No video this week. We have guests and other dogs with us for the holiday.The chart is YTD for the Legg Mason Value Trust (LMVTX) versus the S&P 500.You know the fund for its very long streak of beating the S&P 500. A look at the stale holdings on Yahoo Finance shows that it makes what I think are big bets and sometimes big bets do not work out.It has United Healthcare (UNH) which has a 4.45% weight after a 41% drop. The fund is overweight financials versus SPX and it has zero in energy. Zero?This is a good example of how actively managed funds can be problematic. A contrarian might have guessed that after a long run of outperformance the fund would lag. That makes sense. But the issue that ...

Article Source Could well be, and yes you should. There is no question that we've been experiencing an episode of economic stagnation in which key indicators of output and employment are not growing at their usual historical rates. Some analysts take the position that this is all that really matters, and whether it meets the formal definition of a "recession" is a pointless question of semantics. In support of such a position, there are a number of economic models quite popular among academics today that would warrant just such a perspective, in that they presuppose linear dynamic systems in which a "recession" is indeed just an arbitrary definition you would make up to characterize a string of bad luck. I espoused the opposing view in a recent academic paper. I argued that recessions represent distinct and objectively identifiable episodes in which the usual dynamic factors that ...