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Earnings Preview for Sep 22 – 26 – Earnings Preview

Source: http://www.zacks.com/commentary/8644/Earnings+Preview+for+Sep+22+-+26+-+Earnings+Preview
Posted on Thursday, September 18th, 2008 | In Stocks to Watch
Contributed by: Charles Rotblut (http://www.zacks.com/) -

The big bailout will be a key focus of the markets.

Congress is expected to meet over the weekend to discuss legislation proposed by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson. The details of the proposal, and any additional measures designed to help homeowners struggling with mortgage payments, could impact market direction.

The temporary ban on short selling could also affect trading early in the week. Part of Friday’s rally was the result of quadruple witching. Traders are being forced to close short positions rather than roll them over into new contracts.

On the earnings front, we have confirmed reports from 33 companies. Included in this group are S&P 500 members Autozone (AZO), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), Discover Financial (DFS), Jabil Circuit (JBL), KB Home (KBH), Lennar (LEN), McCormick (MKC), Nike (NKE) and Paychex (PAYX). I expect only limited reaction to the homebuilders (KBH and LEN), because of the proposal under discussion.

The economic calendar includes two reports on August home sales, but is otherwise light.

  • Wednesday: August existing home sales, weekly crude inventories
  • Thursday: August durable goods orders, August new home sales, weekly initial jobless claims
  • Friday: Final September University of Michigan consumer confidence survey, final Q2 GDP

Bernanke has three scheduled appearances before Congress.

On Tuesday, he will discuss the financial markets before the Senate banking committee. The chairman will provide his economic outlook to the Joint Economic Committee on Wednesday. Finally, on Thursday, Bernanke will review the recent proposals and actions before the House financial services committee.


Companies That Could Issue Positive Earnings Surprises

AutoZone Inc. (AZO) has topped market expectations twice in the last three quarters. Ahead of the company’s fiscal fourth-quarter report, brokerage analysts have raised their forecasts. The consensus earnings estimate now calls for earnings of $3.90 per share, a penny higher than a week ago. The most accurate estimate is even more bullish at $3.92 per share. Autozone is scheduled to report on Monday, Sep 22, before the start of trading.

Companies That Could Issue Negative Earnings Surprises

H.B. Fuller (FUL) recently cut its profit forecast, citing high costs of raw materials. The chemical manufacturing company now expects third-quarter earnings of 35 cents per share, excluding a tax benefit. Brokerage analysts responded by lowering their forecasts to 35 cents per share from 48 cents per share. FUL has missed consensus earnings estimates in two consecutive quarters. H.B. Fuller will report on Tuesday, Sep 23, after the close of trading.

Charles Rotblut, CFA is the senior market analyst for Zacks.com. He can be reached at crotblut@zacks.com.


Surprise Trader can help you turn earnings surprises into quick profits. Learn how.


Earnings Calendar

Here is a list of companies that we have confirmed will report during the week of Sep 22 – 261.

