What If Jeremy Grantham is Right?

by Alexander Green, Chief Investment Strategist

Jeremy Grantham, president of investment management firm GMO LLC, has been getting a lot of press lately.

At the market’s top, he warned of an impending bear market. At the bottom in March, he forecast a historic rally. Today, he says the market is 25% overvalued.

Should you be worried? Perhaps not.

Let’s start with Grantham’s track record. He’s made a couple of good calls lately. But does he get it right all the time? Of course not. No one does.

But even if he’s right, it wouldn’t necessarily be negative. It all depends on your time horizon. Here’s why…

How Long-Term Investors Can Benefit From A Bear Market

If you own stocks on margin, call options, or LEAP options, a market downturn could be devastating. A 50%

The Best Two Ways to Play Canada’s Economy, Currency And Natural Resources

Tony Daltorio, Investment U Research

A vast amount of natural resources. A love of hockey. A penchant for bacon. And liberal use of the word “eh.”

All are associated with Canada, of course. But America’s neighbor to the north boasts another fine trait: an efficiently run economy.

You see, although Canada borders the United States, it takes a completely different approach towards economic policy.

That showed strongly just recently when America stoked protectionist fears by slapping stiff duties on tire imports from China. Yet days later, Canada unveiled plans for a significant move in the opposite direction. Canada aims to abolish all remaining tariffs on imported machinery and equipment used by domestic manufacturers, saving Canadian manufacturers C$250-300 million a year.

And while the United States dithers over

CEOs: Put Your Money Where Your Mouth Is

by Robert Williams, Publisher

It’s well documented. Insider buying is a terrific way to gauge a stock’s investment appeal. (Investment legends, like Peter Lynch, have long sung the praises of insider buying.)

I mean, can you get a better vote of confidence from a CEO than one that’s willing to open his own checkbook for shares?

Probably not.

That being said, such buying alone should never warrant entry. Other factors are always “in play,” too.

For example, what warrants a “significant” buy on behalf of an insider? Well, with access to the right information, you can track the amount an insider antes up relative to his salary.

You’d also be interested in knowing whether the “buy” is merely an exercising of stock options, or a genuine purchase of shares.

My point

Harry Dent: Bold Predictions of the Great Depression Ahead

by Alexander Green, Chief Investment Strategist Monday, October 6, 2009: Issue #1108

As they said in the movie “Poltergeist”: “They’re baaa-aaack.”

Who’s back? Harry Dent, the self-styled “economic futurist,” who presumes to tell us about the great economic booms and busts that lie ahead.

How can he possibly know these things?

According to Dent, an analysis of the “highly predictable” nature of consumer spending based on demographic trends – increasing spending during child-rearing years, peak spending as the kids leave home and slower spending during late work and retirement – reveals what lies ahead for the economy and the stock market…

Harry Dent: Dow 44,000 & Other Flimsy Forecasts

Harry Dent is a man worth listening to. After all, he has a near perfect track record – as a contrary indicator…

For example:

London Calling: FTSE-100 Racks Up its Best Quarter in History

by Martin Denholm, Senior Editor Wednesday, October 1, 2009

As September concluded, so too did the third quarter of 2009.

And what a quarter it was for London’s FTSE-100 (^FTSE) stock market. In fact, it was the Index’s best three-month period in its 25-year history.

As global stock markets scoffed at the traditional “sell in May and go away” adage and sizzled throughout the summer, the “Footsie” notched up a 21% gain.

The positive vibes weren’t just restricted to Britain either. Stocks across Europe enjoyed a strong summer, with the FTSEurofirst 300 Index of top European shares posting its best quarter in 10 years, with a gain of 16%.

The question is: How long can the markets – both in the U.S. and overseas – walk the tightrope between bull and bear? As

America’s Smart Grid: Four Companies Set to Profit from a Federal Cash Injection

by David Fessler, Advisory Panelist

What do Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO), IBM (NYSE: IBM), AT&T (NYSE: T) and Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) all have in common?

The obvious answer is that they’re four of the most successful technology companies on the planet.

But they’re also heavily involved in the modernization plans for America’s “Smart Grid” – a topic I introduced in a previous column.

Make no mistake, with a decade-long project as monumental as modernizing the country’s “Smart Grid,” the devil is truly in the details. And the Commerce Department released the finer details of the initiative last week.

Until now, one of the big problems with the “Smart Grid” was the lack of set standards. Without them, each power company would be free to do

Five Ways To Profit From The Commodity Nobody Likes

Tony Daltorio, Investment U Research

Forget Superman… the real man of steel is Lakshmi Mittal, chairman of the world’s biggest steelmaker, Arcelor Mittal ADR (NYSE: MT).

Mittal has built an empire – and a personal fortune – by being optimistic when it comes to the global steel industry. And he still maintains that confidence today, recently going on record to say that global demand could rise by more than 10% in 2010.

Meanwhile, many of his peers in the industry sport trembling lower lips over their present and future.

Believe it or not, that ongoing debate matters to everybody, not just those investing directly in the commodity. Steel demand feeds into a huge range of sectors, so much so that many regard it as an important bellwether of industrial trends.

The Half-Empty, Steel Glass

Other than

What Corporate Insiders Are Telling Us

by Alexander Green, Chief Investment Strategist

Last week, Vickers Weekly Insider Report noted that corporate insiders are dumping shares like there’s no tomorrow.

Insiders sold 6.31 shares for every share they bought. Contrast that with the seemingly brilliant move insiders made at the market low in March, buying three shares for every share they sold.

Some analysts are saying there is only one interpretation to this recent turn in insider activity: The market is due for a spill.

But not so fast…

Do Corporate Insiders Really Have All the Answers?

Let’s start with an obvious fact: To a great extent, the future is always cloudy. Corporate insiders don’t know what the market is going to do any more than you or me.

For example, Vickers was already ringing the alarm back in July,

Peak Oil and Petrobras

Tony Daltorio, Investment U Research

Back on Wednesday, September 9, I wrote on how to profit from British Petroleum ADR (NYSE: BP)’s huge discovery in the Gulf of Mexico, and how to profit from peak oil.

And while I stand by the profitability of both that find and stock, I think I should clarify that “peak oil” really doesn’t exist anymore. So instead, let’s call it peak-cheap-and-easily-recoverable-oil instead, since that seems much more appropriate.

The days of cheap and accessible oil are long gone, but that very fact opens up rich opportunities for investors who face up to the realities of today’s oil market.

Possibly the biggest reality comes down to this: Giant oil fields are the industry’s lifeblood. Out of the world’s 70,000 oil fields, the largest twenty account for a quarter of global production.

That’s

How to Grab Significant Short-Term Profits From Technical Analysis

by Mark Skousen, Advisory Panelist

“The overwhelming majority of economic theories, market forecasts, trading strategies, investment systems, hot tips and sure-fire speculations never pan out.” ~ Alexander Green

In the August 14 Investment U issue, Alexander Green urged you to stick with the tried-and-true method of fundamental analysis.

He did so using this mantra: “There is only one thing that dictates where a stock will go: earnings.”

I agree that earnings are the ultimate determinant of stock prices in the long run. But that’s not the only way to gauge where a stock is headed next.

I firmly believe that technical analysis – volume, trading patterns and historical trends – can enhance your returns tremendously and can keep you out of trouble in many cases. Here’s why…

The Problem with a