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The IBM Gem

Posted on Friday, February 20th, 2009 | In Market Commentary
Contributed by: Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com) -

IBM (NYSE:IBM) is one of those companies that just seem to be into everything.

They aren’t just a technology production or consulting company. They actually have salt, seawater, and rock specialists on hand. They are also involved in financial management, and business consulting.

And over the years they expanded globally, increasing share prices and profits.

Then came the financial crisis which sucker punched IBM shareholders in the face, twice. The effect? Take a look below…

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Shares fell from nearly $130 to $70 – a 46% decline in a matter of only two months.

But since late November, IBM shares have been recovering and have even formed a nice little trading channel.

As you can see, this trading channel is still holding firm today. Interestingly enough, the 50-day moving average has also lined up with the bottom trading channel, forming a double-barreled support line.

Lastly, the Slow Stochastic indicator (at the bottom of the chart) is suggesting that shares are ripe for buying.

If IBM continues with this trend, buying shares today should be an easy way to make a little more than 10% in about two weeks flat.

Last 5 posts by Contrarian Profits





About Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com)

ContrarianProfits.com is a financial news and opinion website with a twist. As investment guru Rick Rule puts it, “You are either a contrarian or a victim.” In the financial world, most people are losers because they just don’t know what game they’re playing. They think they can just get “into the market” along with everyone else, do what everyone else does, and they will make money. Not likely. By the time you’ve paid commissions, spreads, fees, taxes – and suffered the consequences of inflation – you’ll be very lucky just to have as much money as you started with.

ContrarianProfits.com is a contrarian site, in the sense that we provide ideas, opinions and recommendations that often run counter to the mainstream financial press. We do this not just to be contrary, but because we’ve realized that Rick is right. You don’t make money by following the crowd; you make money by leading it.

Why is this so? Well, it’s obvious that if you do the same thing everyone else does you’ll get the same results everyone else gets. On average, and over the long run, real investment returns for the typical investor cannot exceed the rate of growth of the economy itself. Everybody can’t get richer faster than everybody else. Real economic growth in the US today averages about 3% per year; if you don’t make any mistakes, that’s about what you can expect. Few people may be satisfied with 3% per year, but most feel comfortable in the middle of the financial herd and are happy to take whatever that gets them. If you’re one of those people, you will probably not like our site. It will make you uncomfortable.

If, on the other hand, you’re willing to look at things a little differently, you’ll appreciate the views of many of our columnists, contributors and visionaries.

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