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The week ahead

Prieur du Plessis (November 14th, 2009) Writes:

The video clips below provide a handy summary of the reports expected on the economic, financial and corporate front around the globe during the week ahead.

US: Retail results, economy in focus Retailers including Home Depot and Target will report results and key economic data will include retail sales and industrial output. Meanwhile, nine speakers from the Federal Reserve will offer their views on the economy.

Europe: Air France-KLM report Airbus owner EADS reports quarterly results along with airline Air France-KLM. In the UK luxury-goods group Burberry will provide an update.

Asia: Obama tour, data in focus U.S. President Barack Obama will tour the region, making stops in Japan and China to start

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Roubini’s RGE: Global monetary policy outlook

Prieur du Plessis (November 12th, 2009) Writes:

The report below comes courtesy of Nouriel Roubini’s team of analysts at RGE, taking a look at some recent monetary policy trends in advanced economies. This content is excerpted from a longer piece, “Global Monetary Policy Review,” which includes in-depth analysis of when the world’s emerging markets might shift interest rate strategy. However, the longer piece is available only on a subscription basis.

Last week was a busy one for the Federal Reserve (Fed), the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE). Policymaking is tricky when different asset classes are sending very different signals about the economy. However, those different signals are themselves a byproduct of policy. In the US, bond markets are discounting a sluggish U-shaped recovery or even a double-dip recession, while risky markets are signaling a strong V-shaped recovery ahead. Which is right? While RGE leans towards the

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G-20 Heats Up…

Contrarian Profits (September 25th, 2009) Writes:

Dollar’s rally is cut short…Major problems for loans still exist…Yen rallies on exporter repatriation…Kiwi gets whacked! And Now… Today’s Pfennig!

Good day… And a Happy Friday to one and all! It’s still raining here in St. Louis this morning, but I won’t that get me down, as it is a Friday! G-20 has gotten a bit ugly, folks… Seems everyone just can’t seem to get along! Imagine that! 20 different countries, and now they want to be able to watch another country’s finances and comment on them! Oh, I can see that working out real well! NOT!

So… Yesterday, we had the dollar gaining back the ground that it had lost the previous day, but at the end of the day, we’re looking very much like the currencies hadn’t moved from morning to morning… And overnight, didn’t bring about much movement… So… When you get to the currency round-up below, you’ll

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Four Ways to Profit if Bernanke’s ‘Exit Strategy’ Backfires

Jason Simpkins (July 24th, 2009) Writes:

[Editor's Note: If it's inflation you're worried about - and commodities you want to invest in - there's no better place to look than the Global Resource Alert trading service, which ferrets out companies poised to profit from the so-called “Secular Bull Market” in commodities. If you’re new to the commodities-investing arena, and are uncertain about the landscape – or even if you’re an “old hand” at natural-resource stocks, but want some insights into the new profit plays and new players – consider hiring a guide: Money Morning Contributing EditorPeter Krauth, a recognized expert in metals, mining and energy stocks, who is also the editor of the Global Resource Alert. A former portfolio advisor, Krauth continues to work out of resource-rich Canada, which keeps him close to most of the companies he researches. Against the growing global financial malaise, Krauth says that commodities are among …

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Risk Returns… Slowly

Contrarian Profits (July 9th, 2009) Writes:

Currencies rebound…  G-8 has no fireworks…  Aussie / China and coal… Entitlements… And Now… Today’s Pfennig!

Good day… And a Tub Thumpin’ Thursday to you! I’m late, I’m late! I don’t believe I ever heard the alarm go off this morning! I overslept by more than an hour, and will still be here more than an hour before any sign of someone else! But! That puts me behind by more than an hour today… I’ve got to play catch-up! So, let’s get this Tub Thumpin’ Thursday going!

Well… Let’s see… G-8 never had the opportunity to shoot fireworks because China’s leader had to return home to deal with the street riots going on in his country. So… The call for a replacement for the dollar as the reserve currency will have to wait for another day! And, with that news, the dollar got to remain in the sunlight, and bask in the glory of being

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Faber and Greenspan: Shills for Fed Snake Oil

Adrian Ash (July 6th, 2009) Writes:

“Just how can the Fed credibly promise to be irresponsible…?”  Here’s a thought—that tiny handful of investors and analysts warning how Fed policy risks hyper-inflation are in fact doing the central bank’s work.

