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US Budget Deficit to GDP Ratio Biggest Since WW2

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ContrarianProfits/~3/jSGgBN1VJ5Y/17323
Posted on Friday, May 29th, 2009 | In Market Commentary
Contributed by: Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com) -

The ratio of the US budget deficit to GDP is at the highest it’s been at any point since World War II. Except there are no Nazis to fight. The only war going on is Team Obama’s war against capitalism.

Governments like to ‘stimulate’ the economy; it makes them feel like they’re doing something. They also, quite rightly, believe it will help them win elections. What they don’t like to think about is the long-term consequences of their actions.

Stimulating the economy is relatively easy. The Treasury borrows money and sets up a $700 billion slush fund for “too big to fail” corporations. It calls it the TARP and does what it likes with the money with little or no oversight. The Treasury then borrows more money and sets up a separate $787 billion slush fund – this time for Democratic Party pet projects. This gets spun as an “economic recovery package.” And the government does what it likes with the money.

When all this borrowing starts to cause trouble in the Treasury markets, the Fed steps in and starts to print money to buy surplus government bonds. It calls it “quantitative easing” or “credit easing.” But it’s really just plain old dollar printing. The Fed also buys junk securities from banks in return for more funny money.

The problem is all this stimulation sets the economy up for inflation. The government is happy because all the money it’s borrowed out of an empty pocket can be paid back on the cheap. Banks and borrowers are happy too: inflation makes it easier for debtors to pay back their loans.

Inflation is only a problem if you have dollar savings and investments in dollar-denominated assets. It makes every dollar you hold worth less. A lot of readers have been writing to us asking for practical advice on how to deal with inflation. That’s why in today’s Notes, we want to discuss four ways you can protect your savings from this menace.

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About Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com)

ContrarianProfits.com is a financial news and opinion website with a twist. As investment guru Rick Rule puts it, “You are either a contrarian or a victim.” In the financial world, most people are losers because they just don’t know what game they’re playing. They think they can just get “into the market” along with everyone else, do what everyone else does, and they will make money. Not likely. By the time you’ve paid commissions, spreads, fees, taxes – and suffered the consequences of inflation – you’ll be very lucky just to have as much money as you started with.

ContrarianProfits.com is a contrarian site, in the sense that we provide ideas, opinions and recommendations that often run counter to the mainstream financial press. We do this not just to be contrary, but because we’ve realized that Rick is right. You don’t make money by following the crowd; you make money by leading it.

Why is this so? Well, it’s obvious that if you do the same thing everyone else does you’ll get the same results everyone else gets. On average, and over the long run, real investment returns for the typical investor cannot exceed the rate of growth of the economy itself. Everybody can’t get richer faster than everybody else. Real economic growth in the US today averages about 3% per year; if you don’t make any mistakes, that’s about what you can expect. Few people may be satisfied with 3% per year, but most feel comfortable in the middle of the financial herd and are happy to take whatever that gets them. If you’re one of those people, you will probably not like our site. It will make you uncomfortable.

If, on the other hand, you’re willing to look at things a little differently, you’ll appreciate the views of many of our columnists, contributors and visionaries.

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