Nothing Left for The Big Bad Wolf
Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/ContrarianProfits/~3/517733004/11858Posted on Tuesday, January 20th, 2009 | In Market Commentary
The only reports on the calendar this week are housing related, and it got me thinking: what’s left? Pretty much nothing. As the fairy tale goes, the big bad wolf doesn’t even need to huff and puff; the house has already been blown down.
Foreclosures jumped 81 percent nationwide last year. That’s 3.2 million homes.
In December alone, foreclosures jumped 41 percent versus the December 2007 reading.
The readings for the reports this week anticipate further drops in both December Building Permits and Housing Starts. The only question is by how much. Last month, expectations for both reports were off by at least 10 percent. This month is expected to be nearly identical to last month for Building Permits, and a drop of about 15k units in the Housing Starts report.
Try as I might, I can’t see either of these reports coming close to expectations. I don’t think a slowdown of 75k units on each is unrealistic. The housing market is just in terrible shape. Excess inventory is growing, not shrinking. A reading of 550k or even less on both reports is reasonable. I guess we will find out Thursday.

Earnings:
Tues: BAC, CSX, IBM, JNJ,
Wed: ABT, AAPL, EBAY, USB, UTX
Thur: BAX, GOOG, MSFT
Fri: GE, HOG,
Source: Nothing Left for The Big Bad Wolf
Last 5 posts by Christian Hill
- Don’t Believe What You Hear About a Housing Recovery - August 5th, 2009
- Inflation May Show It’s Ugly Head, Big Week for Bank Earnings - July 13th, 2009
- Don’t Be Afraid To Take The LEAP - July 8th, 2009
- Take Advantage of the Growing Demand for Composite Materials - June 17th, 2009
- The Ethanol Fraud - June 3rd, 2009
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