Bernanke Gets it Right
Posted on Tuesday, August 7th, 2007 | In Market Commentary“The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 percent.” announced the Fed today.
They continued “Economic growth was moderate during the first half of the year. Financial markets have been volatile in recent weeks, credit conditions have become tighter for some households and businesses, and the housing correction is ongoing. Nevertheless, the economy seems likely to continue to expand at a moderate pace over coming quarters, supported by solid growth in employment and incomes and a robust global economy.”
“Readings on core inflation have improved modestly in recent months. However, a sustained moderation in inflation pressures has yet to be convincingly demonstrated. Moreover, the high level of resource utilization has the potential to sustain those pressures.”
Finally, “Although the downside risks to growth have increased somewhat, the Committee’s predominant policy concern remains the risk that inflation will fail to moderate as expected. Future policy adjustments will depend on the outlook for both inflation and economic growth, as implied by incoming information.”
For those interested in how this statement is similar to everything they have said up until this point, go here
Inflation, inflation and inflation. Until it’s ebbs, rates will not drop. Big Ben has been saying this since he took office repeatedly and hopefully the street gets it soon so we do not have all the speculation before each meeting. It will also be good for stocks as things will level out once they come to the reality that Bernanke is telling them what to expect from the Fed. It seems they may be beginning to get it as today the DOW, S&P and Nasdaq were essentially unchanged.
The Fed will not bail out lenders that made dumb loans and now are in trouble. Bernanke is going to let the market work (as he should) and it is already taking care of things. Bad credit is harder to get, and hopefully credit standards return to what they should be. Both of these are good things long term.
Even if growth slows, that is ok as long as inflation stays contained. Given the choice between slowing growth and high inflation, high inflation should always be fought because it always is a economy killer.
Last 5 posts by Todd Sullivan
- US GDP Grew in Q1: Where is that Recession? - April 30th, 2008
- Tuesday's Upgrades and Downgrades - April 29th, 2008
- The Week's Top Ten at VIN - April 26th, 2008
- Dow Chemical (DOW) Beats - April 24th, 2008
- Tilson on Financials (BAC),(LEH), (CFC), (BRK.A), (FFH) - April 23rd, 2008
![]() About Todd Sullivan (http://valueplays.blogspot.com)
Todd is a Massachusetts based value investor, that looks for companies whose current valuation is at a discount to their true value. When he purchase a stock, his typical holding period is several years, and he considers buying a stock purchasing a piece of the business. He feels that once he makes a decision to buy that eventually the market as a whole (however long it may take) will recognize the true value of the business and value it accordingly. His widely featured blog, ValuePlays, is a highly regarded investment resource that covers his successful investment strategies. |



