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And Then There’s This…Monday, December 1st, 2008

Contrarian Profits (December 1st, 2008) Writes:

Pack a lunch and blow the froth off a cool one…as I’ve got three days of gold and silver market activities to talk about…and lots of fascinating reading as well.

Wednesday, November 26th

This was the last day for all parties to get their gold and silver contracts switched to the 2009 year…or they would have to stand for delivery on Friday. With the U.S. in holiday mode almost from the beginning of trading, the tiny rally at the Comex open was stepped on and never recovered. But it hardly mattered…as volume was virtually non-existent. Silver was the same. Call the day a big zero. However, the shares reacted otherwise. Even though gold was down ten bucks at the close of the equity markets, the HUI still managed a surprising 6% increase…the second day in a row that gold has been flat or down…and the HUI up. Hmmm!

Open interest on Tuesday showed

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Bank of America to Boost Stake in China’s No. 2 Bank

William Patalon (November 17th, 2008) Writes:
Bank of America Corp. (BAC) will almost double its stake in state-owned banking giant China Construction Bank Corp., and will control nearly 20% of China’s second-largest bank when the deal is finalized. The official announcement yesterday (Monday) ends months of speculation that the Charlotte, N.C.-based BofA would dump part of its three-year-old investment the Beijing-based bank to offset the effects of the global financial crisis. In an article on Saturday, Money Morning reported that the deal was close, though noting that the actual timing was unknown. Bank of America plans to be “a long-term and significant strategic investor in CCB,” the U.S. lender said in a statement. The shares to be acquired to carry a restriction, however: They can’t be sold before Aug. 29, 2011, unless the China bank provides special permission. According to Caijing– the influential China ...
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Bank of America (BAC) Seeks to Boost Stake in China Construction Bank (CCB)

Contrarian Profits (November 17th, 2008) Writes:

Bank of America Corp. (BAC) will likely boost its stake in state-owned banking giant China Construction Bank Corp., paying about 36 cents a share (2.46 yuan), or 1.2 times the Beijing-based lender’s book value, China’s Caijing magazine reported last Friday, citing unidentified sources.

No timetable or total dollar value for the deal was given. The magazine report was picked up by the Reuters wire service, and by other U.S. media outlets, such as Forbes.com.

To smooth the way for the share purchase by Bank of America, Central Huijin Investment Co. Ltd. - the investment arm of the People’s Bank of China that’s run by the Ministry of Finance - has asked China Construction Bank to audit its third quarter results using international accounting standards.

Caijing, an influential Chinese-language business-news publication, said it did not know how many shares that Bank of America intended to buy.

...
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Bank, bank of america corp, bank of china, Beijing, Caijing;, cent;, Central Huijin Investment Co. Ltd.;, China, China Biz Magazine;, China Construction Bank, China Construction Bank Corp;, China Investment Corp, China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange;, Chinese Government, CNY, Construction Bank;, contrarian profits, corporate and personal banking services;, corporate e-banking;, corporate-banking services;, deposit services;, Economics Magazine;, foreign-exchange services;, fund custody services;, Individual banking services;, long card services;, long-credit-card services;, Market Commentary, media outlets, Ministry of Finance, Morgan Stanley, Reuters, state-owned banking giant;, stock-brokerage services;, system reform finance;, The Blackstone Group LP, The Wall Street Journal, United States, USD, Wall Street Journal

Federal Reserve, Bank of China Cut Interest Rates as Financial Crisis Deepens

Money Morning (October 30th, 2008) Writes:
Federal Reserve policymakers yesterday (Wednesday) reduced the benchmark Federal Funds rate to 1.0%, an aggressive half-percentage-point cut that central bank Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s latest attempt to keep the widening financial crisis from tipping the world into a global recession. “The pace of economic activity appears to have slowed markedly, owing importantly to a decline in consumer expenditures,” the Fed said in a statement. “Business equipment spending and industrial production have weakened in recent months, and slowing economic activity in many foreign economies is damping the prospects for U.S. exports. “Moreover,” the statement added, “the intensification of financial market turmoil is likely to exert additional restraint on spending, partly by further reducing the ability of households and businesses to obtain credit.” The Fed also lowered its discount rate – the rate at which it lends directly to banks and Wall Street firms – ...

