QQQ (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNjky?end"PSQ/a), ProShares ShortDow30 (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNjkx?end"DOG/a), and McDermott International (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNjkw?end"MDR/a).    br /br /Create your own stock profiles of indicators, price overlays and timescales, and apply them to the aforementioned charts. br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a. November 2009 has seen a significant upgrade to the site on the course to becoming the eBay of finance with our new Beta a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a  and a new rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a. Zignals now has new fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt and soon Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active fundamental system a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. New Forex and Index data./spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spana href="http://www.zignals.com/main/Applications/Chart/?param=VlcyNzIx?end"/adiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-1941619974798610199?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Trading Strategy Risk Management</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/trading-strategy-risk-management/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/trading-strategy-risk-management/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 15:25:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Beta Values]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BETA;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[component stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cursor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cursor pointer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Default Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[href]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[management settings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Percentage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Profit;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risk managment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[s1600]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[span class]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stop]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[target]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-2332580159542921206</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"Trading System/a Builder is unique as a strategy builder in that positions are entered using technical signals but exited using a risk managment system designed around fixed percentile target/stops or trailing target/stops. The type of risk management employed will in large part be dictated by the volatility (beta) of the component stocks/ETFs/FX pairs in the trading system. br /br /In my first article I looked at how to a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/11/creating-trading-strategy-in-zignals.html"build a Trading Strategy/a using default risk management settings. In this article I will look to adjust the risk management options, while trying not to 'best fit' for the outputs.   br /br /span class="fullpost"As a recap, the strategy employed the emActive Trader/em list of components. The associated Beta values of those stocks are given below:br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Swq6WA_3uZI/AAAAAAAABDY/H2Jhxvlugd4/s1600/Betastock.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 245px; height: 320px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Swq6WA_3uZI/AAAAAAAABDY/H2Jhxvlugd4/s320/Betastock.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5407339189999483282" //abr /With an average Beta of 1.36 our list of stocks is slightly more volatile than the underlying market, with a range of 0.2 up to 3.05. br /br /The values we will be adjusting are the Stop Conditions; Money Management is unchanged from the original. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Swq8Z_m9lAI/AAAAAAAABDg/Ao7WQYo4BZ0/s1600/Stopstrategy.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 211px; height: 320px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Swq8Z_m9lAI/AAAAAAAABDg/Ao7WQYo4BZ0/s320/Stopstrategy.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5407341457369306114" //abr /strongHow do the Stop Conditions work?/strongbr /br /The Target Percentage sets the conditions at which the Trail Target/Stop kicks in. The Stop Percentage is the opening risk for the trade, assuming the Trail fails to kick in. Once the Target Percentage is hit the Trail Target and Stop becomes the new exit rules. As each Trailing Target is hit the Trailing Stop is updated. If at any point the Trailing Stop is hit then the position is exited. The Trailing Target continues until the Profit Target is hit - then the position is exited once and for all.br /br /Our back test period is from 24th Nov 2007 to 23rd Nov 2009.   br /br /The default a 15% Target Percentage, 10% Stop, 10% Trail with a 5% Stop, and a Profit Target of 25%. This gave the following returns:br /br /strongNo. of Trades: 142br /Profitable Trades: 47%br /Net Profit: 17%/strongbr /br /As we adjusted the Stop Price we got a drop in the win percentage but booked more profit.br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SwwXPGXB7aI/AAAAAAAABDo/j-nVyFikLrQ/s1600/Stopadj.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 69px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SwwXPGXB7aI/AAAAAAAABDo/j-nVyFikLrQ/s320/Stopadj.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5407722800737807778" //abr /Because of the close-to-market Beta of our component stocks there was still a relatively strong return with a tight stop of 4%. br /br /If we focus on the 6% stop and adjusted the Target (the price at which the Trailing prices kicked in) then there was a radical improvement in the percentage of profitable trades. Simply dropping the Target price from 15% to 10% brought a substantial increase in the percentage of profitable trades and percentage profit.br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SwwYjE3bUaI/AAAAAAAABDw/zVlbS4knbeI/s1600/Targetrisk.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 46px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SwwYjE3bUaI/AAAAAAAABDw/zVlbS4knbeI/s320/Targetrisk.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5407724243445830050" //abr /Next was adjusting the Trailing Target and Stop. However, there was little to be gained adjusting eitherbr /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SwwZWtNtUuI/AAAAAAAABD4/Y8q-FasVBjM/s1600/Trailtarget.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 69px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SwwZWtNtUuI/AAAAAAAABD4/Y8q-FasVBjM/s320/Trailtarget.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5407725130450031330" //abr /Leaving the Trailing Target and Stop unchanged and increasing the Profit Target made modest improvements up to a ceiling imposed by the back test period. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SwwZ7a9ddbI/AAAAAAAABEA/siO6aYDaNLs/s1600/Profittarget.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 79px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SwwZ7a9ddbI/AAAAAAAABEA/siO6aYDaNLs/s320/Profittarget.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5407725761205204402" //abr /At this point it was a matter of going back to the start and looking at our opening Stop Percentage. As we had used an optimised value of 6%, how would the strategy have performed if we used stop values of either 5% or 10%?br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SwwaiZPwPCI/AAAAAAAABEI/DW1ndiwZH0o/s1600/Stop2.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 35px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SwwaiZPwPCI/AAAAAAAABEI/DW1ndiwZH0o/s320/Stop2.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5407726430759959586" //abr /Dropping the stop another percentage point didn't lose any of the 31% return for the past 2 years (long only). Increasing the Stop to 10% gave the strategy a little more breathing room which increased the percentage of profitable trades (on fewer trades) - although there was a slight drop in net profit. br /br /From the point of strategy development; the 10% Stop, 10% Target, 10% Trail Target, 5% Trail Stop and 25% (or 50%?) Profit Target is perhaps a good starting point to build around. In terms of net return, the largest impacts came from adjustments in the initial Target and Stop values versus changes in the Trailing Stop and Target.br /br /But the best way to find out is to start building your own a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading systems/a. Don't forget to publish your winning trading strategy into our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a for a chance to earn real money. br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a. November 2009 has seen a significant upgrade to the site on the course to becoming the eBay of finance with our new Beta a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a  and a new rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a. Zignals now has new fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt and soon Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active fundamental system a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. New Forex and Index data./spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-2332580159542921206?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Creating a Trading Strategy in Zignals</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/creating-a-trading-strategy-in-zignals/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Nov 2009 11:33:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Exit Strategies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[grid interface]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[main stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silverlight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[span class]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Charts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Screener]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trading strategies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-3890366072024448095</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We have just launched with a brand new a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"Trading System/a builder which will allow you to create your own trading strategies and follow the trade signals generated via email. You will eventually have the opportunity to earn money selling it in the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"Zignals MarketPlace/a. If you would like to read more about our Trading System builder you can do so a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system_help.aspx"here/a. br /br /But first things first; FREE registration with Zignals followed by a prompt to download Microsoft's Silverlight will give access to the trading strategy builder. For this article I am working through the Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Dashboard/a which gives full access to all of our services (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_screener/stock_screener.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a) within a single application. The key advantage of using this over the individual applications is the seamless switching between applications. br /br /We shall start with a simple strategy - a price cross above a 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). This will be a long only strategy. br /br /span class="fullpost"On loading the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"Trading System/a interface you will be greeted with a grid-interface; along the top is a set of menu options and on the right a series of steps, numbered 1 to 5, required to create a strategy. For the first step, select My Strategies.br /br /This will open a window which defines the risk management and exit strategies. The first version of our trading strategy builder offers exits based on percentile steps; this is an excellent way of letting trades run as you can be as tight or as loose with the trailing stop/target as you want to be. br /br /Default trading strategies start with $100,000 capital and an allocation of $10,000 per position. Checking the autocalculate option will preset the amount per trade based on the pool of stocks to draw from (so as to ensure you don't overinvest in situations triggers are given for all constituents). In this example we will be using 17 stocks which gives an allocation of $5,888 per trade; I have rounded this to $6,000 per position. The comission is set at $10 and have left the slippage percentage unchanged. The Delay Between Trades is used to control whipsaw and we have set this to 10.      br /br /The Stop Conditions offer more flexibility. There is the option to use or not use a trailing stop. To maximise profits we will use a trail; the trail kicks in once the initial Target Percentage is set - a position will be exited if prices fall by the Stop Percentage (in a long strategy). When the Target Percentage is hit then a rolling target and stop defined by the Trail Percentages is activated with an end point Profit Target which closes the position once reached.  br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SvlwF2aWl4I/AAAAAAAABCg/lbXIbS3eU-U/s1600-h/Trading-System-1.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 277px; height: 320px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SvlwF2aWl4I/AAAAAAAABCg/lbXIbS3eU-U/s320/Trading-System-1.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5402472473815324546" //abr /Next it is time to assign your stocks. I have created a list using the same stocks of emActive Trader/em: Apple (strongAAPL/strong), Boeing (strongBA/strong), Citigroup (strongC/strong), Caterpillar (strongCAT/strong), Cisco (strongCSCO/strong), Disney (strongDIS/strong), General Motors (strongGM/strong), Hewlett Packard (strongHPQ/strong), International Business Machine (strongIBM/strong), Intel (strongINTC/strong), International Paper (strongIP/strong), J.P. Morgan (strongJPM/strong), Coca Cola (strongKO/strong), Microsoft (strongMSFT/strong), Starbucks (strongSBUX/strong), ATT (strongT/strong), and Wal-mart (strongWMT/strong).br /br /The most important step is to assign your rules. As this is a simple price crossing a moving average we will create a new Technical Rule. In the left-hand-dropdown we select Price and in the right-hand-dropdown we select Trend/Simple Moving Average with a period length of 20.br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SvmY4qTZx7I/AAAAAAAABCo/B5xw5J3J7tw/s1600-h/Trading-System-2.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 129px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SvmY4qTZx7I/AAAAAAAABCo/B5xw5J3J7tw/s320/Trading-System-2.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5402517327203387314" //abr /After a rule is created we need to Add to Strategy. This places the rule into a rule list on the right; from there it's a matter of dragging it into the workspace. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SvmbW7GBzfI/AAAAAAAABC4/ENZxyn9lh3A/s1600-h/Trading-System-3.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 136px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SvmbW7GBzfI/AAAAAAAABC4/ENZxyn9lh3A/s320/Trading-System-3.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5402520046130023922" //abr /The first rule dragged-in will automatically connect to the starting point. Other rules you drag-in can either be connected to existing rules or, by dragging the top box down to the new rule, connect to the dragged-in rule (see below). br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SvmamIbNwXI/AAAAAAAABCw/8b39DT1q46E/s1600-h/Trading+System+9.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 122px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SvmamIbNwXI/AAAAAAAABCw/8b39DT1q46E/s320/Trading+System+9.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5402519207894958450" //abr /The final step is to connect your rule(s) to the end-point to complete the flow. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Svmb9iYmWhI/AAAAAAAABDA/E9WtdQ7Nah4/s1600-h/Trading-System-4.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 189px; height: 320px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Svmb9iYmWhI/AAAAAAAABDA/E9WtdQ7Nah4/s320/Trading-System-4.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5402520709511928338" //abr /Once you are happy with your strategy it should then be saved. br /br /From there we move to step 4 and define our back-test period. The default is the past 2-years but you test for any period back as far as 2001 (for US stocks). During a backtest an historical portfolio is created; if you wish to give this portfolio a name it can be done here. The option to view the portfolio is offered after the run is complete. This is recommended so you can see the performance of your strategy. br /br /In the price cross of 20-day SMA with our trailing target/stop set at 10%/10% and profit target of 25% returned 17.2% over the past 2 years. Max drawdown was -23.4% but the srategy enjoyed a 44% win percentage. However, it did endure a maximum losing sequence of 13 trades which would hurt anyones confidence! The current portfolio holds 13 stocks.  br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SvmfR87opXI/AAAAAAAABDI/wUFQoUSOlhQ/s1600-h/Trading-System-5.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 136px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SvmfR87opXI/AAAAAAAABDI/wUFQoUSOlhQ/s320/Trading-System-5.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5402524358770468210" //abr /At this point two options are available:br /br /[1] The strategy can be edited further and new portfolios created ORbr /[2] The strategy can be Published so that the trading signals can be received by email. br /br /To do this it is necessary to switch from the Portfolio Manager back to the Trading System. In the Trading System open your saved Strategy. br /br /There is a full range of edits available including changing the risk management options - the stocks, Forex pairs, or commodities used - or the rules themselves. br /br /When you are satisfied the last step, step 5, allows you to Publish the trading strategy to our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a. Publishing brings up a summary of your strategy and the conditions attached. A brief commentary can be attached and the subscription cost you would like to charge for when the MarketPlace comes out of Beta. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SvmiogC0ESI/AAAAAAAABDQ/bxATN5KFR4A/s1600-h/Trading-System-6.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 282px; height: 320px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SvmiogC0ESI/AAAAAAAABDQ/bxATN5KFR4A/s320/Trading-System-6.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5402528044687823138" //abr /Publishing activates the mailing of signals. As the publisher of a strategy you will automatically be subscribed and will get trade signals delivered to your email box as they occur. Published strategies also appear in your Published Trading Strategies window. br /br /If you would like to subscribe to this strategy - called strongDeveloping a Strategy/strong - then you can do by searching for my user id ('fallond'), or any of the aforementioned stocks comprising the strategy, in the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a. Should the strategy perform well, then it will appear in the Top 20 Trading Strategies widget in the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx#/page/1"Dashboard/a. br /br /If you have any issues or concerns, don't hesitate to contact me (declan-at-zignals.com); your queries could be the basis of my next blog post!     br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#999999;"script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a. November 2009 has seen a significant upgrade to the site on the course to becoming the eBay of finance with our new Beta a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_strategies/market_trading_strategies.aspx"MarketPlace/a  and a new rich internet application for finance, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"Zignals Dashboard/a. Zignals now has new fundamental a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a for Indian, Australian, Frankfurt and soon Canadian stocks, tabbed a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_list/stock_list.aspx"stock list/a watchlists, multi-currency a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"portfolio manager/a, active fundamental system a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/trading_system/trading_system.aspx"trading system/a builder. New Forex and Index data./spanbr /div align="center"pa href="http://www.zignals.com/main/dashboard/dashboard.aspx"img src="http://www.fallondpicks.com/Images/Dashboarh.jpg"/a/div/p/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-3890366072024448095?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>FTSE 250 ETF : Breakdown of 20-day moving average</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/ftse-250-etf-breakdown-of-20-day-moving-average/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Oct 2009 11:19:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-7100978211515251964</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For the second time in the space of a month the FTSE 250 has cracked below its 20-day moving average. The last time this occurred was early summer; then the index went on to spend a few weeks below this moving average, making a new lower low, before resuming the trend higher. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Subcj5nlA5I/AAAAAAAABCY/YGpZ_jQiADA/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+a16.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Subcj5nlA5I/AAAAAAAABCY/YGpZ_jQiADA/s320/Stock+Chart+a16.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5397243712770474898" //abr /span class="fullpost"A similar event here should see a test of the 902.50 low -which was both an August reaction high and the early October reaction low - with the potential to drift down to 867 if a more protracted decline kicked in. Intermediate trends in the market tend to run between 3 weeks and 3 months with the current end-of-year a handy time scale for a flat/downward phase. br /br /A more serious decline (one lasting months) would require confirmation of a top with a test of October's highs. This test could only emerge after a break of the prior March-October trend, with a sideways market shifting the focus from one of accumulation to one of distribution an important precursor to this test.  br /br /Market tops rarely shape the sharp reactions of market bottoms because people tend to be more reluctant to sell (even when holding a loss) than buy. br /br /So setting a Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"Stock Alert/a for XMCX at 902.50 and 867 will give heed as to possible trade opportunities with another at October highs to mark a resumption of the trend. br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"market alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_screener/try_stock_screener.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"stock portfolio manager/a website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-7100978211515251964?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>NASDAQ Breadth Top-Heavy</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/nasdaq-breadth-top-heavy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/nasdaq-breadth-top-heavy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Sep 2009 10:31:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[The rude health of the Nasdaq has been evident by the strength from its internals; 74% of constituents are on point-n-figure buy signals, 71% are above their 50-day MA and an incredible 80% are above their 200-day MA. Such conditions can't continue forever so what should one be looking for? br /br /During the depths of despair encountered over the latter part of 2008 the percentage of Nasdaq stocks above their 200-day MA languished below 10% for the best part of 5-months. The percentage of stocks above their 50-day MA enjoyed a brief rally from 10% to 70% before heading lower. While the bullish percents struggled to challenge the 50% mark.br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SsM17-vkMuI/AAAAAAAABCI/CRBVt0AoA3o/s1600-h/NASISep30.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 246px; height: 320px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SsM17-vkMuI/AAAAAAAABCI/CRBVt0AoA3o/s320/NASISep30.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5387208883836302050" //abr /br /span class="fullpost"If one was to flip this scenario on its head and apply it to the courent situation. the likely view going forward is the next 4-5 months will see the Nasdaq break lower with sizable downleg, perhaps taking it to a wide band of support running between 1,650 and 1,750. From there it will mount another challenge on September highs - possibly breaking through to continue the rally. br /br /It's highly unfeasible the Percentage of Nasdaq Stocks above their 200-day MA will drop below 50% (this would require a crash-like move in the market); so expect this to meander in its upper range as stocks remain well above this key long-term average.br /br /There is greater potential for a reversal in the Percentage of Stocks above the faster moving 50-day MA and Bullish Percents given the tight daily action of recent weeks will have set-up new point-n-figure signal-conditions and allowed time for the 50-day MAs to catch up with price action - making the latter vulnerable to breaks. br /br /There is little to suggest the next major move down will not set-up another good tradable rally higher; perhaps overshooting a little past the 200-day MA. The May reaction low c1,664 is looking a good place for bulls to put up a defence. What happens on the second attempt at September highs will dictate market conditions going forward. br /br /I have entered a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"Zignals Call/a for a push down to the low $33s for the QQQQ with a stop on a break of September highs. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SsM5TepuzoI/AAAAAAAABCQ/XBqNeuX711s/s1600-h/QQQQSep30.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 214px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SsM5TepuzoI/AAAAAAAABCQ/XBqNeuX711s/s320/QQQQSep30.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5387212586073640578" //abr /Over the near term, look for the narrow action to continue until there is a decisive break of the Nasdaq 50-day MA.    br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"market alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_screener/try_stock_screener.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"stock portfolio manager/a website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-905150868345452202?