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Tug-of-war investing at Under Armour

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ContrarianProfits/~3/0ZeZFN7yySk/15203
Posted on Tuesday, March 24th, 2009 | In Market Commentary
Contributed by: Andrew Snyder (http://www.contrarianprofits.com) -

Under Armour (NYSE:UA) is under pressure from both sides. Analysts say it is going down, while emotional investors continue to fall in love. Somebody is going to lose.

Before the opening bell, I was chatting with my colleague, Laura Cadden. I told her of my dire outlook for Under Armour (NYSE:UA) and its overpriced and over-hyped product pipeline.

“You can’t say that,” she rebutted. “I love Under Armour.”

Because she is a Baltimore native – the home of Under Armour – it is easy to understand her affection for the company. But once I gave her a handful of figures and circled a few key spots on the stock’s chart, she tossed her emotions aside and agreed with my call.

That’s when it happened.

Shortly after sharing my opinion, in what I assumed was confidence, the news feed fires up and word hits the Street that Morgan Stanley downgraded Under Armour and cut its price target to just $12. The news comes just 24 hours after Caris made a similar announcement.

It was major blow, especially with shares closing yesterday at $18.73.

Tug-of-war investing

I came into the office this morning planning on recommending a short position on Under Armour to TFN Strategic Trader subscribers, but as soon as I read of today’s downgrade, I knew I was too late.

It would have been a perfect play as share price is down by more than 10%.

Just because I called off my plans for the day does not mean the opportunity is totally lost. Under Armour is a great company for trade-savvy investors. Its shares rise and fall in predictable patterns, creating multiple chances to rack up a hefty profits.

Read the full article here at TFN: Tug-of-war investing at Under Armour

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