Company Ticker Zacks Consensus Estimate Year Ago Actual Last Qtr Surprise Report Date Report Time
3Com Corp COMS $0.06 $0.02 50.0% 9/22/2008 AMC
Autozone Inc AZO $3.90 $3.23 3.1% 9/22/2008 BTO
Carmax Gp (Cc) KMX $0.11 $0.29 (31.8%) 9/22/2008 BTO
Factset Resh FDS $0.64 $0.58 3.2% 9/23/2008 BTO
Fuller(Hb) Co FUL $0.35 $0.46 (2.2%) 9/23/2008 AMC
Lennar Corp -A LEN ($0.53) ($3.25) (43.4%) 9/23/2008 BTO
Qualstar Corp QBAK ($0.03) $0.02 (200.0%) 9/23/2008 AMC
Worthington Ind WOR $0.58 $0.27 71.43% 9/23/2008 AMC
Bed Bath&Beyond BBBY $0.46 $0.55 11.1% 9/24/2008 AMC
Neogen Corp NEOG $0.23 $0.21 5.0% 9/24/2008 BTO
Nike Inc-B NKE $0.93 $0.92 1.0% 9/24/2008 AMC
Paychex Inc PAYX $0.41 $0.40 0.0% 9/24/2008 AMC
Red Hat Inc RHT $0.13 $0.09 (38.5%) 9/24/2008 AMC
Accenture Ltd ACN $0.67 $0.50 7.3% 9/25/2008 AMC
Analogic Corp ALOG $0.52 $0.60 1.9% 9/25/2008 BTO
Christopher&Bnk CBK $0.03 $0.09 23.1% 9/25/2008 AMC
Cra Intl Inc CRAI $0.89 $0.72 41.2% 9/25/2008 BTO
Diamond Foods DMND $0.13 $0.06 16.7% 9/25/2008 AMC
Discover Fin Sv DFS $0.35 $0.42 16.7% 9/25/2008 BTO
Mccormick & Co MKC $0.48 $0.45 0.0% 9/25/2008 BTO
Phc Inc-A PHC $0.03 $0.04 (75.0%) 9/25/2008 N/A
Research In Mot RIMM $0.87 $0.50 (1.2%) 9/25/2008 AMC
Rite Aid Corp RAD ($0.14) ($0.10) (122.2%) 9/25/2008 BTO
Smart Modular SMOD $0.04 $0.17 (16.7%) 9/25/2008 AMC
Spectrum Contrl SPEC $0.16 $0.22 (11.1%) 9/25/2008 AMC
Synnex Corp SNX $0.58 $0.46 7.7% 9/25/2008 AMC
Texas Inds TXI $0.85 $0.64 (31.0%) 9/25/2008 BTO
Tibco Software TIBX $0.06 $0.03 0.0% 9/25/2008 AMC
Vail Resorts MTN ($0.17) ($0.88) (8.2%) 9/25/2008 BTO
Amer Greetings AM $0.15 $0.16 (55.0%) 9/26/2008 BTO
Azz Inc AZZ $0.80 $0.66 51.8% 9/26/2008 BTO
Jabil Circuit JBL $0.25 $0.26 69.2% 9/26/2008 BTO
Kb Home KBH ($1.57) ($6.19) (258.7%) 9/26/2008 BTO
Solera Holdings SLH $0.29 $0.23 10.7% 8/27/2008 AMC
Sport Supply Gp RBI $0.15 ($0.03) 13.6% 8/27/2008 BTO
Sws Group Inc SWS $0.28 $0.25 33.3% 8/27/2008 AMC
Synovis Lif Tec SYNO $0.11 $0.10 11.1% 8/27/2008 BTO
Talbots Inc TLB ($0.33) ($0.25) 75.0% 8/27/2008 BTO
Tivo Inc TIVO ($0.02) ($0.11) 500.0% 8/27/2008 AMC
Valuevision Cla VVTV ($0.27) ($0.11) (28.1%) 8/27/2008 AMC
Xeta Tech Inc XETA $0.05 $0.04 0.0% 8/27/2008 AMC
Aruba Networks ARUN ($0.06) ($0.04) (16.7%) 8/28/2008 AMC
Ata Inc-Adr ATAI $0.06 $999.00 N/A 8/28/2008 N/A
China Fin Onlin JRJC $0.14 $0.08 25.0% 8/28/2008 AMC
Conns Inc CONN $0.38 $0.40 19.1% 8/28/2008 BTO
Credence Sys Cp CMOS ($0.05) $0.09 (25.0%) 8/28/2008 N/A
Del Monte Foods DLM ($0.05) $0.03 11.5% 8/28/2008 BTO
Delias Inc DLIA ($0.17) ($0.16) (62.5%) 8/28/2008 AMC
Dell Inc DELL $0.36 $0.34 11.8% 8/28/2008 AMC
Dollar Finl Cp DLLR $0.59 $0.48 (1.8%) 8/28/2008 AMC
Energy Conv Dev ENER $0.20 ($0.16) 725.0% 8/28/2008 BTO
Esterline Tech ESL $0.64 $0.61 9.1% 8/28/2008 AMC
Fleetwood Entrp FLE ($0.18) ($0.03) 46.2% 8/28/2008 BTO
Freds Inc FRED $0.10 $0.08 12.5% 8/28/2008 BTO
Genesco Inc GCO $0.04 $0.00 55.6% 8/28/2008 BTO
Jamba Inc JMBA $0.02 $0.04 (55.6%) 8/28/2008 AMC
Kirklands Inc KIRK ($0.12) ($0.29) 63.3% 8/28/2008 BTO
La Barge LB $0.27 $0.18 0.0% 8/28/2008 BTO
Layne Christens LAYN $0.62 $0.60 0.0% 8/28/2008 BTO
Magma Design LAVA $0.00 ($0.03) (11.1%) 8/28/2008 AMC
Marvell Tech Gp MRVL $0.13 ($0.04) 266.7% 8/28/2008 AMC
Micros Sys MCRS $0.33 $0.33 3.5% 8/28/2008 AMC
Net 1 Ueps Tech UEPS $0.38 $0.31 23.7% 8/28/2008 AMC
Netezza Corp NZ $0.03 ($0.19) 0.0% 8/28/2008 BTO
Novell Inc NOVL $0.03 $0.01 25.0% 8/28/2008 AMC
Omnivision Tech OVTI $0.16 $0.15 (15.0%) 8/28/2008 AMC
Petsmart Inc PETM $0.28 $0.36 3.2% 8/28/2008 AMC
Royal Bank Cda RY $1.05 $1.03 (32.0%) 8/28/2008 N/A
Sears Hldg Cp SHLD $0.36 $1.17 (394.4%) 8/28/2008 BTO
Sourceforge Inc LNUX ($0.01) $0.01 0.0% 8/28/2008 AMC
Telvent Git Sa TLVT $0.28 $0.19 19.4% 8/28/2008 BTO
Tiffany & Co TIF $0.55 $0.45 22.0% 8/28/2008 BTO
Toronto Dom Bnk TD $1.40 $1.18 (7.0%) 8/28/2008 BTO
Williams-Sonoma WSM $0.08 $0.24 400.0% 8/28/2008 N/A
Wind River Sys WIND $0.02 $0.05 144.4% 8/28/2008 AMC
Zale Corp New ZLC ($0.55) $0.00 2.33% 8/28/2008 N/A
Knightsbridge VLCCF $0.54 $0.42 (20.9%) 8/29/2008 N/A

