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Time to dump gold?

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ContrarianProfits/~3/Qo-K6LfBU1Q/20942
Posted on Thursday, November 5th, 2009 | In Investing Lessons, Market Commentary
Contributed by: Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com) -

Gold gained yet another powerful ally yesterday — hedge fund icon Paul Tudor Jones. The man who famously called Black Monday in 1987 and the Nikkei crash a few years later now thinks “gold appears to be cheap.” In a note to his investors, Tudor said, “I have never been a gold bug. It is just an asset that, like everything else in life, has its time and place. And now is that time… gold’s value should increase as its scarcity relative to printed currencies increases.”

So gold is now publicly loved by armchair investors, famous hedge fund managers and central banks… even as we write, Erin Burnett is “squawking” about it on CNBC. Are your contrarian senses tingling yet?

“So many hedge fund managers and pundits are singing the same tune: long gold and short U.S. Treasuries,” our friend Dan Denning wrote in today’s Daily Reckoning. “The bond bubble could go on much longer than anyone expects. And when so many people agree on something, none of them are usually right. As a contrarian, you’d be worried about becoming a victim right about now.”

Finish reading this article on DailyReckoning.com.

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About Contrarian Profits (http://contrarianprofits.com)

ContrarianProfits.com is a financial news and opinion website with a twist. As investment guru Rick Rule puts it, “You are either a contrarian or a victim.” In the financial world, most people are losers because they just don’t know what game they’re playing. They think they can just get “into the market” along with everyone else, do what everyone else does, and they will make money. Not likely. By the time you’ve paid commissions, spreads, fees, taxes – and suffered the consequences of inflation – you’ll be very lucky just to have as much money as you started with.

ContrarianProfits.com is a contrarian site, in the sense that we provide ideas, opinions and recommendations that often run counter to the mainstream financial press. We do this not just to be contrary, but because we’ve realized that Rick is right. You don’t make money by following the crowd; you make money by leading it.

Why is this so? Well, it’s obvious that if you do the same thing everyone else does you’ll get the same results everyone else gets. On average, and over the long run, real investment returns for the typical investor cannot exceed the rate of growth of the economy itself. Everybody can’t get richer faster than everybody else. Real economic growth in the US today averages about 3% per year; if you don’t make any mistakes, that’s about what you can expect. Few people may be satisfied with 3% per year, but most feel comfortable in the middle of the financial herd and are happy to take whatever that gets them. If you’re one of those people, you will probably not like our site. It will make you uncomfortable.

If, on the other hand, you’re willing to look at things a little differently, you’ll appreciate the views of many of our columnists, contributors and visionaries.

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