Gold Leads Precious Metals Slide on Firmer Dollar
Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/ContrarianProfits/~3/503764714/10863Posted on Monday, January 5th, 2009 | In Market Commentary
Dollar rises to 3-week high vs euro on stimulus hopes… Oil prices fail to hold gains above $48 a barrel… Abu Dhabi Dec gold sales fall 40 pct month on month.
Gold slid more than 3 percent in Europe on Monday as the strengthening dollar knocked the metal’s appeal as a currency hedge, and oil prices retreated from highs.
Other precious metals tumbled in gold’s wake, with silver falling 8 percent, platinum 3 percent and palladium 6 percent.
Spot gold was quoted at $851.65/853.65 an ounce at 1445 GMT, down from $873.20 an ounce late in New York on Friday, having touched a session low of $843.50.
U.S. gold futures for February delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange were down $26.60 at $852.90 an ounce, having earlier touched a low of $843.50.
“The dollar is the critical factor today,” said BNP Paribas analyst Michael Widmer.
The U.S. currency extended gains against the euro to a fresh three-week high on Monday on hopes U.S. President-elect Barack Obama will unveil fresh measures to boost the economy.
Obama is due to meet House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid later in the session to discuss their legislative agendas.
Obama officials have been discussing an economic stimulus bill in the range of $675 billion to $775 billion.
The euro has also been battered by poor Italian and Spanish inflation data and tax cuts in Germany, which are expected to add pressure on the European Central Bank to cut interest rates soon.
“Gold’s move in the last couple of days is almost entirely due to the strength of the dollar,” said UBS commodity strategist John Reade. “The number one, front centre driver of the dollar gold price is where euro-dollar is going.”
The euro-dollar exchange rate “moved sharply higher in December and has come off in the first couple of trading days of this year,” he added. “It has dragged gold with it.”
The precious metal had found good support in early trade as oil prices rose nearly 3 percent after an Iranian military commander called for an oil boycott over Israel’s offensive in the Gaza Strip.
However, it has slipped as oil gave up those gains.
Gold usually moves in line with oil prices, both because firmer crude boosts interest in the precious metal as a hedge against oil-led inflation and increases the appeal of commodities as an asset class.
JEWELERY BUYING SOFT
Demand for gold jewelery has been hit by the higher prices. Sales in Abu Dhabi fell 40 percent in December from a month before, the emirate’s industry group said.
Gold buying in India, the world’s largest market for the precious metal, has been crimped by higher prices, traders said.
“People would want to buy if prices fall below 12,500 rupees,” said Mayank Khemka, managing director of Delhi-based Khemka International. Prices are currently around 13,500 rupees.
Among other precious metals, silver slipped in line with gold to a low of $10.54, before recovering to $10.86/10.94 an ounce from $11.52 late on Friday.
Platinum and palladium also fell, with both metals suffering from expectations demand from car makers will continue to fall.
France and Japan posted steep falls in December car sales on Monday, while U.S. auto sales numbers are due later in the session.
Automakers are responsible for around 50 percent of global platinum and palladium demand.
Platinum eased to $925.50/935.50 an ounce from $944, while palladium dipped to $182/187 an ounce from $190.
LONDON, Jan 5 (Reuters)
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