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Investment News Briefs Friday, May 22, 2009

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ContrarianProfits/~3/u_FDEzJmbhA/17029
Posted on Friday, May 22nd, 2009 | In Market Commentary
Contributed by: Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com) -

BofA Fast Tracks TARP Payback; Brazil Unemployment Reverses in April; Taiwan GDP Falls 10.24%; Emirates Airline Posts 80% Profit Nosedive; Dollar Swoons Against Euro, Yen; GM and UAW Reach Tentative Accord; Leading Indicators Surge to 4-Year High; Copper Slumps on Poor Sentiment

  • Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) intends to pay back $45 billion in loans it borrowed from the U.S. government through the Trouble Assets Relief Program (TARP) by the end of the year, The Financial Times reported. And it intends to do so by accelerating its program to raise capital. Sources told the FT that BofA is on track to raise more than $35 billion by the end of September.
  • Brazil’s unemployment rate fell to 8.9% in April from 9.3% in March, Bloomberg reported. “The labor market stopped getting worse, that’s definitively good news,” Julio Gomes de Almeida, a consultant at the Brazilian Research Institute for Industry Development, told Bloomberg.
  • Taiwan’s economy shrank a record 10.24% in the first quarter, as a result of slowing exports and a lack of private investment. Taiwan’s statistics agency cut its full-year growth forecast but also believes the worst is over.  “I think we have more or less seen the bottom for Taiwan’s GDP, in terms of dollar value, in the first quarter. We will start seeing improvement in the second, third and fourth quarters this year,” chief statistician Shih Su-mei told a news conference, Reuters reported.
  • Emirates airline posted an 80% drop in full-year profit, and gave a grim short-term assessment. “As we move into the new financial year, the outlook is not improving,” Chairman Ahmed bin Saeed al-Maktoum said in the statement, Bloomberg reported. “Although fuel prices are dropping, demand for business and first-class traffic is still weak in many markets.”
  • The dollar fell to its lowest levels against the euro since January and dropped versus the yen yesterday (Thursday) as Treasuries fell and gold prices increased. The spread between yields on 10-year notes and Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), reflecting the outlook among traders for consumer prices, reached 1.73%, the highest level since September, raising inflation fears as the U.S. budget deficit widens, Bloomberg reported.
  • Workers will hold a ratification vote on an agreement reached by General Motors Corp (NYSE: GM) and the United Auto Workers (UAW) union leadership on contract changes and restructuring $20 billion in debt owed to a trust fund for retiree healthcare, Reuters reported.  Details of the tentative agreement are being withheld until GM workers are briefed on the proposed new contract, which was reached after a round of talks involving representatives of the U.S. Treasury, the union said in a statement.
  • The Conference Board’s index of U.S. leading economic indicators rose 1% in April, more than forecast. A separate report showed manufacturing in the Philadelphia area shrank in May at the slowest pace in eight months, signaling the deepest recession in 50 years could end later this year, Bloomberg reported. The leading indicators gauge registered its biggest gain since November 2005, the Conference Board said today. The index points to the direction of the economy over the next three to six months.

Source: Investment News Briefs Friday, May 22, 2009

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About Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com)

ContrarianProfits.com is a financial news and opinion website with a twist. As investment guru Rick Rule puts it, “You are either a contrarian or a victim.” In the financial world, most people are losers because they just don’t know what game they’re playing. They think they can just get “into the market” along with everyone else, do what everyone else does, and they will make money. Not likely. By the time you’ve paid commissions, spreads, fees, taxes – and suffered the consequences of inflation – you’ll be very lucky just to have as much money as you started with.

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Why is this so? Well, it’s obvious that if you do the same thing everyone else does you’ll get the same results everyone else gets. On average, and over the long run, real investment returns for the typical investor cannot exceed the rate of growth of the economy itself. Everybody can’t get richer faster than everybody else. Real economic growth in the US today averages about 3% per year; if you don’t make any mistakes, that’s about what you can expect. Few people may be satisfied with 3% per year, but most feel comfortable in the middle of the financial herd and are happy to take whatever that gets them. If you’re one of those people, you will probably not like our site. It will make you uncomfortable.

If, on the other hand, you’re willing to look at things a little differently, you’ll appreciate the views of many of our columnists, contributors and visionaries.

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