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>NASDAQ Sep 22nd 2008: 2,179 &#8211; Sep 22nd 2009: 2,146</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/nasdaq-sep-22nd-2008-2179-sep-22nd-2009-2146/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2009 10:44:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Where has the year gone? Looking at the two market dates you would think very little happened over the intervening period, except for the almost 50% drop, 100% rally the market has endured this past year. So what has gone and what might we expect to come? br /br /Last a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2008/06/s-moving-average-behavior.html"June/a I took a look at the SP and studied the relationships between the 20-day, 50-day and 200-day MAs and the index. In June I concluded:br /br /blockquoteThe take home lesson is for the next month or two further downside is not just likely but probable; only in 2003 did a rally develop soon after the match. For the other five of the six matches the SP lost between 7% and 30% of its value before it finally turned around.br /br /From a buyers perspective there is little incentive to be long SP futures or stocks until a firm break of the 200-day MA occurs.br /br /The good news for bulls is once the SP gets past the 200-day MA there is likely to be a very tradable rally. /blockquote br /span class="fullpost"In a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2008/10/s-moving-average-behaviour-revisited.html"October 2008/a I followed up withbr /br /blockquote# We are likely a couple of weeks from a bottom, but it is not impossible for this to take longerbr /br /# During this period the market will see sharp losses, perhaps trimming 10-20% off where the markets lie now (Monday will be the start)br /br /# The subsequent rally will be short lived and will morph into a retest of the lowbr /br /# The retest will be the time to buy heavybr /br /# A significant bull market has a good chance of emerging from the quagmire - remember markets lead economic news./blockquotebr /br /In November I talked about a potential "a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2008/11/so-do-we-have-obama-market-bottom.html"Obama bottom/a" and then concludedbr /br /blockquoteThe worst looks to be behind us but we won't really know until we see what happens when the 200-day MA comes into range; a solid cut through and it will be up and away; however, a negative response to the 200-day MA test could produce a 1932/2002 style scenario in 2009 bringing with it another big step lower. If there is a silver lining to the worst case scenario it's that the current picture suggests we have already reached the extremes of the 2002 capitulation and not the pseudo-capitulation generated after the September 11th attacks./blockquotebr /So where do we stand now?br /br /On the 16th of September 2009 the SP was strong20%/strong above its 200-day MA, strong8%/strong above its 50-day MA and strong4%/strong above its 20-day MA; the largest difference between the 200-day MA and the SP in recent weeks. br /br /Just to show how extended the market is, the largest difference on record (since 1950) occured on the 3rd November 1982 with a 23% extension from its 200-day MA. September 16th ranked 33rd out of 14,571 data points! Quite the reversal!br /br /Going back into the time machine, the neon coloured eighties was littered with this MA set-up:br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SrogTAj3ASI/AAAAAAAABA4/CLCxZYx4kkc/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+MAs.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 157px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SrogTAj3ASI/AAAAAAAABA4/CLCxZYx4kkc/s320/Stock+Chart+MAs.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5384651815414858018" //abr /Which suggets the next few years could see a modest bullish turn (the next cyclical bull market?):br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SroiujuN4zI/AAAAAAAABBA/GtHY0OE5vYo/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+S%26P+80s.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 115px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SroiujuN4zI/AAAAAAAABBA/GtHY0OE5vYo/s320/Stock+Chart+S%26P+80s.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5384654487733265202" //abr /Even over the short term action tends to follow the wind and find support at the MAs, with one big exception:br /br /strong1955/strong:br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SrokXiyQ7VI/AAAAAAAABBI/CzOC7oHrG-4/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+S%26P1955.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 198px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SrokXiyQ7VI/AAAAAAAABBI/CzOC7oHrG-4/s320/Stock+Chart+S%26P1955.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5384656291368070482" //abr /strong1975/strong:br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SrolFsLPYoI/AAAAAAAABBQ/M-BEBzaR7ow/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+S%26P1975.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 197px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SrolFsLPYoI/AAAAAAAABBQ/M-BEBzaR7ow/s320/Stock+Chart+S%26P1975.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5384657084162728578" //abr /strong1980/strong:br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SrolnAFnbcI/AAAAAAAABBY/4eJqNpbXau8/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+S%26P1980.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 194px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SrolnAFnbcI/AAAAAAAABBY/4eJqNpbXau8/s320/Stock+Chart+S%26P1980.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5384657656443530690" //abr /strong1982/strong:br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SromcIBhOXI/AAAAAAAABBg/AbFHmmHJLJU/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+S%26P1982.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 193px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SromcIBhOXI/AAAAAAAABBg/AbFHmmHJLJU/s320/Stock+Chart+S%26P1982.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5384658569106897266" //abr /strong1983/strong:br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Srom1c5vIXI/AAAAAAAABBo/0WFrs7GHIrQ/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+S%26P1983.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 194px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Srom1c5vIXI/AAAAAAAABBo/0WFrs7GHIrQ/s320/Stock+Chart+S%26P1983.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5384659004208128370" //abr /strong1986/strong:br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SronnrUjmpI/AAAAAAAABB4/CyHchyk7lFU/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+S%26P1986.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 192px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SronnrUjmpI/AAAAAAAABB4/CyHchyk7lFU/s320/Stock+Chart+S%26P1986.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5384659867072174738" //abr /strong1987/strong:br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sron9Zz1FBI/AAAAAAAABCA/-4ImS-OmqFI/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+S%26P1987.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 194px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sron9Zz1FBI/AAAAAAAABCA/-4ImS-OmqFI/s320/Stock+Chart+S%26P1987.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5384660240328627218" //abr /Given the SP's sharp move off of lows it would appear momentum is set to continue in favour of bulls as sideline money steps in on weakness. But look for this rate of ascent to slow as markets work off overbought conditions and MAs 'catch up' with the index.br /br /The 50-day and 200-day MAs should provide support and buying opportunities for new long positions. Stops can be placed on a decisive break (1%) of the 200-day MA, protecting against any 1987 like outcome. But even here, the losses of 1987 did little to erase the bulk of the gains the SP had chalked up earlier during the decade. br /br /Although pre-1950 was excluded from the dataset it would appear unlikely a major downleg will follow. br /br /Could it be argued we're at a 1937 style top? If so we may see a very sharp sell off (a la 1987) - one which could see the indices lose half their value - but not one to violate March lows to any great degree (something Elliot Wave Theorists are looking for). br /br /There is plenty of expectation for a major downturn but this expectation may yet be to early. A major downturn is inevitable at some point of the future, but when it occurs markets might have long since sailed higher.br /br /The trend is certainly your friend here...br /br /How can this work for you? Track your interests using Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"Stock Alerts/a; set alerts to trigger at 50-day and 200-day MAs, or approaches to these MAs (if thinking of buying).br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"market alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_screener/try_stock_screener.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"stock portfolio manager/a website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-3623707202575756486?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>ISEQ Bull Rally</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/iseq-bull-rally/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/iseq-bull-rally/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2009 12:21:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[intermediate trend]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Trend Strength]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[With all the focus on NAMA, the rally in the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxOTM4?end"Irish Stock Market/a has largely gone un-noticed. br /br /Its first inkling of a reversal was in February 2009 when the 35-,40-,45-, and 50-day weighted moving average ribbon tightened in response to a slowing intermediate trend. It was mid-April when the faster 5-, 10-, 15- and 20-day WMA ribbon cut through the slower ribbon on its way higher - kicking off a new bull rally. July saw a bear trap as the faster WMA ribbon cut through the flat-lined slower ribbon, only for the market to rally and re-instate the rally by the start of August.br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SrDa2pamb6I/AAAAAAAABAo/8K1tVIHLbLQ/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+ISEQ+Sep+15.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SrDa2pamb6I/AAAAAAAABAo/8K1tVIHLbLQ/s320/Stock+Chart+ISEQ+Sep+15.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5382042187072958370" //abr /span class="fullpost"However, even in the context of six month rally there is no inclination the rate of advance is set to slow. Channel resistance won't become an issue until the ISEQ makes it into the 3,500s. The widening of the slower ribbon band points to increased trend strength, which also suggests a sideways consolidation - rather than a hard move down - will be the preferred corrective phase when it comes.br /br /Compared to global exchanges the ISEQ has not enjoyed the stellar returns (thanks to its heavy financial weighting), but if you are looking for stumbling blocks there isn't a whole lot of trouble until the ISEQ gets to 4,100 or the last congestion area from tightening ribbon bands at 4,450. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SrDdcehEMBI/AAAAAAAABAw/sSzV8b7mNWs/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+ISEQ+Sep+15b.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SrDdcehEMBI/AAAAAAAABAw/sSzV8b7mNWs/s320/Stock+Chart+ISEQ+Sep+15b.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5382045036005568530" //abr /Maybe there will be something to cheer for 2009? br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"market alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_screener/try_stock_screener.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"stock portfolio manager/a website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-8086714851085071149?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Charts: 7 Divided Elites from TheStockAdvisors</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-7-divided-elites-from-thestockadvisors/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-7-divided-elites-from-thestockadvisors/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Sep 2009 14:41:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aaaaaaaaa]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[coca cola ko]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Colgate Palmolive;]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Dividend]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[exxon mobile]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-3039112520863720035</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A post from a href="http://www.thestockadvisors.com/content/view/4067/33/"TheStockAdvisors/a last Friday suggested seven stocks which have paying dividends for over 100 years, raised their dividend on an annual basis for the last 25 years and can be directly purchased. Given their potential for accumulative returns how have the stocks performed from a price perspective? Quotes directly from the articlebr /br /[1] a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxODYz?end"Coca-Cola (KO)/abr /br /blockquote...its strong overseas business should get a lift from the weak dollar and presence in emerging markets. The yield of well over 3% enhances total-return appeal. /blockquotebr /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SqfPONQ7pmI/AAAAAAAAA_w/OxebMXGEOuc/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+a15.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SqfPONQ7pmI/AAAAAAAAA_w/OxebMXGEOuc/s320/Stock+Chart+a15.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5379496122903144034" //abr /span class="fullpost"[2] a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxODY0?end"Colgate-Palmolive (CL)/abr /br /blockquote...takes a back seat to no company when it comes to consistency and growth of its dividend. The ﬁrm has been paying a dividend since 1895, with the dividend increased annually for the last 46 years. /blockquotebr /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SqfRFeg7NpI/AAAAAAAAA_4/SNAEzK4B4Xc/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+CL.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SqfRFeg7NpI/AAAAAAAAA_4/SNAEzK4B4Xc/s320/Stock+Chart+CL.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5379498171938059922" //abr /[3] a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxODY1?end"Exxon Mobile (XOM)/abr /br /blockquoteThe firm has been paying a dividend since 1882 and has increased the dividend annually for the last 26 years. Strong cash ﬂows should continue to fund a rising dividend stream; it currently yields 2.3%. /blockquotebr /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SqfX4-Nu9OI/AAAAAAAABAA/GCBiS2Qfo7s/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+XOM.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SqfX4-Nu9OI/AAAAAAAABAA/GCBiS2Qfo7s/s320/Stock+Chart+XOM.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5379505653690594530" //abr /[4] a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxODY2?end"Eli Lilly (LLY)/abr /br /blockquotethe stock appears to be discounting a lot of bad news. These shares trade at only seven times 2010 consensus earnings estimate of $4.54 per share. The stock’s current yield is 5.9%./blockquotebr /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SqfapKVWQJI/AAAAAAAABAI/kUixP7ts45w/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+LLY.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SqfapKVWQJI/AAAAAAAABAI/kUixP7ts45w/s320/Stock+Chart+LLY.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5379508680600731794" //abr /[5] a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxODc0?end"PPG Industries (PPG)/abr /br /blockquoteInvestors have bid these shares signiﬁcantly higher from their March lows, and there is some downside risk should an earnings recovery be delayed. The stock has special appeal in the $40s./blockquotebr /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SqjDtGE-MoI/AAAAAAAABAQ/ZkW9Z2BBYLI/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+PPG.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SqjDtGE-MoI/AAAAAAAABAQ/ZkW9Z2BBYLI/s320/Stock+Chart+PPG.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5379764934387053186" //abr /[6] a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxODc1?end"Stanley Works (SWK)/abr /br /blockquote...may surprise some people with its stellar long-term dividend record. The company, best known for its tools, has paid a dividend since 1877 and has boosted that dividend in each of the last 42 years./blockquotebr /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SqjFMKIxCoI/AAAAAAAABAY/bBsEv0pYC3s/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+SWK.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SqjFMKIxCoI/AAAAAAAABAY/bBsEv0pYC3s/s320/Stock+Chart+SWK.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5379766567564282498" //abr /[7] a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxODc2?end"Procter and Gamble (PG)/abr /br /blockquoteIt appears that this insider is taking advantage of the rather sluggish price action to pick up shares. True, corporate insiders are often early in their buying, and this insider will have to be patient given what is likely lackluster price action in the near term./blockquotebr /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SqjJv7Z7FXI/AAAAAAAABAg/E5X25UCo8gY/s1600-h/Stock+Chart+PG.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SqjJv7Z7FXI/AAAAAAAABAg/E5X25UCo8gY/s320/Stock+Chart+PG.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5379771580131513714" //abr /a href="http://www.thestockadvisors.com/content/view/4067/33/"TheStockAdvisors/a have provided an eclectic mix of opportunities. How will they perform during the seasonal 'weak' period? Will it be a chance to buy some value?br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"market alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_screener/try_stock_screener.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"stock portfolio manager/a website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-3039112520863720035?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Gold on the Radar?</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/gold-on-the-radar/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Sep 2009 09:44:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-3750238759979950079</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Babak of a href="http://www.tradersnarrative.com/gold-seasonality-turns-positive-2909.html"Trader's Narrative/a opens his latest post as follows:br /br /blockquoteWhile we’re on the subject of seasonality and how September is the albatross around the stock market’s neck these days, I’d be remiss to not point out that what has been historically negative for equities has been a boon for gold and gold stocks./blockquotebr /span class="fullpost"he followsbr /br /blockquote...you’ll notice that during this current super-bull market for gold (which started in 2000) seasonality has shifted slightly. For these most current years (red line) there are really two big waves of positive seasonality for gold and gold stocks. The first is about to start while the second comes after a correction in October and lasts from mid-October to February of the following year./blockquotebr /Gold is currently in the process of forming a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxODA1?end"symmetrical triangle/a. An upward break from the triangle will have a minimum target move of $12 to take the ETF to the $106-107 level. An earlier call I made back in a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/05/zignals-stock-charts-gld-dba-dbc-and.html"April/a was for a move to $118.69 based on a head-and-shoulder reversal pattern with a then stop of $84.49. That stop could now be better placed on a break of $91.40; a break of $91.40 would confirm a downward break for the triangle (and set a target closer to $79).br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sp5HQfKpdoI/AAAAAAAAA_g/JbU3euGmNmQ/s1600-h/GLD+Sep2.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sp5HQfKpdoI/AAAAAAAAA_g/JbU3euGmNmQ/s320/GLD+Sep2.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5376813353696589442" //abr /On the public a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals_Alerts"Zignals_Alerts/a via twitter, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxODA1?end"GLD/a enjoyed a bullish crossover between 10-day and 13-day EMAs and was added to a provisional "watchlist" a href="http://blog.fallondpicks.com/images/Portfolio%20Sep%201st.png"portfolio/a. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sp5I5BCtDwI/AAAAAAAAA_o/V8KGfZvV718/s1600-h/GLDportfolio.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 211px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sp5I5BCtDwI/AAAAAAAAA_o/V8KGfZvV718/s320/GLDportfolio.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5376815149496471298" //abr /Will the next six months be kind to Gold (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxODA1?end"GLD/a) and its sister metal, Silver (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=Vlc4MDg=?end"SLV/a)?br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"market alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_screener/try_stock_screener.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"stock portfolio manager/a website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-3750238759979950079?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Dow Theory: Non-confirmation of rally?</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/dow-theory-non-confirmation-of-rally/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/dow-theory-non-confirmation-of-rally/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Aug 2009 10:42:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Brett Steenbarger discussed a bearish a href="http://traderfeed.blogspot.com/2009/08/why-im-nervous-bull-non-confirmations.html"non-confirmation/a for the new high in the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNzMx?end"SP (SPY) with respect to emerging markets (EEM)/a.br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SpUT_pHc19I/AAAAAAAAA_A/xKo_EtGMA8A/s1600-h/Stock+chart+Aug25.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SpUT_pHc19I/AAAAAAAAA_A/xKo_EtGMA8A/s320/Stock+chart+Aug25.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5374223714426345426" //abr /span class="fullpost"Another tick in the nervous bull column is the non-confirmation between the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNzMy?end"transports (IYT) and the Dow (DIA)/a. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SpUWsWv5EeI/AAAAAAAAA_I/_GzImjspvck/s1600-h/Stock+chart+Aug+25+b.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 177px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SpUWsWv5EeI/AAAAAAAAA_I/_GzImjspvck/s320/Stock+chart+Aug+25+b.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5374226681613062626" //abr /Volume patterns between the transports and the Dow are also different; the Dow (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNzM0?end"DIA/a) has shown respectable volume on its new high, while the transports (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNzMz?end"IYT/a) have traded insipid volume since breaking $65 at the start of August.br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SpUqLn8aNII/AAAAAAAAA_Q/lqHPqJhYoTU/s1600-h/DIAAug25.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 192px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SpUqLn8aNII/AAAAAAAAA_Q/lqHPqJhYoTU/s320/DIAAug25.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5374248109525841026" //abr /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SpUqi9yypwI/AAAAAAAAA_Y/7zNdfzMWiJk/s1600-h/IYTAug25.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 192px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SpUqi9yypwI/AAAAAAAAA_Y/7zNdfzMWiJk/s320/IYTAug25.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5374248510528071426" //abr /Buyer beware.br /br /Follow us on a href="http://twitter.com/Zignals"twitter here/abr /br /script type="text/javascript" src="http://feeds.delicious.com/v2/js/Zignalsnews?title=My%20Delicious%20Bookmarksicon=mcount=5sort=datetagsextendednameshowadd"/scriptbr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"stock alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_alerts/try_stock_alerts.aspx"market alerts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_charts/try_stock_charts.aspx"stock charts/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/stock_screener/try_stock_screener.aspx"stock screener/a and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/portfolio_manager/try_portfolio_manager.aspx"stock portfolio manager/a website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-6624082202970040851?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Trading in the Vacuum</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/trading-in-the-vacuum/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/trading-in-the-vacuum/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Aug 2009 16:05:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[After yesterday's scramble to the exits we are seeing buyers stepping in to pick up some of the pieces. Buyers have quite a bit of room to maneuver but it's going to be tricky to get anywhere close to Friday's close. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SorUlh0RLbI/AAAAAAAAA-4/7id_30Z72wo/s1600-h/SPYAug18.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SorUlh0RLbI/AAAAAAAAA-4/7id_30Z72wo/s320/SPYAug18.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5371339246790585778" //abr /span class="fullpost"The first point of contention will be the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNjU3?end"$99.50 level/a which acted as support for the first half of August.br /br /After that buyers will be taking shares off panicked holders, particularly those who bought late through the July-August rally. But if the SPY can't close the day above $99.50 it will hand initiative back to the sellers.  br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-3716629378847287981?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Robert Prechter &#8211; End is Nigh?