BMO = Before The Market Open, AMC = After Market Close

1Some of the companies listed in the earnings calendar may not be in the Zacks Rank universe.

“MCM” Free Stock Analysis: Buy? Sell? Hold?
“KBH” Free Stock Analysis: Buy? Sell? Hold?
“LEN” Free Stock Analysis: Buy? Sell? Hold?
“NIKE” Free Stock Analysis: Buy? Sell? Hold?
“PAYX” Free Stock Analysis: Buy? Sell? Hold?
“JBL2″ Free Stock Analysis: Buy? Sell? Hold?
“AZO” Free Stock Analysis: Buy? Sell? Hold?
“HFL” Free Stock Analysis: Buy? Sell? Hold?
“BBUY” Free Stock Analysis: Buy? Sell? Hold?
“DFS3″ Free Stock Analysis: Buy? Sell? Hold?
Zacks Investment Research

Last 5 posts by Charles Rotblut





About Charles Rotblut (http://www.zacks.com/)
Charles Rotblut is the Vice President of Web Content for Zacks Investment Research and the Senior Market Analyst for Zacks.com. He oversees the editorial staff, manages the market-beating Focus List, Timely Buys and Top 10 portfolios, and plays an instrumental role in the development of new products.

In addition, Mr. Rotblut is spearheading the development of investment education products, including the recently released Zacks Method for Trading.

Mr. Rotblut is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has analyzed publicly traded and privately held companies. His experience includes working for INVESTools (an investment education company), Curian Capital (a money management firm) and McClure, Schumacher & Associates (a business valuation firm). Mr. Rotblut holds a journalism degree from the University of Kansas.

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