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Playboy’s (NYSE:PLA) Numbers Don’t Add Up to Much in Regard to the FriendFinder IPO

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ContrarianProfits/~3/M70ts8GKAa8/17512
Posted on Wednesday, June 3rd, 2009 | In Market Commentary
Contributed by: Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com) -

A comparison of Playboy Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE:PLA) and Marvel Entertainment, Inc. (NYSE:MVL) allows us to define the only proper strategy to trade the upcoming FriendFinder Networks IPO.

The times, they are a-changin’! These days, you could become 51% owner of Playboy Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE:PLA) for less than $50 million. I’m not sure what you’d do with half of Hef’s robe or half of his harem of nubile blondes. But it sure has a certain ring to it!

If you wanted to become half-owner of Marvel Entertainment, Inc. (NYSE:MVL), however, you’d have to shell out $1.35 billion! Comic books are now worth 27 times as much as the well-written articles and witty cartoons that I hear are the sales engine of Playboy magazine.

The interesting part of this is that the demographic both businesses used to appeal to are nearly identical: Adolescent and post-adolescent male virgins.

Only that Playboy’s original audience apparently has outgrown the franchise. While Marvel’s demographics steadfastly refuses to grow up.

Of course, it’s never too late to have a happy childhood.

But there’s a lesson in it regarding what’s shaping up to be the most titillating IPO this year: After dragging their feet for over a year, “adult” social networking company FriendFinder Networks—which absorbed Playboy’s competitor Penthouse a while ago—filed it’s Form S1 with the SEC
on May 18.

The company remains heavily loss-making as free networking and porn sites are eroding what’s left of its market share. Whatever fizz there will be in the actual offering will be media-generated.

The proposed ticker for this stock is NYSE:FFN, which unfortunately remains taken by an unrelated company, the initial amount of the offering (filed last December) was $460 million.

It looks like a prime candidate to shorting the day after the IPO is launched.

Source: Playboy’s (NYSE:PLA) Numbers Don’t Add Up to Much in Regard to the FriendFinder IPO

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About Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com)

ContrarianProfits.com is a financial news and opinion website with a twist. As investment guru Rick Rule puts it, “You are either a contrarian or a victim.” In the financial world, most people are losers because they just don’t know what game they’re playing. They think they can just get “into the market” along with everyone else, do what everyone else does, and they will make money. Not likely. By the time you’ve paid commissions, spreads, fees, taxes – and suffered the consequences of inflation – you’ll be very lucky just to have as much money as you started with.

ContrarianProfits.com is a contrarian site, in the sense that we provide ideas, opinions and recommendations that often run counter to the mainstream financial press. We do this not just to be contrary, but because we’ve realized that Rick is right. You don’t make money by following the crowd; you make money by leading it.

Why is this so? Well, it’s obvious that if you do the same thing everyone else does you’ll get the same results everyone else gets. On average, and over the long run, real investment returns for the typical investor cannot exceed the rate of growth of the economy itself. Everybody can’t get richer faster than everybody else. Real economic growth in the US today averages about 3% per year; if you don’t make any mistakes, that’s about what you can expect. Few people may be satisfied with 3% per year, but most feel comfortable in the middle of the financial herd and are happy to take whatever that gets them. If you’re one of those people, you will probably not like our site. It will make you uncomfortable.

If, on the other hand, you’re willing to look at things a little differently, you’ll appreciate the views of many of our columnists, contributors and visionaries.

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