</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/robert-prechter-end-is-nigh/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/robert-prechter-end-is-nigh/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Aug 2009 12:10:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Robert Prechter of a href="http://www.elliottwave.com/"Elliot Wave International/a has gone bearish, bringing to an end his bullish February/March rally call. In the video he talks about a break of March lows - no chump change, so is this likely?br /br /div align="center"object width="292" height="219"embed height="219" width="292" allowscriptaccess="always" src="http://cosmos.bcst.yahoo.com/up/fop/embedflv/swf/fop_wrapper.swf?id=15000312autoStart=0prepanelEnable=1infopanelEnable=1carouselEnable=0" type="application/x-shockwave-flash"/embed/object/divbr /span class="fullpost"The core thesis is based on how Elliot Wave Theory (EWT) applies to the current cyclical bear market. br /br /In EWT, trends move in five phases (waves) and counter-trends in three. According to Anthony Caldaro of a href="http://Objectiveelliottave.com"Objectiveelliottave.com/a the last 25+ years have seen a five wave bull trend which has been followed by a two wave of three bear counter-trend. Assuming the second wave of the counter-trend has completed all that is left is the inevitable third wave of the counter-trend; this is what Bob Prechter is looking at as the way forward. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SoK4M-3GziI/AAAAAAAAA-o/5anob3qX5KY/s1600-h/CaldaroAug12.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 242px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SoK4M-3GziI/AAAAAAAAA-o/5anob3qX5KY/s320/CaldaroAug12.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5369056238951124514" //abr /Or is it?br /br /Counter-trend patterns are labelled "ABC", each letter marking the end of the respective wave. The assumption Bob Prechter is making is that the 'B' wave of the "ABC" counter-trend has completed and that the 'C' wave (down) has begun. br /br /Unfortunately, while Bob's predictions could come through there is no indication, yet, that the 'B' wave has completed. The a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNjI2?end"bull trend which kicked off in March is still very much alive/a and would only run to a confirmed break if the July reaction low was lost as support; then - based on the reversal point of the 'B' (the eventual high of the rally) could projections be drawn as to a downside target. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SoK6f_ryEqI/AAAAAAAAA-w/3gdCPxFzXiI/s1600-h/SPYAug12.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SoK6f_ryEqI/AAAAAAAAA-w/3gdCPxFzXiI/s320/SPYAug12.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5369058764612833954" //abr /Why is this important?br /br /EWT countertrends come in two varieties; zig-zag and flat corrections.  br /br /What Bob Prechter is looking for is a zig-zag correction. In zig-zag corrections the length of the move from A-to-B is projected down from price point 'B' to predict the price low for the B-to-C leg. This projection can be relative or absolute. If were to consider this as true and assumed the 'B' wave peaked at 1,018 for the SP, then the next phase down (i.e. the 'C' wave) would set targets for the SP of either 108 (yes - a 910 point loss) or 587 (a 57.7% loss). The former is highly unrealistic and the latter, while unpalatable, is not as bad as what has gone before.br /br /However, it excludes the option for an "ABC" flat correction. In this case the 'B' wave rallies close to where the 5th wave of the prior trend move ended. In this case the SP could get close to 1,575 (I would go as far as to consider the 1,440 level as sufficient to rank as a full retracement). In this scenario the 'C' wave still evolves and is nasty, but the worst case scenario becomes a test of March lows, perhaps seeing support kick in at the 750 level, rather than a meltdown into the 500s.br /br /So what Bob Prechter is suggesting is not a slam dunk. br /br /On the negative side, a 'C' wave will mean an end to the bear-market-rally. But, on the positive side, there could still be plenty of juice in this rally. br /br /The other positive is once an "ABC" correction completes it will have cleared the way for a new cyclical bull market 5-wave move. br /br /There are no gurus in this market; just voices at points of reversal. It all plays like musical chairs rather than words from the wise. br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-422088160983271726?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>A couple of ETFs from the Blogosphere</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/a-couple-of-etfs-from-the-blogosphere/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/a-couple-of-etfs-from-the-blogosphere/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Aug 2009 14:55:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[There appears to be a template which can applied to almost any ETF or stock chart; the rally-pause-rally has proven to be a common theme throughout the market place (other than inverse ETFs of course!). The following two ETFs don't break this mould but they might have the legs to keep going as others start to fail. br /br /At a href="http://www.thestockadvisors.com/content/view/3982/40/"TheStockAdvisors/a, Carl Delfeld has been looking at iShares Sweden (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNjE2?end"EWD/a).br /br /blockquoteTrading at just over ten times earnings, it seems oversold compared with many other European developed markets trading in the mid and high teens as well as some emerging markets such as Mexico at 18 times, Taiwan at 25 times, and India at 21 times earnings. /blockquotebr /Like most global indices which have rallied from June lows the Swedish ETF, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNjE2?end"EWD/a, is looking rich in the short term. The weighted 20-day MA is the watch area here; in the initial advance off the March reaction low tests of the 20-day WMA were greeted eagerily by buyers. The same could happen again on the next test. Stops can go on a break of $20.18 support. A push above $22.80 opens the possibility for a measured move to $25.50, or beyond to the larger target of $28.30. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SoA6Uv490pI/AAAAAAAAA-Y/-JFcEKqwvmw/s1600-h/EWDAug10.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SoA6Uv490pI/AAAAAAAAA-Y/-JFcEKqwvmw/s320/EWDAug10.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5368354883952824978" //a  br /span class="fullpost"a href="http://www.etfexpert.com/etf_expert/2009/08/etf-expert-retail-etfs-still-thriving-thanks-to-jobs-data-and-wishful-thinking.html"ETFexpert.com/a took a look at some retail sector ETFs and noted how their performance is going against the grain, particularly when measured relative to the SP: br /br /blockquote.... if there's one area that should surprise every market watcher, it would be the success of retail ETFs. Save the big box stores, retailers failed miserably in July and they showed little evidence that a back-to-school surge was in the making. Worse yet, with more and more folks not working… by choice or by layoff… who would expect goodwill for this consumer sub-segment?/blockquotebr /The SPDR Retail ETF (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNjE3?end"XRT/a) enjoyed a very clean rally from $17.85 to $29.06 from March through May; it then consolidated for just over two months before setting off on its latest advance. Given the strength of the aforementioned rally it would not be unreasonable to look for a measured move advance to bring a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNjE3?end"XRT/a to $37.07. br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SoBF-iRecaI/AAAAAAAAA-g/C5G3WM16_EM/s1600-h/XRTAug10.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SoBF-iRecaI/AAAAAAAAA-g/C5G3WM16_EM/s320/XRTAug10.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5368367696479941026" //abr /Track these ETFs using a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/alerts/marketalerts.aspx"Zignals alerts/a; follow the latest break-and-run and alert if the measured move targets are hit.br /br /Good luck! br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-514285508855515064?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>SP: Weak Cup-and-Handle?</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/sp-weak-cup-and-handle/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Aug 2009 10:54:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Bears and some bulls no doubt continue to stare in disbelief at the extent of this rally. But given a downleg will have to occur at some point in the near future what will bulls have to look out for to keep the buyer-train intact?br /br /There have been various technical patterns touted as possibilities but it has been hard to put a clear fit on any. Once the SP ETF cracked through $95 trying to fit a a href="http://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/head-shoulders.asp"head-and-shoulder pattern/a with a right-shoulder low of $87.35 doesn't mesh well with a left-shoulder low of $74.34 (shoulders should be approximately equal, or at least mirror a relationship to the angle of the neckline which in this case is flat).br /br /span class="fullpost"An alternative is the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNTk5?end"cup-and-handle pattern/a. The shallower downleg from June representing the 'handle' from the prior base. The issue here is the "V"-shape of the base and the poor volume characteristics of the pattern. Strong cup-and-handle patterns have a "U"-style bottom on light volume; with volume building as the right-hand-side of the pattern completes. The 'handle' represents the weak hand selling necessary to remove the last barrier of resistance before the stock or index can power higher.br /br /In the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNTk5?end"SPY/a example the weak-hand-selling has played out relatively well with accumulation days outscoring distribution days by a clear margin since the start of June (even if overall volume is light because of summer trading). The issue is whether the weak construct of the cup-and-handle has the necessary oomph to fuel buyers on to its projected target of $123+. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Snl_cDVA5QI/AAAAAAAAA-Q/Yn1YRiKug9I/s1600-h/SPYAug4.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 177px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Snl_cDVA5QI/AAAAAAAAA-Q/Yn1YRiKug9I/s320/SPYAug4.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5366460550895166722" //a  br /The critical watch area for bulls is what will happen to $95 support once the SPY makes its next move down. If $95 holds it will add a level of confirmation to the cup-and-handle, but if it breaks it will lengthen the base with the next support level down at $87.50. However, a longer base would revise the upward target to $133 based on a break of $100 resistance, assuming $100 turns out to be the turning point here (give or take a dollar or two). br /br /You can use a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/alerts/tryoutmarketalerts.aspx"Zignals Market Alerts/a to mark these SPY price levels: $95, $87.50, $123, $133 so you can make the informed decision when the time comes. br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-881489232982703653?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Half-term report: UK stocks for 2009</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/half-term-report-uk-stocks-for-2009/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/half-term-report-uk-stocks-for-2009/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Jul 2009 11:09:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-2754651343901055738</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/01/5-uk-listed-stocks-ranked-by-stability.html"January/a of this year I posted a list of 5 UK stocks for 2009. How have they fared so far this year?br /br /First was HSBC Holdings (stronga href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNDU1?end"HSBA/a/strong). The bullish wedge I had outlined at the start of the year was decisively broken to the downside - which left the stock in considerable trouble. The stock halved in value, reaching a low of 253.74p. From its low in March the stock recovered back to 583.50p and curently trades at 496p - still well off the then broker targets of 745.85-765.61p. The a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SWYUSWerQzI/AAAAAAAAArI/uRbYYS0cwaU/s1600-h/HSBCJan8.png"trendline break-to-watch/a I had marked in January didn't occur until April at 474pbr /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SlspzIXh2vI/AAAAAAAAA9o/5v0rvKZJo3g/s1600-h/HSBAJul09.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SlspzIXh2vI/AAAAAAAAA9o/5v0rvKZJo3g/s320/HSBAJul09.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5357922140083575538" //abr /span class="fullpost"The second pick, BP (stronga href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNDU2?end"BP./a/strong) had a a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SWYcs2CgbJI/AAAAAAAAArg/sjc7HaVCQ0k/s1600-h/BPJan8.png"bearish set-up in January/a but the potential for support at 463p was there for value buyers. But in the events that transpired the bearish break did eventually come but an attempt for support at 464p failed. The stock did find support at 401.33p but the subsequent bounce has the look of a larger consolidation pattern at play. It closed Friday art 461pbr /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SlswWALV0wI/AAAAAAAAA9w/hP4BIFTyKkg/s1600-h/BPJul09.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SlswWALV0wI/AAAAAAAAA9w/hP4BIFTyKkg/s320/BPJul09.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5357929336250159874" //abr /For the third pick, Royal Dutch Shell (stronga href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNDU3?end"RDSA/a/strong) I had made an a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SWYXwtw87AI/AAAAAAAAArY/q5BhSVwxMAQ/s1600-h/RDSAJan8.png"optimistic call/a for a test of summer 2008 highs but in the end it was hit like BP, marking a low in March. Unlike BP this has reached (and has so far bounced from) consolidation support. Should this reverse lower then expect it to lead BP lower:br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sls15VVhDuI/AAAAAAAAA94/DknQK5nhDLk/s1600-h/RDSAJul09.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sls15VVhDuI/AAAAAAAAA94/DknQK5nhDLk/s320/RDSAJul09.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5357935440783544034" //abr /Fourth was Vodafone (stronga href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNDU4?end"VOD/a/strong). The latter part of 2008 had shaped into an a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SWYfFIlrKtI/AAAAAAAAArw/2dkm7FA5YHE/s1600-h/VODJan8.png"early rally/a but like the broader market this rally was quickly cut short in 2009. Since March lows the stock has formed a triangle consolidation that some may view as a bullish wedge (i.e. buy break of resistance for a potential move to 145p) or a bearish descending triangle (i.e. sell break of support ~112p for a target of ~96p). Hunch favors the latter:br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sls4d65p2rI/AAAAAAAAA-A/2DDSyfwqjgY/s1600-h/VODJul09.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sls4d65p2rI/AAAAAAAAA-A/2DDSyfwqjgY/s320/VODJul09.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5357938268365773490" //abr /Last of the five was GlaxoSmithKline (stronga href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNDU5?end"GSK/a/strong). Of the five it looked like it could be the a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SWYTTsGSDYI/AAAAAAAAArA/RjGG3xbEHh0/s1600-h/GSKJan8.png"performer of 2009/a. Unfortunately, the stock continues to trade in its range - except this time at the lower end instead of the upper range from the start of the year. Support at 982 has at least held. A move back to resistance at 1350p is probably a best case scenario for the rest of the year. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SltBVo8EJ_I/AAAAAAAAA-I/6C4ClRL19DQ/s1600-h/GSKJul13.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SltBVo8EJ_I/AAAAAAAAA-I/6C4ClRL19DQ/s320/GSKJul13.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5357948021709744114" //abr /Unfortunately, none of the five have proven their worth yet - will the second half of the year be kinder?     br / br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-2754651343901055738?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Lazy Summer 2% Drops</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/lazy-summer-2-drops/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Jul 2009 09:49:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Monday's drop of 2.9% in the SP after the period of gains the market had enjoyed was a worrying turn of events for bulls. But have such falls during the usually quiet summer "vacation season" portend to something worse? I took a look at past occurences where the market has fallen more than 2% in July to see what has followed. br /br /The first point of note is the recent phenomenon for such drops; looking at the data back to 1950 the greatest number of occurences were in the current millenium: 2008, 2007, 2002, 2001, and 2000; 2002 was unusual in there were 8 days in July which registered daily drops of 2% or more. 'Black Box' trading, broadband connections, electronic exchanges all feed into this increased volatility. Going back further we have 1999, 1998, 1996 - effectively the advent of online trading; 1996 had two days in July which experienced 2% losses.br /br /It's not until you enter the time machine that we see truer points of market weakness, namely 1986, 1974, 1969 and 1950 - 1974 having two days of 2% losses. br /br /span class="fullpost"What has resulted from these 2% July down days? br /br /For the past ten years the outcome has been mostly negative with markets conforming to seasonal patterns (i.e. weak September and October). In 2001 and 2002 the 2% down day occurred around the July bank holiday weekend. Markets generally struggled to maintain bullish momentum over the rest of the summer with profit taking acclerating losses into the Fall. In defence of the bull cause, 1999 and 2002 were more range bound than disasters but holding stocks was not the favoured course of action.  br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SlMmqoqeLHI/AAAAAAAAA9Q/jc1xnca7aT0/s1600-h/millenium.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 211px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SlMmqoqeLHI/AAAAAAAAA9Q/jc1xnca7aT0/s320/millenium.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5355666895785569394" //abr /Also, bulls can take comfort from 1996 and 2007 when the markets continued to work higher - although both occurrences were during cyclical bull markets, not the cyclical bear market we are currently experiencing.   br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SlMp35IcA_I/AAAAAAAAA9g/GxNaCl9IM-g/s1600-h/bullmarket.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 138px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SlMp35IcA_I/AAAAAAAAA9g/GxNaCl9IM-g/s320/bullmarket.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5355670422079407090" //abr /However, pre-online trading the impact of the 2% down day was not so bad. Of the four years with July's containing a 2% loss there were two gains and two losses (or one gain, one loss and two sideways markets). In 1974 and 1986 the 2% down-day occurred close to the July bank holiday. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SlMo9O9Sh7I/AAAAAAAAA9Y/4NRWzQ2GHa4/s1600-h/History2%25.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 272px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SlMo9O9Sh7I/AAAAAAAAA9Y/4NRWzQ2GHa4/s320/History2%25.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5355669414325946290" //abr /In summary, a volatile summer trading day loss has been up to the advent of online trading a rare and non-impactal event. However, in the world of online trading, black box systems, and fine margins (the latter in particular), these 1-day events have been used as cues to adopt a negative stance on the market; namely sales of existing holdings, opening shorts and holding off new buys. br /br /In light of this it would be prudent not to fight the crowd, and a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxNDEx?end"instead adopt a wait-and-see approach into the seasonally weak September-October period/a. Perhaps then, better longside opportunities will emerge.  br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-5220398712770522991?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Charts: European Stocks in the News</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-european-stocks-in-the-news/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2009 09:06:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[From a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087sid=a5ruGouWX67A"Bloomberg/a:br /br /blockquoteNovo Nordisk added 3.3 percent to 279 kroner, rebounding from last week’s 5.3 percent drop. The European Association for the Study of Diabetes said its research into the cancer risk from a Sanofi-Aventis SA diabetes drug didn’t include Novo Nordisk’s competing product, Levemir. Sanofi, which tumbled 16 percent last week, gained 0.5 percent to 41.05 euros./blockquotebr /From a technical standpoint Novo Nordisk has struggled to emerge from its long standing decline. Buyers have a choice of either waiting for the next spike low or look for a momentum push past 319 kroner. Until then it's hard to be positive. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SkiOGXdlRtI/AAAAAAAAA84/BwDUk_VPuA8/s1600-h/NovoJun29.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SkiOGXdlRtI/AAAAAAAAA84/BwDUk_VPuA8/s320/NovoJun29.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5352684397158287058" //abr /span class="fullpost"blockquoteDeutsche Telekom rose 1.6 percent to 8.37 euros. Vodafone, the world’s largest mobile-phone company, is considering a bid for T-Mobile UK Ltd., the British wireless unit of Deutsche Telekom, said the person, who asked not to be identified because the discussions are private. Vodafone increased 0.2 percent to 116.4 pence/blockquotebr /Deutsche Telekom held up remarkably well during the global meltdown in 2008 but tailed off at the start of 2009 and is struggling to find some footing. There is some potential for demand around €8s but the 20-day WMA is keeping things contained to the upside. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SkiY_Blj8II/AAAAAAAAA9A/r0YfGJGzN3M/s1600-h/DTEJun29.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SkiY_Blj8II/AAAAAAAAA9A/r0YfGJGzN3M/s320/DTEJun29.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5352696365654995074" //abr /blockquoteFerrovial advanced 1.9 percent to 22.29 euros. Macquarie raised its recommendation on the Spanish construction company that owns seven U.K. airports to “outperform,” saying the BBA Ltd. unit “is unlikely to see refinancing risks until 2011.” /blockquotebr /Unlike the prior two stocks Grupo Ferrovial has stabilised in a range between €17 and €27. The weighted moving average offers little help but dips below €20 are attractive accumulation areas with a potential momentum rally coming on a break of €27 with upside targets of €30 and €37. One to watch:br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SkibDIt7GHI/AAAAAAAAA9I/yINlCFTGvOU/s1600-h/FERJun29.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SkibDIt7GHI/AAAAAAAAA9I/yINlCFTGvOU/s320/FERJun29.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5352698635311847538" //abr /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-7759439193913055774?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>FTSE 250 (MIDD) Indecision</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/ftse-250-midd-indecision/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/ftse-250-midd-indecision/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Jun 2009 10:42:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-5239241392427611254</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Since the May highs the FTSE 250 (as measured by the ETF, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMzQw?endhttp://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMzQw?end"MIDD/a) has been steadily working itself back to the former base between 555p and 697p (5,550 and 6,970 as per FTSE 250).br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SkNYFFjDCHI/AAAAAAAAA8w/3Ey0oX1Jw1c/s1600-h/MIDDJun25.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 139px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SkNYFFjDCHI/AAAAAAAAA8w/3Ey0oX1Jw1c/s320/MIDDJun25.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5351217626658048114" //a br /span class="fullpost"However, the challenge it faces as it lingers around 722.25p is whether it can push beyond 732.50p resistance or retreat to 697.80p. Yesterday's US Fed decision won't help the former case and the indecision currently exhibited in the market suggests the prior two days of gains are only window dressing in the broader 2-month decline.  br /br /The question is what will it do when if it makes it back to 697.80p? Too much time has passed to consider this a retest of support so the likely outcome is a drop into the former base range and a hunt for an area of demand. A drop all the way to 5550p is perhaps a little extreme given some form of rally would be expected during the interval. There was pivot action in the 635-642p range and this might be the area to watch on the part of bulls.br /br /Buyer Beware... br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-5239241392427611254?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Charts: Stocktwits Top Tickers</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-stocktwits-top-tickers/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-stocktwits-top-tickers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2009 10:20:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Bulls will be biting their nails with SP futures weak; but what has grabbed the attention of traders this week?br /br /Apple (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMzI2?end"AAPL/a) tops the list. a href="http://www.bostonwealth.net/2009/06/21/aapl-macro-perspective/"Boston Wealth Management/a is looking at a long standing battle of the trendlines:br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sj9eWYqFpXI/AAAAAAAAA8A/OQ9_ycWjsXA/s1600-h/BWMjunAAPL.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 183px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sj9eWYqFpXI/AAAAAAAAA8A/OQ9_ycWjsXA/s320/BWMjunAAPL.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5350098621008553330" //abr /But over the short term it is looking better for the bulls:br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sj9fXuWDHTI/AAAAAAAAA8I/v0lLKIjIoK8/s1600-h/AAPLJun22.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sj9fXuWDHTI/AAAAAAAAA8I/v0lLKIjIoK8/s320/AAPLJun22.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5350099743521578290" //abr /span class="fullpost"Second was the Euro/US Dollar Currency pair (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMzI4?end"EURUSD/a). Shorts look to have the edge on the a href="http://www.stocktwits.com/t/EURUSD"Stocktwits feed/a but the daily chart appears to show a bull flag with clear support at $1.38xx. I have made a call for a measured move to $1.55xx. Supply in the $1.42xxs has restrained the rally once but can it do so for a second time? br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sj9imM1_0dI/AAAAAAAAA8Q/jK2mU67D2Ew/s1600-h/EURUSDJun22.