Why China Will Emerge Stronger from This Crisis

Contrarian Profits (October 20th, 2008) Writes:

China’s red-hot economy is officially slowing. Latest data put annual GDP growth at 9.0% in Q3, down from 10.1% in the previous quarter. Most analysts expect further economic easing and accelerated capital flight in Q4. But Jason Simpkins says a correction will actually benefit the Chinese economy, which has been running the risk of overheating. And ’slower’ growth of around 8% next year will still be the envy of the developed world.

This from Money Morning:

On the surface, it appears as though the Chinese economy is suffering along with the rest of the world. The economic crisis that has ensnared Western economies is expected to dampen Chinese exports and there is already evidence of capital flight.

But the real story is that China’s foreign exchange reserves – at $1.9 trillion – remain at an all-time high, and the

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A New Trading Theme

Contrarian Profits (October 9th, 2008) Writes:

Coordinated rate cuts...  Did the Fed reignite soaring inflation?  More pain in Iceland...  Revisiting the 90's in Japan... And Now... Today's Pfennig!

Fortis-Ping An Deal “May Collapse”, Bank of China Eyes AIG Unit

Biz China Update (October 1st, 2008) Writes:
Fortis-Ping An Deal May Collapse Fortis Bank said the EUR2.15 bn sale of 50 per cent of its asset management unit to China's insurance company Ping An may collapse due to the worsening credit crisis, Bloomberg reports. The European bank has been rescued by the governments of...

Foreign Bondholders - and not the U.S. Mortgage Market - Drove the Fannie/Freddie Bailout

William Patalon (September 11th, 2008) Writes:
For anyone who still doubted the growing global influence of such emerging powerhouses as China, consider this: The U.S. government’s decision to take control of foundering mortgage giants Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) was driven not by worries about the fading U.S. housing market, but by concerns that foreign central banks in China, Japan, Europe, the Middle East and Russia might stop buying our bonds. As the bailout announced Sunday is currently structured, more than $1.3 trillion worth of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac debt currently held by the central banks and other investors in those regions will be guaranteed by the U.S. government - even if one or both of the two government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) were to fail. That means that U.S. taxpayers - government parlance for you and me - will ultimately foot a ...

News You Can Use for Friday

Sean Brodrick (August 29th, 2008) Writes:

Oil Rises, Heads for Biggest Weekly Gain in Two Months as Storm Shuts Rigs Crude oil headed for its biggest weekly gain in almost two months and natural gas rose as producers evacuated rigs before the arrival of Gustav, forecast to be the largest hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico since Katrina.

U.S. Reviews Its Ties With Russia

The Bush administration, escalating its response to Russia's actions in Georgia, has placed under review talks with Moscow focused on missile defense and nuclear-weapons disarmament, according to U.S. officials. A delay would cast uncertainty over the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, or Start, a successor to Cold War era arms-reduction agreements that expires at the end of 2009. The treaty restricts the number of long-range nuclear weapons each side is allowed to have

XX Is this new cold war worrying you? Because it’s scaring the crap out of me.

Obama Pledges to

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India’s Reliability Provides a Razor Thin Edge Over China

Martin Hutchinson (August 11th, 2008) Writes:
By Martin Hutchinson Contributing Editor With sky-high growth potential, China and India are the two markets no investor can afford to miss out on. But that doesn’t mean they’re impervious to market turbulence, and in times of trouble, India is the more reliable investment. No doubt, both countries’ markets are suffering this year, with China’s Shanghai A Index down 50%, and India’s Sensex Index down 25%.  It’s no secret that India is struggling with both a growing budget deficit and mounting inflationary pressure. But China has problems too – it’s just hiding them under the carpet until the Olympics are over. That’s why, for me at least, the investment decision is clear – I’ll buy the country whose problems are out in the open and already reflected in stock prices. China’s Pending Credit Crunch China’s inflation has been quiescent recently. It declined from 8.7% ...

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