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Amgen Inc Up to Earnings

Source: http://fastswings.com/FastSwingscom/tabid/518/EntryID/953/Default.aspx
Posted on Tuesday, July 22nd, 2008 | In Market Commentary, Stocks to Watch
Contributed by: Steve Patterson (http://www.fastswings.com/) -

Amgen Inc Up to EarningsAmgen Inc (AMGN) is looking very attractive heading into earnings with the additional good news of Nplate being approved by the Food and Drug Administration on Wednesday or Thursday.

Strong Volume

Amgen Inc has been on a nice run since it broke out of a range on June 24th, moving from 45 to 55 in a month’s time. Over the past 10 days, Amgen’s daily volume has increased to an average of 12 million shares a day compared to a three month average volume of only 9 million shares a day. This additional 3 million shares a day in volume is a bullish sign coinciding with the increased price.

Options

The front month options for Amgen were also bullish today as investors were active in the 57.50 August Calls. With the stock price currently at $54.60, Calls at strike prices of 55 and 57.50 having strong demand demonstrates investor’s bullish bias in the near term for the stock.

NPlate

NPlate is a drug developed by Amgen to treat blood-clotting disorders that is set to receive FDA approval this week. 200,000 people in the United States are affected by the disease that NPlate treats. An outside panel recently recommended approving the drug and the FDA is expected to follow the panel’s suggestion and clear the drug for use. Not a huge market for a drug but the stock is still demonstrating strength going into the announcement.

Earnings

In addition to the NPlate approval, Amgen also announces their quarterly results on the 28th on July. Not only is Amgen on deck for an earnings release but the rest of the week is full on drug and biotechnology stocks reporting. As other companies report outstanding results as Biogen Idec did today, Amgen stock should continue to rally.

The Trade

Buying Amgen ahead of the NPlate approval and their earnings is appropriate. Waiting for a dip in the morning and avoiding buying after a bounce of over 3% during the day are good guidelines. Place a stop 7.5% below its current price to limit your risk in case of a down turn. Sell your position during the day on Monday the 28th prior to earnings as a negative surprise after the close could lead to a gap down in the morning following.

Last 5 posts by Steve Patterson





About Steve Patterson (http://www.fastswings.com/)

Steve Patterson is a trained software engineer with an engineering degree in computer science and a MBA from Capital University in Columbus, Ohio. He has been an active trader of stocks and options for the past 10 years with a focus and technology and large cap stocks. In addition, he is the editor and one of a number of writers on several web based publications that he owns and operates.

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