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Confidence Is Key

Source: http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/ContrarianProfits/~3/402834672/5708
Posted on Thursday, September 25th, 2008 | In Market Commentary
Contributed by: Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com) -

Oxford Club investment director Alexander Green says government intervention to shore up money markets should ensure your cash is safe… for now. But this doesn’t mean the financial crisis is over. Confidence has been severely damaged, and the healing process is only just beginning…

This from Investment U

Yes, the U.S. government is protecting the money in your money market account – for now. And the FDIC and SIPC are protecting your other cash.

But for a few days last week, the financial markets were coming apart at the seams. The Federal government rushed out a bailout plan (details pending) and suddenly the stock market shouted Hallelujah!

But don’t uncork the good champagne just yet. I believe the worst is behind us for now. But this financial crisis isn’t over.

Confidence has been badly scarred. Investors have gazed over the edge of the precipice and gotten a serious reality check. Many more families are now thinking in terms of return of capital rather than just return on capital.

The financial markets will rise again. At some point they will rise dramatically, as they always do after a crisis. But first there has to be a healing process.

As James Madison said a couple hundred years ago, “The circulation of confidence is better than the circulation of money.”

And in today’s complex, interrelated financial markets, you simply won’t have the latter without the former.

Source: Money Markets: How Safe Is Your Cash?

Last 5 posts by Contrarian Profits





About Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com)

ContrarianProfits.com is a financial news and opinion website with a twist. As investment guru Rick Rule puts it, “You are either a contrarian or a victim.” In the financial world, most people are losers because they just don’t know what game they’re playing. They think they can just get “into the market” along with everyone else, do what everyone else does, and they will make money. Not likely. By the time you’ve paid commissions, spreads, fees, taxes – and suffered the consequences of inflation – you’ll be very lucky just to have as much money as you started with.

ContrarianProfits.com is a contrarian site, in the sense that we provide ideas, opinions and recommendations that often run counter to the mainstream financial press. We do this not just to be contrary, but because we’ve realized that Rick is right. You don’t make money by following the crowd; you make money by leading it.

Why is this so? Well, it’s obvious that if you do the same thing everyone else does you’ll get the same results everyone else gets. On average, and over the long run, real investment returns for the typical investor cannot exceed the rate of growth of the economy itself. Everybody can’t get richer faster than everybody else. Real economic growth in the US today averages about 3% per year; if you don’t make any mistakes, that’s about what you can expect. Few people may be satisfied with 3% per year, but most feel comfortable in the middle of the financial herd and are happy to take whatever that gets them. If you’re one of those people, you will probably not like our site. It will make you uncomfortable.

If, on the other hand, you’re willing to look at things a little differently, you’ll appreciate the views of many of our columnists, contributors and visionaries.

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