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sj9imM1_0dI/AAAAAAAAA8Q/jK2mU67D2Ew/s320/EURUSDJun22.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5350103290761695698" //abr /Third on the list is British Pound / Japanese Yen (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMzI5?end"GBPJPY/a). a href="http://www.stocktwits.com/u/pipmaestro"Pipmaestro/a has been peppering with short trades but the daily trend is clearly higher. Supply around £1.62xxs is a chance for shorts to get in top-end; aggressive shorting is likely to occur should £1.55xxs break.  br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sj9lsy6Zo0I/AAAAAAAAA8Y/fCqiogJ-YBQ/s1600-h/GBPJPYJun22.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sj9lsy6Zo0I/AAAAAAAAA8Y/fCqiogJ-YBQ/s320/GBPJPYJun22.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5350106702594810690" //abr /The SP (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMzAy?end"SPY/a) has been a constant on a href="http://www.stocktwits.com/t/SPX"Stocktwits/a (interesting to see it gather more attention than the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=Vlc5NjU=?end"QQQQ/as). I haven't changed my earlier call from June 17th; still think it is heading into the $80s.  br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sj9m7WNmwZI/AAAAAAAAA8g/PW8jNluagMM/s1600-h/SPYJun22.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sj9m7WNmwZI/AAAAAAAAA8g/PW8jNluagMM/s320/SPYJun22.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5350108052100399506" //abr /Last of the major follows is the US Natural Gas ETF (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMzMw?end"UNG/a). There is no firm conviction from a href="http://www.stocktwits.com/t/UNG"Stocktwitters/a on how the sideways pattern will resolve. If it was to follow oil's lead then higher is favoured but weak seasonal effects may suppress this. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sj93P0l7lRI/AAAAAAAAA8o/-9TNDwvmYfg/s1600-h/UNGJun22.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 177px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sj93P0l7lRI/AAAAAAAAA8o/-9TNDwvmYfg/s320/UNGJun22.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5350125996038919442" //abr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-8423890034280335945?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Moving forward in the SPX</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/moving-forward-in-the-spx/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 09:03:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-1658888139732876214</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last week I took a look at a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/06/light-volume-little-help.html"historical performance of the SP as it pertained to volume/a. Today I will look at the position of the SP relative to the major moving averages (20-day, 50-day and 200-day MA). In a similar vein, Brett Steenbarger had a look at the past two days action and noted a a href="http://traderfeed.blogspot.com/2009/06/two-days-down-ten-day-low-what-next.html"bullish bias five days out/a.br /br /For this analysis I based i on last weeks standings to keep a degree of continuity. On June 8th the SP finished 3% above it 20-day MA, 7% above its 50-day MA and 2% above its 200-day MA. The closest match was October 12th 1970 when the SP was 1% above its 20-day MA, 4% above its 50-day MA and 2% above its 200-day MA. What followed was a sideways period which lasted just over month before it rallied for another 6 months.  br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sji0LUBcc2I/AAAAAAAAA64/kljgPIAm1o4/s1600-h/SPXJun16.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 233px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sji0LUBcc2I/AAAAAAAAA64/kljgPIAm1o4/s320/SPXJun16.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5348222663948792674" //abr /span class="fullpost"Other matches were September 4th 1992 (0%/0%/2%) which experienced a 5% trim over a month then rallied for the next 18 months. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sji3I_wqxQI/AAAAAAAAA7A/k84Flvfc9ds/s1600-h/SPXSep4.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 234px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sji3I_wqxQI/AAAAAAAAA7A/k84Flvfc9ds/s320/SPXSep4.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5348225922684863746" //abr /August 31st 1984 (1%/6%/5%) which evolved into a 4-month sideways consolidation before the rally continued:br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sji47Etp8-I/AAAAAAAAA7I/arsZxKkGgPE/s1600-h/SPXAuh31.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 233px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sji47Etp8-I/AAAAAAAAA7I/arsZxKkGgPE/s320/SPXAuh31.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5348227882519491554" //abr /August 29th 2003 (2%/2%/10%) where the SP broke through a summer consolidation in the early part of the most recent cyclical bull market.br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sji6HMYH4tI/AAAAAAAAA7Q/fMqseHEskPg/s1600-h/SPXAug28.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 234px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sji6HMYH4tI/AAAAAAAAA7Q/fMqseHEskPg/s320/SPXAug28.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5348229190246720210" //abr /August 5th 1988 (1%/1%/5%). Unlike prior examples this was a little more scrappy but was still part of a larger rally (i.e. no meltdown followed):br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sji76MDejpI/AAAAAAAAA7Y/JEZzF5sXAHc/s1600-h/SPXAug5.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 233px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sji76MDejpI/AAAAAAAAA7Y/JEZzF5sXAHc/s320/SPXAug5.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5348231165845081746" //abr /11th October 1978 (2%/1%/10%). The first example not to show a rally to new highs, but no major low either and the prelude for April through to October was not what we have seen:br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sji9BkbHUgI/AAAAAAAAA7g/dPIUin1ELsQ/s1600-h/SPXOct11.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 233px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sji9BkbHUgI/AAAAAAAAA7g/dPIUin1ELsQ/s320/SPXOct11.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5348232392157385218" //abr /March 30th 1981 (1%/3%/5%). A step beyond above where the lead in was not well matched given the sequence of lower highs. This was the only example to follow with a new 52-week low. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sji_Juzw-hI/AAAAAAAAA7o/jq6_BMIsPsI/s1600-h/SPXMar30.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 233px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sji_Juzw-hI/AAAAAAAAA7o/jq6_BMIsPsI/s320/SPXMar30.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5348234731407342098" //abr /Jul 21st 1952 (0%/2%/5%). The last example has the look of what may be expected over the coming months - the fact it was in July is coincidental. If the SP was to move towards a head-and-shoulder reversal we would need to see a substantial correction this summer similar to what played out in 1952. In the current case the SP would go from 912 down to the 800s (a 13% drop). From there if it followed the 1952 case there would be an October bottom and a rally to new 52-week highs - although the markets foundered for most of 1953 with the summer of 1954 marking the beginning of the next bull rally. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SjjDJnKjvUI/AAAAAAAAA7w/5SL58DKN-54/s1600-h/SPXJul21.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 233px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SjjDJnKjvUI/AAAAAAAAA7w/5SL58DKN-54/s320/SPXJul21.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5348239127401971010" //abr /No one knows what will happen in the future. The good news is from an historical standpoint a significant meltdown to match what has gone before is unlikely to occur. But it is also reasonable to assume we won't be seeing any great push higher anytime soon.    br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SjjHk7xUtMI/AAAAAAAAA74/HeAyNNWAtP4/s1600-h/SPYJun16.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SjjHk7xUtMI/AAAAAAAAA74/HeAyNNWAtP4/s320/SPYJun16.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5348243994836251842" //abr /The worst of the selling may be behind us but the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMzAy?end"cyclical bear market is far from over yet/a. br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-1658888139732876214?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Latest fallond Zignals Stock Charts</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/latest-fallond-zignals-stock-charts/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 14:01:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[These picks are from a scan looking for stocks making new highs on heavier volume:br /br /China Bak Battery (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMjc3?end"CBAK/a) managed a picture perfect consolidation breakout Wednesday but has run into a little follow through trouble early Thursday. A successful measured move could see this push $4.50 but the breakout gap around $2.45 might be a too enticing as a pull down. I am siding with a fall and have set a YourCall stop at early day highs.br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SjEXI4FOm-I/AAAAAAAAA6Q/yPXBTJGOwXA/s1600-h/CBAKJun11.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SjEXI4FOm-I/AAAAAAAAA6Q/yPXBTJGOwXA/s320/CBAKJun11.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5346079673926196194" //abr /span class="fullpost"China Sunergy Co. (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMjc4?end"CSUN/a) is another extended looking Chinese stock. It may play a repeat of its March rally and drift until its 20-day MA catches up - perhaps even making it back to its lower BB band. Reason enough to take some profits for those that have some to take. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SjEctl32_uI/AAAAAAAAA6Y/Fjxlisb4Pgo/s1600-h/CSUNJUn11.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SjEctl32_uI/AAAAAAAAA6Y/Fjxlisb4Pgo/s320/CSUNJUn11.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5346085802251583202" //abr /The third Chinese stock to watch is China Technology Development Group (stronga href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMjc5?end"CTDC/a/strong). In the short term it has the same issues as the aforementioned stocks but does at least have a base to build off. Could form a nice cup-and-handle pattern if it was to find support at the 20-day MA. Support at $2.72 an alternative entry opportunity?br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SjEe3Wv3lII/AAAAAAAAA6g/Wx0WAjP9W1Y/s1600-h/CTDCJun11.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SjEe3Wv3lII/AAAAAAAAA6g/Wx0WAjP9W1Y/s320/CTDCJun11.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5346088169013482626" //abr /Level 3 Communications (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMjgw?end"LVLT/a) is also looking at a potential cup-and-handle with support around $1.24 to catch a back test. Watch for volume breakout at the psychological resistance of $1.50. Project target of $2.40 if a break of $1.50 is supported. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SjEjBv12BsI/AAAAAAAAA6o/dKjGfUXlSro/s1600-h/LVLTJun11.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SjEjBv12BsI/AAAAAAAAA6o/dKjGfUXlSro/s320/LVLTJun11.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5346092745594635970" //abr /Olympic Steel (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMjgx?end"ZEUS/a) is enjoying its second day of sizable gains but when the dust settles there might be a good long side opportunity. Watch the 20-day MA for entry opportunities. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SjElMzDa4QI/AAAAAAAAA6w/9PXcKISkFCo/s1600-h/ZEUSJun11th.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SjElMzDa4QI/AAAAAAAAA6w/9PXcKISkFCo/s320/ZEUSJun11th.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5346095134458700034" //abr /All five are watchlist material. br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-941965923857954635?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Light volume Little Help?</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/light-volume-little-help/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/light-volume-little-help/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Jun 2009 12:50:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[A post by Babak at a href="http://www.tradersnarrative.com/if-volume-is-rallys-fuel-were-running-on-fumes-2650.html"Trader's Narrative/a commented on an article by a href="http://www.hussmanfunds.com/rsi/rallyvolume.htm"William Hester/a on recent market conditions. In it he concludedbr /br /blockquoteBut there is an important nature of volume that I don’t think he took into consideration. Everything else being equal, volume tends to be cyclical and follow a pattern. For example, it tapers off during holidays like Christmas and New Years (yellow squares on the chart). Volume is light from June to August - what is referred to usually as the summer doldrums. And it spikes for panic lows (you can see a few examples above)./blockquotebr /But is there anything we can look to from recent low volume? br /br /span class="fullpost"I started from using June 8th 2009 as a base; on Monday the amount of volume traded was 32% below a 60-day moving average of volume. In the prior week volume traded between 6 and 21% below the 60-day moving average of volume. So looking back to 1950 how many days in June did volume trade below the 60-day MA of volume by 30% or more?br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Si5dwVBMfvI/AAAAAAAAA5w/-whty8MDwYw/s1600-h/BlogJun9.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 288px; height: 320px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Si5dwVBMfvI/AAAAAAAAA5w/-whty8MDwYw/s320/BlogJun9.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5345312892592619250" //abr /The majority of these cases occurred in the late 50s and early 60s with large number of light volume days populating June. But there was a dramatic shift from 1979 to 2009 with only the odd day here and there and no light June trading day in the nineties. br /br /How did the SP perform during these periods? br /br /I tried to group the performance into general associations. The first group of five enjoyed periods of continued strength into the end of July or beginning of August before entering a downward phase lasting into mid-September and October. Only in 1988 did the rollover occur early and bottom at the end of August. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Si5g_g83BKI/AAAAAAAAA54/X__AfaS-RBI/s1600-h/S%26PJun8.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 203px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Si5g_g83BKI/AAAAAAAAA54/X__AfaS-RBI/s320/S%26PJun8.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5345316452028581026" //abr /The next group of five had sustained periods of weakness for June or mid-July, but this was followed by significant rallies where the June/July low reflected the absolute low for the following 6 months.br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Si5iVdqm0WI/AAAAAAAAA6A/oUvUHPKwGGw/s1600-h/S%26PJun8b.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 219px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Si5iVdqm0WI/AAAAAAAAA6A/oUvUHPKwGGw/s320/S%26PJun8b.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5345317928615465314" //abr /And then there was the odd cases which didn't really fit any pattern (although 1976 could probably muscle into the 'June low and rally' group)br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Si5jvJJyWzI/AAAAAAAAA6I/01KCtmUAOb4/s1600-h/S%26Pjun6c.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 275px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Si5jvJJyWzI/AAAAAAAAA6I/01KCtmUAOb4/s320/S%26Pjun6c.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5345319469297326898" //abr /So is there anything we can take from this?br /br /Not really. There is nothing to suggest very light volume as part of a seasonal light trading period reflects underlying weakness. In the case of light June trading there is perhaps a greater case to be made in favour of a consolidation lasting to the end of June/mid-July before markets kick into a significant push higher - but it's a weak case. br /br /However, with the exception of 2001, there was no strong evidence to a significant market meltdown and certainly no move which made a substantial undercut of June prices. br /br /So, seller beware.br /br /In my next article I will look at how the relative position of the SP to its moving averages combined with light volume influence future price action. br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-932416650864637076?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>The &#8216;Sucks&#8217; Indicator</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/the-sucks-indicator/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2009 10:32:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-5775643115183599613</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In the true traditions of in depth analysis I did a simple survey on Google Trends for the search term "sucks" and an associated company name. I initially wanted to look for attitutes to Google's Adsense program but there wasn't sufficient data to return an answer (censorship or simply a win-win product?), so the search was broadened to improve results.  br /br /span class="fullpost"The first comparisons were between Google, Microsoft and Yahoo. Google experienced the most 'suckage' by virtue of its size. The 2008 spike may have corresponded to the changes in its a href="http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2008/08/new-enhancements-on-google-content.html#links"advertising TOS/a, but it didn't appear to impact the company over the long term and in general, the company has been irking people less since the start of 2006br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SiUC4tgclNI/AAAAAAAAA44/N3Eo83Iq3eI/s1600-h/TrendsJun1.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 123px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SiUC4tgclNI/AAAAAAAAA44/N3Eo83Iq3eI/s320/TrendsJun1.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5342679706256577746" //abr /Microsoft has been steadily improving while Yahoo has headed in the other direction; one only has to look at the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMTY3?end"comparison in the two's stock price/a to see how each has fared with investors.br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SiUJ4Xaha3I/AAAAAAAAA5A/74mXvJy0qII/s1600-h/MSFTJun1.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 192px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SiUJ4Xaha3I/AAAAAAAAA5A/74mXvJy0qII/s320/MSFTJun1.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5342687396907543410" //abr /The rise and fall of Crocs (stronga href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMTY4?end"CROX/a/strong) has made for interesting viewing (assuming you hadn't ridden it up and back). Crocs peaked in search during July 2007 before plummeting; interesting headline from September 17th which came a month before the stock price collapsed.br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SiUMNkedccI/AAAAAAAAA5I/SBarHxCGB-U/s1600-h/CROCStrends.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 99px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SiUMNkedccI/AAAAAAAAA5I/SBarHxCGB-U/s320/CROCStrends.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5342689960214229442" //abr /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SiUMWF0mTpI/AAAAAAAAA5Q/quVx7jLdzYE/s1600-h/CROCSJun1.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 210px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SiUMWF0mTpI/AAAAAAAAA5Q/quVx7jLdzYE/s320/CROCSJun1.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5342690106604408466" //abr /Unfortuntely, applying the 'Sucks' thesis to teen fashion didn't return an awesome list of results. In the broader terms of search, Abercrombie held top position (and was used as a marker for all comparisons) but is facing pressure from Hollister. Juicy Couture has seen steady growth, albeit from a lowly position. Certain brands like Diesel and Hurley were excluded where there were obvious multiple meanings and the fashion brand did not represent the dominant search term.    br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SiUg2EZBLfI/AAAAAAAAA5Y/rSWDo4X5BA4/s1600-h/Abercrombie.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 118px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SiUg2EZBLfI/AAAAAAAAA5Y/rSWDo4X5BA4/s320/Abercrombie.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5342712646208663026" //abr /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SiUirRGvFtI/AAAAAAAAA5g/SJUARIcCaCg/s1600-h/Abercormbie2.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 110px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SiUirRGvFtI/AAAAAAAAA5g/SJUARIcCaCg/s320/Abercormbie2.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5342714659666335442" //abr /One thing Google Trends shows nicely is the various seasonal shopping peaks; look at the difference between boom loving 2007 (denial) and the crisis weary 2008 (acceptance). Minor peaks are seen for Spring and Fall - even for Spring 2009. What will Fall 2009 bring?br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SiUkQPjBQqI/AAAAAAAAA5o/tWtjeRU46zI/s1600-h/Abercrombie3.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 159px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SiUkQPjBQqI/AAAAAAAAA5o/tWtjeRU46zI/s320/Abercrombie3.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5342716394414883490" //abr /On a closing note, although weaker than Abercormbie and Hollister, Urban Outfitters was able to maintain the majority of its (lower) sales in 2008 from 2007 and hasn't suffered to the same degree as Abercrombie or Hollister. Is a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/quicknav/MenuCharts.aspx?param=VlcxMTY5?end"Urban the new teen fashion star/a?br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-5775643115183599613?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Charts: GLD, DBA, DBC and EURUSD</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-gld-dba-dbc-and-eurusd/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 26 May 2009 09:21:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[There has been considerable action in the quartet of commodities and EURUSD prices the past couple of weeks. Each are shaping up for even bigger moves, but how will they do?br /br /First up is the Gold ETF, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMTEy?end"GLD/a. The a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/05/zignals-stock-charts-commodities.html"initial call/a remains valid with the head-and-shoulder reversal pattern within a head-and-shoulder pattern. One could make a case for a short term reaction support at $90.14 which would allow for a breakeven stop on my May 6th call at $89.72. a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/05/zignals-stock-charts-three-gold-miners.html"Miners/a have already begun the journey but it could be weeks before the base metal follow suit. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Shu446MprbI/AAAAAAAAA4Y/e5PbIS9J3Zo/s1600-h/GLDMay26.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Shu446MprbI/AAAAAAAAA4Y/e5PbIS9J3Zo/s320/GLDMay26.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5340065071012359602" //abr /span class="fullpost"a href="http://maoxian.com/archive/dba-versus-dbc/"Maoxian/a has been following an Ag fund (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMTEz?end"DBA/a) and a more general commodity fund (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMTE0?end"DBC/a). a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMTEz?end"DBA/a has emerged from an 8-month base and has room to move into the $33s.br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Shu_6KQUszI/AAAAAAAAA4g/k5_0ML4g7to/s1600-h/DBAMay26.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Shu_6KQUszI/AAAAAAAAA4g/k5_0ML4g7to/s320/DBAMay26.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5340072789083992882" //abr /The Commodity Index Tracking Fund (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMTE0?end"DBC/a) hasn't got the same juice powering it as the Ag-based a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMTEz?end"DBA/a so it is still range bound. I have entered an anticipatory YourCall for a push to $27s with a stop on a loss of $21. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShvHAxZEdcI/AAAAAAAAA4o/GJevpL2b1Gk/s1600-h/DBCMay26.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 177px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShvHAxZEdcI/AAAAAAAAA4o/GJevpL2b1Gk/s320/DBCMay26.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5340080599250269634" //abr /Currency fave a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMTE4?end"EURUSD/a has been bubbling of late. A a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/03/zignals-stock-chart-eurusd-bull-flag.html"March call/a of mine didn't reap the reward I had looked for eventhough the direction of the move was correct. In the end the break of $1.3739 was the icing on the cake of a somewhat crude 'cup-and-handle'. Now it exists in a bit of a no-mans land between $1.3739 and $1.4141; the latter a beginning of a supply zone stretching into the $1.43s. The best outlook going forward is to have this backtest $1.3739 before an assault is launched on overhead supply. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShvP-p0o9kI/AAAAAAAAA4w/jf_EJP5wis4/s1600-h/EURUSDMay26.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShvP-p0o9kI/AAAAAAAAA4w/jf_EJP5wis4/s320/EURUSDMay26.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5340090458463336002" //abr /As the indices work off overbought conditions into their traditional quiet season these aforementioned ETFs and currency pair may be the ones to watch over the next few weeks.br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-6888810216385502270?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Charts: Three Gold Miners</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-three-gold-miners/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2009 09:58:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Gold bugs have seen a steady improvement in the commodity pricing with the recent price cross of its 50-day MA and the subsequent cross of this moving average by the 20-day MA. However, the best form has emerged from some of the gold mining stocks. Here are three worth watching; two of which have YourCall information.br /br /The first to emerge from a 9-month cup-and-handle pattern is Gold Fields Ltd (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMDc0?end"GFI/a). The break beyond $12.63 hasn't cleared all trouble given reaction lows from early 2008 at $14.00 will continue to act as supply. The potential 1-year target is last October's highs at $18.22. I have a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMDc0?end"YourCall for a push to $18.19 with a stop at $11.69/a.br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShUnXze4vII/AAAAAAAAA4A/7SXRFXH4Dso/s1600-h/GFIMay21.