China walks the walk… red nation agrees to major shift away from dollar reserves… Gold soars… Frank Holmes with a historic reason gold should keep rising… You know Peak Oil, but Peak Stimulus? Chris Mayer offers a compelling chart on government intervention… Dark data: Service sector, retail, jobs all disappoint, plus a shocking stat on student debt…

Walking the long, windy road toward the demise of the dollar, we spy another mile marker today: China is officially putting their money where their mouth is.

After clamoring for a reserve alternative all year, the Chinese government agreed to a $50 billion currency-diverse deal with the IMF today. Back in June, the deal seemed imminent. This morning, it finally came to fruition.

In their deal with the IMF — the first of its kind for any nation, ever — China buys $50 billion worth of bonds denominated in Special Drawing Rights, which

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Government budget hits all-time insanity… record monthly, year-to-date deficits… “Cash for clunkers” helps GM, but not economy… July retail sales stage surprise fall… Fed plans exit strategy, ends bond buys… why the FOMC is still not helping you… Byron King’s crude reality: How Canada could be the next Saudi Arabia…

It’s official: Our government ran a record $180.7 billion over budget in July, the Treasury Department said today. That’s just a bit over Wall Street expectations and just under the Congressional Budget Office estimate we reported Monday. Thus the government tab so far this fiscal year is a record $1.27 trillion, not the record $1.3 trillion the CBO guessed earlier this week. Phew… what a relief.

A few more scary details:

The budget deficit is still on track to exceed $1.8 trillion by October, the end of the fiscal year. That would be four times last year’s record budget July spending rose to over ...

Say what? Geithner begs for higher debt ceiling, says it will restore world confidence… Deficit now three times last year’s record… so Congress buys 8 private jets… A currency sea change? Bill Jenkins on the dollar’s surprise rally… Jim Nelson on the best sectors for income investing… John Williams digs deeper into Friday’ jobs report… four data distortions you need to know…

“It is critically important that Congress act before the [debt] limit is reached,” Tim Geithner wrote over the weekend in a letter to lawmakers, “so that citizens and investors here and around the world can remain confident that the United States will always meet its obligations.”

Sounds like our Treasury Secretary is finally putting his foot down, insisting that Congress pull back its lavish spending programs and start addressing our incredible $11.6 trillion national debt.

Wait… what’s that? Oh, Geithner’s actually asking for Congress to raise the debt ceiling. If Congress

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First, a historical note…US equities have just come off their best July since 1989. Overall, the market is up over 8% for the year. But if we look backward (after all, hindsight is 20/20), March 1989 also saw a huge run up. It was followed by an even stronger rally in July, during which volume dried up. It appears the same is happening now. What came next in 1989 was a big sell-off in September, followed by an even greater one in October.

Don’t look now, but history tends to repeat itself.

Also, consider the fundamental picture. We have rallied 48% from the March lows on the back of what? Good earnings? Good employment figures? Good spending figures? Expanding GDP? No.

We have rallied based on one of the largest and most concerted propaganda campaigns ever waged, supported by government stimulus. But no government can stimulate forever. The bottom line is this, if

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When you hear traders talk about the Greeks, they don’t mean Plato or Socrates.

They’re talking about the series of calculations that are used to determine the value of options. The calculations are designated by various letters of the Greek alphabet, from which they get their name.

On our agenda today is delta.

Best known as the fourth letter of the Greek alphabet (or seen in movies followed by the word “Force”), delta represents change. In options, that means the rate of change in the value of an option as related to the underlying instrument.

I know that seems like a mouthful, and it is, but bear with me and it’ll make a lot of sense shortly. (Plus you’ll sound like a genius among your friends.)

Every option, whether call or put, has a delta attached to it. Generally you can find this information on your broker’s Web site.

A call has a positive delta, and

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Bond bubble remerges… details behind the gov’s latest debt struggle… The slow demise of snail mail… USPS forecasts record losses… Customized drugs: Patrick Cox on a breakthrough set to revolutionize health care… Bill Jenkins with another sign the euro is overvalued… his price targets below…

Just when you thought the bond bubble was being saved for another day…

The government managed to auction $39 billion worth of 5-year debt yesterday… barely. Wednesday’s debt sale drew a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.92, the lowest investor demand since September 2008. Low demand forced Uncle Sam to jack up interest rates at the last minute in two separate bond auctions this week — yesterday’s sale and Tuesday’s $42 billion auction of 2-year notes.

So what’s an indebted government to do? Manipulate the market, of course. Bond yields have given back yesterday’s spike partly thanks to the Federal Reserve, which bought $3

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Deja vu all over again… are stocks just following the 2008 playbook?… Bill Jenkins shares his favorite global currency… Gold bugs beware: Gold chart forecasts a sell-off… Yet league of famous funds (and Chris Mayer) are buying up gold stocks… Plus, are we reading this right? A bank bails out the government?

We’re scanning markets of the world today and scratching our heads… haven’t we heard this before? There was a scare at the start of the year – banks were in trouble, the housing market was crashing and unemployment was rising. The S&P fell at a rate unseen in a long, long time. But then,a sucker’s rally! The worst was likely over, they said… stocks were oversold. The U.S. consumer, China and oil companies promised to lead us out of this mess. And of course, the current administration’s new multibillion stimulus

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The biggest financial reform of our generation… The 5 dives headfirst into Obama’s new plan… Stock market sell-off pauses… Wayne Burritt with the next short-term technical target… Dollar dips on new government reform… Chris Mayer on the near certainty of inflation… Paul Van Eden packs some sober advice on gold… Plus, feeling frustrated by the Fed’s free reign? A cause worth supporting, below…

Are we reading this right? The new president wants to give the Federal Reserve… more power?  The very body that’s easy credit policies over the past 15 years helped fulminate the largest speculative bubble in history… could soon oversee nearly every major company in the U.S.?

In a surprisingly brief (for Washington standards) 88-page plan released yesterday, President Obama revealed the first steps toward the biggest financial overhaul since post-Depression reform. We could fill the next five minutes with juicy bits from the plan,

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We’ve been musing on the fate of US debt for some time now. It’s no secret that we’re bearish on the fate of US Treasurys and the buck. (It’s no accident, dear reader, that your editor lives outside the US of A. We see the threat of inflation on the horizon, a dark and foreboding cloud, and we don’t like it one bit.) And the mixed signals from China and Russia on their Treasury holdings doesn’t make us sleep any easier at night.

As currencies expert Alex Merk of Merk Mutual Funds wrote recently, “Russian President Medvedev suggests the dollar is on its way out; Russian Finance minister Kudrin says there is no substitute for the dollar. The Chinese see a need to diversify out of the dollar; the Japanese say their trust in the dollar is unshakable.” What’s a poor investor to think?

Merk says Russia’s and China’s – along with

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After last week’s thumping at the hand of all its major counterparts, the dollar is looking to me like Charles Atlas’ 98-pound weakling from the old comic book ads. Sand is getting kicked in its face from every bully on the beach. Even the lowly yen, with its pacesetting negative GDP (a negative 250% of the United States), is kicking the dollar’s bootie.

When this rot began to be exposed, I often reported that things had been turned on their head in the currency world. Bad news for the U.S. economy became good news for the currency. Why?

Basically, risk aversion settled over the market. People and governments were fearful. And since currencies tend to be considered risky investments, investors avoided them. In short, the worse the news for the U.S. dollar was, the more money flowed into the it.

But you cannot, under any circumstances, run contrary to the law of supply

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