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Biggest S&P Est Increases – Analyst Blog

Dirk Van Dijk (August 11th, 2009) Writes:
When you invest in a stock, one of the best things you can see is analysts raising their expectations about what the company is going to earn for the current fiscal year. There are several ways of measuring this, but the following is a list of the companies with the biggest increases in their consensus earnings expectations for this year over the last month.

To make the list, a company had to have a current mean (average) estimate of over 50 cents, be a member of the S&P 500 and have at least three estimates for this year. The 50-cent restriction was put in to prevent small dollar changes that are huge percentage moves from dominating the list (going from a penny expected to a nickel). Having 3 or more estimates also helps insure it was not a fluke. The S&P 500 restriction was put in to make sure we

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MRO Beats on Strong Downstream – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (April 30th, 2009) Writes:
Highlights include Marathon Oil Corp. (MRO), Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM), ConocoPhillips (COP), BP plc (BP) and Apache Corp. (APA).Marathon's (MRO) first-quarter 2009 results came in better than expected on the back of improved downstream margins and lower costs. As has been the case with the other oil majors that have already reported, Exxon (XOM), ConocoPhillips (COP) and BP (BP), earnings and cash flow comparisons with the year-earlier period were ugly. We continue to like Marathon for its revitalized upstream business, top-tier Midwest-centered refining business, and very cheap valuation.Marathon's recurring EPS of $0.34 was down from $1.07 in the year-earlier period, with the contribution from increased oil and natural gas production and improved refining margins offset by lower realized commodity prices. The company reported production (available for sale) of 429,000 oil-equivalent barrels per day (BOE/d), inline with its ...

Natural Gas Prices Could Double as Energy Majors Scale Down Supplies

Contrarian Profits (March 17th, 2009) Writes:

After an unparalleled fall, natural gas prices could double by next year, as a growing number of idle rigs create a supply crunch.

Natural gas prices have tumbled by about 30% this year, as a steep drop in industrial consumption has undermined demand. However, many of the traders and hedge funds that placed speculative bets on the price decline are beginning to reverse course and bet on a price spike, as dwindling production is starting to outpace slumping demand.

Traders trimmed their net short positions on gas by 11% to 114,064 in the week ended March 10, the smallest since last July, Bloomberg News reported. Also, natural gas futures for delivery in January 2010 are trading at a 49% premium to the April contract, which means speculators are anticipating a price surge.

In its short-term energy outlook - released on March 10 - the Energy Information Administration said

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Investment advice for a wild market

James Hamilton (November 13th, 2008) Writes:

Your retirement nest egg might have lost 40% of its value since this summer and 10% the last 2 weeks. What should you do? Here's the advice I've been giving to friends who ask, as well as what I've been doing with my own portfolio.

First, let me begin by stating that I make no claim whatever to be able to predict whether stock prices will go up or down over the near term or when the market bottom might be reached. In part that humility is inspired by a large academic literature demonstrating that it's very hard to predict stock prices with formal statistical models.

The one element of predictability for which I do see some support in the academic literature is the claim that the price/dividend or price/earnings ratios do not wander too far from their long-run historical averages. The implication of that finding is that

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Oil to $50 … or $150?

Sean Brodrick (October 29th, 2008) Writes:
When people ask me if I think crude oil is going to $50 or $150, I nod sagely and say: “Yes, probably.” I’m not being flip. I’m simply giving both the short-term and the long-term timeframes. Short-term, crude oil is probably heading lower, even though it’s nearly 60% off its highs. The last chance to hold the line on oil prices was at OPEC’s emergency meeting. And the oil cartel choked like a cat on a hairball. They cut 1.5 million barrels per day of production when they needed to cut about 3 million barrels per day. The OPEC meeting was the last obstacle in the way of deflationary forces that are driving oil prices lower in the short-term. Long-term, there are forces that should drive oil much higher. And one of ...
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Check Yo Self Friday, Oil Stocks

Stockmasters Staff (October 24th, 2008) Writes:
ICE CUBE - CHECK YO SELFYet another 300 point loss on a Friday, TGIF indeed.  But at least gas is getting cheaper and with that the stocks that make up those wonderful oil companies.  Alas, time to check yo self. ...

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