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShUnXze4vII/AAAAAAAAA4A/7SXRFXH4Dso/s320/GFIMay21.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5338216223227821186" //abr /span class="fullpost"The second stock, Golden Star Resources (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMDc1?end"GSS/a) has advanced almost 100% from April lows so is perhaps in need of a consolidation period before pushing on. The Cup-and-Handle may make more sense as a "W" bottom but the prognosis going forward is the same. I have a loose a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMDc1?end"YourCall entered with a Target of $4.25 but a broad stop at $1.69/a. It will be a slow burner. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShUpaAi9IEI/AAAAAAAAA4I/GeUXc82TuIo/s1600-h/GSSMay21.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShUpaAi9IEI/AAAAAAAAA4I/GeUXc82TuIo/s320/GSSMay21.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5338218460117540930" //abr /The final stock of the three, Kinross Gold Corp (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMDc2?end"KGC/a) hasn't broken from its base and is still penned in by resistance at $19.49. I have not entered a YourCall on this but an a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/alerts/tryoutmarketalerts.aspx"Alert for a Price Cross of $19.49/a should suffice.br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShUqblJSwLI/AAAAAAAAA4Q/RyNp2ahAFmk/s1600-h/KGCMay21.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShUqblJSwLI/AAAAAAAAA4Q/RyNp2ahAFmk/s320/KGCMay21.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5338219586633515186" //abr /Keep an eye on all three...  br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-4838269300670610841?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Bank of Ireland Chairman steps down: Where next for Irish Banks?</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/bank-of-ireland-chairman-steps-down-where-next-for-irish-banks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/bank-of-ireland-chairman-steps-down-where-next-for-irish-banks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 May 2009 09:36:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[blockquoteA plan by Bank of Ireland to buy back bonds has seen its share price rise 27 per cent despite reporting a collapse in pretax profits to €7 million and lifting its expected three-year bad debt charge to €6 billion.br /br /The buyback programme also overshadowed an announcement that chairman Richard Burrows would step down at the annual meeting in July./blockquotebr /a href="http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/breaking/2009/0519/breaking6.htm"Irish Times/abr /br /span class="fullpost"Shareholders have given this latest news a thumbs-up which has also helped other Irish banking share prices. But where can Bank of Ireland go from here?br /br /Until the start of May, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMDEz?end"Bank of Ireland/a had been struggling to challenge €1.00 resistance. The eventual break on May 6th, albeit on very low volume (surprising considering) was the prelude to the advance seen today. Those brave souls who bought at €0.12 as recently as March must be feeling very good about themselves.br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShKBZp2QzcI/AAAAAAAAA3g/wAIChhCA8hY/s1600-h/BKIRMay19.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShKBZp2QzcI/AAAAAAAAA3g/wAIChhCA8hY/s320/BKIRMay19.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5337470786117619138" //a br /In terms of volume, the bulk of the buying occurred in the €0.40-€0.95 range and this should be the zone with the greatest level of support should the current rally run out of steam (an excellent example of resistance turned support). br /br /Going forward the next major congestion level is around the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMDE0?end"€4.38 and €6.36/a zone but there is a resistance level at €2.30 which needs to be tackled first. It will likely be a long journey to get there but as long as Bank of Ireland can stay above €1.00 there is hope. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShKFBbMvE6I/AAAAAAAAA3o/8Z_I9gJXn6A/s1600-h/BKIRMay19b.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShKFBbMvE6I/AAAAAAAAA3o/8Z_I9gJXn6A/s320/BKIRMay19b.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5337474767914996642" //abr /For a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=VlcxMDE1?end"Allied Irish Banks/a it's a different story. Today's news as helped add another 14% to AIB's share price but a larger hurdle remains as to its range bound action between €0.74 and €1.36. Even when this clears it will run into significant supply level at €1.67. Only when the latter breaks (if it breaks) can one start to consider the long term prospects for the bank. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShKGxbeklMI/AAAAAAAAA3w/EBgYmZ_9km0/s1600-h/AIBMay19.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ShKGxbeklMI/AAAAAAAAA3w/EBgYmZ_9km0/s320/AIBMay19.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5337476692135154882" //a br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spana href="http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/breaking/2009/0519/breaking6.htm"/adiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-991589472742559857?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com' alt='' //div]]></description>
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		<title>Global Indices ETFs Round-Up: 20-day Weighted Moving Average</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/global-indices-etfs-round-up-20-day-weighted-moving-average/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/global-indices-etfs-round-up-20-day-weighted-moving-average/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 May 2009 09:43:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[With the 'Joe Soap' regular 20-day moving averages broken or under threat I took at look at the positional aspect of the weighted 20-day MA. Like any moving average it is subject to whipsaw but breaks through the line tend to support bullish or bearish periods of 1 month or more. However, because it is weighted the whipsaw signals don't tend to be so damaging. br /br /strong[1] /strongstronga href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5NzI=?end"SP/SPY/a/strongbr /br /Closed Wednesday just above the 20-day WMA. Another down day Thursday will see a break which could define the action for the rest of the summer with the potential for another seasonal washout in September/October. That's hearsay for now but today will mark the test.br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sgv1K7bjuOI/AAAAAAAAA2w/ai_pNJtCz7Q/s1600-h/SPYMay14.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sgv1K7bjuOI/AAAAAAAAA2w/ai_pNJtCz7Q/s320/SPYMay14.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5335627751651260642" //abr /My a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5NzI=?end"1-month Call for $94.49 fell shy of the target but did at least finish in the plus column/a. br /br /span class="fullpost"strong[2]/strong a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5NzM=?end" FTSE 250/MIDD/abr /Thursday marked a break of the 20-day WMA as the Spring rally falters. Below 685p there are two bands of potential support; an upper tier between 675-685p and a lower tier between 575-600p. Each can be used to take partial profits/profits on a maturing downphase. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sgv4MBOYQaI/AAAAAAAAA24/kcb_HURvT6Q/s1600-h/MIDDMay14.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sgv4MBOYQaI/AAAAAAAAA24/kcb_HURvT6Q/s320/MIDDMay14.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5335631068921348514" //abr /I have put a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5NzM=?end"YourCall for a move to the upper tier /a- but with the risk I have defined it's not really worth it on current pricing and whipsaw remains a concern.  br /br /strong[3] a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5NzQ=?end"ISEQ/0ESE/a/strongbr /br /The much maligned Irish Stock Exchange has suffered considerable pain but there is evidence the worst is behind it (even if the Irish economy has yet to see it). The exchange suffered more than others in false dawns. Currently the exchange sits right on its 20-day WMA. For it to hold would be a major achievement, but it is likely to follow the FTSE 250 lower; this would leave punters looking at €4.15 for a measure of support. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sgv8S3_tESI/AAAAAAAAA3A/n-IjKZ9YeUU/s1600-h/0ESEMay14.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sgv8S3_tESI/AAAAAAAAA3A/n-IjKZ9YeUU/s320/0ESEMay14.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5335635584749474082" //abr /strong[4] a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5NzU=?end"Nikkei/EWJ/a/strongbr /br /Thursday's sell off in the Nikkei is likely to take this back to the 20-day WMA. Supply lurks around $9.77 but a break above psychological $10 could see a move to $10.90. The expectation is for the Nikkei to break its 20-day WMA and at least shift sideways over the summer monthsbr /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SgwPp94ubpI/AAAAAAAAA3I/aFLHtfY4TTw/s1600-h/EWJMay14.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SgwPp94ubpI/AAAAAAAAA3I/aFLHtfY4TTw/s320/EWJMay14.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5335656872188735122" //abr /br /strong[5] a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5Nzc=?end"BOVESPA/EWZ/a/strongbr /br /While global markets were shifting around in the latter of 2008 and the early part of 2009 the Brazilian index was relatively stable if somewhat whipsawy. The global correction is likely to see it lose its 20-day WMA but the groundwork on the part of bulls looks more favourable than for any other of the aforementioned indices. Should see good support in the $41s. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SgwVEiIF7ZI/AAAAAAAAA3Q/31LOSnmPtsM/s1600-h/EWZMay14.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SgwVEiIF7ZI/AAAAAAAAA3Q/31LOSnmPtsM/s320/EWZMay14.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5335662826151603602" //abr /strong[6] a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5Nzg=?end"Mumbai/PIN/a/strongbr /br /While not a direct correlation to the entire Mumbai SE it's a reasonable approximate. Behaving very similar to the Brazilian ETF with a neat double bottom for November and March lows. Unlike US and UK markets this has managed to test September 2008 lows (as did the Brazilian strongEWZ/strong). On a relative scale it is outperforming the SP and FTSE 250. On that basis it should be the first to rise through its 20-day WMA if current support fails to hold. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SgwZlJUCCkI/AAAAAAAAA3Y/YsvbRE5lnXc/s1600-h/PINMay14.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SgwZlJUCCkI/AAAAAAAAA3Y/YsvbRE5lnXc/s320/PINMay14.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5335667784472988226" //abr /Looking at these six indices it would appear the best prospects going forward are in the emerging markets. br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-1176235081128704381?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>Two Stocks and an ETF Fom The Blogosphere</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/two-stocks-and-an-etf-fom-the-blogosphere/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2009 10:22:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Running through my various blogger feeds and picked out a few stocks receiving attention.br /br /[1] NABI Biopharmaceuticals (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5NjI=?end"$NABI/a) from a href="http://x3etfhell.blogspot.com/2009/05/keep-eye-on-nabi-biopharmaceuticals.html"X3 ETF Hell/a. CPL says:br /br /blockquoteAnycase, since they revised their quarterly results it's appearently in worse shape than previously thought.  I'm expecting tha it's going to challenge it's 52 week low.  If the market is switching into back to basics investing.  Poorly recieved results will be punished and with nothing really holding this market up except hope and faith if enough bad quarters are reported, the bottom should drop out again.  Until then, keep an eye on this one./blockquotebr /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SglRuzCTPbI/AAAAAAAAA14/7ykb0w42owo/s1600-h/NABIMay12.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SglRuzCTPbI/AAAAAAAAA14/7ykb0w42owo/s320/NABIMay12.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5334885098012753330" //abr /Set a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/alerts/tryoutmarketalerts.aspx"Zignals Stock Alert for break of $2.75/a.br /br /span class="fullpost"[2] a href="http://www.paddypowertrader.com/blog/index.php/author/the-mole/"The Mole/a at PaddyPowerTrader.com noted this about Allied Irish Banks (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5NjM=?end"$AIB/a)br /br /blockquoteA grim trading statement from AIB yesterday evening, ahead of Wednesday’s AGM/EGM. What leaps out on a first read is the sizable increase in bad debt expectations since the March results. In a relatively short period, the bank has seen its “stressed” bad debt assumptions become central for 2009, significantly exceeding the “base case” illustrated previously. The €4.3 billion estimate bad debt charge (325 bps) is significantly ahead of the €2.5-€2.9 billion base case presented at the full year stage in March. It is also outside the €4 billion stress test scenario shown at the time of the results, implying that AIB is at worse case scenario, or the worse case they felt comfortable in presenting. The trouble coming down the track is also increasing at pace, with Group criticised loans ec(watch, vulnerable and impaired) increasing to c. €24.3 bn, up €9 bn. It implies that criticised loans at group level have increased from 11.7% of total loans (€15.5 billion) to 18.4% of the book at €24.3 billion.This is a nasty wake up call for AIB for what had previously been a glass half full bank/blockquotebr /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SglcJXX7qiI/AAAAAAAAA2A/e8FZUiiZges/s1600-h/AIBMay12.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SglcJXX7qiI/AAAAAAAAA2A/e8FZUiiZges/s320/AIBMay12.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5334896549560035874" //abr /Set a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/alerts/tryoutmarketalerts.aspx"Zignals Stock Alert for break of €0.75/a.br /br /[3] Nasdaq 100 Trust (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5NjU=?end"$QQQQ/a) has gathered interest as it knocks around its 200-day MA. Here is what a href="http://highchartpatterns.blogspot.com/2009/05/weve-been-writing-about-this-trend-line.html"HCPG Blog/a had to say about it:br /br /blockquoteNote today that the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5NjU=?end"QQQQ/a is in a peculiar spot: in a little box under the trend-line but bouncing for the second day in a row on the 200 SMA.br /br /On the upside it still has room to 36 until next major resistance and on the down-side, selling might pick-up on any hard break of the 200 SMA or break of the 2 day low around 33.85. Our thoughts are that sentiment is still very bullish and any significant selling in tech (for example a move to 32) would be a good buying opportunity./blockquotebr /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sgl1XdP_1iI/AAAAAAAAA2I/vxXYE5h4PrU/s1600-h/QQQQMay12.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sgl1XdP_1iI/AAAAAAAAA2I/vxXYE5h4PrU/s320/QQQQMay12.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5334924279446230562" //abr /Set a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/alerts/tryoutmarketalerts.aspx"Zignals Stock Alert for a Price Cross through 200-day MA/a.br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-7936681678729174404?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Chart: United States Natural Gas Fund</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-chart-united-states-natural-gas-fund/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-chart-united-states-natural-gas-fund/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 May 2009 10:56:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[font color="white" size="0"$UNG /fonta href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5NDQ=?end"United States Natural Gas Fund/a has attracted plenty of interest on its recent rise in volume, although it is difficult to see where support lies beyond the most recent reaction low of $12.70br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SgQQECvrAfI/AAAAAAAAA1w/QWkihugOwGQ/s1600-h/UNGMay8.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SgQQECvrAfI/AAAAAAAAA1w/QWkihugOwGQ/s320/UNGMay8.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5333405520355852786" //abr /span class="fullpost"Some may look to the $14.45 level to hold or the $15 area which was resistance for the early part of April. I have not entered a YourCall for this although risk:reward shows potential targets of $18.23 and $26.00. br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-3226226061182977309?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Charts: Commodities Bottomed</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-commodities-bottomed/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-commodities-bottomed/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 May 2009 09:49:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Samsung 320PX 32 in. LCD TV;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The collapse of commodity prices through the latter part of 2008 looks to have stabilised in the first half of 2009. A number of bullish reversal patterns are emerging in commodity price charts which may make them attractive over the coming months.br /br /First up is Gold (a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5MzM=?end"GLD/a). An earlier update had pointed to the breakout from the bull flag but what I had mentioned was the dual reveral head-and-shoulder patterns from which the bull flag consolidation emerged from. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SgFiXRnNtkI/AAAAAAAAA1Y/4FxPgEvhaM0/s1600-h/GLDMay6.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SgFiXRnNtkI/AAAAAAAAA1Y/4FxPgEvhaM0/s320/GLDMay6.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5332651585787770434" //abr /span class="fullpost"Whatever your aspirations are for gold it would appear $84.75 support is critical. I have a YourCall for a push to $118.69 with a stop at $84.49.br /br /Oil has emerged from its slump although the contango'd(?) ETF, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5MzQ=?end"USO/a, has only started to show signs of life. A push to $40.27 is a possibility. I have set a YourCall with a target of $39.99 and a stop at $26.89. In reality, when oil hits $70 a barrel it will probably be time to take some profits with strongUSO/strong at whatever price it's trading at.  br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SgFpPdNqbZI/AAAAAAAAA1g/6lgTvz2a7hc/s1600-h/USO+May+6.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SgFpPdNqbZI/AAAAAAAAA1g/6lgTvz2a7hc/s320/USO+May+6.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5332659148044266898" //abr /The base metal ETF, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc5MzU=?end"DBB/a, broke resistance and a triple bottom in March and is shaping a possible cup-and-handle pattern with two resistance levels; one at $14.89 and a second at $15.75. The long term target is $23.50 but it will probably take longer than a year to get there, especially as the economy is showing no signs for a rapid rebound. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SgFwwVI4YsI/AAAAAAAAA1o/qj5LVzuMIAI/s1600-h/DBB+May+6.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SgFwwVI4YsI/AAAAAAAAA1o/qj5LVzuMIAI/s320/DBB+May+6.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5332667409393803970" //abr /Add your opinion at a href="http://Zignals.com"Zignals.com/a.br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='http://res1.blogblog.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-39622187029942676?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>TickerSense Blogger Sentiment Poll: Accuracy and Opinion</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/tickersense-blogger-sentiment-poll-accuracy-and-opinion/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Apr 2009 13:12:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jack Stevison;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Samsung 320PX 32 in. LCD TV;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The first two articles looked at how participating blogger opinion on future SP moves (see a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/04/tickersense-blogger-sentiment-poll-look.html"my prior post/a for how opinion was calculated) matched the actual moves of the SP. However, this opinion was not correlated to call accuracy. In this article blogger opinion is compared to the accuracy of such calls. br /br /Accuracy was based on a 30-day outlook for the SP; a successful bullish call matched an SP gain greater than 1%, a bearish call for a loss more than 1% and a succesful neutral call was for an SP gain or loss of within 1%. Each of the five test periods, or replicates, had 21-22 polls; each replicate had a call accuracy percentage and an opinion ranking.    br /br /span class="fullpost"In the most recent replicate (October 2008 to March 2009) a href="http://caldaroew.spaces.live.com/personalspace.aspx"Elliot Wave Lives On/a was the most accurate caller at 61% followed by a href="http://wishingwealthblog.com/"Wishing Wealth/a at 59%.br /br /In the 40% accuracy zone was a href="http://www.blog.fallondpicks.com/"myself/a, a href="http://247wallst.blogspot.com/ "24/7 WallStreet/a, a href="http://www.informationarbitrage.typepad.com/"Information Arbitrage/a, a href="http://www.crowderinvestments.com/ "Crowder Blog/a, a href="http://www.traders-talk.com/mb2/index.php?automodule=blogblogid=18"Traders-Talk/a and a href="http://breakanhour.wordpress.com/"Jack Stevison/a. br /br /Based on the data from all five replicates the level of accuracy plotted against variance showed a wide spread. There was a group of four blogs which had low accuracy and low variance; a href="http://www.millionairenowbook.blogspot.com/"Millionaire Now/a, a href="http://www.antandsons.com/wordonthestreet/"Word on the Street/a, a href="http://www.controlledgreed.com/"Controlled Greed/a and a href="http://paul.kedrosky.com/"Infectious Greed/a. However, a href="http://paul.kedrosky.com"Infectious Greed/a and a href="http://www.antandsons.com/wordonthestreet/"Word on the Street/a rarely participated in the Poll so there isn't the depth of data to support their positions. a href="http://dayshark.blogspot.com/"Shark Report/a had low accuracy but high variance. a href="http://selfinvestors.com/tradingstocks/"Self Investors/a had a middling accuracy and the lowest variance. a href="http://breakanhour.wordpress.com/"Jack Stevison/a had the best accuracy relative to his variance with a href="http://www.crowderinvestments.com/ "Crowder Blog/a having the highest accuracy of all participating bloggers (but his variance was fairly high too).br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SfcWWOxsZEI/AAAAAAAAA1Q/ZWoRZKuo4ZE/s1600-h/Accuracyvariance.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 251px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SfcWWOxsZEI/AAAAAAAAA1Q/ZWoRZKuo4ZE/s320/Accuracyvariance.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5329753255195731010" //a  br /When blogger opinion was plotted against blogger accuracy a slightly different picture was drawn. A group of four bloggers; a href="http://www.wishingwealth.typepad.com/"Wishing Wealth/a, a href="http://www.traders-talk.com/"Traders-Talk/a, a href="http://breakanhour.wordpress.com/"Jack Stevison/a and a href="http://www.crowderinvestments.com/ "Crowder Blog/a all had predictive opinions close to that of the SP and were reasonably accurate. In contrast, a href="http://www.controlledgreed.com/"Controlled Greed's/a predictive qualities were on track, even if on a call-by-call basis they weren't so accurate. Most off-base was a href="http://thelearningcurve.blogspot.com/"Learning Curve/a.br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SfcTGMOIuII/AAAAAAAAA1I/uoKwAfSRWtE/s1600-h/AccuracyS%26P.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 300px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SfcTGMOIuII/AAAAAAAAA1I/uoKwAfSRWtE/s320/AccuracyS%26P.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5329749681096931458" //abr /In summary, a href="http://www.crowderinvestments.com/blog/"Crowder Blog/a and a href="http://breakanhour.wordpress.com/"Jack Stevison/a come out well in both instances; most in tune with the future moves of the SP and good accuracy on calls. But which is more important? In my next post I will compare the potential profit from following the most accurate call makers with trades made on blogger opinion alone (irrespective of accuracy and a more likely real world scenario). Will opinion top accuracy?br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='http://res1.blogblog.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-4565953640501103291?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>TickerSense Blogger Sentiment Poll: A look at the data</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/tickersense-blogger-sentiment-poll-a-look-at-the-data/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/tickersense-blogger-sentiment-poll-a-look-at-the-data/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Apr 2009 15:15:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jack Stevison;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Samsung 320PX 32 in. LCD TV;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[In the past I have looked at the performance of the participants in the a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2008/10/blogger-review.html"TickerSense Blogger Sentiment Poll/a. While the results as a whole have not generated a a href="http://www.cxoadvisory.com/blog/internal/blog3-04-09/default.asp"predictive outcome/a if they are broken down by individual blogger then some do perform better than others.  