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Invest Like Buffett: Dump Moody’s and Snatch Up These 11 Stocks

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ContrarianProfits/~3/OMvCoW7YH_4/19436
Posted on Friday, July 24th, 2009 | In Market Commentary
Contributed by: Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com) -

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc (NYSE:BRK.A) is finally starting to offload its 20% stake in ratings agency Moody’s Corporation (NYSE.MCO).

Here are listed sales in the filing, courtesy of 24/7WallStreet.com:

· 7/20/09… 1,817,000 at $28.7269 average in open market sale.

· 7/21/09… 3,915,100 at $26.9188 average in open market sale.

· 7/22/09… 2,254,200 at $26.6425 average in open market sale.

What took Buffett so long to start selling Moody’s? We have no idea. Moody’s runs one of the biggest scams on Wall Street. It charges the companies whose securities it rates (just like Standard & Poor’s and Fitch also do).

So what do you think these ratings agencies did when presented with a whole load of junk mortgage-backed securities to rate? They assigned them investment grade status and pocketed the cash.

If these ratings agencies had instead acted honestly and responsibly (rather than pimping themselves out to the highest bidder) the whole subprime debacle and the ensuing credit crisis could have been avoided.

Buffett isn’t the only investment whizz who thinks Moody’s is heading for trouble. Hedge-fund legend David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital is selling Moody’s short.

Yesterday, Moody’s shares tumbled almost 4% on the news that the Buffett had began to unwind his position in the company. We’d like to see Moody’s go out of business. But that’s maybe wishful thinking. Make sure you don’t own any shares in Moody’s. And if you’re feeling speculative, consider going short Moody’s along with Einhorn.

One of the easiest ways of deciding what stocks you should own is by “standing on the shoulders of giants.” We’re no geniuses here at Notes. But at least we are smart enough to recognize it. And that’s why we track what people far smarter than us are doing with their money.

As of the end of the first quarter this year, this is how Warren Buffett’s holdings (via Berkshire Hathaway, his investment vehicle) looked like:

1. American Express Co. (NYSE:AXP) over 151.6 million shares, same as before.

2. Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:BAC) 5 million shares; same as last quarter.

3. Burlington Northern Santa Fe (NYSE:BNI) 76.77 million shares; HIGHER than 70.089 million shares of last quarter.

4. Carmax Inc. (NYSE:KMX) 12 million shares; LOWER than the 17.63 million and that is two straight quarters of declines.

5. Coca Cola (NYSE:KO) right at 200 million shares, still same as before.

6. Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) 12 million shares, same as before.

7. Comdisco Holdings (NASDAQ:CDCO) roughly 1.5 million shares, same as before.

8. ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) is really lower than the 71.228 million shares reported as this has been used for cutting taxes, and we already know that the number is lower than what the filing says.

9. Constellation Energy Group (NYSE:CEG) was just updated this week so the number is actually about 12.4 million rather than what the filing shows as being 14.828 million shares.

10. Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ:COST) 5.254 million shares, same as before.

11. Eaton Corp. (NYSE:ETN) 3.2 million shares; looks like new holding but may have been missed before.

There’s a lot of talk these days about how Buffett has lost his touch. This may be so. But the guy remains the world’s most successful investor. If you have a medium- to long-term investment horizon, you could do a lot worse than consider following Buffett into some of these long positions. If you think you can outsmart the guy, go ahead. But we know who our money would be with…

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About Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com)

ContrarianProfits.com is a financial news and opinion website with a twist. As investment guru Rick Rule puts it, “You are either a contrarian or a victim.” In the financial world, most people are losers because they just don’t know what game they’re playing. They think they can just get “into the market” along with everyone else, do what everyone else does, and they will make money. Not likely. By the time you’ve paid commissions, spreads, fees, taxes – and suffered the consequences of inflation – you’ll be very lucky just to have as much money as you started with.

ContrarianProfits.com is a contrarian site, in the sense that we provide ideas, opinions and recommendations that often run counter to the mainstream financial press. We do this not just to be contrary, but because we’ve realized that Rick is right. You don’t make money by following the crowd; you make money by leading it.

Why is this so? Well, it’s obvious that if you do the same thing everyone else does you’ll get the same results everyone else gets. On average, and over the long run, real investment returns for the typical investor cannot exceed the rate of growth of the economy itself. Everybody can’t get richer faster than everybody else. Real economic growth in the US today averages about 3% per year; if you don’t make any mistakes, that’s about what you can expect. Few people may be satisfied with 3% per year, but most feel comfortable in the middle of the financial herd and are happy to take whatever that gets them. If you’re one of those people, you will probably not like our site. It will make you uncomfortable.

If, on the other hand, you’re willing to look at things a little differently, you’ll appreciate the views of many of our columnists, contributors and visionaries.

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