For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – November 23, 2009 – Zacks.com releases the list of companies likely to issue earnings surprises. This week’s list includes Deere (DE), Tyson (TSN) and BJ Services (BJS). To see more earnings analysis, visit http://at.zacks.com/?id=3207.

Every day, Zacks.com makes 4 stock picks available, free of charge. To see them, go to http://at.zacks.com/?id=5612.

Give Thanks for a Great 3Q

Historically the best indicators of firms which are likely to report positive surprises are a recent history of positive surprises and rising estimates going into the report. The Zacks Rank is also a good indicator of potential surprises. Some of the companies that have these characteristics include:

Deere (DE) is expected to post EPS of just $0.05, down from $0.81 last year. That low expectation sets it up for a positive surprise. Last time out they beat by

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For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – November 19, 2009 – Zacks.com releases the latest Zacks Industry Rank. Stocks featured in this week’s analysis include B.P. Prudhoe Bay Trust (BPT), San Juan Basin (SJT), Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Petrobras (PBR).

Zacks Industry Rank Analysis is written by Dirk Van Dijk, CFA, Chief Equity Strategist for Zacks.com.

This week: Some Improvements in Energy

A good example of an industry that is showing both a very good overall rank and substantial improvement is Oil Royalty Trusts, which with a industry rank of 2.00 is tied for 4th place with several other industries. What sets it apart is that it improved 21 spots in its ranking as the average ranking of its components, up from 2.43 last week. Every one of the seven firms in the industry has a Zacks Rank of 2.

These are great vehicles for

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Industry Rank Analysis 11-17-09 Normally, the focus of this article has been on the industries that have the best overall Zacks ranks, with an occasional mention of the industries that rank particularly badly and thus should be avoided. This week, however, I want to look at some of the industries that are showing sharp improvements in rank, even if they are still far from the top of the list. Ideally, you would want to focus on the industries that are both near the top of the list and rising fast, but that rarely happens, especially for industries with a large number of participants. The Zacks Industry Rank is an un-weighted average of the Zacks ranks of the firms in the industry, so it is much easier for a small industry with only tow or three firms in it to rise quickly and have a very good-looking rank ...

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – November 12, 2009 – Zacks.com releases the latest Zacks Industry Rank. Stocks featured in this week’s analysis include Fuel System Solutions (FSYS), Oshkosh Truck (OSK) and Wabco Holdings (WBC).

Zacks Industry Rank Analysis is written by Dirk Van Dijk, CFA, Chief Equity Strategist for Zacks.com.   This week: The Return of the Living Dead

OK, Halloween is over, but some of the best-looking industries according to the Zacks Rank are those that not long ago were considered part of the living dead.

Case in point is the top performing sector -- Auto-Truck-Tires. Out of 206 industries tracked, the sector has five of them, and the worst of the bunch, Foreign Autos, ranked tied for 89th with a composite score of 2.88. None of the groups were at the very top, but all were better than average.

The original equipment parts makers (although one could argue about

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For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – November 6, 2009 – Zacks.com releases the latest Zacks Industry Rank. Stocks featured in this week’s analysis include B.P. Prudhoe Bay (BPT), Sabine Royalty Trust (SBR), Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), Hershey (HSY) and Del Monte (DLM).

Zacks Industry Rank Analysis is written by Dirk Van Dijk, CFA, Chief Equity Strategist for Zacks.com.   This week: Out-of-Step Industries

Sometimes the best investments come from a small group that seems to be bucking the trend of the much larger group that they are a part of. That appears to be the case for the Oil Royalty Trust group. There are eight names in this group, all of which sport Zacks #2 rankings. That puts them in a tie for 4th place among all industries tracked. Meanwhile, the Energy sector is well down the list overall sector rank list.

With royalty trusts, you get high dividends

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Today the Census Bureau released its report on incomes, poverty and health insurance coverage for 2008. Most of it was (not surprisingly) bad news. Here are some of the highlights (lowlights?): The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that real median household income in the United States fell 3.6 percent between 2007 and 2008, from $52,163 to $50,303. The nation’s official poverty rate in 2008 was 13.2 percent, up from 12.5 percent in 2007. There were 39.8 million people in poverty in 2008, up from 37.3 million in 2007. The number of people without health insurance coverage rose from 45.7 million in 2007 to 46.3 million in 2008, In 2008, the earnings of women who worked full time, year-round was 77 percent of that for corresponding men, not statistically different from the 2007 ratio. The ...

The trade deficit in July came in at $32.0 billion -- a significant increase from the $27.5 billion in June. The consensus expectation was that it would be close to unchanged. Since the trade deficit is a direct input into GDP (net exports), this will moderately reduce the expected growth rate for the third quarter. There was, however, some good news in the report: both imports and exports rose, imports just rose faster. Trade now seems to be in a sustainable uptrend, after falling off a cliff in the second half of last year and then stabilizing in the spring. This can be seen in the first graph below (from http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/). A year ago, the trade deficit peaked at $64.9 billion on much higher levels of both imports and exports. The world-wide slowdown has dropped our exports by 22.4% from $164.4 billion to $127.6 billion this year, ...

Key Points:

Growth Second-quarter total net income down 31.0% year-over-year Third quarter expected to be down 22.9% year-over-year Fourth quarter to more than double a year ago, but it is all in the Financials Health Care only sector to post positive growth in second quarter Only 32.4% of companies posted earnings growth last quarter; 25.0% post sales growth year-over-year

Surprise Results much stronger than feared; median surprise was 6.7% Positive surprises lead disappointments by 3.4:1 margin (surprise ratio) Surprise ratio above 8:1 for Health Care and above 4:1 for Tech, Staples and Discretionary Margins the cause, not revenue growth 71.2% of firms beat on earnings; 45.9% beat sales estimates

Levels Bottom-up estimate for S&P 500 now $60.97 in 2009 versus $60.60 last week. S&P 500 now expected to earn $75.09 in 2010 versus $74.90 last week Top down estimates $52.94 and $67.09, respectively

Revisions Total estimate increases outnumber cuts by than 7:4 for 2009 Upward revisions outnumber cuts by more than 3:2 for 2010 Revisions ratios

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Sometimes in investing there is a tendency to over think things, to get bogged down in the details, to lose the forest through a close study of the trees. It is not that such matters are irrelevant, but that if you get the big major questions right you will be most of the way there. Unfortunately, most investors tend to avoid even asking the big really important questions, or at least don't act on them. The big questions really tend to boil down to what sectors you should be investing in. Yet, many investors simply rely on indexing instead. Even worse, those that do not explicitly index often invest in mutual funds that "closet index". Investment managers will do that because there is a big premium put on not being too far away from the "bogey", usually the S&P 500. Sure, it's great if they are ...

Raise High the Roofbeam, Carpenter! More good news on the housing front: new home sales jumped 9.6% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 433,000. In addition, June sales were revised up from 384,000 to 395,000. The jump in sales brought down inventories to 271,000 from 280,000 in June. This brought the months supply metric down to 7.5 months, a full month less than in June, and well below the 10.1 months of a year ago, when inventories stood at 419,000. That is a 35.4% year-over-year drop, far exceeding the 13.4% decline in sales from a year ago. We are now almost down to a normal months supply, which is around six months, although during the boom years it was consistently around four months. Homebuilders like D.R. Horton (DHI) and Ryland (RYL) will be able to pick up the pace of housing ...