br /br /In the first part of this examination I will compare the deviation of the net bullishness or bearishness of the blogger with respect to the SP over five periods; Dec06-Apr07, Apr07-Sep07, Oct07-Mar08, Apr08-Oct08, and Oct08-Mar09. This is different to what I did before when I looked at accuracy - but this will be a later post.    br /br /span class="fullpost"In each of the aforementioned date ranges are 21-22 data points. Each data point was an individual TickerSense Poll. The Poll asks participants if they are bullish, bearish or neutral for the SP the next month. I assumed a neutral call to be a SP change from Monday's open to the closing price 1-month later of between +1% and -1%; a change greater than 1% was considered bullish while a loss lower than -1% was bearish. br /br /Each blogger's call on a week was assigned a value; if they were bearish on a given week they got -1, if they were neutral they got a 0 and if they were bullish they got +1. So a blogger who made 22 calls would have 22 values of either -1, 0 or +1. I did the same for the SP, i.e. If the SP closed higher a month later the initial date got a score of +1, if the change was between -1 or +1% it got a zero and if it lost more than -1% it got assigned a value of -1. So, like the bloggers the SP got 22 values between -1,0,+1. br /br /I then summed the values for each blogger and the SP and expressed each as a value between -100 and +100. Eg. If a blogger had made 10 calls; 3 bearish calls (-3), two neutral calls (0) and five bullish calls (+5) their score would be (-3)+(0)+(+5) = +2 / 10 = 0.20 * 100 = +20. br /br /Each of the Blogger scores had the corresponding score of the SP subtracted from them (the score for the SP was calculated in the same way as for bloggers except it was performance, not prediction, which is measured). br /br /Bloggers who matched the SP perfectly on a given time frame would have a difference of 0. Bloggers who were off would have a maximum difference of 200. Absolute values were used to standardize the difference. br / br /strongIt should be noted, this does not measure the accuracy of the calls Bloggers made, it simply reflects their general 'feel' for the market over each of the time frames. It also doesn't take into account the variation in the number of calls made./strong The latter point is important as the SP will always have the maximum number of counting variables in its score (21 or 22), but some of the blogger scores are drawn from only five or six calls over the same period.  br / br /The first thing I looked at was the Average Difference between Blogger opinion and SP Performance for all time periods. a href="http://www.crowderinvestments.com/ "Crowder Blog/a, a href="http://www.traders-talk.com/mb2/index.php?automodule=blogblogid=18"Traders-Talk/a, a href="http://breakanhour.wordpress.com/"Jack Stevison/a, a href="http://www.wishingwealth.typepad.com/"Wishing Wealth/a, a href="http://knighttrader.blogspot.com/"Knight Trader/a, a href="http://selfinvestors.com/tradingstocks/"Self Investors/a, a href="http://www.cxoadvisory.com/"CXO Advisory/a, and a href="http://www.hedgefolios.com/"HedgeFolios/a had only three qualifying periods, the rest of the participants had five. br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Seyi-ueGH_I/AAAAAAAAA0I/6J-RZOJPsS4/s1600-h/BloggerperformanceApr20.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 300px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Seyi-ueGH_I/AAAAAAAAA0I/6J-RZOJPsS4/s320/BloggerperformanceApr20.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5326811657782304754" //abr /What was interesting from the initial data crunch was the clustering of the bloggers. a href="http://www.wishingwealth.typepad.com/"Wishing Wealth/a was most 'in sync' with the market (again, this is an average different to the SP and does not reflect call accuracy) followed by a cluster of bloggers, a href="http://www.informationarbitrage.typepad.com/"Information Arbitrage/a, a href="http://www.controlledgreed.com/"Controlled Greed/a and a href="http://www.traders-talk.com/"Traders-Talk/a around the 30 mark. a href="http://thelearningcurve.blogspot.com/"LearningCurve/a was the most out of sync with the market. The cluster in the 60-80 range offered no edge on the market. br /br /Tomorrow I will look at the data with respect to time; this will show the shift in performance by 'bullish' or 'bearish' bloggers as markets went from the bull market of 06-07 into the bear of 08-09.br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='http://res1.blogblog.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-8286144732964045973?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>Short memories? Wells Fargo &#8220;Profit&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/short-memories-wells-fargo-profit/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/short-memories-wells-fargo-profit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Apr 2009 14:20:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nasdaq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Samsung 320PX 32 in. LCD TV;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[semiconductor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wells fargo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-3248709639294885409</guid>
		<description><![CDATA["a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Wells-Fargo-projects-record-3-apf-14891144.html"Wells Fargo projects record $3 billion 1Q profit/a" or have investors forgotten about the $25 billion bailout the bank received? Not that it mattered; markets have taken this as a positive and pushed an early 3% gain. WFC gapped well over resistance and although down from its open is nicely positioned to challenge $21.45 resistance. br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sd4GNBweWEI/AAAAAAAAAzo/FdDhna-wMcc/s1600-h/WFCApr9.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sd4GNBweWEI/AAAAAAAAAzo/FdDhna-wMcc/s320/WFCApr9.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5322698630478321730" //a  br /span class="fullpost"Ignoring the 66% of Nasdaq stocks trading above their 50-day MA which suggests an intermediate top marking a 3-6 month high is imminent (bear market tops typically occur when 60% or more of stocks trade above this average), there is a nice play at work in the semiconductor ETF. The past 4-months of consolidation looks to be history and there should be good demand on any drop below $19.30. Next resistance around $21.10. I've made a whimsical call for a push to resistance with a stop below $19.30; a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/register.aspx"register to make YourCall/a. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sd4KqpBJQII/AAAAAAAAAzw/HP7KznP1F_Y/s1600-h/SMH+Apr+9.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sd4KqpBJQII/AAAAAAAAAzw/HP7KznP1F_Y/s320/SMH+Apr+9.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5322703537279942786" //abr /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='http://res1.blogblog.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-3248709639294885409?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>Gold and Silver under Pressure</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/gold-and-silver-under-pressure/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/gold-and-silver-under-pressure/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Apr 2009 09:35:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Massachusetts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[metal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Samsung 320PX 32 in. LCD TV;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-4116263366615725907</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In late January I took a look at the prospects for a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/01/future-for-gold.html"Gold and Silver/a. I had mentioned how resistance for GLD at $92 marked a convergence of declining and horizontal supply levels and had the potential to be a tough egg to crack. In the end, GLD found it relatively easy to break through without the need to consolidate, reaching an eventual high of $98.99.br /br /However, since the high it has run into a little trouble. br /br /span class="fullpost"The rising support marked from January was breached in early March. Gold further laboured to hold horizontal support around $88. Yesterday it cracked and broke the latter price and now looks destined to test $78.85. Gold Bugs will continue to advocate for a break of $1,000/oz ($100 for strongGLD/strong) but with the depressed nature of commodity prices, not to mention the struggles in other precious metals, it's hard to see this break happening anytime soon. Add to the mix a bottom in commodity prices occurs after bottom in stock prices - and we are still waiting for the latter - it doesn't look good for gold in the near term.br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sdsj5yoFGhI/AAAAAAAAAzY/l1EoioR7NmU/s1600-h/GLDApr7.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 170px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sdsj5yoFGhI/AAAAAAAAAzY/l1EoioR7NmU/s320/GLDApr7.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5321886860417767954" //a br /Having said that, a protracted sideways range for GLD with support around $66 ($660/oz) doesn't seem unreasonable. However, I have made a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc4MDc=?end"call for a push to $78.85 with a stop on a return above $88/a. br /br /Where I felt there was room for maneuver was in Silver prices (strongSLV/strong). Silver handily reached August / September reaction highs following its January breakout. But has since run into the dual problem of a failed breakout (of August highs) and a break below its 50-day MA. It's very close to the former resistance line which marked the January breakout but is perhaps more likely to reach the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc4MDg=?end"double bottom neckline around $10.67/a.br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SdsmVYRMzMI/AAAAAAAAAzg/DGzLC_ZEdAM/s1600-h/SLVApr7.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SdsmVYRMzMI/AAAAAAAAAzg/DGzLC_ZEdAM/s320/SLVApr7.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5321889533402074306" //abr /Silver looks to have more long term support to work with than Gold. The $8.45-$10.65 range should be well defended but we may yet not have seen the bottom for the metal. br /br /When the speculative fervor declines (for Gold in particular) then might be the time to start buying some upcoming inflation protection. For now it's sit and wait for the stock and commodity bottoms to complete. br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='http://res1.blogblog.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-4116263366615725907?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Technical Analysis: Market Breadth</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-technical-analysis-market-breadth/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-technical-analysis-market-breadth/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Apr 2009 15:59:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trinity College Dublin;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The last seminar in my series given to the MBA students of Trinity College Dublin. There is a token portion on Money Management at the end but the core of it covers Market Breadth. br /br /div align="center"iframe src="http://show.zoho.com/embed?USER=fallond1DOC=Zignals%20Technical%20Analysis%3A%20Market%20BreadthIFRAME=yes" height="335" width="450" name="Zignals Technical Analysis: Market Breadth" scrolling=no frameBorder="0" style="border:1px solid #AABBCC"/iframe/divbr /span class="fullpost"Regular posting to resume soon. br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='http://res1.blogblog.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-3205974871961655846?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Technical Analysis: Japanese Candlesticks</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-technical-analysis-japanese-candlesticks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-technical-analysis-japanese-candlesticks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2009 10:50:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-6687412896267712841</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Next in the series of presentations; as before the animations don't show on the chart as all overlays are displayed at the same time. br /br /div align="center"iframe src="http://show.zoho.com/embed?USER=fallond1DOC=TCDMar25b-pptIFRAME=yes" height="335" width="450" name="TCDMar25b-ppt" scrolling=no frameBorder="0" style="border:1px solid #AABBCC"/iframe/divbr /br /span class="fullpost"Last seminar will be next week at 12:40pm br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='http://res1.blogblog.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-6687412896267712841?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Chart: EURUSD Bull Flag</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-chart-eurusd-bull-flag/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-chart-eurusd-bull-flag/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Mar 2009 10:25:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve System]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Samsung 320PX 32 in. LCD TV;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-8254121512668835409</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last a href="http://zignalsblog.blogspot.com/2009/03/eurusd-ready-for-its-next-challenge.html"Wednesday/a I commented on the mounting pressure against $1.29 resistance which suggested a potential break was coming. The trigger for the break was the Fed decision to a href="http://www.bostonherald.com/business/general/view.bg?articleid=1159630srvc=businessposition=recent"buy back its debt/a.br /br /The latest scenario to wobble the dollar came from Tiomthy Geithner's suggestion he was open to a a href="http://www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/2009/03/26/geithners-slip-causes-dollar-volatility/"global currency/a. He later corrected himself but the 'worry' is lingering within a technical pattern which is considered bullish (for the euro / bearish for the dollar) termed a 'bull flag'.   br /br /span class="fullpost"The pattern has strong measuring implications and should clearly defined resistance break then the dollar could be in for another sharp period of pain, not helped by Timothy's comments floating in the air. br /br /The projected target is for another $0.1283 to be added to the point of the bull flag breakout. If we use $1.3783 as the resistance price then the upside target for the EURUSD is around $1.5066 - although this target is likely to be a little lower given the bull flag will break before $1.3783 is cleared. Looking at the chart there is an historical resistance level from last August and September at $1.4909 and $1.4868 respectively; this looks to be a more reasonable projection to call.br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sctd41XKyRI/AAAAAAAAAzQ/wIZFC-l1u-8/s1600-h/EURUSDMar25.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sctd41XKyRI/AAAAAAAAAzQ/wIZFC-l1u-8/s320/EURUSDMar25.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5317447016019314962" //abr /The risk for the position is below $1.3400br /br /I have made a fresh call for the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc3Nzc=?end"EURUSD available here/a.br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='http://res1.blogblog.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-8254121512668835409?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Charts: SPY and MIDD</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-spy-and-midd/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-spy-and-midd/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Mar 2009 11:44:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EUR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FTSE 250;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Olympus SP-500 UZ Digital Camera;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Palm Treo™ 700p Smartphone;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Samsung 320PX 32 in. LCD TV;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United Kingdom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zignals Stock Charts;]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-2108647564499012036</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The rally for the past couple of weeks has been a welcome relief but it hasn't got the indices out of the woods, nor indeed kicked off a new bull trend. However, it has given the markets a floor on which to work with.  If the indices (tech and small caps in particular) can push through some of the supply zones in the market - most notably of which will be the January highs - then one can look with reasonable confidence for a larger push to the area of last September's meltdown.br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ScjKUDbbl6I/AAAAAAAAAy4/FNN7P6G3TNM/s1600-h/SPYMar24.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 226px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ScjKUDbbl6I/AAAAAAAAAy4/FNN7P6G3TNM/s320/SPYMar24.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5316721805977425826" //abr /span class="fullpost"The SP (SPY) is nestled against declining resistance dating back to October. After the series of gains it has it will surely make a bigger return move than the 2-day attempt from last week. All eyes will be watching to see if March lows can hold.br /br /The FTSE 250 (MIDD) has been far more resilient than the SP 500, staying well above November/December lows. The ETF has traded in a steady range between 697p and 555p; a break of 700p would set the cat amongst the pigeons as anyone who took a stab at buying the market from last October onwards would then be sitting in a profit. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ScjNwRXgMEI/AAAAAAAAAzA/YIXQVlT1140/s1600-h/MIDDMar24.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 226px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ScjNwRXgMEI/AAAAAAAAAzA/YIXQVlT1140/s320/MIDDMar24.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5316725589290266690" //abr /If 700p was breached the target of 810p (i.e. the start of the September breakdown) may be considered a little conservative with the potential for follow through to August highs of 947 a more enticing prospect.   br /br /One ETF stuck in a perpertual rut is the ISEQ 20 (0ESE). The high financial and property exposure of the Irish market help send the ISEQ 20 ETF into a death spiral from which it has yet to emerge. To break the bear market would require the ETF to get above €5.67; a tall order from its current price of €3.89.br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ScjQA8O2aQI/AAAAAAAAAzI/A3N729GNvT4/s1600-h/ISEQ20Mar23.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 226px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ScjQA8O2aQI/AAAAAAAAAzI/A3N729GNvT4/s320/ISEQ20Mar23.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5316728074697861378" //abr /So look to the UK for leads...     br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='http://res1.blogblog.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-2108647564499012036?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Technical Analysis: Chart Patterns</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-technical-analysis-chart-patterns/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-technical-analysis-chart-patterns/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Mar 2009 16:32:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-114589262550736258</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Next in the series of presentations; unfortunately the animations don't show on the chart so they are a bit busy looking with all the overlays but you get the gist. br /br /iframe src="http://show.zoho.com/embed?USER=zignalsDOC=Chart%20PatternsIFRAME=yes" height="335" width="450" name="Chart Patterns" scrolling=no frameBorder="0" style="border:1px solid #AABBCC"/iframebr /span class="fullpost"More to come next week. br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='http://res1.blogblog.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-114589262550736258?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>EURUSD ready for its next challenge: $1.3215</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/eurusd-ready-for-its-next-challenge-13215/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/eurusd-ready-for-its-next-challenge-13215/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Mar 2009 11:36:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Samsung 320PX 32 in. LCD TV;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[2009 has not been kind to the EURUSD pair but the last week has seen some more positive action, particularly the push above $1.2900. The currency pair currently trades at $1.3032. br /br /After a digging in at support of $1.2439 and rallying past resistance of $1.2972 The a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc3NjY=?end"EURUSD/a is ready for its next challenge of $1.3215 resistance. Larger targets exist at $1.4405 and the highs around $1.5947 but one step at a time. Stops on break of near term lows of $1.2833 or new support at $1.2972.  br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ScDflyuEP-I/AAAAAAAAAyg/ANeAC0EvQcA/s1600-h/EURUSDMar18.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 176px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ScDflyuEP-I/AAAAAAAAAyg/ANeAC0EvQcA/s320/EURUSDMar18.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5314493400660328418" //abr /span class="fullpost"Support/Resistance targets derived from the Zignals Support/Resistance tool set at '5'. Alternative EURUSD target at $1.3358; a case of support turned resistance. br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ScDhfWcHUsI/AAAAAAAAAyw/NdfZfA3R2-4/s1600-h/SupportResistance1.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 211px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ScDhfWcHUsI/AAAAAAAAAyw/NdfZfA3R2-4/s320/SupportResistance1.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5314495489012880066" //abr /The Support/Resistance tool can be found in our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx"Zignals Stock Charting/a service. br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ScDgbDE2waI/AAAAAAAAAyo/7QD7YyALg74/s1600-h/SupportResistance.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 210px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/ScDgbDE2waI/AAAAAAAAAyo/7QD7YyALg74/s320/SupportResistance.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5314494315583947170" //abr /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='http://res1.blogblog.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-2836302542500790698?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>News from the Blogosphere</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/news-from-the-blogosphere-16/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/news-from-the-blogosphere-16/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Mar 2009 09:57:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[retail]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[retail sector/a coming;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[a href="http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2009/03/16/53621/barclays-spinning-out-of-control/"Barclay's/a and FT Alphavillebr /br /a href="http://www.themarketguardian.com/2009/03/is-weimar-hyperinflation-heading-for-us/"HyperInflation/a for the US?br /br /Crude Oil 'a href="http://club.ino.com/trading/2009/03/can-the-us-survive-80-crude-oil/"Buy/a'; push to $80?br /br /Abnoraml Returns: a href="http://abnormalreturns.com/2009/03/15/sunday-links-suckers-rally/"Sucker's rally/abr /br /Or, a href="http://traderjamie.blogspot.com/2009/03/technical-picture-confirmed-rally.html"Confirmed Rally/a?br /br /Madoff's a href="http://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/03/14/madoff-had-accomplices-his-victims/"victims or fools/a?br /br /span class="fullpost"a href="http://tradermike.net/2009/03/march-13-2009-stock-market-recap/"TraderMike/a shows US markets and stocks like a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc3NjE=?end"GOOG/a, a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc3NjI=?end"AES/a and JPM are overbought in the short term.br /br /a href="http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2009/03/16/53596/china-plays-it-not-so-safe/"China's/a worried views on its US investments.br /br /Boot on the a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/17aa8b48-118d-11de-87b1-0000779fd2ac.html?nclick_check=1"other foot/a. br /br /Is the a href="http://maoxian.com/archive/retail-looking-past-the-gloom/"retail sector/a coming out of the quagmire?br /br /The a href="http://econompicdata.blogspot.com/2009/03/ready-to-ride-golden-bubble.html"Gold Bubble/a?br /br /Interview with a a href="http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/03/interview-with-a-financial-blogger/"financial blogger/abr /br /MBAs need to a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/15/business/15school.html?_r=1"re-evaluate/a.br /br /Market Sentiment; a href="http://headlinecharts.blog.com/4714017/"weak/a long term (still).br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/spandiv class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='http://res1.blogblog.com/tracker/3415040392614486358-4252653496407469713?l=zignalsblog.blogspot.com'//div]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Charts: ArcSight Inc</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-arcsight-inc/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-arcsight-inc/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Mar 2009 12:38:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arcsight Inc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Massachusetts]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[After the whitewash of yesterday I took a look at stocks still trading above their 200-day MAs. It turend out to be a very small list. One stock which grabbed the attention was ArcSight (stronga href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc3NDI=?end"ARST/a/strong). Not only is it clinging on to its 200-day MA but recently enjoyed a "Golden Cross" with ts 50-day MA. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SbEaJSTE8WI/AAAAAAAAAyY/7iqGbWkq2kE/s1600-h/ArcMar5.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 211px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SbEaJSTE8WI/AAAAAAAAAyY/7iqGbWkq2kE/s320/ArcMar5.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5310054182479524194" //abr /span class="fullpost"I have entered a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx"YourCall/a for a 25% gain with a stop on a loss of $8. Maybe if the Payroll data doesn't disappoint as much as people are bracing for, it could catch a bid. br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/span]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Chart: SP/SPY trading relative to the November bottom</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-chart-spspy-trading-relative-to-the-november-bottom/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-chart-spspy-trading-relative-to-the-november-bottom/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2009 11:30:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[In relative terms to its 20-day, 50-day and 200-day MAs the SP is knocking around the same zone as it was on November 19th and 21st 2008; back then the SP was 35.5% and 35.7% away from its 200-day MA; 20.6% and 19.8% from its 50-day MA; and 11.1% and 10.8% from its 20-day MA repsectively. As of yesterday the SP was 35.1% from its 200-day MA, 17.0% from its 50-day MA and 12.3% from its 20-day MA. Outside of this the closest we have come in recent history (back to 1950 at least) is October 1974. Back then the SP only diverged 28.4% from its 200-day MA. So we are looking at a whole new ballgame.  br /br /In strongSPY/strong terms we could see a capitulation over the next couple of days. br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sa6DR0J3XeI/AAAAAAAAAyA/8Ajd6Gzyx84/s1600-h/SPYMar4.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 198px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sa6DR0J3XeI/AAAAAAAAAyA/8Ajd6Gzyx84/s320/SPYMar4.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5309325352797429218" //abr /span class="fullpost"It looks like a capitulation is needed to spike volume into fear selling, something which has been relatively lacking since the start of the year (especially when compared to the volumes of September through to November). Bottoms can come in on a whimper but volatility would have to drop off considerably for it to happen and this seems unlikely. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sa6PEdgMNBI/AAAAAAAAAyQ/4rzdM7MTxgc/s1600-h/VIXMar4.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 313px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sa6PEdgMNBI/AAAAAAAAAyQ/4rzdM7MTxgc/s320/VIXMar4.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5309338317518287890" //abr /I have entered a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx"YourCall/a for a push to $84.39 but have run a tight stop on the 2-day low. If the index gaps down then it could fall far (and fast), so not looking to pick a bottom. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sa6FaZaoqJI/AAAAAAAAAyI/F5snsy0mKEg/s1600-h/SPYcallMar4.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 114px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/Sa6FaZaoqJI/AAAAAAAAAyI/F5snsy0mKEg/s320/SPYcallMar4.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5309327699262089362" //abr /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/span]]></description>
