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Help for the Dollar From an Unexpected Source

Posted on Monday, August 13th, 2007 | In Market Commentary
Contributed by: Richard Shaw (http://www.QVMgroup.com) -

It’s a long way from the world of our childhood to read today that China is attempting to reassure the world about its confidence in the U.S. Dollar, but that’s where we are today.

The Dollar hasn’t done that well recently.  Fears of trade surplus countries, such as China and OPEC nations, diversifying their currency reserves away from the Dollar into other major currencies, such as the Euro and the Yen, have not helped.

In the midst of the general market panic of the last week or two, China’s central bank apparently felt the need to help stabilize the situation.

We doubt there was any sympathy or charity in their announcement, but concerning their $1.3 trillion in currency reserves, they said that the U.S. Dollar has “major role” to play.

That is far from a commitment not to diversify away from the Dollar, but it will probably diminish one of the factors spooking the markets recently.

The anonymous central bank figure, according to the official Xinhua news service, said that China’s priorities for its foreign-currency reserves were safety, liquidity and investment returns, in that order.

For a variety of reasons, including nationalistic ones, we would have preferred that it was the U.S. assuring the world about the Yuan, but in today’s difficult market, we are happy to see any calming announcements that China would like to contribute to the market’s mindset.

The China announcement may show up in some price action during the week of August 13 in the Currency Shares ETFs, such as the Euro tracker (FXE),  or in the Powershares Dollar Bearish (UDN) or Dollar Bullish (UUP) ETFs.

Last 5 posts by Richard Shaw





About Richard Shaw (http://www.QVMgroup.com)
Richard is a principal of QVM Group LLC, a fee-based investment advisor based in Connecticut with clients across the country. He provides investment coaching to "do-it-yourself" investors, and manages portfolios for those who prefer not to make their own decisions.

His investment approach is based on value, asset allocation, benchmarking, expense control, risk management, customizing portfolios to each client's specific circumstances, and regular communication about strategy and performance.

The QVM Group team also provides municipal refinance services, strategic business planning and financial analysis service for new ventures, private acquisition analysis, and custom investment research.

Richard's extensive experience, includes serving on the Board of Directors of Aberdeen Asset Management PLC (London Stock Exchange: ADN), membership on the Board of Directors of Phoenix Investment Counsel (renamed Virtus Investment Advisors), a U.S. pension manager and investment advisor to the Phoenix Funds (renamed Virtus Funds), as well as serving as Managing Director of a series of offshore investment funds based in Luxembourg. He has led institutional asset management sales and had overall responsibility for management of a U.S. mutual funds broker-dealer.

He was a charter investor and member of the Board of Directors of several internet companies, including Lending Tree prior to its IPO. He is a graduate of Dartmouth College.

QVM Group LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor.

Visit the QVM Group website http://www.qvmgroup.com/QVMinvest/

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