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[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

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Credit woes continue

Prieur du Plessis (November 4th, 2009) Writes:

A recent Bloomberg article was titled”Pandit “near death” hoard signals lower bank profits“, and stated that Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. were hoarding cash as if another crisis were on the way. Also, a Wall Street Journal article entitled “Jittery Companies Stash Cash“ showed cash on the balance sheets of S&P 500 companies was the highest in 40 years.

The chart below, courtesy of economist David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff & Associates, shows that credit is still contracting as banks go through the painful process of repairing their balance sheets. As indicated, bank lending has now declined for 21 weeks in a row and over this entire period a total of $216 billion (15% at an annual rate) of loans and leases has vanished.

bank-credit-down-1

“The contraction

...

Prieur’s readings (November 4, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 4th, 2009) Writes:

This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Michael Kahn (Barron’s): Setting free the bears, November 2, 2009. The stock market’s astounding run from its March lows has finally run into a real ceiling. After outpacing most, if not all, post bear-market rallies over the past century the inevitable is finally here. But is it part of another correction or something more? The urgency of the sell-off suggests the latter. That said, I don’t see the danger of the market testing its March lows any time soon.

• Charles Githler (MoneyShow.com): Former bears’ take on the market’s future, October 18, 2009. Are we headed for a major correction, or even worse: a resumption of the bear market?What “the best” (former bears) are telling us now …

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Are ETNs Safe?

IndexUniverse Staff (October 28th, 2009) Writes:

In his latest blog, Matt sings the praises of ETNs and argues that the risk of losing money is “vanishingly small”.

Matt’s argument is that “most ETNs offer daily redemptions at net asset value, meaning that (even ignoring the quoted market) an investor of size (50,000 shares in the case of iPath ETNs) can sell out of the product within 48 hours and get the full net asset value of the note from the issuer.”

In other words, even if you become concerned about the credit risk of the issuer and there is insufficient liquidity in the secondary market for you to trade, you can get out of a position by selling it back to the ETN issuer.

I agree with Matt that the tax treatment of ETNs gives them a huge advantage for US investors (ETNs are taxed at long-term capital gains tax rates and only on a deferred basis

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Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: DryShips, Inc., Capmark Financial Group Inc., Citigroup Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. – Press Releases

Zacks Market Commentaries (October 28th, 2009) Writes:

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – October 28, 2009 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: DryShips, Inc. (DRYS), Capmark Financial Group Inc. (CPFNG), Citigroup Inc. (C), JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS).

Get the most recent insight from Zacks Equity Research with the free Profit from the Pros newsletter: http://at.zacks.com/?id=5513

Here are highlights from Tuesday’s AnalystBlog:

DryShips Beats, Results Hurt

DryShips, Inc.’s (DRYS) third-quarter earnings of 27 cents per share were 6 cents ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate. This excludes a loss of $39.3 million or 15 cents per share associated with the valuation of the company’s

...

Capmark Files for Bankruptcy – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (October 27th, 2009) Writes:
Capmark Financial Group Inc. (CPFNG), one of the key commercial real-estate lenders in the U.S., along with some of its subsidiaries has filed Chapter 11 protection. The filing adds to the lingering concern that the commercial real-estate market is still struggling.  The company seeks to be allowed to continue to pay its vendors and salaries, and protect the businesses with its customers and partners.  Capmark was created in March 2006 through a leveraged buyout of the commercial real estate assets of General Motors' finance arm GMAC. Earlier this year also, the company had indicated that it might file for bankruptcy due to deteriorating conditions in the financial and commercial real estate markets and capital inadequacy.  Capmark is currently negotiating the terms of the bankruptcy with its creditors, which include Citigroup Inc. (C) and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) among others.  Capmark ...

Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Eli Lilly & Co., Wells Fargo, Bank of America Corporation, Citigroup, Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. – Press Releases

Zacks Market Commentaries (October 22nd, 2009) Writes:

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – October 22, 2009 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY), Wells Fargo (WFC), Bank of America Corporation (BAC), Citigroup, Inc. (C) and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM).

Get the most recent insight from Zacks Equity Research with the free Profit from the Pros newsletter: http://at.zacks.com/?id=5513

Here are highlights from Wednesday’s AnalystBlog:

Eli Lilly Beats, Raises Guidance

This morning, Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY) reported strong third quarter financials. The company’s earnings per share of $1.20 surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.02 and 98 cents reported in the year-ago period. Revenues recorded a

...

Morgan Stanley Finally Profits – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (October 21st, 2009) Writes:
Morgan Stanley (MS) reported third-quarter 2009 income of $498 million this morning or 38 cents per share, compared with a loss of $159 million or $1.37 per share in the prior quarter and an income of $7.7 billion, or $7.38 per share a year ago. The results were much ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 30 cents per share. The results marked the first quarter of income in a year’s time. Results were aided by robust underwriting revenues in the investment banking operation resulting from higher levels of market activity, strong growth in fixed income sales and trading, commodities, prime brokerage and wealth management business, which offset losses in commercial real estate. Unlike the preceding qaurters, the results were in line with strong results from competitors like Goldman Sachs (GS) and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), which has been grabbing market share after ...

Wells Fargo Surprises Yet Again – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (October 21st, 2009) Writes:
Before the market opened this morning, Wells Fargo (WFC) reported third quarter 2009 diluted earnings of 56 cents per common share, compared with 57 cents in the second quarter 2009 and 49 cents in the third quarter 2008. Net income applicable to common shareholders came in at $2.6 billion, almost flat compared with the prior quarter and up 61.1% year-over-year. The results were substantially ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 35 cents per share. Results were aided by strong top-line growth across all key business segments, strong deposits and a robust loan growth rate. Unlike its major peers, Wells Fargo witnessed strong growth in its traditional banking operations, especially in its mortgage business acquired from Wachovia. Net interest income of $11.7 billion climbed 83.1% year-over-year. However, credit quality deteriorated further and losses rose sharply during the quarter. The bank expects credit losses and non-performing ...

Citi May Need to Sell Off Banamex – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (October 19th, 2009) Writes:
Citigroup Inc. (C) could be compelled to sell its profitable and highly rated Mexican subsidiary Banamex due to a probe expected this week by Mexico’s Supreme Court. A group of senators has objected that Citigroup’s Mexican subsidiary is in breach of national law since the US government bail-out of the company. National law of Mexico bans foreign governments from owning a stake in domestic banks. Banamex, or Banco Nacional de Mexico, is one of Citigroup's brightest jewels, and accounts for over $20 billion, or 15% of its global profits. A number of other foreign-dominated banks operating in Mexico also remain exposed to the same risk, as many foreign governments own stake in them following the global financial crisis. These banks include American International Group, Inc. (AIG), Bank of America Corporation (BAC) and Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BK), as well as ...

GE Acquires Stake in Start-up – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (October 16th, 2009) Writes:
Tendril, the developer of the first integrated software/hardware platform to enable real-time, two-way communications between utilities/retailers and their customers on energy supply and consumption, is broadening its smart grid relationship with General Electric Company (GE) beyond appliances with an equity investment by GE Energy Financial Services.  GE Energy Financial Services is treating the venture capital investment as a follow-up to Tendril’s announcement in June that it raised $30 million in Series C funding, making it one of the best-funded energy management startups.  The Tendril Residential Energy Management Ecosystem (TREE) is designed to help utilities operate more efficiently to improve customer service and comply with new regulatory requirements.  GE’s investment builds on its appliances partnership with Tendril. GE Consumer & Industrial and Tendril announced in July that they would integrate the TREE Platform to work with GE's dryers, refrigerators, washing machines and other appliances. GE appliances ...

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