The Fed wants you to believe hyperinflation is looming. Or at least, it shouldwant that, if doubling its balance-sheet – purchasing and lending against investment junk – is going to work the wonders that modern central-bank theory says it can. And the Fed certainly wants you to believe it will stop at nothing to avoid deflation (”whatever means necessary” as the chairman put it back in 2002).

So anyone touting the hyperinflation risk in public is playing the shill, a decoy – seemingly unconnected – proclaiming the miracle powers of Dr.Ben Bernanke’s snake oil to CNBC anchors at every chance.

In fact, they’re doing the Fed’s work better than the Federal Reserve itself. Really.

“The major danger with a zero

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Does the Price of Gold Rise or Fall in a Deflation?

Adrian Ash (June 26th, 2009) Writes:

Deflation and the price of Gold. Give yourself an extra point for spotting the trick question. It’s already tripping up plenty of would-be answers. Because gold must fall during deflation, since it rose so much during the inflation of the 1970s – right? “Gold Prices, in real inflation-adjusted terms, unsurprisingly tended to increase during inflationary times,” nods one commentator, writing in London but posted at the strong>Business Times in Singapore. “Its purchasing power tended to sag during depressions and deflation.”

The source for this claim? Besides syllogism (”The ’70s gave us inflation and a gold bull market; ergo, the opposite must be bad for gold…”) it was apparently Roy Jastram’s The Golden Constant, that dry, dusty study of gold’s enduring stability across the very, very long run by the end of which we will all be deader than disco.

First published by Wiley in 1977, The Golden Constant has

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The Noose Tightens in Japan

Claus Vistesen (June 26th, 2009) Writes:

The latest piece of news of Japan does not make for happy reading I am afraid and although we have seen some tentative signs, as of late, of a stabilisation this has to be very preoccupying for Japanese policy makers. As Edward pointed out recently, the rise in consumer confidence and sentiment in general is masked by a strange absense of any kind of material pick up in real economic indicators and now we get the follow blow to the kidneys.

Japan’s consumer prices fell at a record pace in May, adding to the risk that deflation will become entrenched and hamper a rebound from the nation’s worst postwar recession. Prices excluding fresh food slid 1.1 percent from a year earlier after dropping 0.1 percent in the preceding two months, the statistics bureau said today in Tokyo. It was the sharpest decrease

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Stock Market News for June 16, 2009 – Market News

Zacks Market Commentaries (June 16th, 2009) Writes:

Asian markets extended losses Tuesday as commodities took a beating and worried investors looked for fresh signs of an economic recovery.  Japan's Nikkei 225 stock average declined 2.9%, its worst one-day percentage loss in more than two months, even as Bank of Japan noted that "Japan's economic conditions, after deteriorating significantly, have begun to stop worsening."  The bank left its overnight lending rate unchanged at 0.1%.  Hong Kong's Hang Seng dropped 1.8% and South Korea's Kospi fell 1%.  China's Shanghai Composite Index however outperformed regional markets and declined 0.5%.

Dollar prices were under pressure after Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, speaking at a summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, said the world needs new reserve currencies.  Wall Street futures point to a flat opening.  

On Monday, US stocks registered their worst slide in a month with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which ended last week in a positive territory

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By “Shopping” for Regulators, Private Equity Firms Have Discovered How to Buy Banks – Leaving Taxpayers With All the Risk

Shah Gilani -Money Morning (June 11th, 2009) Writes:

[Editor’s Note: Is it a new bull market, or just a bear-market rally that’s going to separate investors from the last of their cash? For the shrewdest investors, it may not matter. A new offerfrom Money Morning is a two-way win for investors: Noted commentator Peter D. Schiff’s new book – “Little Book of Bull Moves in a Bear Market” – shows investors how to profit no matter which way the market moves, while our monthly newsletter, The Money Map Report, provides ongoing analysis of the global financial markets and some of the best profit plays you’ll find anywhere – including such markets as Taiwan and China. To find out how to get both, check out our newest offer.

To read a related story on how the long-term dismantling of U.S. banking regulations set the stage for the …

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