Ultra Petroleum Impresses – Analyst Blog
Source: http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/26912/Ultra+Petroleum+Impresses+-+Analyst+BlogPosted on Thursday, November 5th, 2009 | In Investing Lessons, Stocks to Watch
Natural gas producer Ultra Petroleum Corporation’s (UPL) third quarter results came in better than expected, primarily due to increased production. Earnings per share, excluding non-cash mark-to-market charge, came in at 57 cents, topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 11.8%.
However, in line with other onshore natural gas-focused companies – Devon Energy Corp. (DVN), XTO Energy Inc. (XTO), Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (APC) and Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK) – earnings and revenue comparisons with the year-earlier period were quite weak, severely hampered by the slump in commodity prices. Ultra’s adjusted earnings per share fell 26.9% (from 78 cents to 57 cents), while operating revenues declined 47.9% to $155.2 million.
Record Quarterly Production
Production during the quarter increased 26.5% year over year and 3.2% sequentially to a record 45.9 billion cubic feet equivalent (Bcfe), reflecting the company’s successful drilling activities. Natural gas volumes jumper 26.9% year over year to 43.9 billion cubic feet (Bcf), while oil production increased 18.9% year over year to 341,485 barrels.
Realized Prices Down
Ultra Petroleum’s average realized price on natural gas declined 59.9% to $3.09 per thousand cubic feet (Mcf). Including commodity derivative gains/losses, average realized natural gas price for the quarter was $5.13 per Mcf, down 37.5% from the prior-year level. The average oil price for the quarter, at $57.47 per barrel, was 46.9% lower year over year.
Costs, Expenses & Margins
Lease operating expense rose 14.6% from the third quarter of 2008 to $9.7 million, mainly on the back of increased production volumes. During the quarter, the company reported all-in costs of $2.48 per Mcfe, down 22.0% from the same period in 2008. As a result of Ultra’s low cost structure, it was able to achieve a 71% cash flow margin and a 35% net income margin amid low natural gas prices.
Balance Sheet
As of Sept 30, 2009, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $13.0 million and long-term debt of $730 million, representing a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 57.0% versus 57.8% as on June 30, 2009.
Guidance
The company said that it expects full-year 2009 production to exceed the upper end of its previous outlook range of 172 – 177 Bcfe, implying an increase of at least 22% from 2008. Ultra further guided towards 15 – 20% per annum growth for 2010 and 2011.
Read the full analyst report on “UPL”
Read the full analyst report on “DVN”
Read the full analyst report on “XTO”
Read the full analyst report on “APC”
Read the full analyst report on “CHK”
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