Amgen, Inc. (AMGN) – Bear of the Day
Source: http://www.zacks.com/commentary/10710/Amgen%2C+Inc.+%28AMGN%29+-+Bear+of+the+DayPosted on Monday, April 27th, 2009 | In Market Commentary, Stocks to Watch
Results over the past few quarters demonstrate the challenging environment for Amgen, Inc. (AMGN) specifically with its key products, Aranesp and Enbrel. Management believes that the first quarter represents a trough with respect to product sales.
We struggle to see what re-accelerates Amgen’s top-line in the second half of the year. Management’s revenue guidance of $14.4 to $14.8 billion looks high to us, and seems to include significant inventory stocking on key product and/or a big upfront licensing deal for denosumab. We are hesitant to model either.
Amgen should be able to meet its EPS target of between $4.55 and $4.75, but with the top-line most likely staying weak, we struggle to see how the stock moves higher. We are advising investors to exit the stock. Our target is $40.
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