World trade experiencing a “huge drop”, according to the World Trade Organization.  Rather than the gloomy 9% predicted earlier this year, volume will likely contract by 10%.

WTO Director General Pascal Lamy, told Reuters Television:

That’s the situation and I’m afraid I can’t read any good news in my trade numbers.

This news doesn’t bode well for any type of recovery. “Jobs picture turns gloomier” say the headlines. The U.S. unemployment rate officially popped up to 9.5% as nonfarm payrolls shed 467,000 jobs in June. The market is tanking today on this “brown shoot”… But the real story is far worse. And as reality seeps into the empty head of Joe Investor it could spell the end for the post-2008 wipe-out sucker’s rally…

As James Davidson points out in Crisis Strategy Alert, the BLS numbers have been massaged, manipulated, and contorted into giving only half the story. He says,

To get a real

April 6, 2009

Why the economy is still heading for a cliff… All the king’s horses and all the king’s men can’t put the banks back together again… The madness of Sheila Bair… The government lies over banks are paper thin… Infighting at the Treasury… Why Citi’s CEO should go… Banks plunge… “Fake dividend” strategy exposed… Can mark-to-model save them? Selling OTM calls against your financial stocks… What happened on March 9… And more!

*** You’re reading this newsletter because you don’t believe the cheerleaders in Washington and in the mainstream press. You know it’s safer to know the truth about the economy than to believe the hype and the lies and the false optimism. You know that real money-making ideas can’t be found on CNN and

Foreigners gang up on the dollar… Ben’s bitter irony… A chartist’s view on the buck… Why the Fed’s “quantitative easing” is a game changer… Investing in the “poor man’s gold”… And more!..

[Your Notes editor will be spending the day in battling Argentine bureaucracy. (It’s a long story. But basically I am trying to get residency down here.) So, today I’ll be leaving you in the capable hands of Crisis Strategy Alert senior analyst Charles Delvalle.]

*** Is this the end of the buck?

Next week a UN panel will recommend that the world drop the US dollar as the reserve currency and instead use a shared basket of currencies.

This from Reuters:

Investment Underground

Plastic Paddies… The now and future inflation… Spendaholics Anonymous… Waiting for the Treasuries bubble to pop… The perversity of ‘self-stimulation’… Paul Volcker’s two-tier financial system… Notes in “Fantasyland”… Going to ground in Ireland… And more!

*** Paddy’s Day celebrations are over. Yesterday, the streets of Buenos Aires filled up with lots of Latin “plastic paddies.” All very strange indeed. More on this below.

*** This morning, the Financial Times reports that Mr. Market is waiting to see whether the Fed will start buying long-term U.S. Treasuries to further ‘stimulate’ the economy.

And with rates at near zero levels, it’s running out of ammo. Talking to CNBC yesterday, Dr. Marc Faber, editor of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report said