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		<title>News from the Blogosphere</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/news-from-the-blogosphere-15/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/news-from-the-blogosphere-15/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2009 11:28:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hsbc]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[play;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[www.forbes.com/2009/03/01/aig-treasury-fed-markets-equity-bailout_1.html;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Wordle on a href="http://paul.kedrosky.com/archives/2009/02/28/berkshire_worst.html"Buffett/a letter. br /br /Buffett a href="http://www.deepcapture.com/and-the-beat-goes-on-jim-cramer-joe-nocera-doug-kass/"Bashing/a; contrarian bullish?br /br /a href="http://www.forbes.com/2009/03/01/aig-treasury-fed-markets-equity-bailout_1.html"AIG/a disintegrates - ehhh... "Split Up"br /br /a href="http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/banking_and_finance/article5829971.ece"HSBC/a takes a slide, needs some cash - join the queue.br /br /a href="http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article5828279.ece"Self-interest/a at play in Europe.br /br /Sector a href="http://stockbee.blogspot.com/2009/02/top-and-bottom-sector_27.html"strength/a; "Broadcasting Radio"!br /br /span class="fullpost"Pradeep provides other a href="http://stockbee.blogspot.com/2009/02/breadth-and-other-bullish-tales.html"insights/a.br /br /Cake or Death for a href="http://paul.kedrosky.com/archives/2009/03/01/first_we_kill_a_1.html"Economists/a? br /br /The a href="http://headlinecharts.blog.com/4632966/"commodity state of play/a; have they a href="http://headlinecharts.blog.com/4637265/"bottomed/a? (Disclosure: Personal - overpaid - position in a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc3MDE=?end"USO/a; pesky a href="http://adamsoptions.blogspot.com/2009/02/crude-talk.html"contango/a)br /br /a href="http://bespokeinvest.typepad.com/bespoke/2009/02/and-investors-thought-january-was-a-bad-month-the-dow-is-currently-down-115-for-the-month-of-february-which-even-drwarfs.html"Another Tough Month/a for the markets; no kidding!br /br /Presidential election a href="http://bespokeinvest.typepad.com/bespoke/2009/02/2012-presidency-and-the-stock-market.html"odds/a and the stock market for 2012. br /br /a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/woodshedderblog/index.php/2009/03/01/ironic-twist-department-bankers-propose-robbing-the-people/"Damned/a if you do - Damned if you don't.br /br /a href="http://kevinsmarketblog.blogspot.com/2009/02/japanese-yen-downside-target.html"Yen/a out of favour; double top confirmed (double bottom in a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc3MzQ=?end"USDJPY/a) br /br /Another a href="http://www.themarketguardian.com/2009/02/ge-cuts-dividend/"dividend/a takes a cut; this time from bellweather GE. That is one ugly a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc3MzM=?end"chart/a.  br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/span]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Charts: Three stocks with Insider Buying</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-three-stocks-with-insider-buying/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-three-stocks-with-insider-buying/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Feb 2009 10:39:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gentek]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jonathan Moreland;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Republic Services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Jonathan Moreland at a href="http://www.thestreet.com/story/10465456/1/insider-buys-11-million-of-gentek.html?puc=_mdb_html_pla19cm_ven=EMAIL_mdb_html"TheStreet.com/a has published a list of 10 stocks showing good insider buying. The Top 3 in reverse order are: br /br /a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc3MjQ=?end"Gentek/a (strongGETI/strong) has been bumping along $13 for the past month-and-a-half. Pessimists would see this as a bearish descending triangle so if it can maintain the $13 for another couple of weeks it would negate this pattern. I have made a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx"call/a for a move back to $20 with a stop on a loss of $13. br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SafGenlTJfI/AAAAAAAAAxo/qwG6Jsa-Kj4/s1600-h/GETI.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 181px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SafGenlTJfI/AAAAAAAAAxo/qwG6Jsa-Kj4/s320/GETI.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5307428915203220978" //abr /span class="fullpost"Second on the list was a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc3Mjc=?end"Marriot International/a (strongMAR/strong). It has spent the past few months struggling to get past a band of resistance running between $21.35 and $22.15. The current decline looks set to test November lows of $11.88. Will it make it? You can use a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/alerts/tryoutmarketalerts.aspx"Zignals Stock Alert/a to notify you when it does. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SafRJLGaLcI/AAAAAAAAAx4/wwxbg619hOM/s1600-h/MARFeb26.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 207px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SafRJLGaLcI/AAAAAAAAAx4/wwxbg619hOM/s320/MARFeb26.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5307440641408118210" //abr /Top of the pile was a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc3MjI=?end"Republic Services/a (strongRSG/strong). Unlike Gentek it has spent all of February in a decline, a decline that looks set to test $18.25 support. The stock is good a href="http://www.zignals.com"Watchlist/a material, with a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/alerts/tryoutmarketalerts.aspx"Zignals Stock Alert/a just above $18.25. br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SafOWH45pTI/AAAAAAAAAxw/MRW11L6fFOk/s1600-h/RSG.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 181px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SafOWH45pTI/AAAAAAAAAxw/MRW11L6fFOk/s320/RSG.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5307437565349569842" //abr /Happy Hunting!br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/span]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Strategy : 15 more years of this?</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-strategy-15-more-years-of-this/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-strategy-15-more-years-of-this/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 10:44:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-6311539291806309815</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Looking at the action of the Dow over the past 10-12 years it is difficult to see (at best) the index doing anything more than spend another 12-15 years in a range bound condition. From 1962 to 1983 the Dow effectively traded between round number support and resistance of 500 and 1,000. For the next 20-year cycle the Dow pushed from 1,000 to 11,000; effectively an overshoot of the greater psychological 10,000 level. Since then the Dow has attempted to form a new range with support at 7,500 and resistance at 15,000 (a more important level than 14,000). br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SaPWzsD7kqI/AAAAAAAAAxY/JigEc2Sq7K0/s1600-h/DowFeb24C.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 251px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SaPWzsD7kqI/AAAAAAAAAxY/JigEc2Sq7K0/s320/DowFeb24C.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5306320969461895842" //abr /span class="fullpost"The 2002-07 move from 7,500 to 14,000 is very much a mirror image of 1962-66 when the index went from 500 to 1,000. The 1962-66 range defined the next 20 years of market action; will the 2002-07 range do the same? br /br /An exact time match would set 2022 (or at least the new Roaring '20s) as the time the next major rally will commence. br /br /Perhaps the "next Great Depression" isn't now - but will hit in time for 2030s, just when a href="http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,313561,00.html"99942 Apophis/a is making its run on Earth; that surely will be a depressing time! br /br /From an ETF perspective, the a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc3MTY=?end"Diamonds/a (strongDIA/strong) have decisively broken the November low. The current down channel has support in the mid-$60s; a good place for a Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/alerts/tryoutmarketalerts.aspx"Stock Alert/a for a bounce. br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SaPdciViIyI/AAAAAAAAAxg/gGtTZeBuXPI/s1600-h/DIAFeb24.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 144px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SaPdciViIyI/AAAAAAAAAxg/gGtTZeBuXPI/s320/DIAFeb24.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5306328268295775010" //a br /If you have an opinion, make a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc3MTY=?end"Call/a; I'm reserving judgement on this after my last Diamond (strongDIA/strong) YourCall was stopped out at $82.77 - it still feels too early to make a call but others may differ in their opinion. br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/span]]></description>
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		<title>News from the Blogosphere</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/news-from-the-blogosphere-14/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/news-from-the-blogosphere-14/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Feb 2009 11:16:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HTML]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[the Self;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United Kingdom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-6748462628519353071</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Brett puts the case for a href="http://traderfeed.blogspot.com/2009/02/deflation-vs-stagflation-choices-facing.html"Stagflation vs Inflation/a. Is gold the answer? a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc3MDE=?end"Or is gold the 'new' oil of 2008/a?br /br /Howard makes the case for a href="http://howardlindzon.com/?p=4052"Oil with TARP/a.br /br /But there is a a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Dont-Buy-USO-Buy-USL-indexuniverse-14295114.html"problem/a with the oil ETF, USO. br /br /Commercial REITs to feel the a href="http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009/02/office-space-one-year-free-rent.html"pinch/a?br /br /Not much optimisim from the a href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2009/02/worst-recession-in-100-years.html"UK/a.br /br /The a href="http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2009/02/20/52715/time-for-the-tin-hat/"jolliness/a continues.br /br /Dow Theory low a href="http://www.trending123.com/Technical-Analysis-Updates-2009/Stock-Market-New-52-Week-Lows-DOW-Theory-Confirmed.html"confirmed/a; new target of 6,500. br /br /The a href="http://www.cxoadvisory.com/blog/external/blog2-18-09/"Advised versus the Self-directed/a investor: br /blockquoteThe average net monthly return of self-directed portfolios exceeds that of advised portfolios by 0.24%. However, for common stocks positions only, the average net monthly return of advised investors exceeds that of advised investors by 0.07%./blockquote br /span class="fullpost"First time I have heard of this, a href="http://bespokeinvest.typepad.com/bespoke/2009/02/year--country----sp-500-----1978--brazil----11------1979--usa----123------1980--usa----258------1981--u.html"Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Indicator/a; American models on the cover were associated with a greater average return in the SP (+10.6%) than non-American models (+7.2%) but that was until last year.... This year sees an Israeli model grace the cover.br /br /Cobra's Market View is awaiting volume confirmation of the lows; suggests more a href="http://cobrasmarketview.blogspot.com/2009/02/02192009-market-recap-no-panic-yet.html"immediate downside/a is in the mix.br /br /a href="http://tbm.thebigmoney.com/articles/explainer/2009/02/19/puncturing-investment-myth"Dollar-cost-average/a a bust?br /br /China chases a href="http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2009/02/20/52711/dont-panic-australia-chinas-land-grab-smacks-of-a-regime-in-disarray/"resources/a.br /br /a href="http://www.londonstockexchange.com/LSECWS/IFSPages/MarketNewsPopup.aspx?id=2095523source=RNS"Anglo American/a to let go 19,000 workers and shelve dividend. Miners taking it hard. br /br /a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1039849853"Rick Santelli/a gets his pitchfork.br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/span]]></description>
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		<title>Dividend payers of note</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/dividend-payers-of-note/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/dividend-payers-of-note/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Feb 2009 13:36:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[//abr /Dominion Resources Black Warrior Trust;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[/br /blockquoteDominion Resources Black Warrior Trust;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alabama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Biovail;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Black Creek;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blockquoteBiovail Corporation;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blockquoteDominion Resources Black Warrior Trust;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blockquoteEaton Vance Risk-Managed Diversified Equity I]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Canada]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cardiovascular disease]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dominion Resources Black Warrior Trust;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drug delivery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drug delivery technologies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eaton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mary Lee;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Natural Gas Properties]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oral disintegration technologies;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pennsylvania]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pharmaceutical]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pharmaceutical Products]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pottsville;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tuscaloosa County;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vance Risk;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-89214099131552380</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With (accurate) earnings proving to be a difficult metric to rank stocks I took a look at stocks which paid a dividend yield of at least  5%, had no long term debt but had a market cap over $100m. The list was short, coming in at strong32/strong stocks. Top of the list was Eaton Vance Risk Managed Diversified (strongETJ/strong); it had a quoted yield of 10.2% and has a market cap of $1.2bn. According to the blurb:br /br /blockquoteEaton Vance Risk-Managed Diversified Equity Income Fund (the Fund) is diversified, closed-end management investment company. The Fund's primary investment objective is to provide current income and gains, with a secondary objective of capital appreciation. The Fund invests primarily in a portfolio of common stocks and index put options. Under normal market conditions, the Fund seeks to generate current earnings in part by employing an options strategy of writing put options on individual stocks and index call options with respect to a portion of its common stock portfolio. /blockquotebr /span class="fullpost"Other than the September/October blip the chart isn't one for momentum traders. The former trading range looks to have dropped a notch and if it was to give up $14.82 support it could drift back to $11.35 as part of a low retest.br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZ1wSx19BbI/AAAAAAAAAxA/aZYXNMR8520/s1600-h/ETJFeb19.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 191px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZ1wSx19BbI/AAAAAAAAAxA/aZYXNMR8520/s320/ETJFeb19.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5304519404031903154" //abr /Dominion Resources Black Warrior Trust (strongDOM/strong) is on the low end of the Market Cap range at $154m. It has a reported (but sustainable?) yield of 18%. The last quarterly payment made was in November 2008 at $0.91. br /br /blockquoteDominion Resources Black Warrior Trust is a grantor trust formed to acquire and hold certain overriding royalty interests (the Royalty Interests) burdening proved natural gas properties located in the Pottsville coal formation of the Black Warrior Basin, Tuscaloosa County, Alabama (the Underlying Properties). The only assets of the Trust, other than cash and temporary investments being held for the payment of expenses and liabilities and for distribution to Unitholders, are the Royalty Interests. The Royalty Interests consist of overriding royalty interests burdening the Company’s interest in the Underlying Properties. The Black Warrior Basin covers 6,000 square miles in west central Alabama and contains seven Pennsylvania-age multi-seam coal groups in the Pottsville formation: the Black Creek, Mary Lee, Pratt, Cobb, Gwin, Utley and Brookwood coal groups./blockquotebr /Dominion has done well to recover from the October collapse but now has the challenge of consolidation resistance, plus a more general resistance from what was former support around the $20s in 2008. The big gap from $17 looks ripe for a retest so there may be a little weakness in its immediate future. br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZ1zRaOcpZI/AAAAAAAAAxI/a-vz55xrBVo/s1600-h/DOMFeb19.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 178px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZ1zRaOcpZI/AAAAAAAAAxI/a-vz55xrBVo/s320/DOMFeb19.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5304522679047202194" //abr /Third stock of note (which is not a resource company) is Biovail (strongBVF/strong). It has a reported dividend yield of 12.71% and a market cap of $1.7B. It made a recent quarterly dividend payment of $0.38 in December.br /br /blockquoteBiovail Corporation (Biovail) is a specialty pharmaceutical company that applies advanced drug-delivery technologies to improve the clinical effectiveness of medicines. The Company is engaged in the formulation, clinical testing, registration, manufacture and commercialization of pharmaceutical products. Its main therapeutic areas of focus are central nervous system (CNS) disorders, pain management and cardiovascular disease. The primary markets for its products are the United States and Canada. Biovail has a portfolio of drug-delivery technologies includes controlled release, enhanced absorption, rapid absorption, taste masking, and oral disintegration technologies, among others./blockquotebr /At the start of the year Biovail (strongBVF/strong) enjoyed a huge gap breakout to take it past declining resistance dating back to last March. The stock subsequently based around $11 which was a resistance level from late summer 2008. The next real challenge is resistance at $12.87 but much depends on it holding $10.48, the reaction low of 2009. Given that I have entered a Zignals a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx?param=Vlc2OTg=?end"YourCall/a for a move to $12.79 with a stop at $10.39. Lets see how it gets on. br / br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZ18bhLWQCI/AAAAAAAAAxQ/Bv9VdIEwCvU/s1600-h/BVFFeb19.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 192px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZ18bhLWQCI/AAAAAAAAAxQ/Bv9VdIEwCvU/s320/BVFFeb19.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5304532748316590114" //abr /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/span]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Charts: Legal and General</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-legal-and-general/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-legal-and-general/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Feb 2009 10:13:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gbp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[insurance sector]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Legal;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Martin Slaney;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-3131890859244837369</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Legal and General is undergoing some heavy morning trading as the company reported a capital surplus of a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/e99cfb6a-fcc3-11dd-a103-000077b07658.html"£1.6bn/a. The FT had earlier reported dicussions with regulators about monies needed for potential defaults in its a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/008daa5e-fa1c-11dd-9daa-000077b07658.html"£22.5bn/a corportate bond portfolio.br /br /blockquote“The reassurance seems to have assuaged concerns for now over LG’s capital position,” said Martin Slaney, head of derivatives at GFT.br /br /“Despite the initial denial of being in talks with the FSA, it appears that meetings in fact have taken place. The FSA wants to avoid a situation where insurers are the new banks. It needs to see sufficient reserves in place and we will continue to see volatility in the insurance sector as question marks over liquidity remain.”/blockquotebr /span class="fullpost"The long term chart appears to have little room for optimism:br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZqT4onBYXI/AAAAAAAAAww/naE_bV30PyI/s1600-h/LGENFeb17.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 178px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZqT4onBYXI/AAAAAAAAAww/naE_bV30PyI/s320/LGENFeb17.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5303714112365224306" //abr /Even the six month chart shows a frustrating declline which is someway from breaking either support or resistance. Tuesday's gains may have gathered the newspaper's attention, but investors will need something more to get truely interested.br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZqW5b31rhI/AAAAAAAAAw4/e3o2QoekBAQ/s1600-h/LGENFeb17b.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 178px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZqW5b31rhI/AAAAAAAAAw4/e3o2QoekBAQ/s320/LGENFeb17b.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5303717424660852242" //abr /If recent volume is to be an indication of a bottom then it will need to get past 54.86p and then 67.30p in short order. A break of the latter price will put an end to 6-month declining resistance, giving the stock some stability and turning 38.5p into significant support. Use a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/alerts/tryoutmarketalerts.aspx"Zignals Stock Alerts/a to notify you when these prices are broken or are close to a test.br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/span]]></description>
