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Gold, Silver Hit 7-week Highs on Weak Dollar

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ContrarianProfits/~3/ZbmKjLGKwXM/19629
Posted on Monday, August 3rd, 2009 | In Market Commentary
Contributed by: Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com) -

Gold and silver prices climbed to their highest in seven weeks on Monday, as the dollar’s slide to its lowest since mid-December boosted interest in hard assets.

Spot gold hit an intra-day high of $961.00 an ounce, its highest since June 11, and was bid at $959.10 an ounce at 1329 GMT, against $953.90 an ounce late in New York on Friday.

U.S. gold futures for August delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange rose $5.70 to $959.40 an ounce.

“At the moment we’re seeing the dollar as the key factor to movements in the gold market,” said Eugen Weinberg, senior analyst at Commerzbank.

“In the past few months (gold) has gone from being a safe haven to becoming a dollar play. The dollar right now is so weak because no one is looking for a safe haven — because corporate results are so good and stock markets are performing so well.”

Silver was at $14.40 an ounce against $13.89, earlier it touched a high of $14.47, the highest since mid-June.

“Silver tracks gold in both directions,” Weinberg said.

The dollar hit a 2009 low versus a basket of currencies, stung by buoyant risk demand. The dollar index <.DXY>, a gauge of the U.S. currency’s performance against six other major currencies, fell to its lowest since December.

Appetite for risk was boosted by rising stock markets. European shares hit a nine-month high, as financials advanced after earnings results from Europe’s biggest bank HSBC cheered investor sentiment.

Rising equity markets also boosted interest in oil, with prices hitting a one-month high. Stronger crude prices support interest in gold as a hedge against oil-led inflation.

SILVER INFLOWS

Silver took further support from fresh inflows into exchange-traded funds last week.

The largest silver ETF, the iShares Silver Trust, said its holdings rose to a record 8,828 tonnes on Friday, while Switzerland’s Zurich Cantonal Bank said its silver holdings rose 1.929 million ounces last week.

Investment demand for gold and jewellery buying remain lacklustre, however. Holdings of the largest gold ETF, the SPDR Gold Trust , fell nearly 50 tonnes in July.

ETFs issue securities backed by physical commodities, and constituted a big source of gold demand in the first quarter.

Jewellery demand was also weak as Indian consumption softened on the back of higher prices. “Traders are waiting for lower prices,” said one dealer.

Among other precious metals, platinum was at $1,218.50 an ounce against $1,207.50, while palladium was at $267.50 against $261.50. Platinum traders are awaiting U.S. car sales data due later in the day for direction.

Government measures to boost demand for new cars supported European car sales in July, data showed, with French sales rising 3.1 percent, helping to lift both platinum and palladium which are chiefly used in automobile production.

“We view the development in vehicle sales as a positive signal,” Standard Bank said in a note. “We view this as a bullish signal for platinum, palladium, aluminium demand.”

In Japan industry-wide auto sales fell 5.2 percent in July from a year earlier.

LONDON, Aug 3 (Reuters)

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