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Sunday November 8, 2009

DrStockPick.com Article!

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Let’s call it what it is; It’s Reagan’s Fault!

The government, both state and federal, is on a feeding frenzy to save the banks, the real reason is that the banks are the feeding ground for our politicians, in fact any office seeker is beholden to the banks for their financial support. As such there will never be any meaningful control over these institutions.

There are now 140 fewer banks then there was last year, and the too big to fail have gotten even larger, and now

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TODAY: Lavrov keeps eagle eye on Georgia; Netanyahu's fears about Russian rogue scientists; Chubais takes the fall for hydropower plant disaster.  Litvinenko widow despairs over apparent British moves towards rapprochement.  Luzhkov-Baturina to take Nemtsov to court. UN report pessimistic on Russia's demographic decline; Ban Ki-moon voices approval for ecological care.According to the Moscow Times, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov says that Russia will survey shipping in the Black Sea to monitor Georgian 'provocations' which are a 'serious concern'.  Jorg Himmelreich in the International Herald Tribune suggests that much analysis of last year's Georgia-Russia conflict has overlooked the crucial matter of President Bush's Georgia policy.  Spokesman Andrei Nesterenko says that he believes that the ratification of the Lisbon treaty would benefit ...

By Adam Lass, Senior Editor, Taipan Publishing Group

This American company has gained 777% the old-fashioned way: selling junk in backroom deals.

As regular readers know, I am a Ford man.

Back when I was a kid, you had to make three really important choices. First, you had to pick a political party. Didn’t matter how well you knew the candidates – you picked a party and that’s what you were.

We are talking Democrat or Republican here. Libertarians weren’t much discussed, and backing the Socialists could get your parents blackballed at work. And if you wanted peace around the dinner table, you just went with the same side your folks did.

Second, you had to choose “your” baseball, basketball and football teams. We didn’t have rotisserie leagues back then, so there was no “à la carte.” You picked your guys, and you defended their every move in the schoolyard and on

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This American company has gained 777% the old-fashioned way: selling junk in backroom deals. As regular readers know, I am a Ford man. Back when I was a kid, you had to make three really important choices. First, you had to pick a political party. Didn’t matter how well you knew the candidates – you picked a party and that’s what you were. We are talking Democrat or Republican here. Libertarians weren’t much discussed, and backing the Socialists could get your parents blackballed at work. And if you wanted peace around the dinner table, you just went with the same side your folks did. Second, you had to choose “your” baseball, basketball and football teams. We didn’t have rotisserie leagues back then, so there was no “à la carte.” You picked your guys, and you defended their every move in the schoolyard and on the stoop – with fists if need be. Prudent Choices To this ...

Currencies back off gains…Administration slaps tariff on China…And Yen rallies…Quotes from Davos…And Now… Today’s Pfennig!

Good day… And a Marvelous Monday to you! I hope your weekend was grand… I was supposed to be traveling back from Williamsburg today, so this is a bonus day for you all! HA! On Friday morning, I told the early arrivers that the currencies were strong, Gold was strong, it was all good, and we needed to close up shop and go home, because it wasn’t going to get an better than that, and that the rest of the day had nothing but disappointment risk! Boy did I nail that one on the head! Let’s get to the goings on.

The currencies added to their gains during the Friday morning, only to see them give the gains back later in the day, as the “boys” in NY all closed shop and headed to the Hamptons. I

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So how should we look at today’s jobs report -- as good news since the number of jobs we are losing is slowing significantly, or as bad news since the unemployment rate is jumping? Personally I think that the number of jobs is the more significant of the two, since the data is more reliable and because it is the number of jobs that actually drives the economy. The unemployment rate is a lagging indicator of the economy while the number of jobs lost or created is closer to being a coincident indicator. The graph below shows both the unemployment rate as well as the year-over-year percentage change in employment. Based on the unemployment rate, things were actually worse in the 1982 recession, but in terms of employment growth, this downturn has been far worse than anything seen in the lifetimes of anyone but the most senior of ...

We received a letter snooty letter recently accusing us of confirmation bias. Maybe we are only capable of seeing the bearish side of the story?

According to good old Wikipedia, confirmation bias is “an irrational tendency to search for, interpret or remember information in a way that confirms one’s preconceptions or working hypotheses.” Put simply, it means you look for information that agrees with your own perspective.

In our case, we guess that means ignoring idiots like Paul Krugman, who tells us that we can spend our way out of a depression and the do-gooders in the Obama administration, who tell us that everything will be okay and that we’re about to witness a miraculous V-shape recovery. (Just like when President Hoover told Americans in 1932 that “prosperity was just around the corner.”)

And we guess it means paying attention to those who called this crisis ahead of time… guys like Will’s father,

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As a candidate, Barack Obama positioned himself as the Anti-Bush. But as president, his foreign policy actions and outcomes so far could be called Bush-Like. Thatrsquo;s the view put forth in an interesting analysis from Stratfor Global Intelligence, a geopolitical think tank based in Austin, Texas. Stratfor president George Friedman spins the globe and points out where the campaign rhetoric left off and the realities of being president set in. Wersquo;re still deeply entrenched in Iraq. We are still telling the Iranians to negotiate on nuclear development, or else. Our tense relationship with the Russians over regional dominance remains intact. The French and Germans are still holding us at armrsquo;s length despite Obamarsquo;s overtures. We are maintaining the status quo with China by focusing on our common economic interests and avoiding politics. Sure, itrsquo;s only been seven months since Obama took office, but contrary to the view of Obama purists, Friedman says the promises ...

This post provides links to a number of thought-provoking articles I have read over the past few days that you may also find of interest.

• Richard Thaler (Financial Times): Markets can be wrong and the price is not always right, August 4, 2009. The “efficient market hypothesis” has been a fact of life for economists. Among other things, it says that asset prices will fully reflect available information; and that it is hard for any investor to beat the market after taking risk into account. Has the last year changed how it is viewed.

• Eric Uhlfelder (Advisor Perspectives): Paul Krugman on prospects of recovery, August 4, 2009.

• Economist.com: A concrete problem, July 30, 2009. Banks face another round of property-related bad debts: this time it will be flashy offices, not rundown homes.

• Frank Hornig,

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Peter Schiff: Why this Money Should Replace the U.S. Dollar There’s a new universal currency, backed by solid gold. You can use it to make online purchases anywhere in the world. Converting some money to the new currency takes just 5 minutes. You can start with as little as $10…or as much as $10 million. According to CNBC star analyst and Euro Pacific Capital President Peter Schiff, this money could double the value of your savings – automatically – in just 6-9 months. For Schiff’s full analysis and recommendations, please go here.

U.S. GDP Contraction Slows, but the Road to Recovery Will Be Rocky

By Bob Blandeburgo
Associate Editor
Money Morning

While the many of the world’s economies continue to look for signs of growth, the U.S. economy took a big step in the right the direction in the second quarter.

U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) shrank 1% in the second quarter, …