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		<title>News from the Blogosphere</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/news-from-the-blogosphere-13/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/news-from-the-blogosphere-13/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2009 11:42:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aussies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Canada]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[France]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Germany]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ireland]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nestle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Zealand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nigeria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Philippines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Singapore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[a href="http://www.matissecapitalmanagement.com/matisse_capital_managemen/2009/02/swedens-banking-crisis.html"How Sweden Resolved it's Banking Crisis/a. Will it take 3 years or more for the markets to recover?br /br /a href="http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/frontpage/2009/0212/1233867933577.html?via=mr"Irish Banking Recap/a plan launched. But it's not the news which hogs the headlines.br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZQkxjQM6gI/AAAAAAAAAwo/KOPak3Sd81k/s1600-h/AIBFeb11.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 178px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZQkxjQM6gI/AAAAAAAAAwo/KOPak3Sd81k/s320/AIBFeb11.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5301903095017302530" //abr /a href="http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/breaking/2009/0212/breaking37.htm"Deflation/a comes to Ireland.br /br /span class="fullpost"a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087sid=ar49k8Jc.iwI"Ireland and Spain/a most 'vulnerable' to Rating Cuts. But fourteen other countries are categorised as resistant including Germany, France, Canada, New Zealand and Australia. Time to buy Aussies dollars?br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZQU1nkwpHI/AAAAAAAAAwQ/B2iYiNgYZvY/s1600-h/EURAUS.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 179px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZQU1nkwpHI/AAAAAAAAAwQ/B2iYiNgYZvY/s320/EURAUS.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5301885572710704242" //abr /Australia's commodity-based market a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/05a1e8f4-f8bc-11dd-a52b-000077b07658.html"shrugs off/a financial malaisebr /br /Aussie Visa applications register a heartbeat. Nigeria, Australia(?), Singapore, Philippines and South Africa round out the top-5 countries searching for this term. a href="http://www.radioaustralia.net.au/programguide/stories/200804/s2232046.htm"Students/a, pack your bags and take your books.  br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZQZY-_FmhI/AAAAAAAAAwg/YEs5SH4PJxo/s1600-h/AusVisa.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 143px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZQZY-_FmhI/AAAAAAAAAwg/YEs5SH4PJxo/s320/AusVisa.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5301890578337077778" //abr /a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/story.aspx?guid={041FF5EA-2426-45FF-B739-F4F789639CEC}siteid=rss"Stocks on the move/a. On Nestle:br /br /blockquoteShares have been hurt, but analysts say they're now cheap and they remain very popular among fund managers./blockquotebr /a href="http://www.etftrends.com/2009/02/why-buy-and-hold-is-dead.html"Buy-and-Hold/a can no longer work as a throw-it-in-the-draw-and-forget-about-it strategy. The a href="http://abnormalreturns.com/2009/02/10/left-in-the-lurch/"beatdown/a continues. A a href="http://www.etftrends.com/2008/07/an-etf-trend-following-plan-for-all-seasons.html"200-day MA strategy/a is offered instead.br /br /blockquote   1. Maintain an 8% stop-loss on your ETFs.br /   2. Keep an eye on the trend. If your ETF declines below its 50-day average, that’s not a good sign. If the same ETF declines below its 200-day average, sell.br /   3. Don’t chase markets that are too hot. The last time many world markets and industry groups collectively hit new highs was in 2000. You know what happened then – the boom went bust. Keep your emotions in check./blockquotebr /With a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals Stock Alerts/a you can set your ETF trades with 8% alerts and alerts on price breaks of 50-day and 200-day MAs. br /br /From a href="http://abnormalreturns.com/2009/02/10/left-in-the-lurch/"Abnormal Returns/a:br /br /blockquoteWhere does that leave an investor today?  Left in lurch.  These are unprecedented times filled with volatility and opportunity.  Ironically it may very well be the best time to come to terms with a new investment philosophy.  Investment strategies crafted during the “great moderation” now seem downright quaint.br /br /Investors should at this point realize that they are on their own. They need to craft an investment strategy that is both coherent and actionable.  The distractions of CNBC and the pundit class can only serve to distract them from the important task of building a solid portfolio.   In our next post we touch on some themes that can help guide investors in the search of a better portfolio process. /blockquotebr /At a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals/a we are here to help investors find their feet. br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/span]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Charts: Airbus playing hardball with Ryanair</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-airbus-playing-hardball-with-ryanair/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-airbus-playing-hardball-with-ryanair/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Feb 2009 10:54:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[737]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Airbus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Airbus headquarters;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aircraft maker;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Airline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[airline ticking;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Boeing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EUR]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[John Leahy;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Leary;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ryanair]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-8131651821858979646</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[So will a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/eb8fc516-f2ea-11dd-abe6-0000779fd2ac.html"Airbus/a concede a deal with Ryanair? The sum of 300-400 short-haul jets is no splash in the ocean so I suspect Airbus will (eventually) give Ryanair what it wants as it really has no other choice.br /br /Certainly this is smart business from Ryanair to dangle a nice carrot in front of a starved donkey. Of course there is the usual denialbr / br /blockquoteMichael O’Leary, Ryanair chief executive and key senior colleagues have visited Airbus headquarters in Toulouse to outline their plans, but the European group, the commercial aircraft division of EADS, has told the airline that it is not interested at the prices Ryanair is seeking.br /br /John Leahy, Airbus’s chief commercial officer, said: “We are not in discussions with Ryanair about aircraft. That is on the record. We don’t have plans to enter a sales campaign with Ryanair, which would be very expensive and very time consuming.”/blockquotebr /span class="fullpost"The last major deal struck by Ryanair was with Boeing was after the September 11th attacksbr /br /blockquoteThe Irish carrier is seeking to repeat its coup of six years ago, when it placed its previous biggest order for 100 aircraft and a further 50 options in January 2002, close to the bottom of the last aviation recession.br /br /It was the biggest order Boeing had ever received for its 737 jets, and Ryanair secured one of the largest discounts ever agreed by the US aircraft maker, which was then desperate for new orders./blockquotebr /While any deal struck with Ryanair is going to be a hardball sum it will at least keep the airline ticking over during the recession. If new orders are anticipated to fall to around 700 new planes a yearbr /br /blockquoteBoeing and Airbus have said that they expect new orders to plunge this year to roughly a quarter of the peak combined industry level of more than 2,800 new orders won in 2007./blockquotebr /Then the Ryanair contract will be an important one to secure.br /br /European Aeroanutic Defence and Space Company (strongEAD/strong) has performed relatively well considering the overall meltdown in the market. The stock made a quiet pop outside of its 1-year decline, although a retest of €9.29 could not be excluded (and would indeed be favoured to shore up demand from buyers). br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZFlC5w23ZI/AAAAAAAAAv4/yppxWLjG3gY/s1600-h/EADFeb10.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 182px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZFlC5w23ZI/AAAAAAAAAv4/yppxWLjG3gY/s320/EADFeb10.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5301129336931671442" //abr /While not an ideal environment to be making a call; chiefly because of the narrow run up and the potential bull trap (buyers getting caught on the wrong side of momentum) on what looked to have been a nice breakout on Monday. I have attempted to make one for a push to €20 with a stop on a loss of January lows at €12.39. If that failed I would wait to see what the stock did at the rising trendline from October lows.  br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZFnV5490bI/AAAAAAAAAwA/zuGY6mP_AvE/s1600-h/EADFeb10b.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 178px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZFnV5490bI/AAAAAAAAAwA/zuGY6mP_AvE/s320/EADFeb10b.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5301131862406451634" //abr /My call is available (along with others) at a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a.br /br /a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZForLI6GCI/AAAAAAAAAwI/yBYNpIvwyak/s1600-h/YourCallFeb10.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 181px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SZForLI6GCI/AAAAAAAAAwI/yBYNpIvwyak/s320/YourCallFeb10.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5301133327325599778" //abr /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/span]]></description>
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		<title>Zignals Stock Charts: British Airways</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-british-airways/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/zignals-stock-charts-british-airways/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Feb 2009 11:52:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blockquoteBritish Airways;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Briitish Airways;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[British Airways Airlines;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cheaper oil prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gbp]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Oil Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Qantas;]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Airlines continue to struggle as cheaper oil prices aren't offsetting the losses from lower consumer travelling. From the a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f7d240a8-f428-11dd-8e76-0000779fd2ac.html"FT/a.br /br /blockquoteBritish Airways reported a loss for its third quarter and in the first nine months, and warned the deficit would deepen for the full year./blockquotebr /span class="fullpost"Business travelling hardest hitbr /br /blockquoteThe plunge in demand for travel from premium business travellers, one of the most important sources of profits at BA, had worsened in the current fourth quarter with premium passenger traffic dropping by 13.7 per cent in January, it said./blockquotebr /Although the back-of-the-bus has held up wellbr /br /blockquoteOverall in January, BA said it had cut passenger capacity by 2.6 per cent from a year ago while passenger traffic had fallen by 1.3 per cent, including the 13.7 per cent decrease in premium traffic and a 1.4 per cent rise in non-premium traffic./blockquotebr /With cargo traffic down sharply there is no evidence of an economic recovery any time soonbr /br /blockquoteCargo traffic fell by 16.7 per cent year-on-year in January reflecting the rapid weakening of world trade./blockquotebr /Big jump in debtbr /br /blockquoteCash holdings fell by £278m to £1.6bn between March and the end of December last year, while net debt increased by £900m to £2.2bn with £600m of the increase due to currency factors./blockquotebr /Similarly, a href="http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/breaking/2009/0206/breaking6.html"Aer Lingus/a also experienced drops in short and long haul trafficbr /br /blockquotePassenger numbers on short-haul flights were 6.1 per cent lower while those travelling to long-haul destinations fell 8.6 per cent over the period./blockquotebr /And a href="http://www.irishtimes.com/business/markets/1233867922295.html"Qantas/a took a sharp hit as they diluted their stockholders with 270.3 million shares coming to marketbr /br /But what does all of this mean for Briitish Airways shareholders?br /br /Historically, things got ahead of themselves in September 2006 when it broke through the top of a steadily rising channel. This created an unsustainable run to its eventual high in February 2007; a high which occurred 5 months before the top in oil prices. Since then it has been all downhill, but so far there hasn't been the capitulation which would firmly mark a bottom; even the September-October meltdown remained contained by its falling channel.br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYwv2hgaPjI/AAAAAAAAAvg/Eig0r6Pp9GY/s1600-h/BAFeb6.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 182px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYwv2hgaPjI/AAAAAAAAAvg/Eig0r6Pp9GY/s320/BAFeb6.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5299663475261980210" //abr /Given the strong bearish conditions, are there any opportunities on the long side?br /br /The 'bad news' from the company was unable to drive the price below October lows of £1.054. Instead it continued into a fourth day of rising prices; prices which originated from a low of £1.113 and appear to be part of a support band from £1.05 to £1.19br /br /Other than resistance at £1.84 the real challenge looks to be in a band of resistance from £1.97 to £2.14; with long term buyers unlikely to get keen until it gets past £2.84.br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYwyYdNzg7I/AAAAAAAAAvo/vP58Gd8SiGY/s1600-h/BAFeb6B.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 182px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYwyYdNzg7I/AAAAAAAAAvo/vP58Gd8SiGY/s320/BAFeb6B.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5299666257249010610" //abr /All of this is a long way from its heyday peak at £5.79, but beggars can't be choosers. I have entered a YourCall for a push to £1.79 with a stop at £1.04; it's a poor risk:reward - real buyers would be better served by a push back into the support zone c£1.19.  br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYwzmUmVyrI/AAAAAAAAAvw/ZAhgZ4s73UA/s1600-h/YourCallFeb6.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 201px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYwzmUmVyrI/AAAAAAAAAvw/ZAhgZ4s73UA/s320/YourCallFeb6.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5299667594965797554" //abr /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/span]]></description>
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		<title>Where are we in The Economic Cycle?</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/where-are-we-in-the-economic-cycle/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Feb 2009 10:19:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve System]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[http]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Murphy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reuters]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zignals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3415040392614486358.post-2305916299226899036</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Based on John Murphy's definitions lets take a look at the economic picture and see where were lie and what to look for when the recovery begins.br /br /First up are four factors Murphy has defined for monitoring the economy:br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYgh7KY2xuI/AAAAAAAAAuo/_laKtYLrJdY/s1600-h/Cycle.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 66px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYgh7KY2xuI/AAAAAAAAAuo/_laKtYLrJdY/s320/Cycle.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5298522261885994722" //abr /span class="fullpost"As John Murphy states in his book "Intermarket Analysis"br /br /blockquoteConsumer Expectations are very important because consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of the economy. /blockquotebr /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYgqJokgJyI/AAAAAAAAAuw/RkwlVgusoTo/s1600-h/consumersentiment.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 188px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYgqJokgJyI/AAAAAAAAAuw/RkwlVgusoTo/s320/consumersentiment.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5298531306599098146" //abr /Consumer sentiment first bottomed in June 2008 then staged a modest bounce; it subsequently retreated to June lows in November and has only recently started to recover. It is in the process of "reviving", but likely won't classify as "rising" until it gets past 70. On past form this could take another 6 months. br /br /What of Industrial Production?br /br /blockquoteIndustrial Production (IP) is one of the most widely followed measures of economic activity. During a recession, with business and consumer spending on the decline, Industrial production is falling. When IP starts to rise, it is am early sign that the economy is recovering./blockquotebr /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYgtQa6PqmI/AAAAAAAAAu4/SHL9Vzl9dIE/s1600-h/IP2008.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 190px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYgtQa6PqmI/AAAAAAAAAu4/SHL9Vzl9dIE/s320/IP2008.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5298534721726163554" //abr /Little comfort in these figures. The 3-month trend is squarely down and the monthly data is riding below the average. When individual sectors are considered only Ultilities are growing, these having bottomed in August 2008. Consumer confidence leads IP so it could be 6-12 months before we see a meaningful recovery in IP. This will delay the recovery because by definition IP is still "falling".br /br /Interest rates are relatively straightforwardbr /br /blockquoteA rapid rise in interest rates usually occurs in the late stages of economic recovery, which contributes to the eventual recession. Conversely, rapidly falling interest rates during a recession contribute to the eventual economic recovery./blockquotebr /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYgw5n6L-BI/AAAAAAAAAvA/hPasRShoYy8/s1600-h/Bondprices.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 178px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYgw5n6L-BI/AAAAAAAAAvA/hPasRShoYy8/s320/Bondprices.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5298538728125102098" //abr /Looking at the iShares Lehman 20-yr+ Treasury ETF (strongTLT/strong) a clear top in bong prices (bottom in yield) can be seen in December 2008. Tops rarely confirm in a 'V' fashion so a second rally may kick off around $100 to take it close to $123, although the second rally may stall out around $118. Interest rates look to be "bottoming" but this process will probably take longer than people expect given the Fed has no more leeway to lower rates any further than it has. br /br /As for the Yield Curvebr /br /blockquoteDuring an economic recovery, the yield curve has a tendency to flatten out. This means that short-term rates are rising faster than long-term rates and the spread between the two flattens. The crucial point comes when short-term rates exceed long-term rates. It is a dangerous situation called an eminverted yield curve/em and is usually an early sign of an economic contraction /blockquotebr /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYgzbw7GDfI/AAAAAAAAAvI/IVRrAIEzEVE/s1600-h/YieldCurve.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 263px; height: 263px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYgzbw7GDfI/AAAAAAAAAvI/IVRrAIEzEVE/s320/YieldCurve.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5298541513683635698" //abr /br /The current Yield Curve looks decidely 'normal' and fits with the definition of a Recession. br /br /From these four factors it would appear the next recovery will lead with Consumer confidence pushing above 70, followed by an uptick in IP. Interest rates are already in a favourable environment for a recovery (along with depressed commodity prices). br /br /Value buyers may want to sniff around Industrial (strongXLI/strong) and Basic Material (strongIYM/strong) stocks in anticipation of a recovery. The action of Institutional buying will reflect in the charts with flat-lined moving averages and a major capitulation low holding (last November?) as support.br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYg2RBaaCSI/AAAAAAAAAvQ/KVjkQovDqAQ/s1600-h/IndustrialFeb3.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 178px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYg2RBaaCSI/AAAAAAAAAvQ/KVjkQovDqAQ/s320/IndustrialFeb3.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5298544627666258210" //abr /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYg4q8kGgkI/AAAAAAAAAvY/q78S8HFKSbM/s1600-h/IYMFeb3.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 173px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYg4q8kGgkI/AAAAAAAAAvY/q78S8HFKSbM/s320/IYMFeb3.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5298547272064598594" //abr /For the Basic Materials group I have made a a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/charts/trystockcharts.aspx"YourCall/a for a move to $61.59 wth a stop at $30.49 within the year. It's a tall order but it is nicely set for a decent 2009. br /br /Consumer data sourced from a href="https://customers.reuters.com/community/university/default.aspx?"Reuters/a.br /Industrial Production from the a href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/Pubs/supplement/2008/06/table2_13p2.htm"Fed/a.br /Yield Curve from a href="http://stockcharts.com/charts/YieldCurve.html"Stockharts/a. br /br /br /br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/span]]></description>
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		<title>The future for Gold</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/the-future-for-gold/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/the-future-for-gold/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 13:34:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[http]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflationary money-printing;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iShare Silver Trust;]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Massachusetts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[www.zignals.com;]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[a href="http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2009/01/29/51827/gold-is-the-new-money/"FTAlphaville/a has sourced an article in the a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/efe1a910-ed98-11dd-bd60-0000779fd2ac.html?nclick_check=1"FT/a about a hedge funds denminating their investments in gold in place of dollars. br /br /Certainly there is no shortage of a href="http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2009/01/13/51069/gold-substandard/"interest/a in the commodity; will a deflationary recession kill gold, or inflationary money-printing have gold bugs counting their coin? br /br /span class="fullpost"Using the SPDR Gold Shares (strongGLD/strong) as the example, the good news for gold bugs is the rally from October lows has cleared one level of declining resistance from July, but has yet to challenge a second dating back to March of last year. There is, however, room to maneuver up to the latter's resistance currently lurking around $92 which so happens to coincide with the pivot high of September 29th 2008.  br /br /a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYG8ifF4mmI/AAAAAAAAAuQ/ztZz6mzpIdY/s1600-h/GLDJan29.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 178px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYG8ifF4mmI/AAAAAAAAAuQ/ztZz6mzpIdY/s320/GLDJan29.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5296721937412168290" //abr /There is probably the momentum to get it there, but beyond that it might struggle without first making it back to trend support first.br /br /The problem for gold bugs is that since August of last year gold has far outperformed its counterpart, silver, suggesting a potential arbitrage play.br /br /On December 11th 2008, iShare Silver Trust (strongSLV/strong) broke through its 50-day MA and managed a successful backtest on January 14th. On January 23rd it broke through $11.48 resistance on solid volume.   br /br /a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYHAIaaCIXI/AAAAAAAAAuY/luSablIKchY/s1600-h/SLVJan28.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 178px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYHAIaaCIXI/AAAAAAAAAuY/luSablIKchY/s320/SLVJan28.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5296725887524413810" //abr /Perhaps the Bugs have the wrong Beast?br /br /I have created a YourCall for strongSLV/strong for a push to the lower reaches of last September's consolidation at $12.89. I'll stick a stop below $11.48 support. Let's see how it fares. Follow this call on our a href="http://www.zignals.com/main/"stock charting/a service; use-of-service requires free registration. br /br /a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYHBpuT2yJI/AAAAAAAAAug/h2XxSZ9a8DM/s1600-h/SLVJan28B.png"img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 152px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_WWGUfU1tOjI/SYHBpuT2yJI/AAAAAAAAAug/h2XxSZ9a8DM/s320/SLVJan28B.png" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5296727559314524306" //a br /span style="font-size:80%; color:#cccccc;"Dr. Declan Fallon, Senior Market Technician, a href="http://www.zignals.com"Zignals.com/a the free stock alerts, market alerts, and stock charts website /span/span]]></description>
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		<title>News from the Blogosphere</title>
		<link>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/news-from-the-blogosphere-12/</link>
		<comments>http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/news-from-the-blogosphere-12/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Jan 2009 15:48:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Declan Fallon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks to Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declan fallon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[As the markets look to find their footing around November lows what else can be found in the blogospherebr /br /Brett describes three simple trade setups: a href="http://traderfeed.blogspot.com/2009/01/three-basic-trade-setups.html"Reversal Trades, Breakout Trades, and Continuation Trades/a.br /br /a href="http://club.ino.com/tr