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News Team!

Source: http://randomroger.blogspot.com/2008/10/news-team.html
Posted on Tuesday, October 7th, 2008 | In Market Commentary
Contributed by: Roger Nusbaum (http://randomroger.blogspot.com) -

I was quite public about my sale of Bank of America (BAC) in the low $29’s because of my lack of faith in the merger with Merrill Lynch.

I was “right” for a minute or two, then I was “wrong” when they banned short selling and now “right” again because of the earnings, dividend cut and capital raising.

Well, no, that is completely bogus. The timing clearly turned out to be unlucky. When you sell something that thing will either go up or go down after your sale.

In the video over the weekend I conceded the timing was poor (which it was) but if you couldn’t tell I wasn’t too worked up. I sold for a fundamental reason; lack of faith in the merger. That could be wrong, the merger might work very well but I will not be right or wrong for months.

When something needs to be sold, regardless of the reason (fundamental, rebalance, profit taking, panic) sell it but it doesn’t make sense to get too happy when a sale is right or too upset when a sale is wrong because you will have some of both.

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About Roger Nusbaum (http://randomroger.blogspot.com)
Roger Nusbaum is a portfolio manager with Your Source Financial of Phoenix, and the author of Random Roger's Big Picture Blog, which has been profiled in several top business publications, including Barron's and Forbes. Nusbaum has also been a financial consultant with Morgan Stanley, an investment counselor with Fisher Investments and an institutional equities and options trader with Charles Schwab. He holds a bachelor's degree in economics from San Diego State University

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