Initial Claims decreased by 12,000 to 502,000 claims for the week ending 11/07, better than the expected decrease to 524,000, following a revised level of 532,000 from the previous week. The 4-week moving average was 519,750, a decrease of 4,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 524,250. Seasonally adjusted insured unemployment from the prior week, ending on 10/31, was 5,631,000, a decrease of 139,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 5,770,000. Seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate from the week ending on 10/31, was 4.3 percent, unchanged from the prior week's unrevised rate of 4.4 percent.

Crude inventories are expected today at 10:30 AM EST.  Last week, U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 4.0 million barrels from the previous week to 335.9 million barrels. Crude oil inventories are near the upper limit of the average range for this time of year. U.S. crude oil refinery inputs

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Recently, the federal government’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) issued an overall bullish report, showing a smaller-than-expected build in crude stockpiles. Further, the data showed that gasoline inventories were down as predicted, while distillate stocks also declined, though fell short of expectations. In its release, the agency said that crude inventories rose by 1.3 million barrels for the week ending October 16, much lower than analysts' expectations. This is the second successive week in which the crude buildup has been lower than originally anticipated. A major contributing factor to the modest increase can be attributed to a fall in crude oil imports, which dropped to the lowest level in two months. Current crude oil stocks, at 339.1 million barrels, are 8.9% above the year-earlier level and remain above the upper limit of the average for this time of the year (depicted in the first EIA chart below). The ...

U.S. crude oil fell over 3 percent to below $70 a barrel on Friday as U.S. equities struggled for traction and raised fears about the economy and a recovery in energy demand.

U.S. crude for October delivery fell $2.20 to $69.74 by 1:24 p.m. EDT (1724 GMT) after rising to $72.90 in choppy trading. London Brent crude fell $2.10 to $67.76 a barrel.

“Crude put in a high for the week, but there was no follow-through and the dollar and S&P turned around and that helped pull crude back,” said Gene McGillian, analyst at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut.

U.S. stocks were hampered by profit taking after five days of gains and the longest winning streak since November which helped boost crude prices earlier in the week.

Analysts and traders say that current oil prices reflect attitudes in the market rather than fundamentals.

Data released Thursday by the U.S. government showed petroleum product inventories, including heating oil

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Yesterday, we got a bearish report from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), with crude oil stockpiles showing an unexpected rise. In its weekly release, the agency said that crude inventories rose 128,000 barrels from the preceding week, far off estimates that hoped for another drawdown, following last week’s encouraging data. Major contributing factors to the inventory buildup were a rise in domestic production and crude oil imports. Current crude oil stocks, at 343.8 million barrels, are 12.4% above the year-earlier level and remain above the upper limit of the average for this time of the year (depicted in the first EIA chart below). The supply cover increased marginally from 23.7 days in the previous week to 23.8 days of supply and remains significantly above the year-earlier level of 20.5 days. Gasoline stocks were down 1.7 million week over week, better than expectations ...

Oil fell below $66 on Friday, in line with broad falls on global markets after data showing the U.S. economy contracted and consumer spending had declined, with knock-on effects for fuel demand.

U.S. light crude fell 95 cents to $65.99 a barrel by 1325 GMT, pulling back from its gains ahead of the release of the economic data.

London Brent crude dropped by $1.43 to $68.68.

U.S. gross domestic product fell 1.0 percent in the second quarter, with consumer spending falling 1.2 percent, the U.S. Commerce Department said.

Although the contraction was smaller than expected the January-March GDP was revised down to a 6.4 precent drop from the previously reported 5.5 percent fall.

With the contraction in the second quarter, U.S. GDP has fallen for four straight quarters for the first time since government records started in 1947.

“The GDP reading did come better than expected, but the stabilisation is coming off a downward revised first quarter number,”

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A bigger-than-expected drop in crude oil inventories and the seasonal uptick in gasoline demand is helping sustain the spectacular rally in crude oil prices that has pushed the commodity to a new high for the year.While an improving economic outlook and favorable currency moves account for the bulk of the commodity's gains, recent moves on the inventory front have also been helpful. Crude oil stockpiles, still at multi-year highs, have been steadily coming down over the last few weeks. Including today's report from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), crude oil inventories have dropped in four of the last five weeks.We continue to believe that there are good fundamental underpinnings for the ongoing oil rally. We continue to favor early-cycle leverage through oilfield service names, such as Weatherford (WFT) and Ensco (ESV). Our long-term favorites remain Exxon (XOM), Schlumberger (SLB) and Diamond ...

Wherever we’re going, are we there yet? Nope! But we’re getting there. That is, America is sleepwalking its way into poverty. China is performing a kind of financial alchemy. And Australia finds itself subject to American-style problems, but benefitting from China’s Grand Economic Strategy.

But how about those powerful idealists on U.S. markets? Both the S&P 500 and the Dow were up nearly three percent. If you can believe it, they were led by financial stocks and retailers. Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) finished up 9.9% after Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) put it on its “conviction buy” list. Home hardware retailer Lowes was up 8.1% after a survey of U.S. homebuilder confidence surged.

By the way, what the hell is a “conviction buy” list? Does that mean you can only recommend stocks in which the executives have been convicted of a crime? And if it means a share you can buy with

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China imported record amounts of copper and iron ore in April as its mammoth stimulus program stoked its foundries and mills.  But the nation’s exports remained weak, leaving some to wonder how much longer the country can keep its economic fires lit without an increase in global consumption.

China’s voracious appetite for commodities drove the second-biggest monthly haul of crude oil and tripled aluminum imports, but very little steel, aluminum and coal went the other way.

“Industrial production is coming online and demand is rising. But sentiment may be tempered by the view that some of the material is being stockpiled and… consumption hasn’t risen as quickly as imports,” Ben Westmore, commodities economist at National Australia Bank, told Reuters.

Copper imports jumped 6.6% from March to April, to 399,833 tons; iron ore imports soared 9.4% to 57 million tons, and crude oil imports hit 3.93 million barrels per day,

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There are conflicting voices about oil.  Some say too much is available and demand is falling.  Others say demand is rising and reduced exploration will contribute to a new boom.  Some say oil is responding to the equities rally. Charts show oil with upward tendencies weeks before equities began to rise.

Here are some important media snippets with mixed bullish and bearish messages:

(April 9 Wall Street Journal) U.S. petroleum inventories sit at about 360 million barrels, their highest level since 1993, …  McKinsey [report] suggests that energy demand may snap back more quickly than many observers project, driven by strong demand growth from developing countries. …If the world economy returns to moderate growth, energy demand will increase about 2.3% a year between 2010 and 2020, nearly a full point faster than the period from 2006 to 2010 …  Developing regions will account for more than 90% of the growth, led by

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The stocks of oil tanker companies are cheap…very, very cheap. But before moving into the heart of this investment observation, let’s gain a sliver of insight about the value of shipping itself.

The dividends of the old spice trade, for example, financed much of the architectural splendor of Venice, Italy. If you stroll the Piazza San Marco, a complex pattern of Istrian stone plays out beneath your feet. Nearby, grand palazzos and public squares show off a dazzling array of tall columns, carved marble, impressive domes and spires.

As William Bernstein tells us in his fascinating book, A Splendid Exchange, Venice’s dazzling look was built up “largely on profits from pepper, cinnamon, nutmeg, mace and clove.” Spices then were what oil is today. At its peak, cinnamon oil traded for its weight in gold. Venetian traders made fortunes. “Profits well in excess of 100% were routine,” Bernstein notes. “A typical

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