The Working Capital Model (WCM) looks at investment performance differently, less emotionally, and without a whole lot of concern for short-term market value movements. Market value performance evaluation techniques are only used to analyze peak-to-peak market cycle movements over significant time periods.

Security market values are used for buy and sell decision-making. Working capital figures are used for asset allocation and diversification calculations. Portfolio working capital growth numbers are used to evaluate goal directed management decisions over shorter periods of time.

WCM tracking techniques help investors focus on long term growth producers like capital gains, dividends, and interest— the things that can keep the working capital line (see Part One) moving ever upward. The base income and cumulative realized capital gains lines are the most important WCM growth engines.

Please refer to the chart in Chapter 7 of The Brainwashing of the …

It matters not what lines, numbers, indices, or gurus you worship, you just can’t know for certain where the stock market is going or when it will change direction. Too much investor time and analytical effort is wasted trying to predict course corrections— even more is squandered comparing portfolio market values with a handful of unrelated indices and averages.

Annually, quarterly, even monthly, investors scrutinize their performance, formulate coulda’s and shoulda’s, and determine what new gimmick to try during the next evaluation period. My short-term performance vision is different. I see a bunch of Wall Street fat cats, ROTF-LOL, while investors beat themselves senseless over what to change, sell, buy, re-allocate, or adjust to make their portfolios behave better.

Why has performance evaluation become so important short-term? What happened to long-term planning toward specific personal goals? When did it become …

by John Keynes

There are ten asset classes that are regularly traded by global macro investors. Real estate, venture capital, equities, currencies, commodities, cash, bonds, collectibles, statistical arbitrage, and private equity. While a few of these are tough for individual investors to get into, the majority are easily accessible.

Cash is the first asset on the list. While technically a currency we look at it as more of a place of last resort. You earn a bit of interest on it but basically you only use it when you can find another place to put your money to work for a higher return.

Stocks are next. Stocks represent ownership in a company. When we look at stocks we look at them across the globe. That means domestic, foreign, and even emerging market stocks are included. Obviously we look at them different depending upon where they are located but they are still …

Now more than ever, you can appreciate the need for comprehensive investment education. All of a sudden, fifty percent of your nest egg has disappeared— and the bad news? There never was a plan for income generation. Ouch!

Dwelling on coulda’s, woulda’s, and shoulda’s isn’t going to rebuild your portfolio. Attempting to become proficient in the speculation of the month will do little to decrease the long-term pain. Casting blame on government regulators and Wall Street scam artists does little to grow retirement income.

There are at least three things you can do to protect yourself now, and throughout your more quickly approaching than you realize retirement years:

(1) Actively support income tax code replacement surgery, be it Flat Tax, Fair Tax, or a combination; (2) actively support a Social Security reform plan with smaller mandatory contributions, higher guaranteed benefits, and trustee managed income …

First, the good news: From June 2007 through September 2008 (i.e., during the credit crisis) Income CEF payouts per share were virtually unchanged. From June 2008 through September 2008, payouts rose slightly— 29 funds raised their payouts and 17 lowered them. Your portfolio spending money should be higher than it was a year ago.

Brokerage firm monthly statements are designed to promote either fear or greed, depending on the current market environment. Nowhere on your statement can you find numbers that report your net investment, your total working capital, or your true asset allocation. Current and projected income numbers are given little attention, and monthly withdrawals are treated like losses of principal.

Income portfolios are reported upon using the same format as growth portfolios, and too much analysis is required to determine if the income production is either safe or adequate …

The practical challenge when tax loss harvesting is maintaining a continuous asset class exposure at target levels without time gaps, while avoiding penalties under the IRS Wash Sale Rule (IRC Section 1091).

The problem with time gaps is that significant market moves can occur in the 30-day waiting period of the Wash Sale rule, which would prevent the portfolio from achieving the risk and return expectations on which the portfolio asset allocation was designed.

The solution to the problem is substitution. Immediately upon realizing a loss in one fund, open a position in an alternate fund that is similar to, but not “substantially identical” to, the fund on which the loss was realized.

After the waiting period of 30 days, close the substitute fund position and reopen the original position (assuming …

The practical challenge when tax loss harvesting is maintaining a continuous asset class exposure at target levels without time gaps, while avoiding penalties under the IRS Wash Sale Rule (IRC Section 1091).

The problem with time gaps is that significant market moves can occur in the 30-day waiting period of the Wash Sale rule, which would prevent the portfolio from achieving the risk and return expectations on which the portfolio asset allocation was designed.

The solution to the problem is substitution. Immediately upon realizing a loss in one fund, open a position in an alternate fund that is similar to, but not “substantially identical” to, the fund on which the loss was realized.

After the waiting period of 30 days, close the substitute fund position and reopen the original position (assuming the alternate fund is a second best choice). Or, if the substitute fund is equally attractive for

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At "A Dash" we let the big guys do the marketing research for us. Television ads for online brokers indicate that "leading investors" are thinking for themselves instead of relying upon help from their former investment advisors. Not wanting to be completely alone, however, investors want some help and comfort. The online firms have "licensed representatives" available to offer help 24/7. How is this working out? We are interested in learning more about the experiences of individual investors who have decided to direct their own investments. We are also interested in investment advisors whose clients direct all or a portion of their own accounts. The information is for our book research, would be quoted only with permission, and names withheld in any references. The names or email addresses will not be used for any commercial purpose beyond our research. Please submit via our email address, at the ...

One of the principal reasons for asset allocation is risk management. 

Market risk is generally defined as return fluctuation – volatility.  That is different than issue risk (the risk of owning a single stock or bond issue), which includes not only volatility, but also the risk of company bankruptcy or default on bonds.

While most investment professionals understand and take the risk reduction aspect of asset allocation for granted, that is not the case for all investment advisory clients.  We have been asked on more than one occasion, how we know that to be true, and for some evidence of that truth.

There are probably many ways to respond to that question, one of which is with a practical example with real market data.  We have created one such example for this article.

The image below shows the relative weekly return and weekly rate of change of six index investment funds representing six major

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