One of the biggest fears today is that the US is entering a Japanese-like slump that could last a decade. But Justice Litle says we have learned the lessons from that crisis. This time, the government fears doing too little, but gives little thought about the risks of doing too much. And this is why we should be more scared of one day ending up like Zimbabwe…

This from Taipan Publishing Group:

The world is clearly afraid that “Great Depression 2.0” could be at hand. Downturns come and go, but the global economy as a whole hasn’t contracted since the 1930s. Some think it could happen again next year.

We hear less about it in the news, but there is another fear that keeps investors up at night – the off chance that America turns into Japan.

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Editor’s Note: This article has been excerpted from a free issue of Robert Prechter’s monthly market letter, The Elliott Wave Theorist.

The full 10-page market letter, Be One of the Few The Government Hasn’t Fooled, can be downloaded free from Elliott Wave International.

By Robert Prechter, CMT

“Who Will Benefit From The Housing Act?”

This question is an actual headline from a national daily paper. The real answer is: mortgage lending corporations, developers, real estate agents, speculators and politicians. The government is also pledging tax money to providers of “financial counseling” and grants for speculators who want to “buy and renovate foreclosed housing”; in other words, it will hand tax money to charlatans and unfunded wheeler-dealers. But a far better headline would have been, “Whom Will the Housing Act Hurt?” The answer to that question is: (1) prudent people, i.e. …

Obama’s election as president pleased many nations around the world. Amongst other things, it gives America a second chance to dramatically alter the way it is seen around the world. But by no means does that mean our negotiations with European nations will be sunshine, lollipops, and rainbows from now on. John Mauldin covered this, amongst other issues with Obama’s first hundred days, in a recent blog post. The Europeans will pose another critical problem, as they want a second Bretton Woods agreement. Some European states appear to desire a set of international regulations for the financial system. There are three problems with this. First, unless Obama wants to change course dramatically, the U.S. and European positions differ over the degree to which governments will regulate interbank transactions. The Europeans want much more intrusion than the Americans. They are far less ...

HIDDEN VALUE

Dear Value Seeker,

The good news is there is only one month left before the end of the year.

But that’s still plenty of time for the crisis that began in the subprime mortgage market to wreak more havoc in 2008.

Especially if today’s carnage is anything to go by.

The Dow has plunged over 400 points at the time of writing. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq have also been taken to the woodshed.

Oil is back below $50 a barrel. Gold has given up $50 to reach $770 an ounce.

Last week’s bailout-fueled optimism has given way to economic reality.

Today, the US manufacturing index slumped to its lowest level since 1982.

Retailers did manage to tempt bargain hunters out on Black Friday. But once the mega-discounted products had gone, so did much of the shoppers’ enthusiasm.

We’re reminded that the America’s recession is now a year old. The wonks

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China’s economic rescue programs could be devastating for American investors, says Manraaj Singh. The country is sitting on $2 trillion in US dollar reserves. And it will likely sell a large chunk of this to fund its domestic bailout.  Manraaj says this makes US dollar-denominated investments a ticking time bomb.

This from Fleet Street Invest:

The fools in Washington, Wall Street and in the City cheering on China’s spending binge are really missing the big question. Where exactly is all that money going to come from?

I’ll tell you. China will pay for its economic boost by destroying the US dollar. Let me explain… China is sitting on some $2 trillion in foreign currency reserves. Between 60 and 70% of that is invested in dollar assets like US Treasury bonds and government-backed companies.

All that cash has effectively subsidised American consumers. It has allowed them to live far beyond their means. But

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GM is essentially already bankrupt, says Horacio Marquez. And it has been for years. This clearly makes the company one to avoid for investors. But Horacio says there are still some ways for those with a big risk appetite to make big profits with the giant automaker.

This from Money Morning:

With America’s “Big Three” automakers all due to submit turnaround plans to Congress today (Tuesday) – a requirement if General Motor Corp. (NYSE:GM), Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:F), and Chrysler Corp., are to receive $25 billion in government loans – I couldn’t help but recall the moment eight years ago when I realized the U.S. auto industry was skidding toward a financial collapse.

I’ve been thinking about that market call of mine a lot of late, particularly after recently reading that JP Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) credit analysts had

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There isn’t much to say here either than I said on Friday we would have a week long holiday lower volume each day rally. That came and passed like clockwork. I had no clue the gains would be so huge in such a short amount of time but in this market you get used to anything and everything.

About the only thing that never changes the past few months has been the news. The news has been downright extremely negative and the negativity has reached a point that it is effecting me and might be having a negative impact in my trading.

I am not used to being a professional investor with a paid website. I am not used to having others be in my trades and see the same thing I see. Now many of you can see exactly what I see and I wonder if that is dangerous or

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Retail experts are predicting one of the most dismal holiday shopping seasons in decades this year – a crucial stretch that will set the stage for poor retail sales throughout 2009.

As the U.S. economy decelerates, pummeled by the aftershocks of the worldwide financial crisis, consumers have been hit from every direction: Unemployment has spiked, and will continue to rise, economy unwinds and continues to work through the aftershocks of the global credit crisis, consumers have been beset on all sides. Unemployment is up, home prices are down, and credit is hard to come by.

And although inflation is beginning to moderate somewhat – slowing to a pace of 3.7% year-over-year in October – it’s still well above the U.S. Federal Reserve’s desired target rate of 2.0%.

With rampant inflation no longer artificially propping up consumer spending figures, retail sales have really started to lose their

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U.S. stocks open slightly lower in thin holiday trade… Retailers fall on worry about weak “Black Friday” sales… Energy shares pressured as oil prices slip below $53

U.S. stocks slipped in thin holiday trade on Friday after a streak of gains as investors nervously eyed post-Thanksgiving sales to gauge how retailers will fare this holiday season, while worries about global demand hurt technology and energy shares.

Chevron (CVX) fell 1.9 percent tracking oil lower as OPEC gathered to discuss potential further supply cuts to combat falling demand. U.S. crude dropped below $53 a barrel.

Technology shares slid after signs of a downturn in global chip demand as STMicroelectronics cut its fourth-quarter outlook. Industry sources said Taiwan companies want to slash costs. The semiconductor index shed 1.1 percent.

The U.S. stock market was closed Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday and is trading for half the day

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America’s credit-based consumer economy is dead, says James Howard Kunstler. The government and its zombie banks are trying to preserve the status quo. But activities based on getting something-for-nothing will soon be replaced by those producing the things we need to survive. And in this economy, there will be enough work for everyone…

This from Whiskey & Gunpowder:

Though Citicorp (NYSE:C) is deemed too big to fail, it’s hardly reassuring to know that it’s been allowed to sink its fangs into the Mother Zombie that the U.S. Treasury has become and sucked out a multi-billion dollar dose of embalming fluid so it can go on pretending to be a bank for a while longer.

I employ this somewhat clunky metaphor to point out that the U.S. Government is no more solvent than the financial zombies it is keeping on walking-dead support. And so this serial mummery of weekend bailout schemes is as

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